Vissza a merkoczesekhez Szombat, Máj 9, 2026

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins — Máj 9, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

loanDepot park, Miami
72°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Andrew Nardi L Mitchell Parker SV John King

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Nationals 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 11 2
Marlins 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 4 - 8 12 0

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Nationals 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 3
Marlins 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 4
Confidence: 72% Marlins favored
This matchup presents a clear contrast in starting pitcher form that should dictate the game's flow. Janson Junk enters with impressive peripherals - his 2.82 ERA and stellar 1.04 WHIP reflect genuine quality, supported by solid command (1.88 BB/9) and a diverse five-pitch mix anchored by a 94.2 mph fastball. His recent velocity readings have been consistent, suggesting he's healthy and in rhythm. Conversely, Zack Littell's 7.24 ERA screams regression candidate, with his 1.68 WHIP and pedestrian strikeout rate (5.40 K/9) indicating fundamental struggles with both command and swing-and-miss ability. The Nationals arrive riding a three-game winning streak and boast an impressive 13-7 road record, suggesting they travel well. CJ Abrams has been their offensive catalyst with 9 homers and 33 RBIs, while the lineup has shown explosive potential in recent games, including a 15-2 demolition of Minnesota. However, their pitching staff remains decimated by injuries to key starters like Josiah Gray, DJ Herz, and Trevor Williams, leaving them heavily reliant on struggling options like Littell. Miami's home inconsistency (12-12) reflects their broader offensive struggles, though Xavier Edwards (.328) and Otto Lopez (.340) provide solid table-setters at the top of the order. The Marlins' bullpen should hold an edge over Washington's overworked relief corps, particularly given the visitors' recent high-scoring affairs that have taxed their pen. The 87-degree heat and overcast conditions at loanDepot park could favor hitters slightly, but not enough to overcome the stark pitching disparity. Miami's ability to grind out at-bats against Littell's shaky command should create enough scoring opportunities to secure a narrow victory.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 1R Junk's control limits early damage
Middle (4-6) 4R Both starters fade, bullpens engaged
Late (7-9) 2R Marlins closer advantage materializes

Matchup Analysis

Marlins

Janson Junk's 2.82 ERA and 1.04 WHIP
Solid home record (12-12)
Edwards/Lopez hitting well at top of order
Poor recent form (4-6 last ten)
Struggling offense overall

Nationals

Hot streak (W3, 6-4 last ten)
Strong road record (13-7)
CJ Abrams power threat
Zack Littell's 7.24 ERA disaster
Depleted pitching depth with multiple IL starters

Risk Factors

Washington's recent offensive surge
Miami's home inconsistency

Key Matchups

CJ Abrams vs Janson Junk batter Power vs finesse matchup favors slugger
Xavier Edwards vs Zack Littell batter Contact hitter vs struggling command

Statistical Edges

First to Score Nationals 65%
Strikeouts 12 9-15
Total Runs 7 5-9

Game Preview

The game opens with Washington threatening early against Junk, as CJ Abrams works a leadoff walk and advances to third on consecutive singles. However, Junk's signature slider induces a double-play ball to escape with minimal damage. The Nationals strike first in the third when Luis García Jr. doubles down the left-field line and scores on Jacob Young's two-out single, capitalizing on one of Junk's rare mistakes. Miami responds in the bottom half against the struggling Littell, as Edwards draws a walk and Lopez rips a double into the gap, tying the game at 1-1. The Marlins take control in the fifth inning when Littell's command completely abandons him - he walks the bases loaded with one out before surrendering a two-run single to Kyle Stowers and an RBI groundout, suddenly trailing 4-1. Washington answers back in the sixth against Miami's middle relief, with Abrams launching a solo homer to make it 4-2, but the Nationals' depleted bullpen can't hold the line. The visitors add one more run in the eighth on a Curtis Mead sacrifice fly, but Miami's closer shuts the door in the ninth to secure a 4-3 victory, snapping their losing streak while halting Washington's winning ways.
The pitching matchup heavily favors Miami with Junk's 2.82 ERA against Littell's 7.24 disaster, but Washington's hot streak and superior road record prevent this from being a slam dunk. The 72% confidence reflects the clear starting pitcher edge tempered by lineup and momentum concerns.
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Washington Nationals — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
James Wood
RF .2431128.395.526
Joey Wiemer
PR .29538.386.525
Jorbit Vivas
PH .24303.329.284
CJ Abrams
SS .295936.394.547
Daylen Lile
LF .247315.320.370
Jacob Young
CF .229317.273.336
José Tena
DH .286210.351.471
Drew Millas
C .17716.239.274
Nasim Nuñez
2B .211014.311.237

Miami Marlins — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Xavier Edwards
2B .324414.413.483
Otto Lopez
SS .353416.382.526
Liam Hicks
DH .308934.366.564
Kyle Stowers
LF .23913.320.343
Connor Norby
1B .233312.343.379
Jakob Marsee
CF .178213.297.274
Esteury Ruiz
RF .22723.227.591
Leo Jiménez
3B .20001.344.200
Joe Mack
C .29401.294.471

Pontszerző akciók

1
James Wood homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.
1-0
1
CJ Abrams singles on a ground ball to right fielder Owen Caissie. Luis García Jr. scores. Brady House scores.
3-0
3
Daylen Lile out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jakob Marsee. CJ Abrams scores.
4-0
4
Kyle Stowers homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Otto Lopez scores.
4-2
6
Owen Caissie out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Connor Norby scores.
4-3
7
Xavier Edwards homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.
4-4
8
Jakob Marsee homers (2) on a line drive to right field. Kyle Stowers scores. Connor Norby scores.
4-7
8
Leo Jiménez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Esteury Ruiz scores.
4-8
9
Drew Millas singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. José Tena scores.
5-8
9
Luis García Jr. singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Esteury Ruiz. Drew Millas scores. James Wood scores. Luis García Jr. to 2nd.
7-8

Washington Nationals — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
James WoodRF
3221101.243.921
Joey WiemerPR
0000000.295.911
Jorbit VivasPH
1000000.243.613
CJ AbramsSS
5122000.295.941
Daylen LileLF
3011000.247.690
Jacob YoungCF
4000010.229.609
José TenaDH
3110110.286.822
Drew MillasC
4111020.177.513
Nasim Nuñez2B
4000020.211.548
Összesen367117281
BATTING
2B: House (6, Junk); Lile (10, Junk); Tena (5, Petersen); Wood (10, Petersen).
3B: Abrams (1, Junk).
HR: Wood (11, 1st inning off Junk, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Abrams 4; García Jr., L 3; House 2; Lile 2; Millas; Tena 2; Wood 6.
RBI: Abrams 2 (36); García Jr., L 2 (18); Lile (15); Millas (6); Wood (28).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: García Jr., L; House.
SF: Lile.
Team RISP: 3-for-8.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
CS: Abrams (3, 2nd base by Junk/Mack).
FIELDING
E: Littell (1, fielding); Abrams (7, throw).
Outfield assists: Wood (Hicks, L at home).
Pickoffs: Littell (Marsee at 1st base).
DP: (Nuñez, N-Abrams-García Jr., L).
a-Grounded into a fielder's choice for House in the 9th.
1-Ran for García Jr., L in the 9th.

Miami Marlins — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Xavier Edwards2B
5111011.324.896
Otto LopezSS
5120010.353.908
Liam HicksDH
3000100.308.930
Kyle StowersLF
4232001.239.663
Connor Norby1B
3210100.233.722
Jakob MarseeCF
3113111.178.571
Esteury RuizRF
1110000.227.818
Leo Jiménez3B
3011000.200.544
Joe MackC
4020010.294.765
Összesen338128353
BATTING
2B: Stowers (4, Lovelady); Norby (8, Littell); Mack 2 (3, Littell, Kent); Lopez, O (11, Parker); Ruiz, E (2, Parker).
HR: Stowers (1, 4th inning off Littell, 1 on, 1 out); Edwards, X (4, 7th inning off Parker, 0 on, 2 out); Marsee (2, 8th inning off Parker, 2 on, 0 out).
TB: Edwards, X 4; Jiménez, L; Lopez, O 3; Mack 4; Marsee 4; Norby 2; Ruiz, E 2; Stowers 7.
RBI: Caissie (17); Edwards, X (14); Jiménez, L (1); Marsee 3 (13); Stowers 2 (3).
2-out RBI: Edwards, X.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Caissie; Lopez, O; Hicks, L 2.
SF: Caissie; Jiménez, L.
GIDP: Edwards, X.
Team RISP: 1-for-9.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Norby 2 (4, 2nd base off Littell/Millas, 3rd base off Littell/Millas); Ruiz, E (6, 3rd base off Kent/Millas).
CS: Marsee (3, 2nd base by Littell/Millas).
PO: Marsee (1st base by Littell).
a-Doubled for Caissie in the 8th.

Washington Nationals — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Richard Lovelady
2.010013030-172.12
Zack Littell
4.053210169-416.94
Mitchell Parker(L, 2-1)(BS, 1)
1.055511239-245.82
Zak Kent
1.010001014-123.18

Miami Marlins — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Janson Junk
6.074426194-653.25
Lake Bachar
1.000002013-72.37
Andrew Nardi(W, 3-2)
1.00000009-76.00
Michael Petersen
0.243300016-124.80
John King(S, 1)
0.10000003-30.54

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: James Jean; First Base: Chris Guccione; Second Base: Nestor Ceja; Third Base: Charlie Ramos
Helyszín: loanDepot park, Miami
Időjárás: 72°F, Roof Closed
Szél: 0 mph, None

Miami Marlins — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Nationals
STAT
Marlins
31-31 Merleg 28-34
50.0% Win % 45.2%
.500 PCT .452
330 Szerzett pontok 264
337 Kapott pontok 285
62 Lejatszott merkoczesek 62
L2 Sorozat W2
6-4 Utolsó 10 5-5
12-19 Hazai merleg 18-15
19-12 Idegenbeli merleg 10-19

Egymas elleni merkoczesek

1
Utolso 5 talalkozas
4
Jún 3
Marlins 4 - 1 Nationals
Jún 2
Marlins 7 - 3 Nationals
Jún 1
Marlins 7 - 3 Nationals
Máj 10
Nationals 2 - 5 Marlins
Máj 8
Nationals 3 - 2 Marlins

Nationals Legutobbi

Jún 3 vs Marlins 4-1 L
Jún 2 vs Marlins 7-3 L
Jún 1 vs Marlins 7-3 L
Máj 31 vs Padres 2-4 W
Máj 30 vs Padres 4-9 W

Marlins Legutobbi

Jún 3 @ Nationals 4-1 W
Jún 2 @ Nationals 7-3 W
Jún 1 @ Nationals 7-3 W
Máj 31 @ Mets 1-10 L
Máj 30 @ Mets 1-6 L

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