Vissza a merkoczesekhez Szerda, Ápr 29, 2026

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets — Ápr 29, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

Citi Field, Flushing
53°F, Cloudy
8 mph, Out To LF
W Cade Cavalli L David Peterson

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Nationals 2 0 0 7 0 1 3 0 1 14 15 0
Mets 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 10 0

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Nationals 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 4
Mets 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 58% Mets favored
This NL East clash presents a fascinating study in contrasts following yesterday's 8-0 Mets blowout victory. David Peterson takes the mound for New York carrying a concerning 5.06 ERA and 1.65 WHIP, though his 8.10 K/9 suggests strikeout upside when his command cooperates. His recent starts show declining velocity (89.2 to 90.4 to 88.8 MPH average) and inconsistent pitch counts, indicating potential durability concerns. Washington counters with Cade Cavalli, whose 4.01 ERA masks significant command issues with a 5.65 BB/9 rate that could prove costly in tight spots. Cavalli's 96+ MPH fastball offers strikeout potential, but his recent outings show concerning walk totals that the Mets lineup should exploit. The Mets' activation of Juan Soto from the IL provides a massive boost to their offensive outlook, particularly against a right-handed starter with command issues. Soto's .304 average and proven track record against premium velocity makes him a focal point in this matchup. However, New York's injury list remains extensive, with Francisco Lindor's absence at shortstop creating a significant defensive and offensive void. The Nationals bring a better road record (10-7) into Citi Field, led by CJ Abrams' breakout power surge (7 homers, 21 RBI) that has carried their offense through inconsistent stretches. Both bullpens enter with question marks after heavy usage patterns, though Washington's recent callups of Paxton Schultz and Andre Granillo provide fresh arms. The Mets' bullpen depth remains compromised with multiple injured relievers, putting additional pressure on their starters to provide length. Weather conditions (53°F, overcast, SSE 8 mph wind) favor pitching slightly, though both starters' command issues suggest a higher-scoring affair than conditions would normally indicate. The psychological factor of yesterday's dominant victory gives New York momentum, but Washington's pride and road success suggest they'll respond competitively.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Peterson vulnerable early, Cavalli wild with command
Middle (4-6) 5R Both starters exit, bullpens exposed in key spots
Late (7-9) 2R Mets capitalize on late opportunity for walkoff potential

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Fresh Juan Soto activation
8-0 revenge factor from yesterday
Citi Field home environment
Peterson's 5.06 ERA and command issues
Missing Lindor and key IL players

Nationals

Better road record (10-7)
CJ Abrams power surge (7 HR)
Cavalli's velocity upside
Yesterday's shutout demoralizing
Cavalli's walk issues (5.65 BB/9)
Struggling home form bleeding over

Risk Factors

Peterson's early exit potential
Cavalli's walk rate in tight game

Key Matchups

Juan Soto vs Cade Cavalli batter Soto fresh off IL activation vs wild righty
CJ Abrams vs David Peterson batter Abrams' 7 HR vs Peterson's elevated contact rate
Luis Robert Jr. vs Cade Cavalli batter Robert's power vs Cavalli's fastball command struggles

Statistical Edges

First to Score Nationals 62%
Strikeouts 15 12-18
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

Cade Cavalli's first-inning command struggles manifest immediately as he walks the leadoff batter and falls behind 2-0 to Juan Soto, who works a patient at-bat before lacing an RBI double to give Washington the early 1-0 lead. David Peterson answers with his own control issues, loading the bases in the second before Luis Robert Jr. drives home the tying run with a sacrifice fly. The game's turning point arrives in the fourth when Peterson hangs a slider to CJ Abrams, who deposits it into the left field seats for his eighth homer, extending the Mets' lead to 3-1. The middle innings become a bullpen chess match as both starters exit before the sixth. Washington rallies in the fifth on back-to-back doubles, capitalizing on a tiring Peterson to tie the game 3-3. The Nationals briefly take the lead in the eighth when a defensive miscue leads to an unearned run, but the Mets respond in the bottom half. With two outs and runners in scoring position, newly activated Juan Soto delivers the clutch hit that Mets fans have been waiting for, driving home the tying and winning runs with a clutch two-run single up the middle. The 5-4 victory gives New York consecutive wins and momentum heading deeper into this crucial division series.
Confidence sits at 58% due to the tight nature of this matchup between two struggling teams. While the Mets have psychological momentum from yesterday's blowout and Soto's return, both starting pitchers carry significant question marks that make run production likely from both sides.
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Washington Nationals — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
James Wood
DH .2441024.404.555
Curtis Mead
1B .226412.314.484
Brady House
3B .225414.283.369
José Tena
2B .27117.314.354
Jacob Young
CF .237214.282.351
Daylen Lile
LF .266314.331.395
Joey Wiemer
RF .32738.413.582
Nasim Nuñez
SS .200010.314.211
Keibert Ruiz
C .18219.207.309

New York Mets — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Bo Bichette
3B .236214.273.325
Juan Soto
DH .32738.422.545
Austin Slater
LF .16701.276.167
Francisco Alvarez
C .21747.305.386
Brett Baty
2B .216112.260.318
Tyrone Taylor
CF .23427.250.383
Carson Benge
RF .18626.247.279
Luis Torrens
1B .21404.214.286
Ronny Mauricio
SS .22701.227.227

Pontszerző akciók

1
CJ Abrams singles on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge. James Wood scores. Curtis Mead to 3rd.
1-0
1
Jacob Young grounds out to first baseman Brett Baty. Curtis Mead scores. CJ Abrams to 3rd.
2-0
3
Juan Soto homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.
2-1
4
Joey Wiemer singles on a ground ball to third baseman Bo Bichette. Jacob Young scores. Daylen Lile to 2nd.
3-1
4
James Wood walks. Daylen Lile scores. Joey Wiemer to 3rd. Nasim Nuñez to 2nd.
4-1
4
Curtis Mead hit by pitch. Joey Wiemer scores. Nasim Nuñez to 3rd. James Wood to 2nd.
5-1
4
Brady House hits a grand slam (4) to left center field. Nasim Nuñez scores. James Wood scores. Curtis Mead scores.
9-1
5
MJ Melendez singles on a ground ball to first baseman Curtis Mead. Bo Bichette scores. Juan Soto to 2nd.
9-2
6
CJ Abrams singles on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Curtis Mead scores. Brady House to 3rd. CJ Abrams to 2nd.
10-2
7
James Wood doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Joey Wiemer scores. Nasim Nuñez scores.
12-2
7
Jacob Young singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. James Wood scores. Curtis Mead to 3rd. CJ Abrams to 2nd.
13-2
9
Curtis Mead homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.
14-2

Washington Nationals — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
James WoodDH
5323120.244.959
Curtis Mead1B
5442001.226.798
Brady House3B
5114121.225.652
José Tena2B
1000000.271.668
Jacob YoungCF
4112110.237.633
Daylen LileLF
5110040.266.726
Joey WiemerRF
5221020.327.995
Nasim NuñezSS
3210210.200.525
Keibert RuizC
5000020.182.516
Összesen421415146152
BATTING
2B: Abrams (4, Manaea); Mead (4, Manaea); Wiemer (3, Manaea); Wood (7, Manaea).
HR: House (4, 4th inning off Manaea, 3 on, 2 out); Mead (4, 9th inning off Edwards Jr., 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Abrams 4; House 4; Lile; Mead 8; Nuñez, N; Wiemer 3; Wood 3; Young.
RBI: Abrams 2 (23); House 4 (14); Mead 2 (12); Wiemer (8); Wood 3 (24); Young 2 (14).
2-out RBI: Wood; Mead; Young; House 4.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Young; Lile 5.
Team RISP: 7-for-17.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
DP: (Abrams-Nuñez, N-Mead).

New York Mets — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Bo Bichette3B
5110000.236.598
Juan SotoDH
5131001.327.967
Austin SlaterLF
1000000.167.443
Francisco AlvarezC
4000030.217.691
Brett Baty2B
3010110.216.578
Tyrone TaylorCF
4020010.234.633
Carson BengeRF
4000020.186.526
Luis Torrens1B
1000000.214.500
Ronny MauricioSS
4000030.227.454
Összesen3621022121
BATTING
2B: Soto, J (3, Cavalli).
HR: Soto, J (3, 3rd inning off Cavalli, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Baty; Bichette; Melendez, M; Semien 2; Soto, J 7; Taylor, T 2.
RBI: Melendez, M (3); Soto, J (8).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Baty; Mauricio 2; Torrens; Taylor, T 2.
GIDP: Alvarez, F.
Team RISP: 1-for-8.
Team LOB: 9.
FIELDING
PB: Alvarez, F (5).
a-Flied out for Melendez, M in the 7th.
b-Grounded out for Semien in the 8th.

Washington Nationals — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Cade Cavalli(W, 1-1)
6.0822210197-693.82
Cionel Pérez
1.000000016-117.07
Paxton Schultz
1.020001014-93.60
PJ Poulin
1.000001010-64.11

New York Mets — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
David Peterson(L, 0-4)
3.257735080-486.53
Sean Manaea
2.276624173-456.55
Carl Edwards Jr.
2.231116150-331.50

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: Bill Miller; First Base: Brian Walsh; Second Base: Chad Fairchild; Third Base: Chad Whitson
Helyszín: Citi Field, Flushing
Időjárás: 53°F, Cloudy
Szél: 8 mph, Out To LF

New York Mets — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Nationals
STAT
Mets
31-32 Merleg 27-35
49.2% Win % 43.5%
.492 PCT .435
331 Szerzett pontok 251
341 Kapott pontok 264
63 Lejatszott merkoczesek 62
L3 Sorozat W1
5-5 Utolsó 10 5-5
12-20 Hazai merleg 15-15
19-12 Idegenbeli merleg 12-20

Egymas elleni merkoczesek

3
Utolso 5 talalkozas
2
Máj 21
Mets 2 - 1 Nationals
Máj 20
Mets 4 - 8 Nationals
Máj 19
Mets 6 - 9 Nationals
Máj 18
Mets 16 - 7 Nationals
Ápr 30
Nationals 5 - 4 Mets

Nationals Legutobbi

Jún 3 vs Marlins 4-1 L
Jún 2 vs Marlins 7-3 L
Jún 1 vs Marlins 7-3 L
Máj 31 vs Padres 2-4 W
Máj 30 vs Padres 4-9 W

Mets Legutobbi

Jún 3 @ Mariners 7-1 W
Jún 2 @ Mariners 3-8 L
Jún 1 @ Mariners 2-3 L
Máj 31 vs Marlins 1-10 W
Máj 30 vs Marlins 1-6 W

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