Vissza a merkoczesekhez Vasarnap, Ápr 26, 2026

New York Yankees vs Houston Astros — Ápr 26, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

Daikin Park, Houston
73°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Spencer Arrighetti L Luis Gil

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Yankees 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 4 7 1
Astros 2 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 - 7 7 0

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Yankees 2 0 1 0 3 0 1 0 0 7
Astros 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 4
Confidence: 78% Yankees favored
This matchup presents a stark contrast between two teams heading in opposite directions. The Yankees arrive in Houston riding an eight-game winning streak and sporting a dominant +50 run differential, while the Astros limp into this game having lost seven of their last ten and sitting at a disappointing 10-18 record. Luis Gil has been absolutely dominant for New York with a microscopic 0.20 ERA, featuring a devastating fastball-changeup combination that has been unhittable through his first month. His 95.4 mph average fastball paired with an effective 90.7 mph changeup creates the kind of velocity differential that has consistently fooled hitters. Spencer Arrighetti counters for Houston with a curveball-heavy approach (31.6% usage), but his recent velocity readings show concerning inconsistency, ranging from 82.6 to 84.4 mph in his last two starts. The Astros' injury situation is absolutely catastrophic, with key rotation pieces like Cristian Javier, Hunter Brown, and Ronel Blanco all sidelined, forcing them to rely heavily on depth starters like Arrighetti. Offensively, Yordan Alvarez continues to rake at a .357 clip with 11 home runs, providing Houston's only consistent threat. However, the supporting cast has struggled mightily, with the team averaging just 5.14 runs per game. The Yankees counter with a more balanced attack led by Giancarlo Stanton, though his potential absence due to calf tightness could impact their offensive flow. The weather conditions at Daikin Park present an additional wildcard, with thunderstorms forecast that could create challenging playing conditions and potentially favor the more patient Yankees approach at the plate.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Yankees aggressive early against Arrighetti's curveball-heavy approach
Middle (4-6) 6R Both teams break through in mid-innings with RISP situations
Late (7-9) 2R Yankees bullpen maintains lead as Astros struggle to mount comeback

Matchup Analysis

Astros

Yordan Alvarez hot hitting (.357, 11 HR)
Daikin Park home field advantage
Arrighetti's curveball effectiveness (31.6% usage)
Massive injury list depletes rotation depth
Poor recent form (3-7 last 10 games)
Struggling offense beyond Alvarez

Yankees

Luis Gil dominant (0.20 ERA)
Eight-game win streak momentum
Superior run differential (+50 vs -26)
Potential Stanton absence with calf tightness
Road performance slightly weaker than home
Gil's low pitch counts may limit innings

Risk Factors

Thunderstorm conditions could affect play
Arrighetti's inconsistent velocity readings suggest possible fatigue

Key Matchups

Yordan Alvarez vs Luis Gil batter Alvarez's power vs Gil's changeup could determine game flow
Giancarlo Stanton vs Spencer Arrighetti batter If healthy, Stanton should feast on Arrighetti's fastball command issues
Jose Altuve vs Luis Gil pitcher Gil's slider has been devastating against contact hitters

Statistical Edges

First to Score Yankees 72%
Strikeouts 16 14-19
Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

The game begins ominously for Houston as Luis Gil's fastball immediately overwhelms Jose Altuve, setting the tone for what promises to be a long afternoon. The Yankees strike early in the first inning when Cody Bellinger works a leadoff walk and Giancarlo Stanton, cleared to play despite calf concerns, drives a hanging curveball from Spencer Arrighetti into the gap for an RBI double. Paul Goldschmidt follows with a sacrifice fly, giving New York a quick 2-0 lead before the home crowd can settle in. The Astros respond immediately in the second when Yordan Alvarez crushes Gil's first mistake pitch - a hanging changeup - over the Crawford Boxes for his 12th home run of the season, cutting the deficit to 2-1. However, Gil quickly regroups, using his devastating slider to retire the next six Houston hitters in order. The middle innings become a chess match between the starters, with Gil effectively mixing his four-pitch repertoire while Arrighetti leans heavily on his curveball to keep Yankees hitters off balance. The game breaks open in the fifth inning when the Yankees load the bases against Arrighetti on consecutive singles and a walk. Amed Rosario delivers the knockout blow with a bases-clearing double that ricochets off the wall in left-center, extending the lead to 6-1. Houston makes one final push in the sixth when Christian Walker doubles and scores on a Carlos Correa single, but the Yankees bullpen, anchored by their revamped late-innings group, slams the door shut. The final frame sees New York tack on an insurance run against Houston's depleted bullpen, as the Astros' injury-ravaged roster simply cannot match the depth and quality of their American League East rivals.
The confidence level of 78% reflects the significant disparity between these teams' current form and roster construction. Luis Gil's dominant early-season performance against Houston's injury-depleted rotation creates a clear pitching advantage, while the Yankees' eight-game winning streak demonstrates superior team chemistry and execution compared to the Astros' recent struggles.
Baseball Predict App
BaseballPredicts: Elorejelzesek es statisztikak AI-alapú MLB előrejelzések

Elorejelzesek, statisztikak es tobb az alkalmazasban

AI elorejelzesek a kovetkezo merkoczesekhez, inningenkenti prognoezisok, szakertoi kommentarok, reszletes statisztikak es valos ideju frissitesek.

New York Yankees — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Trent Grisham
CF .160416.317.346
Ben Rice
DH .326921.450.733
Aaron Judge
RF .2301018.369.560
Cody Bellinger
LF .250314.362.396
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
2B .21629.303.330
Paul Goldschmidt
1B .17914.303.429
J.C. Escarra
C .21405.241.357
Ryan McMahon
3B .17727.292.274
José Caballero
SS .271311.314.417

Houston Astros — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Carlos Correa
SS .281214.375.417
Yordan Alvarez
DH .3581126.465.755
Isaac Paredes
3B .233314.327.384
Christian Walker
1B .291723.373.573
Cam Smith
RF .216312.316.361
Brice Matthews
CF .13615.224.273
Christian Vázquez
C .311210.380.533
Daniel Johnson
LF .12500.300.125
Braden Shewmake
2B .20011.200.800

Pontszerző akciók

1
Christian Walker homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. Isaac Paredes scores.
0-2
3
Isaac Paredes homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Yordan Alvarez scores.
0-4
5
Isaac Paredes singles on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Carlos Correa scores. Yordan Alvarez to 3rd.
0-5
5
Christian Walker doubles (8) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Yordan Alvarez scores. Isaac Paredes scores.
0-7
6
Aaron Judge homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.
1-7
9
Paul Goldschmidt doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brice Matthews. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.
2-7
9
J.C. Escarra doubles (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Paul Goldschmidt scores.
3-7
9
Ryan McMahon singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. J.C. Escarra scores.
4-7

New York Yankees — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Trent GrishamCF
4000020.160.663
Ben RiceDH
3000100.3261.183
Aaron JudgeRF
4111001.230.929
Cody BellingerLF
4000010.250.758
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
4120020.216.633
Paul Goldschmidt1B
4121000.179.732
J.C. EscarraC
4111020.214.598
Ryan McMahon3B
4011010.177.566
José CaballeroSS
3000010.271.731
Összesen34474191
BATTING
2B: Goldschmidt 2 (4, Arrighetti, De Los Santos, E); Escarra (2, De Los Santos, E).
HR: Judge (10, 6th inning off Arrighetti, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Chisholm Jr. 2; Escarra 2; Goldschmidt 4; Judge 4; McMahon.
RBI: Escarra (5); Goldschmidt (4); Judge (18); McMahon (7).
2-out RBI: Goldschmidt; McMahon; Escarra; Judge.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: McMahon; Escarra; Judge.
Team RISP: 3-for-7.
Team LOB: 5.
BASERUNNING
SB: Chisholm Jr. (9, 2nd base off Arrighetti/Vázquez, C); Caballero (11, 2nd base off Arrighetti/Vázquez, C).
FIELDING
E: McMahon (2, fielding).
Pickoffs: Gil (Smith at 1st base).
DP: (Chisholm Jr.-Caballero).

Houston Astros — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Carlos CorreaSS
2100200.281.792
Yordan AlvarezDH
4220000.3581.220
Isaac Paredes3B
4323001.233.711
Christian Walker1B
4134011.291.946
Cam SmithRF
2000110.216.677
Brice MatthewsCF
1000000.136.497
Christian VázquezC
4000000.311.913
Daniel JohnsonLF
3000010.125.425
Braden Shewmake2B
3000010.2001.000
Összesen30777342
BATTING
2B: Alvarez, Y (9, Gil); Walker, C (8, Blackburn, P).
HR: Walker, C (7, 1st inning off Gil, 1 on, 2 out); Paredes (3, 3rd inning off Gil, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: Alvarez, Y 3; Paredes 5; Walker, C 7.
RBI: Paredes 3 (14); Walker, C 4 (23).
2-out RBI: Walker, C 2; Paredes 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Harris, D.
Team RISP: 2-for-5.
Team LOB: 3.
BASERUNNING
PO: Smith (1st base by Gil).
a-Reached on error for Harris, D in the 8th.

New York Yankees — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Luis Gil(L, 1-2)
4.056630283-486.05
Paul Blackburn
3.021102043-284.09
Ryan Yarbrough
1.000002011-94.09

Houston Astros — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Spencer Arrighetti(W, 3-0)
7.031118196-642.00
Bryan King
1.000001011-73.86
Enyel De Los Santos
1.043300024-166.10

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: Jeremie Rehak; First Base: James Jean; Second Base: Adam Beck; Third Base: Dan Iassogna
Helyszín: Daikin Park, Houston
Időjárás: 73°F, Roof Closed
Szél: 0 mph, None

New York Yankees — Hirek

Houston Astros — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Yankees
STAT
Astros
40-26 Merleg 31-38
60.6% Win % 44.9%
.606 PCT .449
334 Szerzett pontok 313
235 Kapott pontok 350
66 Lejatszott merkoczesek 69
W3 Sorozat L1
6-4 Utolsó 10 5-5
19-12 Hazai merleg 16-19
21-14 Idegenbeli merleg 15-19

Egymas elleni merkoczesek

2
Utolso 2 talalkozas
0
Ápr 25
Yankees 8 - 3 Astros
Ápr 24
Yankees 12 - 4 Astros

Yankees Legutobbi

Jún 9 @ Guardians 3-2 W
Jún 8 @ Guardians 7-5 W
Jún 7 vs Red Sox 1-6 W
Jún 5 vs Red Sox 5-3 L
Jún 4 vs Guardians 1-2 W

Astros Legutobbi

Jún 9 @ Angels 1-10 L
Jún 8 @ Angels 5-4 W
Jún 7 vs Athletics 5-0 L
Jún 6 vs Athletics 2-13 W
Jún 5 vs Athletics 1-5 W

Szabadítsd fel az AI-előrejelzések erejét

Prémium analitika és mély betekintés

AI-előrejelzések Fejlett gépi tanulási előrejelzések
Mélyreható analitika Professzionális statisztikák
Szakértői kommentár Részletes meccselemzés

AI altal vezerelt MLB baseball elorejelzesek

Szerezzen elonyt minden MLB merkozcesen AI elorejelzo alkalmazasunkkal. Valos ideju pontszam-valoszinusegek inningrol inningre, pontos merkozeskimenetel-elorejelzesek, reszletes jatekos- es csapatanalitika, valamint interaktiv teljesitmenystatisztikak — mindezt egy folyamatosan fejlodo algoritmus hajtja. Akar lelkes szurkoloo, akar elkotelez ett elemzo, a Baseball Predict a legpontosabb MLB elorejelzeseket es merkozes-elemzeseket kozvetlenul a telefonjara szallitja.

Inningenkenti pontszam-valoszinusegek
Pontos merkozeskimenetel-elorejelzesek
Jatekos- es csapatanalitika
Rendszeres AI modell frissitesek
Baseball Predict App — AI MLB Predictions

Egyeb sport alkalmazasaink