Natrag na utakmice Srijeda, Lip 3, 2026

New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners — Lip 3, 2026 | AI predviđanje i statistike

T-Mobile Park, Seattle
69°F, Partly Cloudy
8 mph, Out To LF
W Freddy Peralta L George Kirby

Semafor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Mets 1 0 0 4 1 0 0 1 0 7 14 0
Mariners 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 2

AI PREDIKCIJAPrognoza neuronske mreze

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Mets 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 3
Mariners 0 1 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 6
Confidence: 78% Mariners favored
This matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions, with Seattle riding an eight-game win streak while the Mets stumble through a disappointing season marred by injuries. George Kirby takes the mound for Seattle with a solid 3.77 ERA and excellent command, facing a Mets lineup missing key contributors Francisco Lindor, Luis Robert Jr., and Francisco Alvarez. Kirby's balanced pitch mix and improving velocity readings suggest he's hitting his stride at the perfect time for the surging Mariners. Freddy Peralta counters for New York with impressive strikeout numbers (9.27 K/9) but concerning walk rates (3.82 BB/9) that could spell trouble against a patient Seattle offense led by Victor Robles (.308 average) and Randy Arozarena's power threat. The Mets' road struggles (11-20) are deeply concerning, especially when combined with their extensive injury list that has forced them to rely on depth players. Juan Soto remains their primary offensive weapon, but he'll need significant support from an undermanned lineup. Seattle's home advantage at T-Mobile Park becomes even more pronounced given their 19-15 home record and the energy from their current hot streak. The Mariners have scored 36 more runs than they've allowed, a stark contrast to New York's -19 run differential that reflects their season-long struggles. Bullpen usage becomes a critical factor, with the Mets having played 12 extra-inning games this season - three more than any other team. This extended usage has taxed their relief corps, while Seattle's bullpen should be fresher and more reliable. The weather conditions favor pitchers slightly with overcast skies and mild temperatures, but the 8 mph wind shouldn't significantly impact play. Seattle's momentum, home field advantage, and superior health give them multiple edges in this matchup.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 1R Mets strike first against Kirby early
Middle (4-6) 4R Mariners break through against Peralta in middle innings
Late (7-9) 4R Both teams add runs, Mariners pull away late

Matchup Analysis

Mariners

Eight-game win streak momentum
Strong home record (19-15)
George Kirby's consistency with 3.77 ERA
Missing key catcher Cal Raleigh
Multiple infield injuries

Mets

Juan Soto's elite hitting (.297 average)
Freddy Peralta's strikeout ability (9.27 K/9)
Experience in close games
Terrible road record (11-20)
Depleted roster with 12 IL players
Poor run differential (-19)

Risk Factors

Mets desperation factor
Multiple extra-inning games taxing Mets bullpen

Key Matchups

Juan Soto vs George Kirby batter Soto's plate discipline vs Kirby's command
Randy Arozarena vs Freddy Peralta batter Arozarena's power vs Peralta's fastball-heavy approach

Statistical Edges

First to Score Mets 65%
Strikeouts 14 12-16
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

The game opens with Freddy Peralta finding his rhythm early, using his four-seam fastball to set up his devastating changeup against Seattle's patient hitters. Juan Soto provides the Mets with an early lead in the first inning, working a walk and scoring on a Brett Baty RBI single. George Kirby settles in after the early hiccup, using his expanded pitch mix to keep the Mets off balance through the first three frames. The turning point arrives in the fourth inning when Randy Arozarena launches a two-run homer off Peralta's elevated fastball, capitalizing on the pitcher's command issues that have plagued him this season. Victor Robles extends the rally with an RBI double, showcasing the type of clutch hitting that has fueled Seattle's remarkable eight-game streak. Kirby continues to cruise, mixing his slider and splitter effectively while the T-Mobile Park crowd energizes behind their surging team. The late innings see both teams trade runs, but Seattle's superior bullpen depth becomes evident as the Mets' overworked relievers struggle with command. The Mariners add insurance runs in the seventh and ninth innings, with their bench players contributing key hits that reflect the team chemistry driving their current success. Kirby exits after seven strong innings, leaving with the lead as Seattle's bullpen closes out another victory in what's becoming a magical stretch for the franchise.
High confidence stems from Seattle's eight-game win streak momentum, significant home field advantage, and the Mets' catastrophic road record (11-20) combined with their depleted roster. The run differential gap (+36 vs -19) reflects genuine quality differences between these teams.
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New York Mets — Postava

IgračPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Carson Benge
RF .252624.317.381
Bo Bichette
SS .226531.280.310
Juan Soto
DH .2931329.380.563
Jared Young
1B .29525.373.500
Brett Baty
3B .227323.296.330
Marcus Semien
2B .220623.272.336
A.J. Ewing
CF .25316.333.333
MJ Melendez
LF .207310.327.390
Luis Torrens
C .220013.278.300

Seattle Mariners — Postava

IgračPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
J.P. Crawford
SS .2241023.351.406
Julio Rodríguez
CF .2561332.312.461
Josh Naylor
1B .250625.312.351
Randy Arozarena
LF .280626.366.435
Luke Raley
RF .2611331.324.547
Cole Young
2B .250430.323.359
Rob Refsnyder
DH .11438.189.228
Jhonny Pereda
C .27524.356.425
Colt Emerson
3B .25538.333.549

Poentirajuće igre

1
Jared Young reaches on a fielder's choice. Bo Bichette scores. Juan Soto to 2nd. Throwing error by first baseman Josh Naylor.
1-0
1
J.P. Crawford homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.
1-1
4
Bo Bichette singles on a ground ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. MJ Melendez scores. Luis Torrens scores. Carson Benge to 2nd.
3-1
4
Jared Young doubles (3) on a ground ball to right fielder Luke Raley. Juan Soto scores.
5-1
5
MJ Melendez doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Luke Raley. A.J. Ewing scores. MJ Melendez to 3rd.
6-1
8
Bo Bichette out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Luis Torrens scores.
7-1

New York Mets — Udaranje

IgračABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Carson BengeRF
5110020.252.698
Bo BichetteSS
4143000.226.590
Juan SotoDH
5110000.293.943
Jared Young1B
5021010.295.873
Brett Baty3B
5000030.227.626
Marcus Semien2B
5000010.220.608
A.J. EwingCF
5130010.253.666
MJ MelendezLF
3111110.207.717
Luis TorrensC
4220010.220.578
Ukupno4171451100
BATTING
2B: Young, J (3, Kirby); Melendez, M (4, Bazardo); Torrens (8, Hoppe).
TB: Benge; Bichette 4; Ewing 3; Melendez, M 2; Soto, J; Torrens 3; Young, J 3.
RBI: Bichette 3 (31); Melendez, M (10); Young, J (5).
2-out RBI: Young, J.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Baty; Benge 2; Melendez, M; Semien 2.
SF: Bichette.
GIDP: Soto, J.
Team RISP: 3-for-15.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
SB: Soto, J (6, 2nd base off Kirby/Pereda); Benge (10, home off Kirby/Pereda); Ewing (5, 2nd base off Criswell, C/Pereda).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Bichette-Semien-Young, J; Semien-Bichette-Young, J).

Seattle Mariners — Udaranje

IgračABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
J.P. CrawfordSS
4131011.224.757
Julio RodríguezCF
3000120.256.773
Josh Naylor1B
4000000.250.663
Randy ArozarenaLF
3000120.280.801
Luke RaleyRF
4000020.261.871
Cole Young2B
4010000.250.682
Rob RefsnyderDH
2000000.114.417
Jhonny PeredaC
2010110.275.781
Colt Emerson3B
3000010.255.882
Ukupno31161391
BATTING
2B: Crawford, J (5, Peralta, F).
HR: Crawford, J (10, 1st inning off Peralta, F, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Canzone; Crawford, J 7; Pereda; Young.
RBI: Crawford, J (23).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Emerson.
GIDP: Arozarena; Naylor, J.
Team RISP: 0-for-4.
Team LOB: 6.
FIELDING
E: Naylor, J (4, throw); Emerson (2, throw).
DP: (Crawford, J-Naylor, J).
a-Flied out for Canzone in the 7th.

New York Mets — Bacanje

BacačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Freddy Peralta(W, 4-4)
6.0611261101-573.38
Brooks Raley
1.000011016-91.54
Luke Weaver
1.000002010-92.67
Joey Gerber
1.000000010-50.00

Seattle Mariners — Bacanje

BacačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
George Kirby(L, 5-5)
4.095415089-604.04
Eduard Bazardo
1.021102013-112.25
José A. Ferrer
1.010001013-81.63
Cooper Criswell
1.010001012-92.76
Alex Hoppe
2.011101017-135.65

Informacije o utakmici

Suci: Home Plate: Adam Beck; First Base: Jen Pawol; Second Base: Jeremie Rehak; Third Base: Dan Iassogna
Stadion: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Vrijeme: 69°F, Partly Cloudy
Vjetar: 8 mph, Out To LF

New York Mets — Vijesti

Seattle Mariners — Vijesti

Usporedba sezona

Mets
STAT
Mariners
26-35 Bilanca 33-29
42.6% Win % 53.2%
.426 PCT .532
244 Postignuti bodovi 266
263 Primljeni bodovi 230
61 Odigrane utakmice 62
L2 Serija W8
4-6 Zadnjih 10 8-2
15-15 Bilanca kod kuce 19-15
11-20 Bilanca u gostima 14-14

Medusobni dvoboji

0
Zadnjih 2 susreta
2
Lip 2
Mets 3 - 8 Mariners
Lip 1
Mets 2 - 3 Mariners

Mets Nedavno

Lip 2 @ Mariners 3-8 L
Lip 1 @ Mariners 2-3 L
Svi 31 vs Marlins 1-10 W
Svi 30 vs Marlins 1-6 W
Svi 29 vs Marlins 7-9 W

Mariners Nedavno

Lip 2 vs Mets 3-8 W
Lip 1 vs Mets 2-3 W
Svi 31 vs Diamondbacks 2-3 W
Svi 30 vs Diamondbacks 1-5 W
Svi 29 vs Diamondbacks 6-7 W

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