Vissza a merkoczesekhez Pentek, Máj 22, 2026

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox — Máj 22, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

Fenway Park, Boston
64°F, Cloudy
3 mph, R To L
W Travis Adams L Justin Slaten SV Anthony Banda

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Twins 0 3 0 0 0 0 4 0 1 8 10 2
Red Sox 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 2

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Twins 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 0 6
Red Sox 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 62% Twins favored
This matchup features two teams with identical .449 and .460 winning percentages, but the underlying metrics favor Minnesota despite their poor road record. The Twins have scored 49 more runs than Boston this season while allowing nearly identical totals, indicating superior offensive firepower. Boston enters riding a three-game winning streak against Kansas City, but their pitching situation remains dire with eight arms on the injured list, including key starters Tanner Houck, Garrett Crochet, and Kutter Crawford. Payton Tolle makes his latest start for Boston with a fastball-heavy approach (44.6% four-seam, 23.2% sinker) averaging 96.1 mph on his heater. However, his recent outings show inconsistent velocity and command issues typical of a young pitcher still finding his footing. Minnesota counters with Connor Prielipp, whose slider-centric arsenal (37.8% usage) has produced a solid 3.86 ERA. Prielipp's ability to generate swings and misses with his breaking ball could be crucial against a Red Sox lineup that has shown power but inconsistent contact. The offensive edge clearly favors Minnesota, led by Josh Bell's veteran presence and the potential return of key contributors. Boston's lineup revolves around Wilyer Abreu (.294, 6 HR) and Willson Contreras (10 HR, 30 RBI), but depth becomes an issue with Trevor Story and Roman Anthony sidelined. The bullpen disparity could prove decisive, as Boston's depleted relief corps faces a Minnesota offense that has shown the ability to break games open late, evidenced by their recent 9-1 victory over Miami and competitive series against Houston.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both starters show vulnerability in first time through lineup
Middle (4-6) 5R Key offensive opportunities as starters fade around inning 5-6
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battle with depleted Boston pen creating late chances

Matchup Analysis

Red Sox

Hot streak with 3 straight wins
Wilyer Abreu's power surge
Home crowd energy at Fenway
Decimated pitching staff with 8 pitchers on IL
Poor home record (8-14)
Rookie starter Payton Tolle inexperienced

Twins

Superior offensive output (230 vs 181 runs)
Better road performance relatively
Connor Prielipp's slider-heavy approach
Struggling road record (8-13)
Recent catcher injury to Ryan Jeffers
Inconsistent bullpen depth

Risk Factors

Boston's extensive IL list limiting depth
Weather conditions favoring breaking balls

Key Matchups

Willson Contreras vs Connor Prielipp batter Power vs finesse, Contreras excels against breaking balls
Josh Bell vs Payton Tolle batter Veteran experience vs rookie fastball command issues

Statistical Edges

First to Score Twins 58%
Strikeouts 16 13-19
Total Runs 11 8-13

Game Preview

Connor Prielipp strikes out the side in the first inning, but not before Wilyer Abreu works a leadoff walk and Willson Contreras drives him home with a sharp single to right field. Minnesota responds immediately in the bottom half when Josh Bell takes Payton Tolle deep on a 2-1 fastball, showcasing the veteran's ability to turn on velocity. The game remains tight through the middle innings as both starters settle in, with Prielipp's slider keeping the Red Sox off balance while Tolle pounds the strike zone with his four-seamer. The turning point arrives in the fifth inning when Minnesota breaks through for two runs against a tiring Tolle, who begins to lose command of his secondary pitches. Orlando Arcia, the recent call-up, delivers a clutch two-out RBI single after Alex Jackson reaches on an error. Boston answers with a two-run rally in the sixth sparked by Connor Wong's hustle double, but Minnesota pulls away in the eighth inning against Boston's taxed bullpen. The Twins capitalize on two walks and a wild pitch to score twice more, securing a 6-5 victory that highlights their superior offensive depth and Boston's pitching limitations. Prielipp earns the win despite some late-inning struggles, while Boston's comeback effort falls just short despite Contreras's best efforts in the cleanup spot.
The confidence level reflects Minnesota's superior run production and Boston's severely compromised pitching depth. While both teams have similar records, the Twins' offensive advantages and Boston's eight injured pitchers create a meaningful edge that should manifest over nine innings despite the Red Sox's recent hot streak.
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Minnesota Twins — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Byron Buxton
DH .2641626.322.588
Brooks Lee
3B .243524.297.379
Austin Martin
RF .297213.413.398
James Outman
CF .18503.241.296
Trevor Larnach
LF .248213.375.372
Ryan Kreidler
SS .31338.405.656
Kody Clemens
1B .230412.322.405
Luke Keaschall
2B .233118.318.307
Alex Jackson
C .00000.000.000

Boston Red Sox — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jarren Duran
LF .191625.264.354
Ceddanne Rafaela
CF .280419.348.429
Wilyer Abreu
RF .295620.360.442
Willson Contreras
1B .2691031.366.503
Masataka Yoshida
DH .25606.352.333
Nick Sogard
3B .35302.450.412
Marcelo Mayer
2B .216210.282.306
Carlos Narváez
C .22423.303.337
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
SS .25504.314.277

Pontszerző akciók

1
Wilyer Abreu doubles (8) on a fly ball to right fielder Kody Clemens. Jarren Duran scores.
0-1
1
Willson Contreras triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Austin Martin. Wilyer Abreu scores.
0-2
1
Andruw Monasterio singles on a ground ball to left fielder Gabriel Gonzalez. Willson Contreras scores.
0-3
1
Marcelo Mayer out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Austin Martin. Andruw Monasterio scores.
0-4
2
Ryan Kreidler doubles (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Josh Bell scores. Gabriel Gonzalez to 3rd.
1-4
2
Luke Keaschall singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Gabriel Gonzalez scores. Ryan Kreidler to 3rd. Kody Clemens to 2nd.
2-4
2
Byron Buxton singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Ryan Kreidler scores. Kody Clemens to 3rd. Luke Keaschall to 2nd.
3-4
4
Caleb Durbin hits a sacrifice bunt. Throwing error by pitcher Connor Prielipp. Nick Sogard scores. Carlos Narváez to 3rd. Caleb Durbin to 2nd.
3-5
4
Jarren Duran grounds out to first baseman Josh Bell. Carlos Narváez scores. Caleb Durbin to 3rd.
3-6
7
Byron Buxton homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Luke Keaschall scores.
5-6
7
Austin Martin homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Brooks Lee scores.
7-6
9
Trevor Larnach walks. Brooks Lee scores. Austin Martin to 3rd. James Outman to 2nd.
8-6

Minnesota Twins — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Byron BuxtonDH
5123021.264.910
Brooks Lee3B
4200130.243.676
Austin MartinRF
5122001.297.811
James OutmanCF
0000000.185.537
Trevor LarnachLF
0001100.248.747
Ryan KreidlerSS
5121020.3131.061
Kody Clemens1B
5000000.230.727
Luke Keaschall2B
4121010.233.625
Alex JacksonC
4000030.000.000
Összesen3881084112
BATTING
2B: Kreidler (2, Tolle).
HR: Buxton (16, 7th inning off Slaten, 1 on, 1 out); Martin (2, 7th inning off Slaten, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Bell; Buxton 5; Gonzalez, G; Keaschall 2; Kreidler 3; Martin 5.
RBI: Buxton 3 (26); Keaschall (18); Kreidler (8); Larnach (13); Martin 2 (13).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Clemens; Keaschall 2; Martin 2.
Team RISP: 3-for-11.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
CS: Keaschall (2, 2nd base by Weissert/Narváez).
FIELDING
E: Prielipp (1, throw); Keaschall (5, fielding).
DP: 2 (Kreidler-Keaschall-Bell; Keaschall-Kreidler-Clemens).
a-Walked for Gonzalez, G in the 9th.

Boston Red Sox — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jarren DuranLF
4101120.191.618
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
4000100.280.777
Wilyer AbreuRF
5121000.295.802
Willson Contreras1B
4111010.269.869
Masataka YoshidaDH
1000000.256.685
Nick Sogard3B
3120110.353.862
Marcelo Mayer2B
3001010.216.588
Carlos NarváezC
3110110.224.640
Isiah Kiner-FalefaSS
0000000.255.591
Összesen32676570
BATTING
2B: Abreu, W (8, Prielipp).
3B: Contreras, Wn (2, Prielipp).
TB: Abreu, W 3; Contreras, Wn 3; Monasterio; Narváez; Sogard 2.
RBI: Abreu, W (20); Contreras, Wn (31); Duran, Ja (25); Durbin (16); Mayer (10); Monasterio (10).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Abreu, W; Gasper.
SAC: Durbin.
SF: Mayer.
GIDP: Abreu, W; Contreras, Wn.
Team RISP: 2-for-5.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
CS: Monasterio (3, 2nd base by Prielipp/Jackson, A).
FIELDING
E: Tolle (1, fielding); Sogard (1, fielding).
a-Grounded out for Monasterio in the 8th.
b-Flied out for Durbin in the 8th.

Minnesota Twins — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Connor Prielipp
4.076531085-494.03
Travis Adams(W, 1-0)
2.000013029-163.52
Yoendrys Gómez(H, 3)
1.000001013-74.56
Eric Orze(H, 5)
0.200011014-73.52
Anthony Banda(S, 1)
1.100001014-116.23

Boston Red Sox — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Payton Tolle
6.043329085-572.45
Justin Slaten(L, 0-2)(BS, 1)
0.244411228-194.15
Greg Weissert
1.110000023-124.19
Tyler Samaniego
0.01100006-31.10
Tyron Guerrero
1.000011016-100.00

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: Ryan Wills; First Base: Jen Pawol; Second Base: Will Little; Third Base: Ryan Additon
Helyszín: Fenway Park, Boston
Időjárás: 64°F, Cloudy
Szél: 3 mph, R To L

Minnesota Twins — Hirek

Boston Red Sox — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Twins
STAT
Red Sox
29-33 Merleg 25-34
46.8% Win % 42.4%
.468 PCT .424
290 Szerzett pontok 233
306 Kapott pontok 240
62 Lejatszott merkoczesek 59
W2 Sorozat L1
4-6 Utolsó 10 3-7
17-14 Hazai merleg 9-20
12-19 Idegenbeli merleg 16-14

Egymas elleni merkoczesek

4
Utolso 5 talalkozas
1
Máj 24
Twins 6 - 5 Red Sox
Máj 23
Twins 4 - 2 Red Sox
Ápr 15
Red Sox 9 - 5 Twins
Ápr 14
Red Sox 0 - 6 Twins
Ápr 13
Red Sox 6 - 13 Twins

Twins Legutobbi

Jún 3 vs White Sox 8-0 L
Jún 2 vs White Sox 4-6 W
Jún 1 vs White Sox 6-9 W
Máj 31 @ Pirates 3-9 L
Máj 30 @ Pirates 9-10 L

Red Sox Legutobbi

Jún 2 vs Orioles 4-2 L
Máj 31 @ Guardians 9-4 W
Máj 30 @ Guardians 9-1 W
Máj 29 @ Guardians 3-4 L
Máj 28 vs Braves 10-2 L

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