Vissza a merkoczesekhez Szombat, Ápr 18, 2026

Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians — Ápr 18, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

Progressive Field, Cleveland
53°F, Overcast
15 mph, L To R
W Gavin Williams L Dean Kremer SV Cade Smith

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Orioles 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 4 0
Guardians 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 - 4 3 1

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Orioles 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 5
Guardians 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 68% Orioles favored
This matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions, with Cleveland coming off a disappointing loss despite strong pitching from Gavin Williams. The young right-hander has been impressive with his 2.38 ERA and 11.51 K/9, but his 6.35 BB/9 remains concerning, especially against a Baltimore lineup that's shown patience despite missing key contributors. Williams' recent velocity has been consistent around 91 MPH, and his five-pitch mix gives him weapons, but the Orioles have already seen him twice in this series. Dean Kremer enters with a 3.60 ERA and heavy reliance on his split-finger (36.2% usage), which has been effective but could be vulnerable in cold conditions at Progressive Field. The 49-degree temperature and 15 MPH wind could impact both pitchers' feel, particularly Kremer's off-speed offerings. Baltimore's offense has been surprisingly resilient despite losing Rutschman, Mountcastle, Westburg, and Holliday to injuries. Gunnar Henderson continues to rake with 6 home runs, while Taylor Ward's .303 average provides consistent contact. The Orioles' depth has been tested, but players like Leody Taveras (.375) and Weston Wilson (.333) have stepped up admirably. Cleveland's offensive struggles continue with Steven Kwan (.253) and Brayan Rocchio (2 HR, 8 RBI) providing modest production. The absence of Gabriel Arias at shortstop hurts their middle infield stability. The bullpen battle could be decisive, with Baltimore missing closer Félix Bautista and setup man Andrew Kittredge. Cleveland's pen has been adequate but not dominant, setting up potential late-game drama. Both teams enter with negative run differentials (Cleveland -4, Baltimore -3), suggesting tight games ahead. The recent head-to-head split (Baltimore won 6-4, Cleveland won 4-2) indicates evenly matched clubs, with the Orioles' slight edge coming from their ability to manufacture runs despite injuries. Weather conditions favor neither team particularly, but could impact Williams' command issues more than Kremer's finesse approach. This game projects as another close contest in what's becoming a compelling series between two organizations fighting through early-season adversity.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Williams' control issues early, Henderson gets to him
Middle (4-6) 4R Both offenses find rhythm against starters
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpens settle in but clutch hitting decides it

Matchup Analysis

Guardians

Williams' strikeout stuff
Home field advantage at Progressive Field
José Ramírez's clutch hitting
Struggling offense (.253 team average)
Missing key players (Arias, Walters)

Orioles

Henderson's power (6 HR already)
Ward's hot start (.303)
Kremer's split-finger effectiveness
Decimated by injuries (12 IL players)
Poor road record (3-4)
Struggling bullpen without Bautista

Risk Factors

Cold weather affecting grip
Williams' high walk rate (6.35 BB/9)

Key Matchups

Gunnar Henderson vs Gavin Williams batter Henderson's power vs Williams' control issues
José Ramírez vs Dean Kremer batter Elite hitter vs inconsistent starter

Statistical Edges

First to Score Orioles 65%
Strikeouts 16 14-18
Total Runs 10 8-12

Game Preview

The cold April evening at Progressive Field sets the stage for a pivotal rubber match. Gavin Williams takes the mound with extra motivation after Cleveland's disappointing 6-4 loss, but Dean Kremer and the injury-riddled Orioles have proven they can win with depth pieces. The game opens with Williams' four-seam fastbook getting Leody Taveras swinging, but Gunnar Henderson works a patient at-bat, drawing a walk on Williams' fifth pitch. Henderson promptly steals second and scores on Taylor Ward's sharp single through the shift, giving Baltimore an early 1-0 lead. Cleveland answers in the second when José Ramírez doubles off the wall in left-center, and Steven Kwan drives him home with a clutch two-out single. The middle innings become a chess match as both starters settle in, with Williams finding his slider and Kremer's split-finger inducing weak contact. The pivotal sixth inning sees Cleveland break through against Kremer's fading stuff - Brayan Rocchio doubles, Austin Hedges moves him to third with a sacrifice fly, and David Fry delivers a two-run single for a 3-1 Guardians lead. But Henderson isn't finished, launching a mammoth two-run homer in the seventh that silences the Cleveland crowd and ties the game at 3-3. The bullpens exchange zeros until the decisive ninth, when Henderson strikes again with an RBI single, and Ward adds an insurance run with a squeeze play that showcases Baltimore's scrappy approach. Cleveland mounts a final rally in the bottom of the ninth, loading the bases with one out, but Ramírez flies out to the warning track and Kwan strikes out swinging to end the thriller. Henderson's 2-for-4, 3-RBI performance caps a remarkable series for the young shortstop.
The 68% confidence reflects Baltimore's recent success against Cleveland and Henderson's hot streak, but acknowledges that both teams are closely matched with similar run differentials. Williams' control issues and the cold weather create variables that could swing either way.
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Baltimore Orioles — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Gunnar Henderson
SS .213715.283.506
Taylor Ward
LF .28908.388.422
Pete Alonso
1B .20528.326.346
Dylan Beavers
RF .22015.310.300
Colton Cowser
DH .17803.269.200
Leody Taveras
CF .36819.489.526
Samuel Basallo
C .14034.234.298
Coby Mayo
3B .15704.259.196
Jeremiah Jackson
2B .302517.308.571

Cleveland Guardians — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Steven Kwan
CF .24117.315.313
Chase DeLauter
RF .232512.325.522
José Ramírez
3B .215410.347.418
Kyle Manzardo
1B .18013.265.246
Angel Martínez
LF .27929.333.443
Rhys Hoskins
DH .20415.339.367
Daniel Schneemann
2B .314211.352.549
Bo Naylor
C .15613.224.244
Brayan Rocchio
SS .222311.338.397

Pontszerző akciók

4
Leody Taveras homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.
1-0
5
Brayan Rocchio homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Rhys Hoskins scores. Daniel Schneemann scores.
1-3
8
Gunnar Henderson homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.
2-3
8
Bo Naylor homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.
2-4

Baltimore Orioles — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Gunnar HendersonSS
4121021.213.789
Taylor WardLF
4010000.289.810
Pete Alonso1B
4000040.205.672
Dylan BeaversRF
4000030.220.610
Colton CowserDH
4000040.178.469
Leody TaverasCF
3111111.3681.015
Samuel BasalloC
3000010.140.532
Coby Mayo3B
3000000.157.455
Jeremiah Jackson2B
3000010.302.879
Összesen322421162
BATTING
2B: Ward (11, Williams, G).
HR: Taveras, L (1, 4th inning off Williams, G, 0 on, 1 out); Henderson (7, 8th inning off Gaddis, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Henderson 5; Taveras, L 4; Ward 2.
RBI: Henderson (15); Taveras, L (9).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Beavers 3.
Team RISP: 0-for-4.
Team LOB: 4.

Cleveland Guardians — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Steven KwanCF
4000020.241.628
Chase DeLauterRF
4000000.232.847
José Ramírez3B
2000100.215.765
Kyle Manzardo1B
3000020.180.511
Angel MartínezLF
0000000.279.776
Rhys HoskinsDH
2100110.204.706
Daniel Schneemann2B
3110020.314.901
Bo NaylorC
3111011.156.468
Brayan RocchioSS
3113001.222.735
Összesen27434282
BATTING
HR: Rocchio (3, 5th inning off Kremer, 2 on, 2 out); Naylor, B (1, 8th inning off Suárez, A, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Naylor, B 4; Rocchio 4; Schneemann.
RBI: Naylor, B (3); Rocchio 3 (11).
2-out RBI: Rocchio 3.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Manzardo.
Team RISP: 1-for-3.
Team LOB: 1.
BASERUNNING
SB: Ramírez, Jo (10, 2nd base off Kremer/Basallo).
FIELDING
E: Ramírez, Jo (1, throw).

Baltimore Orioles — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Dean Kremer(L, 0-1)
6.023327195-584.09
Albert Suárez
2.011101133-195.00

Cleveland Guardians — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Gavin Williams(W, 3-1)
7.03111111100-732.12
Hunter Gaddis(H, 1)
1.011102124-166.00
Cade Smith(S, 5)
1.000003015-114.09

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: Mark Wegner; First Base: Bruce Dreckman; Second Base: Carlos Torres; Third Base: Nate Tomlinson
Helyszín: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Időjárás: 53°F, Overcast
Szél: 15 mph, L To R

Baltimore Orioles — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Orioles
STAT
Guardians
38-43 Merleg 41-39
46.9% Win % 51.3%
.469 PCT .513
376 Szerzett pontok 316
400 Kapott pontok 325
81 Lejatszott merkoczesek 80
L1 Sorozat L3
4-6 Utolsó 10 4-6
22-19 Hazai merleg 19-17
16-24 Idegenbeli merleg 22-22

Egymas elleni merkoczesek

1
Utolso 3 talalkozas
2
Ápr 19
Orioles 4 - 8 Guardians
Ápr 17
Orioles 6 - 4 Guardians
Ápr 16
Orioles 2 - 4 Guardians

Orioles Legutobbi

Jún 24 @ Angels 6-7 L
Jún 23 @ Angels 1-5 L
Jún 22 @ Angels 6-1 W
Jún 21 @ Dodgers 12-1 W
Jún 20 @ Dodgers 3-2 W

Guardians Legutobbi

Jún 24 @ White Sox 4-3 W
Jún 23 @ White Sox 1-2 L
Jún 22 @ White Sox 5-6 L
Jún 21 @ Astros 1-2 L
Jún 20 @ Astros 8-1 W

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