Natrag na utakmice Subota, Tra 25, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers — Tra 25, 2026 | AI predviđanje i statistike

American Family Field, Milwaukee
62°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Gregory Soto L Angel Zerpa SV Yohan Ramírez

Semafor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 R H E
Pirates 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 6 9 1
Brewers 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 6 1

AI PREDIKCIJAPrognoza neuronske mreze

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Pirates 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 5
Brewers 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 68% Pirates favored
This matchup features contrasting styles with Milwaukee's Jacob Misiorowski bringing elite velocity against Pittsburgh's Mitch Keller's crafty veteran approach. Misiorowski has shown promising stuff with his 98.7 mph fastball and developing slider, but his recent starts reveal command inconsistencies that could be exploited by a Pirates lineup featuring hot hitters like Oneil Cruz (.284, 8 HR) and Ryan O'Hearn (.325, 4 HR). The young right-hander's 98-pitch outing on April 19th suggests stamina questions that Pittsburgh can exploit if they work deep counts early. Keller brings stability with his 2.79 ERA and diverse six-pitch mix, though his declining strikeout rate (5.90 K/9) indicates he's pitching to contact more than in previous seasons. His sweeper has been particularly effective this season, generating weak contact against right-handed hitters like William Contreras and Brice Turang. The Pirates' recent 6-0 shutout victory over these same Brewers provides crucial psychological momentum, especially with Cruz and Brandon Lowe combining for 15 home runs already. Milwaukee's offensive struggles are compounded by key injuries to Christian Yelich and Jackson Chourio, forcing them to rely on inconsistent contributors like Sal Frelick (.211) and the recently designated Luis Matos. The cold 45-degree conditions favor pitching but could affect Misiorowski's grip on his high-spin slider more than Keller's lower-velocity arsenal. Milwaukee's three-game losing streak and Pittsburgh's superior run differential (+26 vs +17) suggest the visitors enter with both statistical and momentum advantages in this pivotal divisional matchup.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Both starters struggling with command in first three innings
Middle (4-6) 4R Offensive adjustments against secondary pitches paying off
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpens settle in but Cruz delivers clutch hit

Matchup Analysis

Brewers

Misiorowski's triple-digit velocity
William Contreras behind the plate
Home field advantage in cold weather
Three-game losing streak
Missing Yelich and Chourio
Young pitcher in big spot

Pirates

Oneil Cruz's power surge
Keller's veteran experience
Momentum from shutout victory
Road record struggles
Limited offensive depth
Keller's declining strikeout rate

Risk Factors

Cold weather affecting grip
Misiorowski's inexperience in pressure situations

Key Matchups

Oneil Cruz vs Jacob Misiorowski batter Cruz's power vs young pitcher's command issues
William Contreras vs Mitch Keller batter Contreras hitting .291 with good plate discipline
Ryan O'Hearn vs Jacob Misiorowski batter O'Hearn's .325 average against hard throwers

Statistical Edges

First to Score Pirates 62%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 10 8-12

Game Preview

The game opens with Misiorowski's fastball reaching 101 mph but missing the strike zone, walking Nick Gonzales on four pitches before Oneil Cruz drives a hanging slider into the left field gap for an RBI double. Keller responds by inducing weak contact from Garrett Mitchell and Brice Turang, but William Contreras works a patient at-bat and lines a two-out RBI single to tie it 1-1 in the bottom of the first. The third inning becomes the turning point as Misiorowski's command wavers in the cold weather - Brandon Lowe launches a changeup over the right field wall, and Ryan O'Hearn follows with another RBI hit to give Pittsburgh a 3-1 lead. Milwaukee battles back in the fourth when Turang doubles and scores on consecutive groundouts, but Cruz strikes again in the fifth with a towering solo homer that showcases his immense power. The middle innings see both starters settle in, with Keller mixing his sweeper effectively and Misiorowski finding his slider command, but the Pirates' bullpen maintains the lead through the seventh and eighth. In the ninth, Milwaukee mounts a rally as pinch-hitter Sal Frelick reaches base and Contreras drives him home with a clutch double, but Cruz delivers the knockout blow with a two-out RBI single that caps his dominant performance and secures a 5-4 Pirates victory that extends Milwaukee's losing streak to four games.
The confidence level reflects Pittsburgh's recent dominance over Milwaukee, superior offensive production from Cruz and O'Hearn, and Keller's veteran experience advantage over the young Misiorowski. However, baseball's inherent unpredictability and Milwaukee's home field keep this from being a higher-confidence pick.
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Pittsburgh Pirates — Postava

IgračPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Oneil Cruz
CF .259824.320.518
Nick Yorke
3B .23014.324.328
Bryan Reynolds
RF .247317.383.381
Ryan O'Hearn
DH .330416.419.511
Nick Gonzales
2B .302013.341.337
Spencer Horwitz
1B .26128.376.377
Jake Mangum
LF .27302.333.309
Konnor Griffin
SS .230112.284.324
Henry Davis
C .16103.266.214

Milwaukee Brewers — Postava

IgračPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Brice Turang
2B .270418.405.483
William Contreras
C .263214.340.389
Jake Bauers
1B .250515.308.452
Tyler Black
DH .25000.250.375
Garrett Mitchell
CF .246119.402.400
Sal Frelick
RF .20517.312.269
Greg Jones
LF .13301.133.133
Luis Rengifo
3B .16705.238.250
Joey Ortiz
SS .18004.265.180

Poentirajuće igre

4
Spencer Horwitz singles on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Bryan Reynolds scores. Nick Gonzales to 2nd.
1-0
4
Konnor Griffin singles on a line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Nick Gonzales scores. Jake Mangum to 3rd.
2-0
4
Garrett Mitchell grounds out, shortstop Konnor Griffin to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Jake Bauers scores. Tyler Black to 3rd.
2-1
4
Sal Frelick out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Tyler Black scores.
2-2
6
Spencer Horwitz out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Greg Jones. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Nick Gonzales to 3rd.
3-2
6
Sal Frelick out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Jake Bauers scores.
3-3
10
Bryan Reynolds singles on a ground ball to left fielder Greg Jones. Henry Davis scores. Nick Yorke to 2nd.
4-3
10
Nick Gonzales singles on a line drive to left fielder Greg Jones. Nick Yorke scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. Fielding error by left fielder Greg Jones.
6-3

Pittsburgh Pirates — Udaranje

IgračABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Oneil CruzCF
5000040.259.838
Nick Yorke3B
0100000.230.652
Bryan ReynoldsRF
3211120.247.764
Ryan O'HearnDH
4110020.330.930
Nick Gonzales2B
5131010.302.678
Spencer Horwitz1B
4012000.261.753
Jake MangumLF
4000020.273.642
Konnor GriffinSS
4021020.230.608
Henry DavisC
4100000.161.480
Ukupno376952150
BATTING
TB: Gonzales, N 3; Griffin 2; Horwitz; Lowe, B; O'Hearn; Reynolds, B.
RBI: Gonzales, N (13); Griffin (12); Horwitz 2 (8); Reynolds, B (17).
2-out RBI: Griffin; Gonzales, N.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Davis, H 2; Griffin.
SF: Horwitz.
GIDP: Horwitz.
Team RISP: 4-for-11.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: Griffin (6, 2nd base off Misiorowski/Contreras, Wm).
FIELDING
E: Mangum (1, fielding).
a-Walked for Lowe, B in the 10th.
1-Ran for Ozuna in the 10th.

Milwaukee Brewers — Udaranje

IgračABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Brice Turang2B
4010120.270.888
William ContrerasC
5000010.263.729
Jake Bauers1B
5220020.250.760
Tyler BlackDH
5120020.250.625
Garrett MitchellCF
4011000.246.802
Sal FrelickRF
0002200.205.581
Greg JonesLF
4000020.133.266
Luis Rengifo3B
2000010.167.488
Joey OrtizSS
3000100.180.445
Ukupno343634110
BATTING
2B: Black (1, Keller, M); Mitchell (5, Santana, D).
TB: Bauers 2; Black 3; Mitchell 2; Turang.
RBI: Frelick 2 (7); Mitchell (19).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Jones, G; Black.
SF: Frelick 2.
Team RISP: 1-for-7.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
E: Jones, G (1, fielding).
DP: (Hamilton, D-Ortiz, J-Bauers).
a-Struck out for Hamilton, D in the 7th.

Pittsburgh Pirates — Bacanje

BacačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Mitch Keller
5.053326093-603.18
Isaac Mattson(BS, 1)
1.00000004-31.15
Mason Montgomery
1.000011020-103.97
Dennis Santana
1.010011017-100.69
Gregory Soto(W, 2-0)
1.000001014-91.98
Yohan Ramírez(S, 1)
1.000002015-102.04

Milwaukee Brewers — Bacanje

BacačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Jacob Misiorowski
6.063319091-633.31
Aaron Ashby
2.010004021-182.60
Abner Uribe
1.00000108-74.35
Angel Zerpa(L, 0-2)
0.213111016-106.39
Grant Anderson
0.11000004-32.57

Informacije o utakmici

Suci: Home Plate: Scott Barry; First Base: Manny Gonzalez; Second Base: Jacob Metz; Third Base: Tom Hanahan
Stadion: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Vrijeme: 62°F, Roof Closed
Vjetar: 0 mph, None

Pittsburgh Pirates — Vijesti

Milwaukee Brewers — Vijesti

Usporedba sezona

Pirates
STAT
Brewers
33-29 Bilanca 37-22
53.2% Win % 62.7%
.532 PCT .627
320 Postignuti bodovi 292
287 Primljeni bodovi 200
62 Odigrane utakmice 59
L1 Serija L1
7-3 Zadnjih 10 7-3
18-15 Bilanca kod kuce 21-12
15-14 Bilanca u gostima 16-10

Medusobni dvoboji

1
Zadnjih 2 susreta
1
Tra 26
Pirates 0 - 5 Brewers
Tra 24
Pirates 6 - 0 Brewers

Pirates Nedavno

Lip 3 @ Astros 9-11 L
Lip 2 @ Astros 10-6 W
Svi 31 vs Twins 3-9 W
Svi 30 vs Twins 9-10 W
Svi 29 vs Twins 5-6 W

Brewers Nedavno

Lip 3 vs Giants 1-0 L
Lip 2 vs Giants 3-8 W
Lip 1 vs Giants 2-16 W
Svi 31 @ Astros 2-0 W
Svi 30 @ Astros 2-9 L

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