Vissza a merkoczesekhez Vasarnap, Máj 31, 2026

Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals — Máj 31, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

Busch Stadium, St. Louis
79°F, Cloudy
5 mph, R To L
W Matthew Liberatore L Jordan Wicks SV Hunter Dobbins

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Cubs 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 7 0
Cardinals 2 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 - 5 8 0

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Cubs 2 0 1 0 3 0 0 1 0 7
Cardinals 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 5
Confidence: 72% Cubs favored
This matchup presents a fascinating contrast between two struggling pitchers with vastly different recent performances. Jordan Wicks enters with an astronomical 16.61 ERA, having just been recalled from Iowa after struggling mightily in his previous MLB appearances. His recent start data shows concerning velocity drops and poor command. Meanwhile, Matthew Liberatore has been merely mediocre with a 4.76 ERA and 1.57 WHIP, but looks like Cy Young compared to his opponent. The Cubs' offense has been more productive overall, scoring 283 runs compared to St. Louis's 242, and they carry positive momentum from yesterday's 6-1 victory. The Cardinals are in desperate need of a turnaround, having gone 3-7 in their last 10 games and sitting with a negative run differential despite being above .500. Key injuries to Lars Nootbaar, Nathan Church, and Ramón Urías have depleted their lineup depth, though Jordan Walker continues to provide pop with 15 home runs. The Cubs have their own injury concerns with significant pitching losses including Justin Steele and several bullpen pieces, but their offensive core of Seiya Suzuki, Nico Hoerner, and Michael Conforto remains largely intact. The weather conditions favor hitters with 83-degree temperatures and overcast skies at Busch Stadium. Given Wicks' extreme struggles and the Cubs' superior offensive numbers, expect Chicago to jump on the Cardinals early and build a lead they can protect despite their own pitching limitations. Both bullpens figure to see significant work given the starting pitching uncertainty, creating opportunities for late-inning scoring. The Cubs' road struggles (14-16) are concerning, but Wicks' complete inability to miss bats or throw strikes consistently should override that trend tonight.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Wicks vulnerable early, Cardinals capitalize in 2nd
Middle (4-6) 5R Cubs break open in 5th inning against Liberatore
Late (7-9) 4R Both teams add runs against tired bullpens

Matchup Analysis

Cardinals

Jordan Walker's power hitting
Busch Stadium home environment
Liberatore's strikeout ability
Poor recent form 3-7 L10
Negative run differential
Depleted lineup with IL players

Cubs

Strong offensive production 283 runs
Positive momentum from yesterday's win
Better overall record
Jordan Wicks' 16.61 ERA disaster
Poor road record 14-16
Extensive injury list

Risk Factors

Wicks could implode early
Cardinals desperate for home wins

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Jordan Wicks batter Walker's power vs Wicks' control issues
Seiya Suzuki vs Matthew Liberatore batter Suzuki hitting well vs Liberatore's inconsistency
Nico Hoerner vs Matthew Liberatore batter Contact hitter vs pitcher with WHIP concerns

Statistical Edges

First to Score Cubs 68%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 12 10-14

Game Preview

The Cubs waste no time attacking Matthew Liberatore in the first inning, with Seiya Suzuki and Nico Hoerner working deep counts before Suzuki drives in two with a double down the left field line. St. Louis responds immediately in the bottom half as Jordan Walker connects on a Jordan Wicks fastball for his 16th home run, but Wicks' command issues persist as he walks the next two batters before escaping further damage. The game's turning point comes in the fifth inning when the Cubs capitalize on Liberatore's elevated pitch count. After Michael Conforto leads off with a single, Carson Kelly doubles him to third. Hoerner delivers with a two-out single, and when the Cardinals bring in Ryan Fernandez from the bullpen, he immediately surrenders a two-run double to put Chicago ahead 6-2. Walker adds another RBI single in the seventh to keep the Cardinals within striking distance, and substitute catcher Jimmy Crooks drives in his first run of the season with a clutch single in the ninth, but it's too little, too late. Wicks, despite his inflated ERA, manages to grind through five innings by inducing weak contact when he finds the strike zone, though he walks four and throws 97 pitches. The Cubs' bullpen, while depleted by injuries, holds firm in the final four innings as they complete the series victory and send the Cardinals to their second loss in three games against their division rivals.
My 72% confidence reflects the stark contrast in starting pitcher performance - Wicks' 16.61 ERA is genuinely catastrophic, but Liberatore's struggles and the Cardinals' poor recent form create enough uncertainty to prevent higher confidence. The Cubs' superior offensive production and yesterday's momentum provide the edge.
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Chicago Cubs — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Nico Hoerner
2B .252433.335.357
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CF .237726.325.388
Alex Bregman
3B .259518.341.364
Seiya Suzuki
RF .244719.332.395
Ian Happ
LF .2301331.349.469
Carson Kelly
C .289217.369.373
Michael Busch
1B .243635.370.388
Michael Conforto
DH .269413.376.538
Dansby Swanson
SS .183727.293.330

St. Louis Cardinals — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt
2B .250925.362.407
Iván Herrera
DH .265727.391.431
Jordan Walker
RF .2901543.357.551
Nelson Velázquez
LF .42913.500.857
Alec Burleson
1B .281738.350.438
Masyn Winn
SS .234120.312.314
Victor Scott II
CF .18627.253.250
Nolan Gorman
3B .210625.291.331
Pedro Pagés
C .21649.258.353

Pontszerző akciók

1
Jordan Walker singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera to 2nd.
0-1
1
Alec Burleson pops out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch. Iván Herrera scores. Nelson Velázquez to 2nd.
0-2
3
Alec Burleson singles on a fly ball to left fielder Ian Happ. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera to 3rd. Alec Burleson to 2nd.
0-3
3
Masyn Winn singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Iván Herrera scores. Alec Burleson scores.
0-5
6
Alex Bregman homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.
1-5

Chicago Cubs — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Nico Hoerner2B
4010000.252.692
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
4010000.237.713
Alex Bregman3B
4111011.259.705
Seiya SuzukiRF
4000020.244.727
Ian HappLF
4000020.230.818
Carson KellyC
4000010.289.742
Michael Busch1B
4020010.243.758
Michael ConfortoDH
2010000.269.914
Dansby SwansonSS
2000110.183.623
Összesen34171181
BATTING
2B: Conforto (9, Dobbins).
HR: Bregman (5, 6th inning off Dobbins, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Alcántara; Bregman 4; Busch 2; Conforto 2; Crow-Armstrong; Hoerner.
RBI: Bregman (18).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Conforto; Hoerner 2; Happ; Bregman.
Team RISP: 0-for-8.
Team LOB: 7.
FIELDING
PB: Kelly, C (2).
DP: 2 (Bregman-Hoerner-Busch; Bregman-Busch).
a-Doubled for Alcántara in the 7th.

St. Louis Cardinals — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
JJ Wetherholt2B
3220110.250.769
Iván HerreraDH
3220100.265.822
Jordan WalkerRF
4011010.290.908
Nelson VelázquezLF
4010000.4291.357
Alec Burleson1B
3112100.281.788
Masyn WinnSS
4012010.234.626
Victor Scott IICF
1000000.186.503
Nolan Gorman3B
1000010.210.622
Pedro PagésC
2000000.216.611
Összesen29585450
BATTING
TB: Burleson; Herrera 2; Velázquez, N; Walker, J; Wetherholt 2; Winn.
RBI: Burleson 2 (38); Walker, J (43); Winn 2 (20).
2-out RBI: Burleson; Winn 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Winn; Scott II; Herrera.
SAC: Pagés, P.
GIDP: Walker, J; Winn.
Team RISP: 3-for-13.
Team LOB: 5.
BASERUNNING
SB: Wetherholt (7, 2nd base off Rolison/Kelly, C).
a-Struck out for Saggese in the 6th.

Chicago Cubs — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Jordan Wicks(L, 0-2)
2.043301049-3215.63
Ethan Roberts
1.032202022-151.69
Trent Thornton
2.000011028-181.98
Phil Maton
1.000001014-97.23
Ryan Rolison
2.010030034-162.89

St. Louis Cardinals — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Matthew Liberatore(W, 3-3)
5.130014085-584.35
Hunter Dobbins(S, 1)
3.241104161-414.50

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: Quinn Wolcott; First Base: Ramon De Jesus; Second Base: Paul Clemons; Third Base: Edwin Jimenez
Helyszín: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Időjárás: 79°F, Cloudy
Szél: 5 mph, R To L

Chicago Cubs — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Cubs
STAT
Cardinals
32-29 Merleg 31-28
52.5% Win % 52.5%
.525 PCT .525
285 Szerzett pontok 252
267 Kapott pontok 266
61 Lejatszott merkoczesek 59
L2 Sorozat L2
3-7 Utolsó 10 3-7
18-12 Hazai merleg 15-16
14-17 Idegenbeli merleg 16-12

Egymas elleni merkoczesek

1
Utolso 2 talalkozas
1
Máj 30
Cubs 6 - 1 Cardinals
Máj 29
Cubs 5 - 6 Cardinals

Cubs Legutobbi

Jún 2 vs Athletics 2-1 L
Máj 30 @ Cardinals 6-1 W
Máj 29 @ Cardinals 5-6 L
Máj 28 @ Pirates 7-2 W
Máj 27 @ Pirates 10-4 W

Cardinals Legutobbi

Jún 2 vs Rangers 7-4 L
Jún 1 vs Rangers 2-1 L
Máj 30 vs Cubs 6-1 L
Máj 29 vs Cubs 5-6 W
Máj 27 @ Brewers 1-2 L

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