Vissza a merkoczesekhez Pentek, Máj 22, 2026

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Máj 22, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

Chase Field, Phoenix
95°F, Clear
1 mph, Varies
W Antonio Senzatela L Ryan Thompson

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Rockies 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 3 9 0
Diamondbacks 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 0

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Rockies 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 3
Diamondbacks 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 2 0 6
Confidence: 73% Diamondbacks favored
Arizona enters this matchup riding a five-game winning streak and sporting excellent home form (16-9) against a Colorado team that continues to struggle mightily on the road. The Diamondbacks have dominated this season series, winning three of four meetings, and hold significant advantages in both pitching depth and offensive production. Michael Soroka has been highly effective for Arizona with a 3.49 ERA and impressive 10.10 K/9 rate, showcasing excellent command with his slider-fastball combination that has befuddled opposing hitters. His recent velocity readings show consistency in the mid-90s with his four-seam fastball, while his devastating slider has been his out pitch. The Rockies counter with Tomoyuki Sugano, whose recent starts show concerning velocity dips and command issues. His splitter-heavy approach has been less effective away from Coors Field, and Colorado's offensive struggles (-55 run differential) put enormous pressure on their pitching staff to be near-perfect. Hunter Goodman provides the lone consistent power threat with 11 home runs, but the rest of the lineup has been anemic, with Ezequiel Tovar hitting just .204 and the team averaging only 4.1 runs per game. The 94-degree heat at Chase Field should favor hitters, but Arizona's superior bullpen depth gives them a significant late-game advantage. Arizona's recent form has been exceptional, particularly Ildemaro Vargas (.340 average) and Corbin Carroll's resurgent season. The Diamondbacks have shown the ability to manufacture runs against both elite and struggling pitching, while Colorado has managed just three runs total in their last three games. With key injuries hampering Colorado's already-thin pitching staff and Arizona playing inspired baseball at home, the matchup heavily favors the home team to continue their winning ways.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Sugano vulnerable early, Soroka more effective
Middle (4-6) 3R Both starters settle but Arizona breaks through
Late (7-9) 3R Arizona offense capitalizes on Colorado's bullpen struggles

Matchup Analysis

Diamondbacks

Hot five-game winning streak
Strong home record (16-9)
Better starting pitching with Soroka
Thin rotation depth
Key injuries to Burnes and bullpen arms

Rockies

Goodman's power potential
Recent offensive spark from TJ Rumfield
Horrible run differential (-55)
Struggling rotation ERA
Poor road record (9-17)

Risk Factors

Hot weather could favor offense
Colorado's desperation factor as road underdogs

Key Matchups

Ildemaro Vargas vs Tomoyuki Sugano batter Vargas hitting .340 vs righties struggling early
Hunter Goodman vs Michael Soroka batter Goodman's 11 HRs vs Soroka's sinker approach
Corbin Carroll vs Tomoyuki Sugano batter Carroll's speed and contact vs Sugano's splitter timing

Statistical Edges

First to Score Rockies 62%
Strikeouts 16 13-19
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

The game begins with Colorado taking an early 1-0 lead in the first inning as Ezequiel Tovar works a leadoff walk against Michael Soroka and eventually scores on a Hunter Goodman sacrifice fly. Soroka settles in quickly though, using his effective slider to retire the next nine Rockies batters in order. Arizona breaks through against Tomoyuki Sugano in the third inning when Ildemaro Vargas doubles to right-center field and Corbin Carroll follows with an RBI single. Gabriel Moreno then delivers a clutch two-out RBI single to put the Diamondbacks ahead 2-1. The middle innings see both starters find their rhythm, but Arizona extends their lead in the fourth when Jorge Barrosa reaches on an error and scores on a Vargas RBI triple to the gap. Colorado responds in the fifth as TJ Rumfield connects for a solo home run to cut the deficit to 3-2, but that's as close as the Rockies get. Arizona puts the game away with a two-run rally in the eighth inning against Colorado's overworked bullpen, highlighted by a Carroll RBI double and a Moreno run-scoring single. The Diamondbacks cruise to a 6-3 victory, completing a dominant series win and extending their home winning streak to six games.
The 73% confidence reflects Arizona's clear advantages in pitching, hitting, and home-field momentum, balanced against baseball's inherent unpredictability and Colorado's occasional offensive outbursts. The Diamondbacks' five-game winning streak and superior roster depth make them strong favorites, though the margin isn't overwhelming enough for maximum confidence.
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Colorado Rockies — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jake McCarthy
CF .282219.331.455
Hunter Goodman
C .2421119.304.472
Kyle Karros
3B .206111.313.277
Tyler Freeman
RF .257214.330.337
Troy Johnston
LF .316222.373.441
Willi Castro
1B .248216.314.348
Ezequiel Tovar
SS .213113.268.296
Sterlin Thompson
DH .18200.250.273
Chad Stevens
2B .20001.333.200

Arizona Diamondbacks — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Ketel Marte
2B .241722.296.417
Corbin Carroll
RF .287726.392.551
Geraldo Perdomo
SS .219215.344.344
Nolan Arenado
3B .274725.352.471
Ildemaro Vargas
1B .318732.341.509
Jose Fernandez
PH .281314.313.383
Gabriel Moreno
C .245214.303.378
Adrian Del Castillo
DH .181317.237.305
Ryan Waldschmidt
LF .32606.396.419

Pontszerző akciók

2
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Nolan Arenado scores.
0-1
4
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. singles on a ground ball to left fielder Troy Johnston. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to 2nd.
0-2
5
Jake McCarthy out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Willi Castro scores. Ezequiel Tovar to 3rd.
1-2
8
TJ Rumfield doubles (9) on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Hunter Goodman scores.
2-2
9
Chad Stevens singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Sterlin Thompson scores.
3-2

Colorado Rockies — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jake McCarthyCF
4001000.282.786
Hunter GoodmanC
4120100.242.776
Kyle Karros3B
1000010.206.590
Tyler FreemanRF
4000000.257.667
Troy JohnstonLF
4000020.316.814
Willi Castro1B
4120000.248.662
Ezequiel TovarSS
4020000.213.564
Sterlin ThompsonDH
3110000.182.523
Chad Stevens2B
3011110.200.533
Összesen35393240
BATTING
2B: Rumfield (9, Morillo, J); Thompson, S (1, Thompson, R).
TB: Castro, W 2; Goodman 2; Rumfield 2; Stevens; Thompson, S 2; Tovar 2.
RBI: McCarthy (19); Rumfield (26); Stevens (1).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Castro, W; Karros, K 2; Johnston, T; McCarthy; Goodman.
SF: McCarthy.
Team RISP: 2-for-12.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
SB: Goodman 2 (3, 2nd base off Soroka/Moreno, 2nd base off Thompson, R/Moreno).
FIELDING
DP: (Karros, K-Tovar-Castro, W).
1-Ran for Rumfield in the 8th.

Arizona Diamondbacks — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Ketel Marte2B
4010000.241.713
Corbin CarrollRF
4020010.287.943
Geraldo PerdomoSS
2100100.219.688
Nolan Arenado3B
3110000.274.823
Ildemaro Vargas1B
4000000.318.850
Jose FernandezPH
1000000.281.696
Gabriel MorenoC
4000000.245.681
Adrian Del CastilloDH
4000000.181.542
Ryan WaldschmidtLF
3020010.326.815
Összesen31272130
BATTING
2B: Arenado (10, Sugano); Marte, K (8, Sugano).
TB: Arenado 2; Carroll 2; Gurriel Jr.; Marte, K 2; Waldschmidt 2.
RBI: Gurriel Jr. 2 (11).
2-out RBI: Gurriel Jr.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Moreno; Carroll; Perdomo.
SAC: Perdomo.
SF: Gurriel Jr.
GIDP: Vargas, I.
Team RISP: 2-for-7.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Waldschmidt (4, 2nd base off Sugano/Goodman).
FIELDING
PB: Moreno (1).
a-Flied out for Barrosa in the 9th.

Colorado Rockies — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Tomoyuki Sugano
6.262213097-623.86
Brennan Bernardino
0.21000008-43.72
Antonio Senzatela(W, 4-0)
1.200000018-111.13

Arizona Diamondbacks — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Michael Soroka
6.041102078-513.27
Taylor Clarke(H, 11)
0.210010017-92.08
Brandyn Garcia(H, 3)
0.10000002-21.17
Juan Morillo(BS, 3)
0.211111027-172.61
Ryan Thompson(L, 2-1)
1.131101031-223.12

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: Nate Tomlinson; First Base: Rob Drake; Second Base: Bruce Dreckman; Third Base: Carlos Torres
Helyszín: Chase Field, Phoenix
Időjárás: 95°F, Clear
Szél: 1 mph, Varies

Colorado Rockies — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Rockies
STAT
Diamondbacks
24-38 Merleg 32-28
38.7% Win % 53.3%
.387 PCT .533
268 Szerzett pontok 273
344 Kapott pontok 263
62 Lejatszott merkoczesek 60
W2 Sorozat L1
4-6 Utolsó 10 6-4
12-16 Hazai merleg 19-11
12-22 Idegenbeli merleg 13-17

Egymas elleni merkoczesek

1
Utolso 5 talalkozas
4
Máj 24
Rockies 1 - 9 Diamondbacks
Máj 23
Rockies 4 - 5 Diamondbacks
Máj 21
Rockies 1 - 2 Diamondbacks
Máj 17
Diamondbacks 8 - 6 Rockies
Máj 16
Diamondbacks 2 - 4 Rockies

Rockies Legutobbi

Jún 2 @ Angels 8-2 W
Jún 1 @ Angels 9-8 W
Máj 31 vs Giants 19-6 L
Máj 30 vs Giants 3-8 W
Máj 29 vs Giants 6-8 W

Diamondbacks Legutobbi

Jún 2 vs Dodgers 6-5 L
Jún 1 vs Dodgers 1-4 W
Máj 31 @ Mariners 2-3 L
Máj 30 @ Mariners 1-5 L
Máj 29 @ Mariners 6-7 L

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