Vissza a merkoczesekhez Hetfo, Máj 4, 2026

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees — Máj 4, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

Yankee Stadium, Bronx
70°F, Clear
13 mph, Out To LF
W Cam Schlittler L Shane Baz

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Orioles 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 10 1
Yankees 2 0 1 0 0 3 0 6 - 12 10 0

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Orioles 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 4
Yankees 2 0 1 0 1 2 0 1 0 7
Confidence: 82% Yankees favored
The Yankees enter this series finale looking to complete a four-game sweep of their AL East rivals, riding an offensive tsunami that has produced 27 runs in three games against Baltimore. Cam Schlittler gets the ball for New York in what amounts to a bullpen game masquerading as a regular start, given the extensive injuries to their rotation. The hard-throwing righty has shown promise with a 97+ mph fastball and developing secondary stuff, but faces his toughest test yet against a desperate Orioles lineup. Baltimore counters with Shane Baz, whose 4.50 ERA and 1.50 WHIP reflect ongoing command issues despite solid velocity. The Orioles are reeling from injuries to key position players like Jackson Holliday, Ryan Mountcastle, and Jordan Westburg, forcing them to rely on replacements who haven't matched their production. Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger have been unstoppable in this series, with Bellinger coming off a 4-for-4, two-homer performance that extended the Yankees' dominance. The home team's +65 run differential speaks to their balanced attack, while Baltimore's -30 mark highlights their struggles on both sides of the ball. The Yankees' bullpen should have the advantage in the later innings, having been less taxed during these blowout victories. Weather conditions at Yankee Stadium are ideal for offense with clear skies and a favorable south wind. The psychological momentum heavily favors New York, as Baltimore has looked overmatched in every facet of this series. While the Orioles showed fight in their recent series split with Houston, they appear outclassed by this Yankees juggernaut that's firing on all cylinders at home.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Yankees jump on Baz early with power hitting
Middle (4-6) 5R Both teams manufacture runs, Yankees extend lead
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battle with late Orioles rally attempt

Matchup Analysis

Yankees

Explosive offense averaging 5.3 runs per game
Dominant recent form against Baltimore
Strong home record at 11-5
Rotation depth with multiple key pitchers injured
Schlittler lacks extensive MLB track record

Orioles

Baz has solid velocity and four-pitch mix
Henderson and Alonso provide power threat
Desperate team motivation
Terrible recent form losing 4 straight
Major injury list decimating roster
Poor road record at 6-10

Risk Factors

Yankees' rotation injuries creating uncertainty
Orioles desperation factor in rivalry game

Key Matchups

Aaron Judge vs Shane Baz batter Judge's power vs Baz's elevated ERA
Gunnar Henderson vs Cam Schlittler batter Henderson's 9 HR vs inexperienced pitcher
Cody Bellinger vs Shane Baz batter Bellinger's hot streak vs struggling righty

Statistical Edges

First to Score Yankees 75%
Strikeouts 15 12-18
Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

The Yankees waste no time asserting their dominance, jumping on Shane Baz in the first inning when Aaron Judge launches a two-run blast to right field after Amed Rosario reaches base. Baz settles in temporarily, but the damage continues in the third when Cody Bellinger drives in another run with a sharp single to center. Cam Schlittler battles through early command issues, allowing Gunnar Henderson to drive home a run in the second inning with a sacrifice fly. The middle innings see both teams trading runs, with the Yankees extending their lead in the fifth on a Paul Goldschmidt RBI double and again in the sixth on a two-run rally sparked by Jazz Chisholm Jr. The Orioles mount their most serious threat in the fifth, capitalizing on Schlittler's elevated pitch count to push across two runs on consecutive hits by Pete Alonso and Taylor Ward. As the game moves to the later innings, the Yankees' bullpen advantage becomes apparent, with their relievers shutting down Baltimore's lineup while the home team tacks on an insurance run in the eighth. The Orioles make one final push in the eighth inning, manufacturing a run through small ball, but the deficit proves too large to overcome. The Yankees complete their series sweep in convincing fashion, extending their AL East lead while Baltimore's playoff hopes take another significant blow.
The confidence level of 82 reflects the Yankees' overwhelming recent dominance in this matchup, having outscored Baltimore 27-9 in three games while riding a three-game winning streak at home. The significant injury advantages and superior offensive production make this a strong lean toward the home team.
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Baltimore Orioles — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Gunnar Henderson
SS .208919.272.451
Adley Rutschman
C .289417.333.526
Dylan Beavers
RF .218210.296.322
Pete Alonso
1B .215615.320.415
Samuel Basallo
DH .234510.308.426
Leody Taveras
CF .280218.393.440
Colton Cowser
LF .19404.301.226
Jeremiah Jackson
2B .259624.276.446
Blaze Alexander
3B .22102.277.247

New York Yankees — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Trent Grisham
CF .176520.316.380
Max Schuemann
RF .00000.500.000
Cody Bellinger
LF .274523.367.492
Jasson Domínguez
DH .27314.333.500
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
2B .213312.302.328
Paul Goldschmidt
1B .17916.289.359
Austin Wells
C .19835.340.321
Ryan McMahon
3B .20229.287.298
José Caballero
SS .261413.313.412

Pontszerző akciók

1
Aaron Judge homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field. Trent Grisham scores.
0-2
3
Cody Bellinger out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Colton Cowser. Trent Grisham scores. Aaron Judge to 2nd.
0-3
6
Colton Cowser walks. Dylan Beavers scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd. Leody Taveras to 2nd.
1-3
6
Austin Wells walks.
1-4
6
Ryan McMahon singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Austin Wells to 2nd.
1-5
6
José Caballero doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Austin Wells scores. Ryan McMahon to 3rd.
1-6
8
Trent Grisham walks. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Austin Wells to 3rd. José Caballero to 2nd.
1-7
8
Aaron Judge singles on a line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Austin Wells scores. José Caballero scores. Trent Grisham to 2nd.
1-9
8
Cody Bellinger triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Beavers. Trent Grisham scores. Aaron Judge scores.
1-11
8
Jasson Domínguez singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Cody Bellinger scores.
1-12

Baltimore Orioles — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Gunnar HendersonSS
5010010.208.723
Adley RutschmanC
5010010.289.859
Dylan BeaversRF
4110020.218.618
Pete Alonso1B
4010010.215.735
Samuel BasalloDH
4000010.234.734
Leody TaverasCF
3010110.280.833
Colton CowserLF
2011200.194.527
Jeremiah Jackson2B
4010010.259.722
Blaze Alexander3B
4030000.221.524
Összesen351101380
BATTING
2B: Taveras, L (4, Doval).
TB: Alexander 3; Alonso; Beavers; Cowser; Henderson; Jackson, J; Rutschman; Taveras, L 2.
RBI: Cowser (4).
2-out RBI: Cowser.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Henderson; Cowser; Jackson, J 2; Beavers.
GIDP: Alexander; Rutschman.
Team RISP: 0-for-7.
Team LOB: 10.
FIELDING
E: Taveras, L (1, throw).
DP: (Jackson, J-Alonso).

New York Yankees — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Trent GrishamCF
3321200.176.696
Max SchuemannRF
0000000.000.500
Cody BellingerLF
4113000.274.859
Jasson DomínguezDH
4111100.273.833
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
4210110.213.630
Paul Goldschmidt1B
4010010.179.648
Austin WellsC
2200210.198.661
Ryan McMahon3B
4011010.202.585
José CaballeroSS
3111100.261.725
Összesen32121011841
BATTING
2B: Grisham 2 (5, Baz, Baz); Caballero (6, Cano).
3B: Bellinger (2, Trivino).
HR: Judge (14, 1st inning off Baz, 1 on, 0 out).
TB: Bellinger 3; Caballero 2; Chisholm Jr.; Domínguez; Goldschmidt; Grisham 4; Judge 5; McMahon.
RBI: Bellinger 3 (23); Caballero (13); Domínguez (4); Grisham (20); Judge 4 (27); McMahon (9).
2-out RBI: Bellinger 2; Domínguez; Grisham; McMahon; Caballero; Judge 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Domínguez; Grisham 2.
SF: Bellinger.
GIDP: Judge.
Team RISP: 6-for-10.
Team LOB: 5.
BASERUNNING
SB: Chisholm Jr. 2 (11, 2nd base off Baz/Rutschman, 3rd base off Trivino/Rutschman).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Chisholm Jr.-Caballero-Goldschmidt; Caballero-Chisholm Jr.-Goldschmidt).

Baltimore Orioles — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Shane Baz(L, 1-3)
5.256554196-544.99
Yennier Cano
0.21000009-71.50
Keegan Akin
0.20000007-617.18
Lou Trivino
0.246630031-1581.00
Weston Wilson
0.10000002-127.00

New York Yankees — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Cam Schlittler(W, 5-1)
5.271134095-591.52
Jake Bird(H, 4)
0.10000104-35.56
Tim Hill
1.010002012-111.29
Camilo Doval
1.01000108-86.23
Paul Blackburn
1.010000017-113.21

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: Mike Estabrook; First Base: Malachi Moore; Second Base: Lance Barrett; Third Base: Alfonso Márquez
Helyszín: Yankee Stadium, Bronx
Időjárás: 70°F, Clear
Szél: 13 mph, Out To LF

Baltimore Orioles — Hirek

New York Yankees — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Orioles
STAT
Yankees
29-33 Merleg 36-25
46.8% Win % 59.0%
.468 PCT .590
280 Szerzett pontok 313
323 Kapott pontok 221
62 Lejatszott merkoczesek 61
L1 Sorozat L2
6-4 Utolsó 10 6-4
19-15 Hazai merleg 17-11
10-18 Idegenbeli merleg 19-14

Egymas elleni merkoczesek

2
Utolso 5 talalkozas
3
Máj 13
Yankees 0 - 7 Orioles
Máj 12
Yankees 6 - 2 Orioles
Máj 11
Yankees 2 - 3 Orioles
Máj 3
Orioles 3 - 11 Yankees
Máj 2
Orioles 4 - 9 Yankees

Orioles Legutobbi

Jún 4 @ Red Sox 8-2 W
Jún 3 @ Red Sox 1-8 L
Jún 2 @ Red Sox 4-2 W
Máj 31 vs Blue Jays 5-9 W
Máj 30 vs Blue Jays 5-6 W

Yankees Legutobbi

Jún 4 vs Guardians 1-2 W
Jún 3 vs Guardians 5-4 L
Jún 2 vs Guardians 9-4 L
Máj 31 @ Athletics 13-8 W
Máj 30 @ Athletics 4-6 L

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