Vissza a merkoczesekhez Vasarnap, Máj 17, 2026

Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians — Máj 17, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

Progressive Field, Cleveland
79°F, Partly Cloudy
7 mph, Out To RF
W Gavin Williams L Brady Singer

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 3 11 0
Guardians 2 0 2 1 1 0 2 2 - 10 12 0

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Reds 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 3
Guardians 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 72% Guardians favored
This afternoon matchup at Progressive Field heavily favors Cleveland based on the starting pitching disparity. Gavin Williams has been excellent for the Guardians with a 3.74 ERA and impressive 10.73 K/9 rate, showing elite stuff with his four-seam fastball averaging 96.4 mph and devastating curveball. His recent velocity readings (90+ mph average) indicate he's healthy and throwing with conviction. Meanwhile, Brady Singer has been Cincinnati's biggest rotation liability with a ghastly 5.79 ERA and 1.67 WHIP that screams regression candidate. His sinker-heavy approach (47.9% usage) hasn't generated the ground balls needed, and his recent starts show concerning velocity drops. The Reds are essentially punting this game by starting Singer in a crucial divisional series finale. Cleveland's bullpen situation looks more stable despite some IL issues, while Cincinnati has lost key relievers Caleb Ferguson and Emilio Pagán to injury, forcing manager David Bell into difficult late-inning decisions. The Guardians are riding momentum from yesterday's 7-4 victory and sit comfortably above .500 at home (14-10). Cincinnati's offense does present some intrigue with Elly De La Cruz's breakout season (.298 average, 10 home runs) and JJ Bleday's scorching .345 start, but their -28 run differential tells the real story of a team that can't pitch consistently. The weather conditions are ideal for offense with 79-degree temperatures and minimal wind, which could help both sides but particularly benefits Cleveland's power potential against Singer's elevated offerings.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Both starters allow early runs as they settle in
Middle (4-6) 4R Williams finds groove while Singer continues to struggle
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpens mostly hold, Cleveland adds insurance

Matchup Analysis

Guardians

Superior pitching with Williams vs Singer matchup
Strong home record (14-10)
Hot recent form (7-3 in last 10)
Key IL players including SS Gabriel Arias
Struggling offense from top prospects like Bazzana

Reds

Elly De La Cruz emerging as superstar (.298, 10 HR)
JJ Bleday's hot bat (.345 average)
Experience in hostile road environments
Brady Singer's poor form (5.79 ERA, 1.67 WHIP)
Bullpen depleted with multiple injured relievers
Poor run differential (-28)

Risk Factors

Singer's inconsistency could lead to blowout
Cleveland's offensive struggles against quality pitching

Key Matchups

Elly De La Cruz vs Gavin Williams batter Speed vs power stuff favors elite young hitter
Brayan Rocchio vs Brady Singer batter Rocchio's .269 average should exploit Singer's struggles
JJ Bleday vs Gavin Williams pitcher Williams' high spin rate should challenge hot hitter

Statistical Edges

First to Score Reds 65%
Strikeouts 12 10-15
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Brady Singer takes the mound for Cincinnati knowing he needs to reverse his troubling early-season form, but the Guardians jump on him immediately. Elly De La Cruz leads off the game with a sharp single, then steals second base with his blazing speed before scoring on a Matt McLain RBI single, giving the Reds an early 1-0 advantage. Cleveland answers right back in the second inning when Brayan Rocchio doubles off Singer's hanging slider, then scores on Austin Hedges' sacrifice fly to tie it 1-1. The key sequence comes in the fourth inning when Singer loses his command completely, walking Steven Kwan and David Fry to start the inning. Rocchio then rips a two-run double into the gap, and Cleveland takes a 3-1 lead that feels insurmountable given Williams' dominance. The young right-hander settles into a rhythm after the early Cincinnati run, using his four-seam fastball and devastating curveball to retire 12 of the next 15 batters he faces. De La Cruz manages another hit against Williams in the fifth and eventually scores on a wild pitch to cut the deficit to 3-2, but that's as close as the Reds get. Cleveland adds insurance runs in the sixth on a Hedges solo homer and in the eighth when pinch-hitter Josh Naylor drives in Kwan with a clutch two-out single. Singer's afternoon ends after 4.2 innings with five earned runs allowed, continuing his concerning pattern of early exits. Cincinnati's depleted bullpen can't mount a late rally as Tejay Antone and the Cleveland relievers close out a workmanlike 5-3 victory, giving the Guardians the series win at Progressive Field.
The 72% confidence stems from the significant pitching advantage Cleveland holds with Williams vs Singer, Cleveland's strong home record, and Cincinnati's bullpen depletion due to injuries. However, the Reds' offensive talent with De La Cruz and Bleday prevents this from being a slam-dunk prediction.
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Cincinnati Reds — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Dane Myers
CF .24639.364.400
Elly De La Cruz
SS .3021131.364.540
JJ Bleday
LF .303619.418.682
Spencer Steer
1B .269717.337.450
Sal Stewart
3B .2431031.337.458
Nathaniel Lowe
DH .253617.330.505
Tyler Stephenson
C .174312.271.287
Blake Dunn
RF .31611.409.526
Matt McLain
2B .220519.326.366

Cleveland Guardians — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Daniel Schneemann
3B .254418.336.418
José Ramírez
DH .229719.358.400
Petey Halpin
CF .10001.143.100
Kyle Manzardo
1B .223416.301.362
Travis Bazzana
2B .27117.411.339
Steven Kwan
LF .201110.320.256
Angel Martínez
RF .266924.312.510
Patrick Bailey
C .14016.208.183
Brayan Rocchio
SS .285426.366.397

Pontszerző akciók

1
Chase DeLauter homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. José Ramírez scores.
0-2
3
Elly De La Cruz homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.
1-2
3
Kyle Manzardo homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Chase DeLauter scores.
1-4
4
Nathaniel Lowe singles on a line drive to left fielder Angel Martínez. Spencer Steer scores. Sal Stewart to 2nd.
2-4
4
Brayan Rocchio homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.
2-5
5
Kyle Manzardo homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.
2-6
7
Angel Martínez homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Steven Kwan scores.
2-8
8
José Ramírez homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. Brayan Rocchio scores.
2-10
9
Dane Myers singles on a ground ball to third baseman Daniel Schneemann. Blake Dunn scores.
3-10

Cincinnati Reds — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Dane MyersCF
2011010.246.764
Elly De La CruzSS
5121021.302.904
JJ BledayLF
4000010.3031.100
Spencer Steer1B
4120010.269.787
Sal Stewart3B
3020100.243.795
Nathaniel LoweDH
4021000.253.835
Tyler StephensonC
4000020.174.558
Blake DunnRF
2110010.316.935
Matt McLain2B
3010100.220.692
Összesen3631132121
BATTING
2B: De La Cruz, E (12, Williams, G); Lowe, N (6, Williams, G); McLain, M (9, Heuer).
HR: De La Cruz, E (11, 3rd inning off Williams, G, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: De La Cruz, E 6; Dunn; Lowe, N 3; McLain, M 2; Myers; Steer 2; Stewart, S 2.
RBI: De La Cruz, E (31); Lowe, N (17); Myers (9).
2-out RBI: De La Cruz, E; Myers.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Stephenson, T; Friedl; Bleday.
Team RISP: 2-for-8.
Team LOB: 8.
BASERUNNING
CS: Stewart, S (1, 3rd base by Williams, G/Bailey).
PO: Stewart, S (2nd base by Williams, G).
a-Struck out for Friedl in the 7th.
b-Struck out for Benson in the 7th.

Cleveland Guardians — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Daniel Schneemann3B
5000030.254.754
José RamírezDH
3212211.229.758
Petey HalpinCF
0000000.100.243
Kyle Manzardo1B
5223022.223.663
Travis Bazzana2B
4030000.271.750
Steven KwanLF
2100210.201.576
Angel MartínezRF
4112011.266.822
Patrick BaileyC
4010000.140.391
Brayan RocchioSS
3221001.285.763
Összesen35101210496
BATTING
2B: Bailey (1, Phillips).
HR: DeLauter (7, 1st inning off Singer, 1 on, 1 out); Manzardo 2 (4, 3rd inning off Singer, 1 on, 1 out, 5th inning off Burke, B, 0 on, 1 out); Rocchio (4, 4th inning off Singer, 0 on, 1 out); Martínez, A (9, 7th inning off Phillips, 1 on, 2 out); Ramírez, Jo (7, 8th inning off Antone, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Bailey 2; Bazzana 3; DeLauter 5; Manzardo 8; Martínez, A 4; Ramírez, Jo 4; Rocchio 5.
RBI: DeLauter 2 (28); Manzardo 3 (16); Martínez, A 2 (24); Ramírez, Jo 2 (19); Rocchio (26).
2-out RBI: Martínez, A 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: DeLauter.
Team RISP: 0-for-3.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
CS: Bazzana (1, 2nd base by Phillips/Stephenson, T).
FIELDING
Outfield assists: Martínez, A (McLain, M at 2nd base).
Pickoffs: Williams, G (Stewart, S at 2nd base).

Cincinnati Reds — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Brady Singer(L, 2-4)
4.075516386-546.26
Brock Burke
1.011111117-82.91
Connor Phillips
2.032221133-185.26
Tejay Antone
1.012201113-86.43

Cleveland Guardians — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Gavin Williams(W, 6-3)
6.082207193-683.67
Tim Herrin
1.000013019-101.17
Codi Heuer
2.031112027-184.50

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: David Rackley; First Base: John Libka; Second Base: James Hoye; Third Base: Tyler Jones
Helyszín: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Időjárás: 79°F, Partly Cloudy
Szél: 7 mph, Out To RF

Cincinnati Reds — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Reds
STAT
Guardians
31-30 Merleg 36-27
50.8% Win % 57.1%
.508 PCT .571
264 Szerzett pontok 263
305 Kapott pontok 256
61 Lejatszott merkoczesek 63
L1 Sorozat W2
5-5 Utolsó 10 5-5
16-16 Hazai merleg 17-14
15-14 Idegenbeli merleg 19-13

Egymas elleni merkoczesek

1
Utolso 3 talalkozas
2
Máj 16
Reds 4 - 7 Guardians
Máj 15
Reds 7 - 6 Guardians
Már 22
Reds 2 - 8 Guardians

Reds Legutobbi

Jún 3 vs Royals 5-2 L
Jún 2 vs Royals 3-4 W
Jún 1 vs Royals 9-2 L
Máj 31 vs Braves 4-6 W
Máj 30 vs Braves 5-2 L

Guardians Legutobbi

Jún 3 @ Yankees 5-4 W
Jún 2 @ Yankees 9-4 W
Máj 31 vs Red Sox 9-4 L
Máj 30 vs Red Sox 9-1 L
Máj 29 vs Red Sox 3-4 W

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