Kembali ke Pertandingan Minggu, Apr 26, 2026

Seattle Mariners vs St. Louis Cardinals — Apr 26, 2026 | Prediksi AI & statistik

Busch Stadium, St. Louis
77°F, Sunny
9 mph, R To L
W Eduard Bazardo L JoJo Romero SV Jose A. Ferrer

Papan Skor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Mariners 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 3 8 0
Cardinals 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 7 0

PREDIKSI AIRamalan Jaringan Saraf

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Mariners 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 2 0 6
Cardinals 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 5
Confidence: 72% Mariners favored
This matchup features a fascinating contrast between Seattle's surging momentum and St. Louis's recent struggles. Emerson Hancock brings impressive credentials to the mound with a 2.83 ERA and exceptional command (0.87 WHIP), having shown increasing velocity in his recent starts with his fastball touching 97.7 mph. His pitch mix, heavily reliant on a four-seam fastball (37.3%) and complemented by an effective sweeper (25.8%), should challenge a Cardinals lineup that has been inconsistent despite Jordan Walker's eight home runs. The Mariners' three-game winning streak, including two victories over these same Cardinals, provides crucial psychological momentum heading into this series finale. St. Louis counters with Michael McGreevy, whose recent outings show concerning velocity trends - his average fastball has declined from 87.1 to 85.8 mph over his last three starts. While his diverse six-pitch mix offers deception, the Cardinals' bullpen faces fatigue concerns after allowing 20 runs in the previous two games. The home team's offensive potential remains significant, particularly with Walker's power surge and the potential for another high-scoring affair at Busch Stadium. However, their negative run differential (-14) and current three-game skid suggest underlying issues that extend beyond simple variance. Key factors favoring Seattle include Brendan Donovan's .304 average and Randy Arozarena's solid .289 start, providing consistent run production despite their road struggles (3-8 record). The Cardinals' recent pattern of alternating between explosive offensive games and quiet performances creates uncertainty about which version will appear. Weather conditions are favorable with 78°F temperatures and manageable winds, likely supporting offensive production. The Mariners' superior starting pitching gives them a crucial advantage in what projects as another competitive, potentially high-scoring contest between these evenly matched clubs.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both starters settle after first inning runs
Middle (4-6) 3R Cardinals rally in 5th, Mariners respond in 6th
Late (7-9) 5R Bullpens struggle, Mariners capitalize in 8th

Matchup Analysis

Cardinals

Jordan Walker's power surge
Home field advantage
Recent offensive outburst patterns
Three-game losing streak momentum
Bullpen fatigue from high-scoring games

Mariners

Emerson Hancock's excellent form
Three-game winning streak
Brendan Donovan and Randy Arozarena hitting well
Poor road record (3-8)
Multiple key injuries

Risk Factors

McGreevy's limited MLB experience
Cardinals' negative run differential

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Emerson Hancock batter Walker's power vs Hancock's fastball-heavy approach
Brendan Donovan vs Michael McGreevy batter Donovan's .304 average and contact ability

Statistical Edges

First to Score Mariners 65%
Strikeouts 15 12-18
Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

Emerson Hancock establishes early command, working efficiently through the Cardinals order in the first inning before Jordan Walker connects on a hanging sweeper for a solo home run in the second. The Mariners respond immediately in the third when Brendan Donovan doubles off the right field wall and Randy Arozarena drives him home with a clutch two-out single. Michael McGreevy's velocity concerns manifest as Seattle adds another run on a wild pitch, taking a 2-1 lead through three innings. The middle innings become a chess match as both pitchers settle into rhythm. Hancock's fastball-sweeper combination continues neutralizing Cardinals hitters, while McGreevy relies heavily on his changeup to keep Seattle off balance. The Cardinals break through in the fifth when consecutive singles load the bases, and JJ Wetherholt delivers a clutch two-run double to reclaim the lead 4-2. However, Seattle's persistence pays off in the sixth as Mitch Garver launches a solo homer to right field, cutting the deficit to 4-3. The game's decisive moments unfold in the late innings when both bullpens enter high-leverage situations. St. Louis extends their lead to 5-3 on Victor Scott II's RBI single in the seventh, but Seattle's championship experience shows in the eighth inning. With two runners aboard, Arozarena delivers the game's biggest hit - a three-run double that gives Seattle a 6-5 advantage. The Cardinals threaten in the ninth with runners on first and second, but Seattle's closer preserves the victory, completing a series sweep and extending their winning streak to four games.
The 72% confidence reflects Hancock's superior recent form and Seattle's momentum, but acknowledges the Cardinals' offensive potential and home field advantage. McGreevy's declining velocity and the bullpen fatigue from recent high-scoring games tip the scales toward Seattle.
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Seattle Mariners — Roster

PemainPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
J.P. Crawford
SS .18616.345.271
Cal Raleigh
C .204615.289.398
Julio Rodríguez
CF .250210.333.330
Randy Arozarena
LF .276211.361.410
Rob Refsnyder
RF .12123.211.303
Mitch Garver
DH .20000.314.233
Connor Joe
1B .21402.267.286
Cole Young
2B .267314.351.406
Leo Rivas
3B .16207.275.206

St. Louis Cardinals — Roster

PemainPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt
2B .238513.363.406
Iván Herrera
C .240413.403.417
Alec Burleson
1B .245317.328.392
Jordan Walker
RF .283816.360.566
Nolan Gorman
DH .225315.297.348
Masyn Winn
SS .265112.347.386
Nathan Church
LF .269513.311.507
Ramón Urías
3B .18025.288.360
Yohel Pozo
PH .11803.118.176

Permainan pencetak skor

3
JJ Wetherholt homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.
0-1
4
Cal Raleigh homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.
1-1
6
Nathan Church homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.
1-2
7
Cole Young singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Connor Joe scores.
2-2
9
Rob Refsnyder homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.
3-2

Seattle Mariners — Pukulan

PemainABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
J.P. CrawfordSS
4000010.186.616
Cal RaleighC
4111021.204.687
Julio RodríguezCF
4010010.250.663
Randy ArozarenaLF
4000030.276.771
Rob RefsnyderRF
1111001.121.514
Mitch GarverDH
1000010.200.547
Connor Joe1B
4110020.214.553
Cole Young2B
3021010.267.757
Leo Rivas3B
3010010.162.481
Total343830122
BATTING
2B: Joe (1, Svanson).
HR: Raleigh (6, 4th inning off McGreevy, 0 on, 1 out); Refsnyder (2, 9th inning off Romero, J, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Canzone; Joe 2; Raleigh 4; Refsnyder 4; Rivas; Rodríguez, J; Young 2.
RBI: Raleigh (15); Refsnyder (3); Young (14).
2-out RBI: Young.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Arozarena.
Team RISP: 1-for-2.
Team LOB: 4.
FIELDING
DP: (Crawford, J-Joe).
a-Homered for Raley, L in the 9th.
b-Struck out for Canzone in the 9th.

St. Louis Cardinals — Pukulan

PemainABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
JJ Wetherholt2B
5111001.238.769
Iván HerreraC
3010110.240.820
Alec Burleson1B
4000000.245.720
Jordan WalkerRF
2010200.283.926
Nolan GormanDH
4010020.225.645
Masyn WinnSS
4000020.265.733
Nathan ChurchLF
4121001.269.818
Ramón Urías3B
3010000.180.648
Yohel PozoPH
1000000.118.294
Total33272352
BATTING
2B: Herrera (5, Hancock).
HR: Wetherholt (5, 3rd inning off Hancock, 0 on, 0 out); Church (5, 6th inning off Hancock, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Church 5; Gorman; Herrera 2; Urías, R; Walker, J; Wetherholt 4.
RBI: Church (13); Wetherholt (13).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Gorman; Wetherholt; Winn.
GIDP: Scott II.
Team RISP: 0-for-5.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
Outfield assists: Scott II (Young at 2nd base).
a-Grounded out for Scott II in the 9th.

Seattle Mariners — Lemparan

PelemparIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Emerson Hancock
6.072224294-532.86
Gabe Speier
0.200010015-82.53
Eduard Bazardo(W, 1-1)
1.100001012-111.46
Jose A. Ferrer(S, 1)
1.000000011-81.93

St. Louis Cardinals — Lemparan

PelemparIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Michael McGreevy
6.051106198-652.97
Matt Svanson(BS, 1)
1.021101016-1210.43
Ryne Stanek
1.000003022-157.71
JoJo Romero(L, 0-1)
1.011102121-123.95

Info pertandingan

Wasit: Home Plate: John Bacon; First Base: Hunter Wendelstedt; Second Base: Edwin Moscoso; Third Base: Vic Carapazza
Stadion: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Cuaca: 77°F, Sunny
Angin: 9 mph, R To L

Seattle Mariners — Berita

St. Louis Cardinals — Berita

Perbandingan Musim

Mariners
STAT
Cardinals
35-32 Rekor 35-28
52.2% Win % 55.6%
.522 PCT .556
284 Poin Dicetak 278
252 Poin Kemasukan 280
67 Pertandingan Dimainkan 63
W1 Streak W4
7-3 10 terakhir 6-4
19-16 Rekor Kandang 19-16
16-16 Rekor Tandang 16-12

Pertemuan Langsung

2
Terakhir 2 pertemuan
0
Apr 25
Mariners 11 - 9 Cardinals
Apr 24
Mariners 3 - 2 Cardinals

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Jun 9 @ Orioles 6-5 W
Jun 8 @ Orioles 6-3 W
Jun 7 @ Tigers 4-5 L
Jun 6 @ Tigers 4-0 W
Jun 5 @ Tigers 3-7 L

Cardinals Terbaru

Jun 9 @ Mets 7-0 W
Jun 7 vs Reds 3-5 W
Jun 6 vs Reds 5-6 W
Jun 5 vs Reds 3-10 W
Jun 3 vs Rangers 3-5 W

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