Vissza a merkoczesekhez Szombat, Máj 16, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies — Máj 16, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

Coors Field, Denver
76°F, Cloudy
9 mph, In From LF
W Tomoyuki Sugano L Eduardo Rodriguez SV Antonio Senzatela

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Diamondbacks 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 9 0
Rockies 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 - 4 12 0

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Diamondbacks 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 6
Rockies 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 72% Diamondbacks favored
The Diamondbacks enter this Coors Field matinee with significant momentum after dismantling Colorado 9-1 yesterday, while the Rockies continue their season-long struggles at 17-28. Eduardo Rodriguez has been Arizona's most reliable starter, posting a pristine 2.25 ERA and perfect 4-0 record through his first eight starts. His four-pitch mix led by a 91.8 mph fastball and devastating changeup has been particularly effective, though his recent velocity dip to 88.1 mph average in his last start bears watching. Rodriguez faces a Colorado offense that's managed just 189 runs in 45 games, though the Coors Field environment can quickly change offensive dynamics. Tomoyuki Sugano takes the mound for Colorado in what appears to be a challenging assignment. The veteran right-hander has shown concerning velocity decline, averaging just 87.7 mph on his fastball in recent starts with a max velocity touching only 93.8 mph. His splitter-heavy approach (21.5% usage) could play well in Denver's thin air, but Arizona's lineup, led by red-hot Ildemaro Vargas (.331 AVG, 7 HR, 28 RBI), presents multiple threats. The Diamondbacks' offensive catalyst Corbin Carroll (.266 AVG, 5 HR) provides speed and power combination that could exploit Sugano's reduced stuff. Colorado's best hope lies with Hunter Goodman, whose 10 home runs lead the team and play particularly well in Coors Field's favorable hitting environment. The Rockies desperately need offensive contributions from Ezequiel Tovar and TJ Rumfield, both of whom have struggled with sub-.260 averages. Arizona's bullpen depth concerns due to multiple injured arms (A.J. Puk, Justin Martinez, Andrew Saalfrank all on 60-day IL) could create late-game vulnerabilities, but Rodriguez's typical efficiency should limit their exposure.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Both offenses should capitalize early at Coors with tired pitching staffs
Middle (4-6) 4R Continued offensive pressure as starters fade and bullpens enter
Late (7-9) 3R Late rallies typical in Colorado's thin air environment

Matchup Analysis

Rockies

Coors Field altitude advantage
Hunter Goodman power threat
Desperate for momentum after 9-1 loss
Struggling rotation without key arms
Poor recent form (3-7 L10)
Worst record in division

Diamondbacks

Eduardo Rodriguez excellence (2.25 ERA, 4-0)
Ildemaro Vargas hot streak (.331 AVG)
Fresh off dominant 9-1 victory
Road struggles (9-13 away)
Missing key offensive pieces (Santana, Lawlar)
Bullpen depth concerns with multiple IL pitchers

Risk Factors

Coors Field unpredictability
Both teams dealing with rotation injuries

Key Matchups

Ildemaro Vargas vs Tomoyuki Sugano batter Vargas hitting .331 vs Sugano's reduced velocity
Hunter Goodman vs Eduardo Rodriguez batter Goodman's 10 HRs in Coors Field altitude
Corbin Carroll vs Tomoyuki Sugano batter Carroll's speed vs Sugano's splitter-heavy approach

Statistical Edges

First to Score Diamondbacks 65%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

Eduardo Rodriguez establishes early command against a pressing Rockies lineup, but Corbin Carroll opens the scoring with a leadoff double in the first inning, eventually crossing on Gabriel Moreno's sacrifice fly. Colorado responds immediately in the second when Hunter Goodman launches Tomoyuki Sugano's splitter into the Colorado Rockies' bullpen for his 11th home run, tying the game at 1-1. The middle innings become a pitcher's duel until the fourth, when Arizona breaks through with a two-run rally sparked by Ildemaro Vargas's RBI double and James McCann's clutch two-out single. Colorado fights back in their half of the fourth as TJ Rumfield doubles and scores on Ezequiel Tovar's first hit of the series, making it 3-2 Arizona. Rodriguez begins to labor in the fifth inning, walking two batters before Vargas delivers another key RBI single to extend the lead to 4-2. The Rockies answer in the sixth when Brett Sullivan reaches base and scores on a Tyler Freeman sacrifice fly, but Arizona's seventh inning proves decisive. Carroll draws a leadoff walk against Colorado's struggling bullpen, steals second, and scores on consecutive singles by Vargas and Moreno, pushing the lead to 6-3. Colorado makes one final push in the ninth, scoring twice on a Goodman RBI single and wild pitch, but Arizona closes out the 6-5 victory to take two of three in the series.
The 72% confidence reflects Eduardo Rodriguez's stellar early-season performance against a struggling Colorado offense, but acknowledges the unpredictable nature of Coors Field where offensive explosions can happen quickly. Arizona's recent momentum and superior pitching give them the edge despite road struggles.
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Arizona Diamondbacks — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Ketel Marte
DH .216515.272.365
Corbin Carroll
RF .272521.384.503
Geraldo Perdomo
SS .218212.335.345
Nolan Arenado
3B .273620.348.453
Ildemaro Vargas
2B .338730.359.561
Jorge Barrosa
CF .19217.267.372
Jose Fernandez
1B .274313.309.385
Adrian Del Castillo
PH .195316.245.345
Ryan Waldschmidt
LF .28005.333.360

Colorado Rockies — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Willi Castro
2B .234213.296.323
Brenton Doyle
CF .20413.271.269
TJ Rumfield
1B .274623.344.439
Hunter Goodman
C .2531119.314.513
Mickey Moniak
DH .3071228.356.664
Ezequiel Tovar
SS .204111.252.283
Troy Johnston
RF .316220.377.451
Kyle Karros
3B .222110.333.302
Jake McCarthy
LF .291217.354.488

Pontszerző akciók

1
TJ Rumfield singles on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Willi Castro scores. Brenton Doyle to 3rd.
0-1
1
Mickey Moniak singles on a fly ball to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt, deflected by left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Brenton Doyle scores. TJ Rumfield to 2nd.
0-2
2
James McCann lines out sharply to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Jose Fernandez to 3rd.
1-2
2
Jake McCarthy singles on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Kyle Karros scores. Jake McCarthy out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to second baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
1-3
5
Corbin Carroll doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Sterlin Thompson. Ketel Marte scores.
2-3
8
Mickey Moniak hit by pitch. Brenton Doyle scores. TJ Rumfield to 3rd. Hunter Goodman to 2nd.
2-4

Arizona Diamondbacks — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Ketel MarteDH
4120100.216.637
Corbin CarrollRF
3011210.272.887
Geraldo PerdomoSS
4010100.218.680
Nolan Arenado3B
3000010.273.801
Ildemaro Vargas2B
4000000.338.920
Jorge BarrosaCF
0000000.192.639
Jose Fernandez1B
4020010.274.694
Adrian Del CastilloPH
1000000.195.590
Ryan WaldschmidtLF
3010110.280.693
Összesen33291540
BATTING
2B: Gurriel Jr. (4, Sugano); Marte, K (6, Sugano); Carroll (11, Sugano).
TB: Carroll 2; Fernandez, Jo 2; Gurriel Jr. 3; Marte, K 3; Perdomo; Waldschmidt.
RBI: Carroll (21).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Arenado 2; Vargas, I; Waldschmidt; Perdomo 3.
GIDP: McCann.
Team RISP: 2-for-11.
Team LOB: 10.
BASERUNNING
SB: Perdomo (7, 2nd base off Sugano/Goodman); Fernandez, Jo (4, 2nd base off Sugano/Goodman); Gurriel Jr. (1, home off Sugano/Goodman).
CS: Carroll (1, 2nd base by Sugano/Goodman).
FIELDING
Outfield assists: Gurriel Jr. (McCarthy at 2nd base); Carroll (McCarthy at 2nd base).
DP: 2 (Vargas, I-Perdomo-Fernandez, Jo; Carroll-Perdomo).
a-Flied out for McCann in the 9th.
1-Ran for Gurriel Jr. in the 8th.

Colorado Rockies — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Willi Castro2B
4120010.234.619
Brenton DoyleCF
4220010.204.540
TJ Rumfield1B
3011100.274.783
Hunter GoodmanC
4020010.253.827
Mickey MoniakDH
3012010.3071.020
Ezequiel TovarSS
4010010.204.535
Troy JohnstonRF
1000010.316.828
Kyle Karros3B
4110000.222.635
Jake McCarthyLF
3021000.291.842
Összesen334124170
BATTING
2B: Doyle, B (4, Rodriguez, Ed); Karros, K (7, Rodriguez, Ed).
TB: Castro, W 2; Doyle, B 3; Goodman 2; Karros, K 2; McCarthy 2; Moniak; Rumfield; Tovar.
RBI: McCarthy (17); Moniak 2 (28); Rumfield (23).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Karros, K 2; Rumfield; Thompson, S.
GIDP: Thompson, S.
Team RISP: 4-for-13.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: McCarthy (8, 2nd base off Loáisiga/McCann).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Castro, W-Rumfield; Castro, W-Tovar-Rumfield).
a-Struck out for Thompson, S in the 8th.

Arizona Diamondbacks — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Eduardo Rodriguez(L, 4-1)
5.193306091-682.53
Taylor Clarke
0.20000008-62.25
Jonathan Loáisiga
1.010000013-93.12
Brandyn Garcia
0.021110016-61.59
Kevin Ginkel
1.000001014-93.50

Colorado Rockies — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Tomoyuki Sugano(W, 4-3)
5.072221088-544.02
Juan Mejia(H, 3)
1.200020035-214.09
Jaden Hill(H, 8)
1.110002026-183.31
Antonio Senzatela(S, 3)
1.010011027-151.27

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: James Jean; First Base: Nick Mahrley; Second Base: Marvin Hudson; Third Base: Ryan Blakney
Helyszín: Coors Field, Denver
Időjárás: 76°F, Cloudy
Szél: 9 mph, In From LF

Colorado Rockies — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Diamondbacks
STAT
Rockies
32-29 Merleg 24-39
52.5% Win % 38.1%
.525 PCT .381
273 Szerzett pontok 272
270 Kapott pontok 355
61 Lejatszott merkoczesek 63
L2 Sorozat L1
5-5 Utolsó 10 4-6
19-12 Hazai merleg 12-16
13-17 Idegenbeli merleg 12-23

Egymas elleni merkoczesek

4
Utolso 5 talalkozas
1
Máj 24
Rockies 1 - 9 Diamondbacks
Máj 23
Rockies 4 - 5 Diamondbacks
Máj 22
Rockies 3 - 2 Diamondbacks
Máj 21
Rockies 1 - 2 Diamondbacks
Máj 17
Diamondbacks 8 - 6 Rockies

Diamondbacks Legutobbi

Jún 3 vs Dodgers 7-0 L
Jún 2 vs Dodgers 6-5 L
Jún 1 vs Dodgers 1-4 W
Máj 31 @ Mariners 2-3 L
Máj 30 @ Mariners 1-5 L

Rockies Legutobbi

Jún 3 @ Angels 4-11 L
Jún 2 @ Angels 8-2 W
Jún 1 @ Angels 9-8 W
Máj 31 vs Giants 19-6 L
Máj 30 vs Giants 3-8 W

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