Natrag na utakmice Ponedjeljak, Lip 1, 2026

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals — Lip 1, 2026 | AI predviđanje i statistike

Nationals Park, Washington
77°F, Partly Cloudy
8 mph, In From RF
W Sandy Alcantara L Richard Lovelady

Semafor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Marlins 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 3 7 10 1
Nationals 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 0

AI PREDIKCIJAPrognoza neuronske mreze

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Marlins 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 3
Nationals 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 68% Nationals favored
This matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions. Washington rides a two-game winning streak and has found offensive life recently, averaging over 5 runs per game in their last 10 contests. The Nationals' paradoxical season continues - they've scored 324 runs while allowing 323, yet sit just one game over .500. Their curious home struggles (12-17) contrast sharply with their road success (19-12), making this a crucial homestand opener. Cade Cavalli brings intriguing upside with his 10.26 K/9 rate, though his 1.41 WHIP and 3.17 BB/9 suggest command remains a work in progress. His recent velocity readings have been encouraging, touching 99 mph consistently. Miami arrives in dire straits, losers of five straight including three brutal beatdowns by the Mets. Their 8-19 road record ranks among the worst in baseball, and offensive production has cratered during this skid. Sandy Alcantara, once Miami's ace, continues working back from injury with mixed results. His 4.66 ERA and decreased strikeout rate (6.21 K/9) indicate he's not yet the dominant force of previous seasons. The Marlins' rotation depth concerns intensify with Eury Pérez and Andrew Nardi both hitting the injured list recently. Xavier Edwards (.320) and Otto Lopez (.330) provide the few bright spots in an otherwise struggling lineup. The bullpen advantage clearly favors Washington, whose depth should prove crucial in a game where both starters face durability questions. Alcantara's pitch counts have been climbing, while Cavalli's walk issues could limit his innings. Miami's road woes combined with their current losing streak create a perfect storm for Washington to capitalize at home, despite their own venue struggles. The Nationals' recent offensive awakening, particularly from CJ Abrams (12 HRs) and Luis García Jr., should provide enough firepower against a Marlins staff missing key pieces.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 1R Both starters settle in after feeling out opposing lineups
Middle (4-6) 4R Key scoring bursts as Washington capitalizes on Alcantara's elevated pitch counts
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battle with Washington's depth proving decisive

Matchup Analysis

Nationals

Strong recent offensive surge
Superior bullpen depth
Home park advantage despite poor home record
Surprisingly poor home record (12-17)
Cavalli's inconsistent command

Marlins

Alcantara's veteran presence and durability
Edwards and Lopez providing offensive spark
Terrible road record (8-19)
Five-game losing streak momentum
Depleted pitching depth

Risk Factors

Cavalli's walk issues could spiral
Washington's home struggles continue

Key Matchups

CJ Abrams vs Sandy Alcantara batter Abrams' speed vs Alcantara's deliberate pace
Xavier Edwards vs Cade Cavalli batter Edwards' contact hitting vs Cavalli's walks

Statistical Edges

First to Score Marlins 55%
Strikeouts 15 12-18
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Sandy Alcantara takes the mound at Nationals Park looking to halt Miami's five-game slide, but faces an energized Washington lineup coming off consecutive wins over San Diego. The veteran right-hander works methodically through the first two innings, relying heavily on his sinker-changeup combination that once dominated NL hitters. However, the third inning brings trouble when CJ Abrams works a leadoff walk and eventually scores on a Luis García Jr. sacrifice fly, capitalizing on Alcantara's elevated pitch count. Cade Cavalli matches Alcantara's early effectiveness, using his improved velocity and sharp knuckle curve to keep Miami's contact hitters off balance. Xavier Edwards manages a fourth-inning single and steals second, eventually scoring on an Otto Lopez RBI single that briefly ties the game. But Washington responds immediately in their half of the fourth with their biggest rally of the night. Jacob Young leads off with a double, and Cavalli helps his own cause with a squeeze play that brings home the go-ahead run. The Nationals tack on another when Abrams drives in García Jr. with a clutch two-out single. The game's turning point comes in the sixth inning when Alcantara's pitch count reaches the mid-90s. Washington pounces on a hanging changeup to Curtis Mead, who lines it into the gap for an RBI double. Miami's depleted bullpen, already taxed from recent blowout losses, struggles to contain the Nationals' late rally. Washington adds insurance runs in the ninth inning through small-ball tactics that expose Miami's defensive positioning. The Marlins manage a final threat in the eighth when Christopher Morel reaches base and advances on wild pitches, but Washington's bullpen depth proves decisive as they secure a confidence-building 5-3 victory that snaps Miami's skid while extending their own positive momentum.
The confidence level reflects Washington's superior bullpen depth and Miami's glaring road struggles (8-19), though Alcantara's veteran presence and potential for Cavalli's command issues prevent higher certainty. Both teams have clear strengths that could swing the game.
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Miami Marlins — Postava

IgračPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Liam Hicks
DH .2681246.345.479
Otto Lopez
SS .333424.365.466
Kyle Stowers
LF .221413.301.379
Xavier Edwards
2B .313620.398.476
Leo Jiménez
3B .23101.328.250
Esteury Ruiz
RF .17825.224.422
Jakob Marsee
CF .194316.319.299
Joe Mack
C .20906.254.254
Connor Norby
1B .208415.313.335

Washington Nationals — Postava

IgračPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
James Wood
RF .2721639.409.543
Andrés Chaparro
1B .19004.370.286
Curtis Mead
3B .250826.363.493
CJ Abrams
SS .2941247.389.537
Daylen Lile
LF .249728.302.407
Jacob Young
CF .233827.289.392
José Tena
DH .219313.276.377
Keibert Ruiz
C .274525.287.504
Jorbit Vivas
2B .24115.328.324

Poentirajuće igre

1
Owen Caissie challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Owen Caissie walks. Liam Hicks scores. Otto Lopez to 3rd. Xavier Edwards to 2nd.
1-0
2
Jacob Young homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. CJ Abrams scores.
1-2
3
Curtis Mead singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. James Wood scores. Curtis Mead out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Kyle Stowers to second baseman Xavier Edwards.
1-3
6
Heriberto Hernández homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Leo Jiménez scores.
3-3
6
Connor Norby doubles (10) on a soft ground ball to right fielder James Wood. Jakob Marsee scores.
4-3
9
Liam Hicks homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.
5-3
9
Kyle Stowers homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Otto Lopez scores.
7-3

Miami Marlins — Udaranje

IgračABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Liam HicksDH
4211111.268.824
Otto LopezSS
4130100.333.831
Kyle StowersLF
4112021.221.680
Xavier Edwards2B
4010110.313.874
Leo Jiménez3B
5110020.231.578
Esteury RuizRF
1000010.178.646
Jakob MarseeCF
3100010.194.618
Joe MackC
3010000.209.508
Connor Norby1B
4011010.208.648
Ukupno3571074103
BATTING
2B: Lopez, O (15, Cavalli); Norby (10, Lovelady).
HR: Hernández, H (3, 6th inning off Lovelady, 1 on, 0 out); Hicks, L (12, 9th inning off Henry, 0 on, 1 out); Stowers (4, 9th inning off Henry, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Edwards, X; Hernández, H 4; Hicks, L 4; Jiménez, L; Lopez, O 4; Mack; Norby 2; Stowers 4.
RBI: Caissie (30); Hernández, H 2 (20); Hicks, L (46); Norby (15); Stowers 2 (13).
2-out RBI: Caissie.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Stowers; Marsee 2; Ruiz, E; Lopez, O; Edwards, X.
SAC: Mack; Stowers.
Team RISP: 1-for-9.
Team LOB: 8.
BASERUNNING
SB: Edwards, X (9, 2nd base off Henry/Ruiz, K).
FIELDING
E: Lopez, O (8, throw).
Outfield assists: Stowers (Mead at 2nd base).
a-Homered for Caissie in the 6th.

Washington Nationals — Udaranje

IgračABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
James WoodRF
4110020.272.952
Andrés Chaparro1B
0000000.190.656
Curtis Mead3B
4021010.250.856
CJ AbramsSS
4110000.294.926
Daylen LileLF
4010000.249.709
Jacob YoungCF
4112021.233.681
José TenaDH
3000010.219.653
Keibert RuizC
3000000.274.791
Jorbit Vivas2B
1000000.241.652
Ukupno32373171
BATTING
HR: Young (8, 2nd inning off Alcantara, S, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Abrams; Lile; Mead 2; Nuñez, N; Wood; Young 4.
RBI: Mead (26); Young 2 (27).
2-out RBI: Mead.
Team RISP: 1-for-2.
Team LOB: 3.
BASERUNNING
CS: Nuñez, N (3, 2nd base by Alcantara, S/Mack).
FIELDING
PB: Ruiz, K (3).
a-Flied out for Nuñez, N in the 8th.
1-Ran for García Jr., L in the 8th.

Miami Marlins — Bacanje

BacačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Sandy Alcantara(W, 4-4)
7.073305195-684.59
Michael Petersen(H, 6)
1.000011016-93.63
Pete Fairbanks
1.000001013-107.04

Washington Nationals — Bacanje

BacačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Cade Cavalli
5.052236089-583.62
Richard Lovelady(L, 2-3)(BS, 1)
0.222200114-83.38
Paxton Schultz
2.100002030-214.91
Cole Henry
1.033312232-217.20

Informacije o utakmici

Suci: Home Plate: Jim Wolf; First Base: Alex MacKay; Second Base: Alan Porter; Third Base: Roberto Ortiz
Stadion: Nationals Park, Washington
Vrijeme: 77°F, Partly Cloudy
Vjetar: 8 mph, In From RF

Miami Marlins — Vijesti

Washington Nationals — Vijesti

Usporedba sezona

Marlins
STAT
Nationals
28-34 Bilanca 31-31
45.2% Win % 50.0%
.452 PCT .500
264 Postignuti bodovi 330
285 Primljeni bodovi 337
62 Odigrane utakmice 62
W2 Serija L2
5-5 Zadnjih 10 6-4
18-15 Bilanca kod kuce 12-19
10-19 Bilanca u gostima 19-12

Medusobni dvoboji

4
Zadnjih 5 susreta
1
Lip 3
Marlins 4 - 1 Nationals
Lip 2
Marlins 7 - 3 Nationals
Svi 10
Nationals 2 - 5 Marlins
Svi 9
Nationals 7 - 8 Marlins
Svi 8
Nationals 3 - 2 Marlins

Marlins Nedavno

Lip 3 @ Nationals 4-1 W
Lip 2 @ Nationals 7-3 W
Svi 31 @ Mets 1-10 L
Svi 30 @ Mets 1-6 L
Svi 29 @ Mets 7-9 L

Nationals Nedavno

Lip 3 vs Marlins 4-1 L
Lip 2 vs Marlins 7-3 L
Svi 31 vs Padres 2-4 W
Svi 30 vs Padres 4-9 W
Svi 29 vs Padres 7-5 L

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