Vissza a merkoczesekhez Pentek, Máj 29, 2026

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles — Máj 29, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
80°F, Clear
6 mph, Out To RF
W Mason Fluharty L Yennier Cano SV Braydon Fisher

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Blue Jays 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 0 6 10 2
Orioles 0 0 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 5 8 0

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Blue Jays 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Orioles 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 58% Orioles favored
This matchup presents a fascinating contrast between a struggling Baltimore starter and Toronto's mysterious pitching situation. Trevor Rogers enters with a concerning 6.96 ERA across six starts, having allowed opponents to feast on his four-seam fastball and changeup combination. His recent velocity has hovered around 90-91 mph, down from his peak years, and the 1.45 WHIP suggests command issues that could be exploited by a Blue Jays lineup featuring Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.293) and the surprising Ernie Clement (.294, 5 HR). The Orioles counter with Gunnar Henderson's 13 home runs and the Camden Yards environment that has helped them post a solid 17-14 home record despite their overall struggles. Toronto arrives riding a three-game win streak and 7-3 record over their last ten games, including yesterday's 2-1 victory over these same Orioles. However, their rotation depth remains a major concern with José Berríos on the 60-day IL and Dylan Cease recently placed on the 15-day IL with a hamstring strain. The TBD starter designation creates significant uncertainty, though it could be Austin Voth, recently selected from Triple-A Buffalo where he posted a 3.38 ERA. The Blue Jays' improved form coincides with better offensive production, particularly from Guerrero Jr., who appears to be finding his timing after a slow start. Baltimore's bullpen situation has stabilized somewhat with Grant Wolfram's recent activation, but they're still missing key pieces like Félix Bautista and Ryan Helsley. The weather conditions look ideal for offense with 76-degree temperatures and clear skies, though the WSW wind could play a factor depending on its impact at Camden Yards.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both offenses capitalize on starting pitcher struggles early
Middle (4-6) 3R Steady scoring continues with Rogers settling down slightly
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpens trade zeros except for one Blue Jays rally

Matchup Analysis

Orioles

Strong home record (17-14)
Henderson's power threat
Camden Yards offensive environment
Rogers' 6.96 ERA vulnerability
Depleted rotation depth

Blue Jays

Hot streak (W3, 7-3 L10)
Guerrero Jr. heating up (.293)
Clement's surprising production
TBD starter uncertainty
Poor road record (11-16)

Risk Factors

Unknown Toronto starter
Rogers' inconsistency

Key Matchups

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Trevor Rogers batter Vlad's .293 avg vs Rogers' struggles
Gunnar Henderson vs TBD batter 13 HRs and unknown pitcher matchup

Statistical Edges

First to Score Blue Jays 62%
Strikeouts 15 12-18
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

The Blue Jays strike first in the opening frame, with Ernie Clement working a leadoff walk against Trevor Rogers and eventually scoring on a Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RBI single that finds the gap in right-center. Baltimore responds immediately in the bottom of the second when Gunnar Henderson launches his 14th home run of the season into the left field seats, taking advantage of Rogers' elevated four-seamer. Toronto regains the lead in the third as their mystery starter settles into a rhythm, with Clement delivering again with an RBI double that plates a runner who reached on Rogers' third walk of the game. The pivotal fourth inning sees Baltimore break through for two runs, capitalizing on the Blue Jays' makeshift rotation as Taylor Ward delivers a clutch two-run single with the bases loaded. Rogers, despite his early struggles, finds his footing and holds Toronto scoreless through the fifth before being lifted after 90 pitches. The Orioles add an insurance run in the sixth on Pete Alonso's RBI groundout, but Toronto mounts a serious threat in the seventh inning. With Baltimore's middle relief showing cracks, the Blue Jays push across two runs on a combination of walks, stolen bases, and timely hitting from their bottom of the order. The game enters the late innings as a tight 4-3 contest, with both bullpens trading zeros until Henderson comes through again in the ninth, driving in what proves to be the winning run with a sacrifice fly that scores Ward from third base.
The 58% confidence reflects the significant uncertainty created by Toronto's TBD starter and Rogers' inconsistent form. While Baltimore has the home field advantage and a known starting pitcher, Rogers' 6.96 ERA creates major risk that prevents higher confidence in this close matchup.
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Toronto Blue Jays — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
George Springer
DH .212514.292.364
Ernie Clement
2B .292520.316.443
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B .293324.391.379
Kazuma Okamoto
3B .2161231.300.422
Daulton Varsho
CF .265516.339.423
Andrés Giménez
SS .223628.260.370
Nathan Lukes
LF .29209.329.385
Yohendrick Piñango
RF .277213.318.398
Brandon Valenzuela
C .245410.339.398

Baltimore Orioles — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Taylor Ward
LF .256216.400.357
Gunnar Henderson
SS .2151329.268.426
Adley Rutschman
DH .260727.333.480
Pete Alonso
1B .2321134.313.436
Samuel Basallo
C .273924.325.506
Leody Taveras
CF .279221.377.393
Tyler O'Neill
RF .15828.266.232
Blaze Alexander
3B .262114.313.352
Jackson Holliday
2B .25925.323.481

Pontszerző akciók

3
Adley Rutschman walks. Jackson Holliday scores. Taylor Ward to 3rd. Gunnar Henderson to 2nd.
0-1
3
Samuel Basallo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Taylor Ward scores.
0-2
4
Jackson Holliday homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.
0-3
5
Pete Alonso homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.
0-4
5
Samuel Basallo homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.
0-5
7
Kazuma Okamoto homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.
2-5
7
Charles McAdoo homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Daulton Varsho scores.
4-5
8
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. George Springer scores. Ernie Clement scores.
6-5

Toronto Blue Jays — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
George SpringerDH
4110100.212.656
Ernie Clement2B
4110000.292.759
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
4122010.293.770
Kazuma Okamoto3B
4112011.216.722
Daulton VarshoCF
4120000.265.762
Andrés GiménezSS
0000000.223.630
Nathan LukesLF
2010000.292.714
Yohendrick PiñangoRF
4000020.277.716
Brandon ValenzuelaC
4010000.245.737
Összesen366106152
BATTING
2B: Valenzuela (3, Rogers, Tr); Varsho (12, Rogers, Tr); Guerrero Jr. (8, Cano); Lukes (6, Garcia, Ri).
3B: Varsho (2, Rogers, Tr).
HR: Okamoto (12, 7th inning off Rogers, Tr, 1 on, 0 out); McAdoo (1, 7th inning off Rogers, Tr, 1 on, 0 out).
TB: Clement; Guerrero Jr. 3; Lukes 2; McAdoo 4; Okamoto 4; Springer; Valenzuela 2; Varsho 5.
RBI: Guerrero Jr. 2 (24); McAdoo 2 (2); Okamoto 2 (31).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: McAdoo; Straw; Springer.
GIDP: Clement.
Team RISP: 2-for-11.
Team LOB: 4.
FIELDING
E: Guerrero Jr. (5, dropped foul); Clement (5, fielding).
DP: (McAdoo-Guerrero Jr.).
a-Popped out for Straw in the 7th.

Baltimore Orioles — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Taylor WardLF
4110100.256.757
Gunnar HendersonSS
4000100.215.694
Adley RutschmanDH
4001110.260.813
Pete Alonso1B
4111011.232.749
Samuel BasalloC
3122001.273.831
Leody TaverasCF
3010100.279.770
Tyler O'NeillRF
0000000.158.498
Blaze Alexander3B
1000010.262.665
Jackson Holliday2B
4221001.259.804
Összesen34585433
BATTING
HR: Holliday (2, 4th inning off Voth, 0 on, 2 out); Alonso (11, 5th inning off Voth, 0 on, 2 out); Basallo (9, 5th inning off Voth, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Alonso 4; Basallo 5; Cowser; Holliday 5; Taveras, L; Ward.
RBI: Alonso (34); Basallo 2 (24); Holliday (5); Rutschman (27).
2-out RBI: Holliday; Alonso; Basallo.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Mayo 2; Taveras, L.
SF: Basallo.
GIDP: Rutschman.
Team RISP: 0-for-5.
Team LOB: 7.
FIELDING
DP: (Holliday-Alonso).
a-Lined out for Cowser in the 8th.

Toronto Blue Jays — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Adam Macko
1.230001030-200.00
Austin Voth
3.155540370-359.00
Connor Seabold
1.200001018-113.12
Mason Fluharty(W, 3-0)
1.100001020-134.29
Braydon Fisher(S, 1)
1.000000015-102.48

Baltimore Orioles — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Trevor Rogers
6.064413284-616.84
Tyler Wells(H, 8)
1.00000106-63.08
Yennier Cano(L, 1-2)(BS, 1)
0.132200011-82.75
Keegan Akin
0.200000011-710.66
Rico Garcia
1.010001013-80.74

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: Clint Vondrak; First Base: Adam Hamari; Second Base: Todd Tichenor; Third Base: Tyler Jones
Helyszín: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Időjárás: 80°F, Clear
Szél: 6 mph, Out To RF

Toronto Blue Jays — Hirek

Baltimore Orioles — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Blue Jays
STAT
Orioles
29-32 Merleg 29-32
47.5% Win % 47.5%
.475 PCT .475
247 Szerzett pontok 279
255 Kapott pontok 315
61 Lejatszott merkoczesek 61
L3 Sorozat W3
5-5 Utolsó 10 7-3
17-13 Hazai merleg 19-15
12-19 Idegenbeli merleg 10-17

Egymas elleni merkoczesek

1
Utolso 3 talalkozas
2
Máj 31
Blue Jays 5 - 9 Orioles
Máj 30
Blue Jays 5 - 6 Orioles
Máj 28
Blue Jays 2 - 1 Orioles

Blue Jays Legutobbi

Jún 2 @ Braves 3-4 L
Máj 31 @ Orioles 5-9 L
Máj 30 @ Orioles 5-6 L
Máj 28 @ Orioles 2-1 W
Máj 27 vs Marlins 1-2 W

Orioles Legutobbi

Jún 2 @ Red Sox 4-2 W
Máj 31 vs Blue Jays 5-9 W
Máj 30 vs Blue Jays 5-6 W
Máj 28 vs Blue Jays 2-1 L
Máj 27 vs Rays 2-11 W

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