Vissza a merkoczesekhez Szerda, Ápr 22, 2026

Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays — Ápr 22, 2026 | AI előrejelzés és statisztikák

Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
72°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Nick Martinez L Brandon Williamson

Eredmenytabla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 1
Rays 0 3 1 0 1 0 1 0 - 6 9 0

AI ELOREJELZESNeuronhalozat elorejelzes

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Reds 2 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 1 7
Rays 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 72% Reds favored
The Cincinnati Reds enter this series finale riding a five-game winning streak and boasting an impressive 10-2 road record, while the Tampa Bay Rays are reeling from three consecutive losses and dealing with significant roster depletion. The pitching matchup features contrasting styles: Nick Martinez brings a solid 2.46 ERA and excellent command with his ground-ball heavy approach, while Brandon Williamson carries a concerning 5.66 BB/9 rate despite respectable overall numbers. Martinez's ability to induce weak contact could be crucial given Tampa Bay's bullpen crisis, with multiple key relievers on the injured list including Edwin Uceta and recent additions to the IL. Cincinnati's offensive momentum is led by Elly De La Cruz, whose combination of power (6 HR) and speed creates multiple ways to impact games. His ability to work counts and steal bases could be particularly effective against Martinez's methodical approach. The Reds have averaged over seven runs per game during their current winning streak, showing the type of offensive explosion that has been missing from Tampa Bay's recent performances. Yandy Díaz remains the Rays' most consistent threat with a .326 average, but the supporting cast has struggled to provide adequate run support. The series context heavily favors Cincinnati, having outscored Tampa Bay 18-7 in the first two games while demonstrating superior depth and execution. Tampa Bay's recent transactions, including placing Mason Englert on the IL and calling up Trevor Martin, highlight their bullpen concerns. With Nick Martinez likely needing to pitch deeper into the game due to relief pitching limitations, any early trouble could prove costly. The Reds' superior team health, road performance, and current momentum make them strong favorites to complete the series sweep, though Martinez's crafty repertoire gives Tampa Bay a fighting chance if he can navigate the lineup multiple times effectively.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Williamson's control issues create early opportunities
Middle (4-6) 3R Both starters settle but bullpens enter early
Late (7-9) 5R Tampa Bay's depleted bullpen struggles in late innings

Matchup Analysis

Rays

Nick Martinez's ground ball ability
Yandy Díaz leading offensive production
Tropicana Field home environment
Three-game losing streak momentum
Bullpen depth severely compromised by injuries
Struggling against quality pitching recently

Reds

Five-game winning streak and strong road record
Elly De La Cruz's power and speed combination
Better overall team health and depth
Brandon Williamson's walk rate concerns
Inconsistent offensive production beyond key hitters
Facing familiar opponent after recent dominance

Risk Factors

Martinez pitch count management with bullpen concerns
Williamson's volatility could create big innings either way

Key Matchups

Elly De La Cruz vs Nick Martinez batter Speed vs groundball pitcher creates stolen base opportunities
Yandy Díaz vs Brandon Williamson batter Contact hitter vs control issues pitcher favors Díaz

Statistical Edges

First to Score Reds 68%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 12 10-14

Game Preview

The game begins with Brandon Williamson struggling with his command early, walking the leadoff hitter and allowing a stolen base before Elly De La Cruz drives in two runs with a double to left-center field. Nick Martinez settles into a rhythm after the rocky start, using his changeup and sinker combination to induce three groundouts and escape the first inning trailing 2-0. Tampa Bay responds in the second when Yandy Díaz works a quality at-bat against Williamson, eventually driving home Nick Fortes with an RBI single to cut the deficit to 2-1. The middle innings see both pitchers find their groove, with Martinez effectively mixing his six-pitch repertoire to keep Cincinnati's hitters off balance while inducing several double-play grounders. However, Williamson's control issues resurface in the fourth inning when he walks two batters with one out, prompting an early bullpen call. The Reds capitalize on Tampa Bay's bullpen depth issues in the sixth and seventh innings, with De La Cruz adding another RBI and the bottom of the order contributing timely hits against the overworked relief corps. As the game progresses into the late innings, Tampa Bay's bullpen limitations become increasingly apparent. The Rays mount a modest rally in the eighth inning, with Junior Caminero delivering a clutch two-run single, but Cincinnati's fresher relief options hold firm. The Reds add insurance runs in the ninth inning against a Tampa Bay bullpen that has been stretched thin by recent usage patterns, ultimately securing a 7-5 victory to complete the series sweep and extend their road dominance to 11-2.
The 72% confidence reflects Cincinnati's superior momentum, health, and recent dominance in this matchup, while acknowledging that Nick Martinez's quality start potential and Tampa Bay's home field advantage prevent this from being a completely lopsided prediction. The Rays' bullpen concerns are a significant factor tilting toward Cincinnati.
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Cincinnati Reds — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
TJ Friedl
CF .16104.263.184
Matt McLain
2B .20004.327.256
Elly De La Cruz
SS .265818.330.549
Sal Stewart
1B .297824.389.615
Eugenio Suárez
3B .231311.300.363
Nathaniel Lowe
DH .23305.324.333
Spencer Steer
LF .22146.291.442
Will Benson
RF .17601.333.265
P.J. Higgins
C .20001.250.200

Tampa Bay Rays — Keret

JátékosPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Yandy Díaz
DH .340318.426.489
Jonathan Aranda
1B .224419.361.412
Junior Caminero
3B .260612.345.479
Richie Palacios
RF .26314.417.368
Jonny DeLuca
CF .280213.321.480
Ben Williamson
2B .24208.319.306
Chandler Simpson
LF .32305.347.365
Nick Fortes
C .29017.343.403
Taylor Walls
SS .20804.269.229

Pontszerző akciók

2
Ben Williamson singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Ryan Vilade scores. Jonny DeLuca to 3rd.
0-1
2
Chandler Simpson out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Will Benson. Jonny DeLuca scores. Throwing error by right fielder Will Benson.
0-2
2
Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Ben Williamson scores. Taylor Walls to 3rd.
0-3
3
Junior Caminero homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.
0-4
5
P.J. Higgins out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Spencer Steer to 3rd.
1-4
5
Ryan Vilade singles on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Yandy Díaz scores. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.
1-5
7
Junior Caminero grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Sal Stewart. Taylor Walls scores. Yandy Díaz to 3rd. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.
1-6

Cincinnati Reds — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
TJ FriedlCF
4010000.161.447
Matt McLain2B
4010010.200.583
Elly De La CruzSS
4000020.265.879
Sal Stewart1B
4010010.2971.004
Eugenio Suárez3B
4000010.231.663
Nathaniel LoweDH
4110010.233.657
Spencer SteerLF
3010000.221.733
Will BensonRF
2000100.176.598
P.J. HigginsC
2001010.200.450
Összesen31151170
BATTING
2B: Steer (5, Martinez, N).
TB: Friedl; Lowe, N; McLain, M; Steer 2; Stewart, S.
RBI: Higgins, P (1).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: McLain, M.
SF: Higgins, P.
Team RISP: 0-for-2.
Team LOB: 5.
FIELDING
E: Benson (1, throw).
DP: 3 (3 De La Cruz, E-McLain, M-Stewart, S).

Tampa Bay Rays — Ütés

JátékosABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Yandy DíazDH
4131010.340.915
Jonathan Aranda1B
2000120.224.773
Junior Caminero3B
4112001.260.824
Richie PalaciosRF
1000000.263.785
Jonny DeLucaCF
3100100.280.801
Ben Williamson2B
4111010.242.625
Chandler SimpsonLF
3011000.323.712
Nick FortesC
3000000.290.746
Taylor WallsSS
3110000.208.498
Összesen29696341
BATTING
HR: Caminero (6, 3rd inning off Williamson, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Caminero 4; Díaz, Y 3; Simpson; Vilade 2; Walls; Williamson.
RBI: Caminero 2 (12); Díaz, Y (18); Simpson (5); Vilade (3); Williamson (8).
2-out RBI: Díaz, Y.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Aranda; DeLuca.
SF: Simpson.
GIDP: DeLuca; Fortes; Williamson.
Team RISP: 3-for-10.
Team LOB: 5.
a-Grounded into a fielder's choice for Vilade in the 7th.

Cincinnati Reds — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Brandon Williamson(L, 2-2)
4.175533187-545.40
Connor Phillips
2.021101029-202.25
Tony Santillan
0.20000006-40.00
Brock Burke
1.00000009-60.79

Tampa Bay Rays — Dobás

DobóIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Nick Martinez(W, 1-1)
8.051116095-712.10
Kevin Kelly
1.000001013-105.23

Mérkőzés adatai

Játékvezetők: Home Plate: Ryan Blakney; First Base: Nick Mahrley; Second Base: Marvin Hudson; Third Base: Tripp Gibson
Helyszín: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Időjárás: 72°F, Roof Closed
Szél: 0 mph, None

Cincinnati Reds — Hirek

Tampa Bay Rays — Hirek

Szezon osszehasonlitas

Reds
STAT
Rays
31-30 Merleg 36-23
50.8% Win % 61.0%
.508 PCT .610
264 Szerzett pontok 273
305 Kapott pontok 268
61 Lejatszott merkoczesek 59
L1 Sorozat L3
5-5 Utolsó 10 2-8
16-16 Hazai merleg 21-9
15-14 Idegenbeli merleg 15-14

Egymas elleni merkoczesek

2
Utolso 2 talalkozas
0
Ápr 21
Reds 12 - 6 Rays
Ápr 20
Reds 6 - 1 Rays

Reds Legutobbi

Jún 3 vs Royals 5-2 L
Jún 2 vs Royals 3-4 W
Jún 1 vs Royals 9-2 L
Máj 31 vs Braves 4-6 W
Máj 30 vs Braves 5-2 L

Rays Legutobbi

Jún 3 vs Tigers 7-2 L
Jún 2 vs Tigers 8-0 L
Jún 1 vs Tigers 10-9 L
Máj 31 vs Angels 2-5 W
Máj 30 vs Angels 14-3 L

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