Natrag na utakmice Subota, Svi 30, 2026

Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals — Svi 30, 2026 | AI predviđanje i statistike

Busch Stadium, St. Louis
78°F, Cloudy
5 mph, Out To LF
W Ben Brown L Ryan Fernandez

Semafor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Cubs 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 2 6 12 0
Cardinals 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 3

AI PREDIKCIJAPrognoza neuronske mreze

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Cubs 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 3
Cardinals 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 68% Cardinals favored
This NL Central matchup presents a fascinating contrast between Ben Brown's early-season brilliance and Kyle Leahy's inconsistent form. Brown enters with a sparkling 2.02 ERA, relying heavily on his knuckle curve (37.2%) and mid-90s fastball to dominate opposing hitters. His recent velocity readings show he's maintaining stuff, touching 98+ MPH consistently. However, the Cubs' road struggles (13-16) and brutal recent form (2-8 in last 10) suggest underlying issues beyond pitching. The Cubs' IL list reads like a medical ward, with key arms like Justin Steele, Hunter Harvey, and Porter Hodge all sidelined long-term, putting enormous pressure on their remaining starters. For St. Louis, Kyle Leahy represents both opportunity and concern. His 4.44 ERA and 1.55 WHIP indicate command issues, but his diverse six-pitch mix gives him multiple weapons when he locates. Jordan Walker continues to be the Cardinals' offensive catalyst with his .300 average and 15 home runs, providing the type of middle-of-the-order threat that can change games. The Cardinals' recent 6-5 victory over these same Cubs yesterday provides momentum, though their 3-7 record in the last 10 games shows this team's inconsistency. The key lies in execution and home field advantage. Brown's dominance makes the Cubs dangerous early, but Leahy's ability to work deep into games could prove crucial as Chicago's depleted bullpen becomes a factor. The Cardinals' home crowd and familiar surroundings should provide the edge in what projects as a low-scoring, pitching-driven affair. Weather conditions are neutral with overcast skies and mild southeast winds, unlikely to significantly impact ball flight or pitcher comfort.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Brown's control could waver early, Leahy settling in
Middle (4-6) 3R Both starters finding rhythm, isolated scoring chances
Late (7-9) 2R Cardinals bullpen advantage shows in close game

Matchup Analysis

Cardinals

Home field advantage at Busch Stadium
Jordan Walker's power threat (.300 avg, 15 HR)
Fresh off yesterday's comeback win momentum
Kyle Leahy's inconsistent command (4.44 ERA, 1.55 WHIP)
Depleted outfield with IL injuries

Cubs

Ben Brown's dominant 2.02 ERA
Better run differential (+18 vs -9)
Balanced lineup with Suzuki and Hoerner
Poor road record (13-16)
Struggling in recent form (2-8 last 10)
Decimated pitching depth on IL

Risk Factors

Brown could dominate if command is sharp
Cardinals recent offensive struggles

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Ben Brown batter Walker's power vs Brown's fastball command
Seiya Suzuki vs Kyle Leahy batter Suzuki excels against inconsistent breaking balls

Statistical Edges

First to Score Cubs 62%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Ben Brown takes the mound with his knuckle curve working from the first pitch, striking out Victor Scott II to open the game. However, Jordan Walker ambushes a first-pitch fastball in the bottom of the first, driving it to the gap for a leadoff double that energizes the Busch Stadium crowd. Brown escapes without damage, but the tone is set for a chess match between two determined teams. The Cubs break through in the second when Seiya Suzuki works a patient at-bat against Leahy's erratic command, drawing a walk before scoring on Nico Hoerner's two-out RBI single. Leahy's diverse pitch mix keeps Chicago off balance through the middle innings, but his inconsistent strike zone gives the Cubs opportunities. The Cardinals answer in the fourth with a two-run rally sparked by Walker's second hit and RBI production from their bottom-of-the-order contributors. As the game progresses into the seventh and eighth innings, Brown's pitch count climbs and his command begins to fade slightly. The Cardinals capitalize on a rare mistake, manufacturing the decisive runs through small-ball tactics and timely hitting. St. Louis' bullpen, fresher than Chicago's overworked relief corps, holds the lead through the final frames. Walker's offensive performance proves to be the difference, as the Cardinals take advantage of home field and their opponent's recent road struggles to secure a series-clinching victory.
Moderate confidence based on clear home field advantage and Cubs' poor road record, but Ben Brown's dominance keeps this from being a lock. The pitching matchup heavily favors Chicago, but situational factors lean toward St. Louis.
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Chicago Cubs — Postava

IgračPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CF .237726.327.391
Nico Hoerner
2B .252433.336.359
Michael Busch
1B .238635.368.386
Alex Bregman
3B .260417.342.353
Ian Happ
LF .2341331.355.478
Seiya Suzuki
RF .250719.339.405
Moisés Ballesteros
DH .231620.306.408
Miguel Amaya
C .21739.343.349
Dansby Swanson
SS .185727.293.333

St. Louis Cardinals — Postava

IgračPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt
2B .244925.356.404
Iván Herrera
DH .260727.386.428
Alec Burleson
1B .280736.347.439
Jordan Walker
RF .2901542.359.557
Nolan Gorman
3B .211625.293.333
Masyn Winn
SS .234118.313.315
Jimmy Crooks
C .00000.000.000
Bryan Torres
LF .27313.333.500
Victor Scott II
CF .18727.255.252

Poentirajuće igre

4
Alec Burleson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. JJ Wetherholt scores. Alec Burleson out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Seiya Suzuki to catcher Miguel Amaya to shortstop Dansby Swanson.
0-1
5
Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.
1-1
6
Nico Hoerner singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Miguel Amaya scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 2nd.
2-1
6
Michael Busch out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Walker. Dansby Swanson scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd.
3-1
8
Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.
4-1
9
Dansby Swanson walks.
5-1
9
Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Seiya Suzuki scores. Miguel Amaya to 3rd. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.
6-1

Chicago Cubs — Udaranje

IgračABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
5242011.237.718
Nico Hoerner2B
6021000.252.695
Michael Busch1B
4012000.238.754
Alex Bregman3B
4010110.260.695
Ian HappLF
5120010.234.833
Seiya SuzukiRF
5110010.250.744
Moisés BallesterosDH
5010010.231.714
Miguel AmayaC
3100000.217.692
Dansby SwansonSS
3100220.185.626
Ukupno406125371
BATTING
2B: Crow-Armstrong (8, Leahy); Suzuki (5, Graceffo); Happ (10, Pushard).
HR: Crow-Armstrong (7, 8th inning off Graceffo, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Ballesteros; Bregman; Busch; Crow-Armstrong 8; Happ 3; Hoerner 2; Suzuki 2.
RBI: Busch 2 (35); Crow-Armstrong 2 (26); Hoerner (33).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Busch; Swanson 2; Suzuki; Amaya; Bregman 2.
SF: Busch.
GIDP: Hoerner.
Team RISP: 3-for-14.
Team LOB: 14.
BASERUNNING
SB: Hoerner (11, 2nd base off Graceffo/Crooks).
FIELDING
Outfield assists: Suzuki 2 (Burleson at 2nd base, Herrera at 3rd base).
DP: (Bregman-Busch).

St. Louis Cardinals — Udaranje

IgračABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
JJ Wetherholt2B
4130000.244.760
Iván HerreraDH
4000010.260.814
Alec Burleson1B
4021000.280.786
Jordan WalkerRF
4000010.290.916
Nolan Gorman3B
3000030.211.626
Masyn WinnSS
2000100.234.628
Jimmy CrooksC
3000010.000.000
Bryan TorresLF
3000000.273.833
Victor Scott IICF
2000110.187.507
Ukupno29151270
BATTING
TB: Burleson 2; Wetherholt 3.
RBI: Burleson (36).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Scott II.
GIDP: Herrera.
Team RISP: 1-for-4.
Team LOB: 3.
FIELDING
E: Fernandez (2, throw); Gorman (2, fielding); Crooks (1, catcher interference).
DP: (Wetherholt-Winn-Burleson).

Chicago Cubs — Bacanje

BacačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Ben Brown(W, 2-2)
7.031116082-561.92
Jacob Webb(H, 3)
1.000011019-112.55
Daniel Palencia
1.020000013-92.31

St. Louis Cardinals — Bacanje

BacačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Kyle Leahy
4.161104078-544.25
Ryan Fernandez(L, 1-1)
1.002021031-171.86
Justin Bruihl
0.11000006-44.85
Gordon Graceffo
1.221102120-141.80
Matt Pushard
1.232110028-175.14

Informacije o utakmici

Suci: Home Plate: Edwin Jimenez; First Base: Quinn Wolcott; Second Base: Ramon De Jesus; Third Base: Paul Clemons
Stadion: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Vrijeme: 78°F, Cloudy
Vjetar: 5 mph, Out To LF

Chicago Cubs — Vijesti

St. Louis Cardinals — Vijesti

Usporedba sezona

Cubs
STAT
Cardinals
32-29 Bilanca 31-28
52.5% Win % 52.5%
.525 PCT .525
285 Postignuti bodovi 252
267 Primljeni bodovi 266
61 Odigrane utakmice 59
L2 Serija L2
3-7 Zadnjih 10 3-7
18-12 Bilanca kod kuce 15-16
14-17 Bilanca u gostima 16-12

Medusobni dvoboji

0
Zadnjih 2 susreta
2
Svi 31
Cubs 1 - 5 Cardinals
Svi 29
Cubs 5 - 6 Cardinals

Cubs Nedavno

Lip 2 vs Athletics 2-1 L
Svi 31 @ Cardinals 1-5 L
Svi 29 @ Cardinals 5-6 L
Svi 28 @ Pirates 7-2 W
Svi 27 @ Pirates 10-4 W

Cardinals Nedavno

Lip 2 vs Rangers 7-4 L
Lip 1 vs Rangers 2-1 L
Svi 31 vs Cubs 1-5 W
Svi 29 vs Cubs 5-6 W
Svi 27 @ Brewers 1-2 L

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