Vissza a merkoczesekhez Kedd, Máj 26, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers — Máj 26, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

American Family Field, Milwaukee
81°F, Partly Cloudy
7 mph, R To L
W Kyle Harrison L Michael McGreevy

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Cardinals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0
Brewers 0 0 0 1 5 0 0 0 - 6 10 1

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Cardinals 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 3
Brewers 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 4
Confidence: 62% Brewers favored
This matchup features two teams heading in different directions, with Milwaukee riding positive momentum from yesterday's 5-1 victory over these same Cardinals. Kyle Harrison enters as the clear pitching advantage, sporting a stellar 1.77 ERA and impressive 9.20 K/9 rate through his early-season work. His four-pitch mix, anchored by a 94.8 mph fastball that comprises nearly 60% of his arsenal, has proven effective against quality competition. The left-hander's recent velocity readings show consistency in the low-90s range with occasional mid-90s peaks, suggesting he's building arm strength appropriately. Milwaukee's offensive foundation centers around William Contreras (.303 average) and the emerging Brice Turang (.291, 7 HR), who have provided the consistency that Christian Yelich has yet to fully establish this season. St. Louis counters with Michael McGreevy, whose diverse six-pitch repertoire creates intrigue but lacks the dominant velocity or statistics to match Harrison's current form. McGreevy's recent outings show concerning velocity fluctuations, with his average fastball sitting in the mid-80s range - a significant disadvantage against Milwaukee's patient hitters. The Cardinals' offense hinges heavily on Jordan Walker's exceptional production (.302, 15 HR, 42 RBI), but the supporting cast has struggled to provide consistent run support. Their negative run differential (-3) despite a respectable 29-23 record suggests underlying issues that may surface against quality pitching. The bullpen matchup appears relatively even, though Milwaukee's recent IL moves to activate Akil Baddoo and recall Carlos Rodriguez suggest improved depth. St. Louis enters this series finale having lost two straight and showing offensive inconsistency that plagued their recent road struggles. Weather conditions favor offense with 87-degree temperatures and overcast skies, though the southerly wind may not significantly impact American Family Field's dimensions. Milwaukee's 17-11 home record and superior run differential (+71 vs -3) provide the statistical foundation for a narrow victory in what projects as a competitive, lower-scoring affair.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both starters allow early contact before settling in
Middle (4-6) 2R Pitchers find rhythm, limited scoring opportunities
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpen battle with clutch hitting deciding game

Matchup Analysis

Brewers

Kyle Harrison's excellent 1.77 ERA and strong K/9 rate
Superior offensive production (251 runs vs 234)
Solid home record (17-11) and recent momentum
Depleted pitching depth with multiple IL starters
Inconsistent offensive contributions beyond top performers

Cardinals

Jordan Walker's power threat (.302 avg, 15 HR, 42 RBI)
Strong road record (16-10) shows travel resilience
McGreevy's diverse six-pitch mix creates deception
Negative run differential (-3) indicates underlying issues
Recent offensive struggles in losses
McGreevy lacks dominant statistics or velocity

Risk Factors

Harrison's limited innings (14.2 IP) creates early bullpen exposure
McGreevy's inconsistent velocity readings suggest command issues

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Kyle Harrison batter Walker's power vs Harrison's fastball-heavy approach
William Contreras vs Michael McGreevy batter Contreras hitting .303 vs McGreevy's command questions
Brice Turang vs Michael McGreevy batter Turang's .291 average against diverse pitch mix vulnerability

Statistical Edges

First to Score Cardinals 55%
Strikeouts 15 12-18
Total Runs 7 6-9

Game Preview

The game opens with Michael McGreevy facing immediate pressure as Brice Turang works a leadoff walk before scoring on a Jordan Walker RBI single, giving St. Louis an early 1-0 advantage. Kyle Harrison responds by retiring the first six Milwaukee batters before the Brewers break through in the second inning. William Contreras doubles to the gap, and consecutive singles by Garrett Mitchell and Andrew Vaughn plate two runs, putting Milwaukee ahead 2-1. McGreevy's command issues continue as he battles his diverse pitch mix through the middle innings, while Harrison settles into a rhythm after the early hiccup. The Cardinals tie the game 2-2 in the fifth when Walker launches his 16th home run of the season, a solo shot that carries over the left field wall on Harrison's elevated fastball. Milwaukee responds immediately in the bottom of the fourth as Turang drives in his 31st RBI with a clutch two-out single, restoring their 3-2 lead. The late innings become a bullpen chess match as both starters reach their pitch limits. Harrison exits after six solid innings, having allowed just the two runs while striking out seven. St. Louis equalizes in the ninth when Victor Scott II delivers a pinch-hit RBI single off Milwaukee's closer, setting up extra-inning drama. However, Contreras plays hero in the bottom of the ninth, driving in Yelich with a walk-off single to secure Milwaukee's 4-3 victory and series win. The Brewers improve to 32-20 while extending St. Louis's losing streak to three games.
The 62% confidence reflects Kyle Harrison's clear pitching advantage over Michael McGreevy, combined with Milwaukee's superior offensive production and home-field edge. However, Jordan Walker's elite power threat and the Cardinals' strong road record prevent higher confidence in this competitive NL Central matchup.
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St. Louis Cardinals — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt
2B .234925.353.393
Iván Herrera
C .263626.388.424
Jordan Walker
RF .2961542.365.578
Alec Burleson
1B .287735.357.455
José Fermín
3B .21328.290.361
Masyn Winn
SS .230118.310.316
Bryan Torres
LF .33312.412.533
Nolan Gorman
PH .216625.301.345
Victor Scott II
CF .19727.257.265

Milwaukee Brewers — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Christian Yelich
DH .281415.340.494
Jackson Chourio
LF .28015.330.402
Brice Turang
2B .282730.407.470
William Contreras
C .308433.376.415
Jake Bauers
1B .290830.358.500
Garrett Mitchell
CF .234328.350.372
Luis Rengifo
3B .204014.272.259
Sal Frelick
RF .220318.292.305
David Hamilton
SS .22708.319.261

Pontszerző akciók

4
Jake Bauers homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.
0-1
5
William Contreras doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Christian Yelich scores. Jackson Chourio scores. Brice Turang to 3rd.
0-3
5
Garrett Mitchell homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Brice Turang scores. William Contreras scores.
0-6

St. Louis Cardinals — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
JJ Wetherholt2B
4000010.234.746
Iván HerreraC
3010110.263.812
Jordan WalkerRF
4010000.296.943
Alec Burleson1B
4010010.287.812
José Fermín3B
4000000.213.651
Masyn WinnSS
4000020.230.626
Bryan TorresLF
4020000.333.945
Nolan GormanPH
1000000.216.646
Victor Scott IICF
3010000.197.522
Összesen34070150
BATTING
TB: Burleson; Herrera; Pozo; Scott II; Torres, B 2; Walker, J.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Burleson; Walker, J; Fermín.
GIDP: Pozo.
Team RISP: 0-for-5.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
DP: (Wetherholt-Winn-Burleson).
a-Flied out for Pozo in the 9th.

Milwaukee Brewers — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Christian YelichDH
5130000.281.834
Jackson ChourioLF
3110110.280.732
Brice Turang2B
3100120.282.877
William ContrerasC
4122020.308.791
Jake Bauers1B
4121011.290.858
Garrett MitchellCF
4113031.234.722
Luis Rengifo3B
3000100.204.531
Sal FrelickRF
3010110.220.597
David HamiltonSS
4000020.227.580
Összesen3361064122
BATTING
2B: Frelick (5, McGreevy); Yelich (5, McGreevy); Contreras, Wm (9, McGreevy).
HR: Bauers (8, 4th inning off McGreevy, 0 on, 0 out); Mitchell (3, 5th inning off Fernandez, 2 on, 1 out).
TB: Bauers 5; Chourio, J; Contreras, Wm 3; Frelick 2; Mitchell 4; Yelich 4.
RBI: Bauers (30); Contreras, Wm 2 (33); Mitchell 3 (28).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Hamilton, D 3; Rengifo.
GIDP: Chourio, J.
Team RISP: 2-for-8.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: Rengifo (3, 2nd base off Fernandez/Herrera).
FIELDING
E: Hamilton, D (6, throw).
DP: (Turang-Hamilton, D-Bauers).

St. Louis Cardinals — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Michael McGreevy(L, 3-4)
4.075536189-532.98
Ryan Fernandez
1.011113121-122.08
Justin Bruihl
2.020002028-195.11
Matt Pushard
1.000001010-85.06

Milwaukee Brewers — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Kyle Harrison(W, 6-1)
6.040002092-651.57
Grant Anderson
1.01000109-62.82
Abner Uribe
1.010012023-114.19
Trevor Megill
1.010000012-85.00

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: Adam Hamari; First Base: Todd Tichenor; Second Base: Tyler Jones; Third Base: Clint Vondrak
Helyszín: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Időjárás: 81°F, Partly Cloudy
Szél: 7 mph, R To L

Milwaukee Brewers — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Cardinals
STAT
Brewers
31-28 Merleg 37-21
52.5% Win % 63.8%
.525 PCT .638
252 Szerzett pontok 292
266 Kapott pontok 199
59 Lejatszott merkoczesek 58
L2 Sorozat W3
3-7 Utolsó 10 7-3
15-16 Hazai merleg 21-11
16-12 Idegenbeli merleg 16-10

Egymas elleni merkoczesek

1
Utolso 4 talalkozas
3
Máj 27
Cardinals 1 - 2 Brewers
Máj 25
Cardinals 1 - 5 Brewers
Máj 6
Brewers 6 - 2 Cardinals
Máj 4
Brewers 3 - 6 Cardinals

Cardinals Legutobbi

Jún 2 vs Rangers 7-4 L
Jún 1 vs Rangers 2-1 L
Máj 31 vs Cubs 1-5 W
Máj 30 vs Cubs 6-1 L
Máj 29 vs Cubs 5-6 W

Brewers Legutobbi

Jún 2 vs Giants 3-8 W
Jún 1 vs Giants 2-16 W
Máj 31 @ Astros 2-0 W
Máj 30 @ Astros 2-9 L
Máj 29 @ Astros 5-4 W

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