Vissza a merkoczesekhez Kedd, Ápr 28, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians — Ápr 28, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

Progressive Field, Cleveland
61°F, Partly Cloudy
8 mph, L To R
W Nick Martinez L Tanner Bibee SV Cole Sulser

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Rays 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 0
Guardians 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Rays 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Guardians 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 4
Confidence: 68% Rays favored
This matchup features a significant disparity in current form and pitching performance. Tampa Bay enters riding a five-game winning streak behind Nick Martinez's exceptional 2.10 ERA, while Cleveland struggles through a three-game skid with Tanner Bibee's concerning 0-3 record and 4.45 ERA. Martinez has been masterful with his sinker-changeup combination, posting a 1.10 WHIP and demonstrating excellent command with his recent velocity consistency around 88 MPH. His pitch mix, led by a 31% sinker rate, should play well against Cleveland's contact-oriented lineup. The Guardians face multiple challenges beyond their starting pitcher's struggles. Their -9 run differential reflects deeper offensive issues, though Brayan Rocchio's .278 average and the recent promotion of Travis Bazzana provide some optimism. However, Bibee's 1.45 WHIP and diminished velocity (down to 86.7 MPH in his last start) suggest continued troubles against a Tampa Bay offense led by Yandy Diaz's scorching .337 average and Junior Caminero's power surge (8 HR in 28 games). The Rays' recent offensive explosion, averaging 5.4 runs during their winning streak, positions them well against Cleveland's struggling rotation. Progressive Field's cool evening conditions (60°F) and moderate wind should favor pitching, but Martinez's superior form gives Tampa Bay the edge. The Rays' injury-depleted bullpen remains a concern, but their recent victories suggest they're managing these limitations effectively. Cleveland's home record (8-6) provides some hope, but their current momentum deficit and pitching matchup disadvantage make them underdogs. The key will be whether Bibee can limit early damage against Diaz and Caminero, as the Rays have scored first in four of their last five victories.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Martinez allows early run, Bibee struggles in 4th
Middle (4-6) 3R Both pitchers settle before late-inning bullpen usage
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen and pinch-hitting determine outcome

Matchup Analysis

Guardians

Progressive Field home advantage
Brayan Rocchio hot streak (.278 avg)
Recent promotion of Travis Bazzana adds depth
Three-game losing streak
Tanner Bibee's struggles (4.45 ERA, 0-3)
Negative run differential (-9)

Rays

Five-game winning streak
Nick Martinez excellent form (2.10 ERA)
Yandy Diaz leading offense (.337 avg, 4 HR)
Depleted pitching staff with multiple IL injuries
Road record slightly below .500 (9-7)
Bullpen depth concerns

Risk Factors

Cleveland's desperation with losing streak
Tampa Bay's injury-depleted pitching depth

Key Matchups

Yandy Diaz vs Tanner Bibee batter Diaz hitting .337 vs struggling Bibee (4.45 ERA)
Junior Caminero vs Tanner Bibee batter Power hitter (8 HR) vs pitcher allowing hard contact
Steven Kwan vs Nick Martinez pitcher Martinez's command and changeup should neutralize contact hitter

Statistical Edges

First to Score Rays 65%
Strikeouts 14 12-16
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

Nick Martinez takes the mound for Tampa Bay with confidence, having dominated opposing lineups with his sinker-changeup repertoire. The veteran right-hander gets ahead early, but Steven Kwan works a leadoff walk in the first before Martinez induces a double play from Jose Ramirez. In the top of the second, Yandy Diaz continues his torrid pace with a line drive single, and Junior Caminero follows with a booming home run to left field, giving the Rays an early 2-0 lead. Tanner Bibee struggles with command from the outset, walking two batters in the first inning before escaping damage. The Guardians respond in the third when Brayan Rocchio doubles and scores on David Fry's sacrifice fly. However, Bibee's troubles continue in the fourth inning when Nick Fortes leads off with a double, and Taylor Walls drives him home with a clutch two-out single. The Rays add another run later in the frame on a wild pitch, extending their lead to 4-1. Cleveland mounts a late rally in the seventh inning when Travis Bazzana, making his Progressive Field debut, delivers a pinch-hit double that sparks a two-run frame. The Guardians pull within one run, but Tampa Bay's Pete Fairbanks closes out the ninth inning with authority, preserving a 5-4 victory that extends the Rays' winning streak to six games while dropping Cleveland to four straight losses.
The 68% confidence stems from Tampa Bay's superior pitching matchup with Martinez significantly outperforming Bibee, plus the Rays' current hot streak versus Cleveland's losing skid. However, home field advantage and the unpredictable nature of baseball prevent higher confidence.
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Tampa Bay Rays — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Chandler Simpson
LF .30706.344.351
Ben Williamson
2B .250010.318.338
Jonathan Aranda
1B .229725.344.467
Yandy Díaz
DH .324420.419.477
Jake Fraley
RF .25024.333.464
Cedric Mullins
CF .13228.192.242
Nick Fortes
C .27618.321.382
Richie Palacios
3B .23315.382.326
Taylor Walls
SS .19604.308.232

Cleveland Guardians — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Steven Kwan
LF .22018.306.284
Chase DeLauter
DH .245516.330.480
José Ramírez
3B .221612.343.434
Kyle Manzardo
1B .19316.280.253
Daniel Schneemann
CF .311414.386.568
Angel Martínez
RF .278515.316.511
Travis Bazzana
2B .00000.500.000
George Valera
PH .21606.237.297
Brayan Rocchio
SS .263317.346.389

Pontszerző akciók

5
Jonathan Aranda singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Angel Martínez. Taylor Walls scores. Ben Williamson to 2nd.
1-0

Tampa Bay Rays — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Chandler SimpsonLF
4010100.307.695
Ben Williamson2B
3010000.250.656
Jonathan Aranda1B
4011010.229.811
Yandy DíazDH
4010010.324.896
Jake FraleyRF
3010110.250.797
Cedric MullinsCF
4000020.132.434
Nick FortesC
4000000.276.703
Richie Palacios3B
4000020.233.708
Taylor WallsSS
1100300.196.540
Összesen32151570
BATTING
2B: Simpson (1, Bibee); Fraley (6, Brogdon).
TB: Aranda; Díaz, Y; Fraley 2; Simpson 2; Williamson.
RBI: Aranda (25).
2-out RBI: Aranda.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Díaz, Y; Simpson; Fortes; Williamson; Mullins.
Team RISP: 1-for-9.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
SB: Simpson (10, 2nd base off Bibee/Naylor, B); Walls (4, 2nd base off Pallette/Hedges).

Cleveland Guardians — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Steven KwanLF
3010100.220.590
Chase DeLauterDH
4010010.245.810
José Ramírez3B
4000000.221.777
Kyle Manzardo1B
4000010.193.533
Daniel SchneemannCF
4010010.311.954
Angel MartínezRF
3010010.278.827
Travis Bazzana2B
2000210.000.500
George ValeraPH
1000010.216.534
Brayan RocchioSS
2000000.263.735
Összesen29040470
BATTING
2B: Kwan (4, Martinez, N); Martínez, A (6, Sulser).
TB: DeLauter; Kwan 2; Martínez, A 2; Schneemann.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Naylor, B; Valera; Ramírez, Jo 3.
SAC: Martínez, A; Rocchio.
Team RISP: 0-for-7.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
E: Hedges (1, throw).
a-Walked for Naylor, B in the 8th.
b-Struck out for Hedges in the 9th.

Tampa Bay Rays — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Nick Martinez(W, 2-1)
7.030014078-541.70
Ian Seymour(H, 6)
0.200021010-56.75
Kevin Kelly(H, 4)
0.10000002-14.26
Cole Sulser(S, 1)
1.010012016-103.24

Cleveland Guardians — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Tanner Bibee(L, 0-4)
5.041136093-594.08
Tim Herrin
1.200010022-110.00
Connor Brogdon
1.110000019-125.25
Peyton Pallette
1.000011017-103.55

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: Tom Hanahan; First Base: Scott Barry; Second Base: Manny Gonzalez; Third Base: Jacob Metz
Helyszín: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Időjárás: 61°F, Partly Cloudy
Szél: 8 mph, L To R

Tampa Bay Rays — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Rays
STAT
Guardians
42-31 Merleg 41-36
57.5% Win % 53.2%
.575 PCT .532
323 Szerzett pontok 309
316 Kapott pontok 315
73 Lejatszott merkoczesek 77
L1 Sorozat W1
4-6 Utolsó 10 4-6
25-10 Hazai merleg 19-17
17-21 Idegenbeli merleg 22-19

Egymas elleni merkoczesek

1
Utolso 2 talalkozas
1
Ápr 29
Rays 1 - 3 Guardians
Ápr 27
Rays 3 - 2 Guardians

Rays Legutobbi

Jún 21 vs Nationals 3-4 W
Jún 20 vs Nationals 4-3 L
Jún 19 vs Nationals 2-5 W
Jún 17 @ Dodgers 4-5 L
Jún 16 @ Dodgers 0-1 L

Guardians Legutobbi

Jún 21 @ Astros 1-2 L
Jún 20 @ Astros 8-1 W
Jún 19 @ Astros 3-9 L
Jún 18 @ Brewers 4-2 W
Jún 17 @ Brewers 4-9 L

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