Vissza a merkoczesekhez Kedd, Júl 7, 2026

Seattle Mariners vs Miami Marlins — Júl 7, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

loanDepot park, Miami
72°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Cade Gibson L Michael Rucker

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 R H E
Mariners 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 5 8 1
Marlins 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 6 11 1

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Mariners 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2
Marlins 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 68% Marlins favored
Max Meyer is the central figure in this matchup and the primary reason Miami enters as a clear favorite. The 24-year-old righty carries a sparkling 2.53 ERA and 9-1 record across 103 innings, mixing a sweeper, slider, and four-seamer to generate elite swing-and-miss rates. His 9.79 K/9 gives Miami a genuine ace-level advantage, particularly against a Seattle lineup missing its most dynamic offensive piece in Julio Rodríguez, who landed on the 7-day IL with a concussion on July 3rd. Seattle counters with a TBD starter — a significant red flag. The Mariners have been forced to piece together their rotation amid multiple pitching IL stints (Criswell, Brash, Vargas, Evans), and an unnamed arm facing Meyer head-to-head at loanDepot park in 90-degree heat is a substantial disadvantage. Miami's lineup, riding a three-game win streak against Oakland and boasting Otto Lopez (.346), Xavier Edwards (.302), and the recently activated Liam Hicks (13 HR, 53 RBI), should find early success. Miami's bullpen is the primary concern. With Mazur, Nardi, Bender, Junk, Henriquez, Ekness, and Snelling all on the IL, the bullpen is dangerously thin. The recent news item about nearly blowing a 9-8 lead against Oakland's punchless lineup is telling. Petersen and Faucher are serviceable but not dominant. Seattle's bullpen, by contrast, is more intact and has posted strong run-prevention numbers all season. The Mariners' offense is functional — Arozarena (.286, 9 HR) and Cole Young (.257, 9 HR) provide legitimate threats — but losing Rodríguez strips their lineup of its most electric bat. With a TBD arm taking the hill, Seattle is betting Meyer has an off night, which at 2.53 ERA is an unlikely proposition.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Meyer dominates early, SEA TBD starter tested
Middle (4-6) 3R MIA bats build lead, SEA scratches a run
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpens trade late runs, MIA holds firm

Matchup Analysis

Marlins

Meyer elite ERA 2.53
Strong home record 28-17
Lineup on W3 streak
Bullpen IL-depleted
Meyer last start only 78 pitches

Mariners

Arozarena hot .286 avg
Pitching staff low runs allowed
W2 streak momentum
TBD starter huge unknown
Julio Rodríguez out concussion

Risk Factors

Miami bullpen stretched/IL-thin
Seattle TBD starter wild card

Key Matchups

Otto Lopez vs TBD batter Lopez .346 avg torches unknown arms in hitter-friendly heat
Randy Arozarena vs Max Meyer pitcher Meyer's sweeper/slider combo neutralizes pull-heavy hitters
Liam Hicks vs TBD batter Hicks 13 HR, fresh off IL, dangerous vs mystery starters

Statistical Edges

First to Score Marlins 62%
Strikeouts 16 13-20
Total Runs 7 5-10

Game Preview

loanDepot park buzzes under a heavy July night as Max Meyer takes the mound carrying Miami's best ace-quality start of the season. The Marlins have won three straight and smell an opportunity to push their winning percentage toward elite territory. Meyer wastes no time, working his sweeper low and away to handcuff Seattle's lineup — a lineup missing Julio Rodríguez and working around a mystery starter on the other side. Otto Lopez ignites the Marlins in the second inning, lining a two-out double into the left-center gap before Liam Hicks deposits a two-run shot into the Seattle bullpen in right field. The crowd erupts — Hicks, just back from the IL, announces his return emphatically. Seattle manages a solo home run from Randy Arozarena in the fourth to keep it interesting, but Meyer settles back into his rhythm, racking up strikeouts through the sixth. Miami tacks on a run in the sixth on an RBI single by Xavier Edwards, pushing the lead to 4-1. Seattle answers with a solo shot from Cole Young in the seventh off a shaky Marlins reliever, trimming the gap to two. Miami's bullpen wobbles but holds, and Hicks caps the night with an RBI single in the eighth. The Marlins' defense makes a key play up the middle in the ninth to preserve the 5-2 win, giving Miami a fourth straight victory and reaffirming Meyer as one of the NL's premier young aces.
Meyer's elite numbers vs. Seattle's TBD starter creates a significant pitching mismatch. Miami's home dominance (28-17) and hot lineup bolster confidence. Depleted bullpen and unknown Seattle arm introduce moderate risk.
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Seattle Mariners — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
J.P. Crawford
3B .2121025.332.352
Randy Arozarena
LF .290941.381.453
Weston Wilson
DH .20815.300.283
Cal Raleigh
C .169929.266.320
Josh Naylor
1B .250836.311.354
Miles Mastrobuoni
RF .21701.269.217
Cole Young
2B .2581042.319.394
Victor Robles
CF .23304.275.256
Colt Emerson
SS .207719.282.415

Miami Marlins — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Liam Hicks
DH .2951356.368.470
Kyle Stowers
1B .2431140.329.462
Otto Lopez
SS .343943.374.515
Xavier Edwards
2B .300635.385.423
Heriberto Hernández
LF .2371235.316.473
Esteury Ruiz
RF .24449.361.489
Jakob Marsee
CF .196524.318.299
Joe Mack
C .248723.310.428
Javier Sanoja
3B .277334.320.413

Pontszerző akciók

2
Owen Caissie homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field.
0-1
2
Kyle Stowers strikes out swinging.
0-2
3
Jakob Marsee singles on a ground ball to right fielder Luke Raley. Griffin Conine scores. Owen Caissie to 3rd.
0-3
4
Kyle Stowers out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Luke Raley. Liam Hicks scores.
0-4
5
Luke Raley out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Cal Raleigh scores.
1-4
5
Cole Young homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.
2-4
8
Cal Raleigh doubles (7) on a fly ball to right fielder Owen Caissie. J.P. Crawford scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd.
3-4
8
Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Owen Caissie. Randy Arozarena scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd. Josh Naylor to 2nd. Josh Naylor advances to 2nd, on an interference error by second baseman Xavier Edwards.
4-4
8
Victor Robles lines out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
5-4
8
Heriberto Hernández homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.
5-5
10
Jakob Marsee singles on a fly ball to right fielder Miles Mastrobuoni. Xavier Edwards scores. Esteury Ruiz to 2nd.
5-6

Seattle Mariners — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
J.P. Crawford3B
4110130.212.684
Randy ArozarenaLF
3120100.290.834
Weston WilsonDH
0000000.208.583
Cal RaleighC
5121020.169.586
Josh Naylor1B
5111000.250.665
Miles MastrobuoniRF
0000000.217.486
Cole Young2B
3111101.258.713
Victor RoblesCF
4000000.233.531
Colt EmersonSS
3000110.207.697
Összesen36584481
BATTING
2B: Raleigh 2 (7, Meyer, Faucher); Raley, L (9, King, Jo).
HR: Young (10, 5th inning off Meyer, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Arozarena 2; Crawford, J; Naylor, J; Raleigh 4; Raley, L 2; Young 4.
RBI: Naylor, J (36); Raleigh (29); Raley, L (36); Young (42).
2-out RBI: Young.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Naylor, J 2; Emerson; Robles 2.
SF: Raley, L.
Team RISP: 2-for-13.
Team LOB: 8.
BASERUNNING
CS: Arozarena (5, 2nd base by Meyer/Mack).
FIELDING
E: Robles (1, fielding).
a-Grounded out for Raley, L in the 10th.
1-Ran for Canzone in the 10th.

Miami Marlins — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Liam HicksDH
5130010.295.838
Kyle Stowers1B
4001030.243.791
Otto LopezSS
5010000.343.889
Xavier Edwards2B
5110020.300.808
Heriberto HernándezLF
2111001.237.789
Esteury RuizRF
0000200.244.850
Jakob MarseeCF
4022000.196.617
Joe MackC
3000100.248.738
Javier Sanoja3B
4110000.277.733
Összesen376115482
BATTING
2B: Hicks, L (8, Woo).
HR: Caissie (12, 2nd inning off Woo, 0 on, 0 out); Hernández, H (12, 8th inning off Speier, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Caissie 4; Conine; Edwards, X; Hernández, H 4; Hicks, L 4; Lopez, O; Marsee 2; Sanoja.
RBI: Caissie (50); Hernández, H (35); Marsee 2 (24); Stowers (40).
2-out RBI: Marsee.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Stowers; Conine; Mack; Marsee; Hicks, L.
SAC: Marsee.
SF: Stowers.
Team RISP: 2-for-10.
Team LOB: 10.
BASERUNNING
SB: Ruiz, E (19, 3rd base off Speier/Raleigh).
FIELDING
E: Edwards, X (5, interference).
a-Homered for Conine in the 8th.
b-Walked for Caissie in the 8th.

Seattle Mariners — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Bryan Woo
5.094315187-624.23
José A. Ferrer
1.00000108-82.37
Eduard Bazardo
1.000001017-102.06
Gabe Speier(BS, 1)
1.011120123-111.96
Andrés Muñoz
1.000001010-74.32
Michael Rucker(L, 0-2)
0.111010010-46.23

Miami Marlins — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Max Meyer
5.042224180-452.58
Michael Petersen(H, 15)
1.000001011-83.00
John King(H, 4)
1.011110020-122.48
Calvin Faucher(BS, 4)
1.022211036-234.62
Pete Fairbanks
1.010002017-117.00
Cade Gibson(W, 2-0)
1.000000012-96.63

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: Chris Segal; First Base: Laz Diaz; Second Base: Erich Bacchus; Third Base: Brian O'Nora
Helyszín: loanDepot park, Miami
Időjárás: 72°F, Roof Closed
Szél: 0 mph, None

Seattle Mariners — Hirek

Miami Marlins — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Mariners
STAT
Marlins
47-44 Merleg 49-42
51.6% Win % 53.8%
.516 PCT .538
372 Szerzett pontok 418
345 Kapott pontok 394
91 Lejatszott merkoczesek 91
W2 Sorozat W3
6-4 Utolsó 10 7-3
27-20 Hazai merleg 28-17
20-24 Idegenbeli merleg 21-25

Mariners Legutobbi

Júl 5 vs Blue Jays 0-4 W
Júl 4 vs Blue Jays 0-11 W
Júl 3 vs Blue Jays 2-0 L
Júl 2 vs Angels 0-1 W
Jún 30 vs Angels 3-8 W

Marlins Legutobbi

Júl 5 @ Athletics 9-8 W
Júl 4 @ Athletics 7-2 W
Júl 3 @ Athletics 12-5 W
Júl 2 @ Rockies 4-14 L
Júl 1 @ Rockies 3-6 L

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