Vissza a merkoczesekhez Hetfo, Máj 25, 2026

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets — Máj 25, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

Citi Field, Flushing
71°F, Partly Cloudy
4 mph, Out To CF
W Nick Lodolo L Nolan McLean

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 0 2 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 7 6 0
Mets 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 9 0

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Reds 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Mets 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 4
Confidence: 68% Reds favored
This Sunday afternoon matchup at Citi Field presents a fascinating contrast between two teams heading in opposite directions. The Mets enter on a concerning three-game losing streak, having been swept by Miami with offensive struggles that saw them score just two runs total. Missing Francisco Lindor and Francisco Alvarez significantly weakens their lineup depth, though Juan Soto provides elite production when he gets opportunities. The Reds, meanwhile, sit at 27-25 and just snapped their own skid with a win over St. Louis, getting healthier with Eugenio Suarez returning from the IL. The pitching matchup favors neither team decisively, which could lead to a higher-scoring affair. Nolan McLean has shown inconsistent command in recent starts, averaging 97 pitches while struggling to get deep into games. His sinker-heavy approach (35.4%) could be vulnerable to Cincinnati's power hitters like Elly De La Cruz, who has 12 home runs already. Nick Lodolo presents even more concerns with his 7.20 ERA, though his changeup-curveball combination (53.7% usage) can be effective when located properly. Recent velocity readings show both pitchers maintaining decent stuff, but command issues persist. The Reds' slight edge comes from better overall health and momentum. While their -34 run differential suggests underlying issues, they've scored more runs than the Mets (229 vs 206) and aren't dealing with the same level of key injuries. De La Cruz's dynamic ability and the return of Suarez gives them more lineup flexibility. The Mets' recent offensive struggles, scoring just 8 runs in their last 4 games, combined with missing their two best players, creates enough concern to favor the visitors in what should be a competitive, moderate-scoring game that stays under double digits.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both starters struggling with command early
Middle (4-6) 3R Offenses capitalize on bullpen transitions
Late (7-9) 3R Cincinnati breaks tie with clutch hitting

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Home field advantage at Citi Field
Juan Soto's elite bat in lineup
Recent offensive explosion capability
Three-game losing streak momentum
Key injuries to Lindor and Alvarez
McLean's inconsistent command

Reds

Better record and run differential
Elly De La Cruz's power and speed
Coming off recent win to break skid
Nick Lodolo's 7.20 ERA struggles
Road record only .500
Bullpen depth concerns with injuries

Risk Factors

Both starters have recent command issues
Mets' offensive inconsistency in recent games

Key Matchups

Juan Soto vs Nick Lodolo batter Soto's elite plate discipline vs Lodolo's command issues
Elly De La Cruz vs Nolan McLean batter De La Cruz's power against McLean's sinker-heavy approach

Statistical Edges

First to Score Reds 62%
Strikeouts 16 14-18
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

The game opens with Nick Lodolo working around early trouble but Elly De La Cruz puts the Reds on the board first with an RBI single in the first inning. The Mets respond quickly in the second when Juan Soto drives in Brett Baty, who had doubled off the wall in left-center. Both starters settle in briefly before McLean runs into command issues in the fourth, walking two batters before surrendering a two-run double to Nathaniel Lowe that gives Cincinnati a 3-1 advantage. The Mets show their offensive capability isn't completely gone in the fifth inning, rallying for two runs when Marcus Semien connects for his fourth home run of the season, a two-run shot that ties the game at 3-3. Lodolo labors through 5.1 innings before giving way to the Reds bullpen, while McLean exits after 5.2 innings having thrown 102 pitches. The middle innings see both teams trade runs - Cincinnati retakes the lead 4-3 in the sixth on a Matt McLain RBI groundout, but the Mets tie it again in the seventh on a Luis Torrens sacrifice fly. The decisive moment comes in the eighth inning when Cincinnati's patience pays off against the Mets' bullpen. With runners on first and second and two outs, De La Cruz works a full count before lashing a go-ahead RBI single to left field. The Reds' closer preserves the 5-4 victory, completing a solid road win that moves them to 28-25 while the Mets fall to 22-32, extending their losing streak to four games and raising more questions about their ability to compete without their injured stars.
The 68% confidence reflects Cincinnati's better overall health, superior record, and the Mets' current offensive struggles without Lindor and Alvarez. While both pitchers have issues, the Reds have more lineup depth and recent momentum, though the game projects to be competitive enough that a one-run margin feels appropriate.
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Cincinnati Reds — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Blake Dunn
RF .31712.378.488
Elly De La Cruz
SS .2821235.347.516
JJ Bleday
LF .270721.377.596
Sal Stewart
3B .2531234.351.480
Eugenio Suárez
DH .237311.315.371
Dane Myers
CF .243312.352.405
Spencer Steer
1B .271721.338.442
Tyler Stephenson
C .181415.284.307
Matt McLain
2B .198520.296.326

New York Mets — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Carson Benge
DH .247318.313.337
Bo Bichette
SS .227527.274.323
Mark Vientos
1B .232623.270.390
Marcus Semien
2B .219419.268.316
A.J. Ewing
CF .27314.385.386
MJ Melendez
LF .21126.333.366
Nick Morabito
RF .00000.083.000
Brett Baty
3B .236321.309.354
Luis Torrens
C .185011.250.259

Pontszerző akciók

2
Spencer Steer grounds into a force out, shortstop Bo Bichette to second baseman Marcus Semien. Sal Stewart scores. Eugenio Suárez to 3rd. Nathaniel Lowe out at 2nd. Spencer Steer to 1st.
1-0
2
Tyler Stephenson strikes out swinging.
2-0
3
JJ Bleday homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.
3-0
4
Spencer Steer singles on a ground ball to center fielder A.J. Ewing. Eugenio Suárez scores. Nathaniel Lowe scores.
5-0
4
Tyler Stephenson homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Spencer Steer scores.
7-0
6
Marcus Semien homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.
7-1
7
Carson Benge grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Brett Baty scores.
7-2

Cincinnati Reds — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Blake DunnRF
4000010.317.866
Elly De La CruzSS
5000040.282.863
JJ BledayLF
4111121.270.973
Sal Stewart3B
3100020.253.831
Eugenio SuárezDH
3220100.237.686
Dane MyersCF
0000000.243.757
Spencer Steer1B
4113010.271.780
Tyler StephensonC
4112031.181.591
Matt McLain2B
4000020.198.622
Összesen337664152
BATTING
2B: Lowe, N (9, McLean); Suárez, E (4, Warren, A).
HR: Bleday (7, 3rd inning off McLean, 0 on, 2 out); Stephenson, T (4, 4th inning off McLean, 1 on, 0 out).
TB: Bleday 4; Lowe, N 2; Steer; Stephenson, T 4; Suárez, E 3.
RBI: Bleday (21); Steer 3 (21); Stephenson, T 2 (15).
2-out RBI: Bleday.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: McLain, M; Stephenson, T; Stewart, S.
Team RISP: 1-for-8.
Team LOB: 5.
1-Ran for Lowe, N in the 8th.

New York Mets — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Carson BengeDH
3011000.247.650
Bo BichetteSS
4030010.227.597
Mark Vientos1B
4010020.232.660
Marcus Semien2B
4121001.219.584
A.J. EwingCF
4010010.273.771
MJ MelendezLF
1000010.211.699
Nick MorabitoRF
4000030.000.083
Brett Baty3B
4110010.236.663
Luis TorrensC
4000020.185.509
Összesen342920121
BATTING
2B: Baty (8, Burke, B).
HR: Semien (4, 6th inning off Lodolo, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Baty 2; Benge; Bichette 3; Ewing; Semien 5; Vientos.
RBI: Benge (18); Semien (19).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Semien; Morabito; Vientos 2.
SAC: Taylor, T.
Team RISP: 0-for-6.
Team LOB: 8.
BASERUNNING
CS: Benge (2, 2nd base by Lodolo/Stephenson, T).

Cincinnati Reds — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Nick Lodolo(W, 1-1)
6.061107198-655.57
Brock Burke
0.211100013-103.65
Tejay Antone
0.120000016-115.87
Sam Moll
1.000003012-92.74
Graham Ashcraft
1.000002013-103.33

New York Mets — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Nolan McLean(L, 2-4)
3.157726278-474.40
Austin Warren
1.210013036-231.56
Jonathan Pintaro
2.200013040-240.00
Tobias Myers
1.100003020-163.41

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: Vic Carapazza; First Base: Emil Jimenez; Second Base: Edwin Moscoso; Third Base: Hunter Wendelstedt
Helyszín: Citi Field, Flushing
Időjárás: 71°F, Partly Cloudy
Szél: 4 mph, Out To CF

Cincinnati Reds — Hirek

New York Mets — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Reds
STAT
Mets
31-29 Merleg 26-35
51.7% Win % 42.6%
.517 PCT .426
262 Szerzett pontok 244
300 Kapott pontok 263
60 Lejatszott merkoczesek 61
W1 Sorozat L2
5-5 Utolsó 10 4-6
16-15 Hazai merleg 15-15
15-14 Idegenbeli merleg 11-20

Egymas elleni merkoczesek

1
Utolso 2 talalkozas
1
Máj 27
Reds 2 - 4 Mets
Máj 26
Reds 7 - 2 Mets

Reds Legutobbi

Jún 2 vs Royals 3-4 W
Jún 1 vs Royals 9-2 L
Máj 31 vs Braves 4-6 W
Máj 30 vs Braves 5-2 L
Máj 29 vs Braves 8-3 L

Mets Legutobbi

Jún 3 @ Mariners 7-1 W
Jún 2 @ Mariners 3-8 L
Jún 1 @ Mariners 2-3 L
Máj 31 vs Marlins 1-10 W
Máj 30 vs Marlins 1-6 W

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