חזרה למשחקים רביעי, יול 22, 2026

Athletics vs Arizona Diamondbacks — יול 22, 2026 | תחזית AI וסטטיסטיקות

Chase Field, Phoenix
74°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Merrill Kelly L Gage Jump

לוח תוצאות

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Athletics 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 5 10 0
Diamondbacks 0 0 0 2 7 5 0 1 - 15 17 0

תחזית AIתחזית רשת עצבים

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Athletics 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 3
Diamondbacks 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 1 0 6
Confidence: 63% Diamondbacks favored
The rubber game of this Chase Field series features a genuine pitching mismatch that cuts in both directions. Gage Jump brings the superior surface numbers — a 3.78 ERA and 9.63 K/9 across 52.1 innings — and his fastball averaging 96.3 mph with a max touching 99.7 is a legitimate weapon in the desert heat. However, Jump is still building innings, working in the 86-89 pitch range, and Arizona's offense has shown resilience this month, going 7-3 over their last ten games. Merrill Kelly is a legitimate concern. His 5.20 ERA and 1.49 WHIP reflect a starter who is getting hit hard, and his velocity sitting 89-90 mph is below average. Shea Langeliers (22 HR) represents the clearest danger against Kelly's soft-tossing repertoire. The A's, however, are a mess right now — 2-8 in their last ten, a run differential of -112 on the season, and now without Mark Leiter Jr., their most-used reliever, due to a hip impingement. Their bullpen depth is severely compromised. Arizona's bullpen holds the decisive edge. Despite the massive pitching IL (Burnes, Gallen, Martinez, Nelson all out), the D-backs have cobbled together a functional late-inning group and are playing with house money at Chase Field. The 100-degree daytime heat will affect both sides equally, but Arizona's lineup is accustomed to these conditions and the home crowd factor in a pennant-relevant series game matters. Corbin Carroll (14 HR, .250) and Ildemaro Vargas (7 HR, 47 RBI) are the key bats to watch. If Jump labors into the fifth inning, the Oakland bullpen — now missing Leiter Jr. — could surrender the winning margin.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Kelly leaks runs; Jump holds DBacks early
Middle (4-6) 3R Arizona bats wake up vs. Jump mid-game
Late (7-9) 2R DBacks pen closes; A's offense fades

Matchup Analysis

Diamondbacks

Strong home record 30-22
7-3 last ten games
Corbin Carroll power threat
Kelly ERA 5.20 elevated
Heavy IL pitching losses

Athletics

Jump K-rate elite 9.63 K/9
Langeliers 22 HR pop
Away record respectable 23-28
2-8 last ten games
Leiter Jr. IL bullpen hit

Risk Factors

Kelly home ERA volatility
A's bullpen depleted by IL moves

Key Matchups

Corbin Carroll vs Gage Jump pitcher Jump's 96.3 mph fastball-heavy mix exploits Carroll's swing decisions
Shea Langeliers vs Merrill Kelly batter Kelly's 89 mph avg velo ripe for Langeliers' power stroke
Ildemaro Vargas vs Gage Jump batter Vargas's 7 HR contact approach can punish Jump off-speed mistakes

Statistical Edges

First to Score Diamondbacks 55%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 9 7-12

Game Preview

In the desert heat of a July afternoon at Chase Field, the Diamondbacks look to claim this three-game series with a victory that validates their 7-3 run over the past ten games. Merrill Kelly takes the ball knowing the A's will test his diminishing velocity early — Langeliers steps in the second inning and rips a Kelly changeup into the left-field seats to make it a 1-1 game, keeping Oakland competitive. But Jump's pitch count climbs faster than expected on this searing afternoon. Arizona's hitters foul off pitches and work counts against the young lefty, and in the third inning Vargas connects on a breaking ball that drifts over the heart of the plate, sending two runners home. Carroll adds an RBI single to make it 3-1 Arizona, and the crowd at Chase Field senses momentum shifting decisively. Kelly exits after five innings having allowed three runs on seven hits — acceptable given the circumstances — and Arizona's bullpen slams the door. The A's, running on fumes with a depleted relief corps and a lineup missing key pieces like Zack Gelof and Nick Kurtz, manage a run in the sixth but never seriously threaten to tie the game. Vargas's two-run third proves to be the decisive blow, and the Diamondbacks take the series 2-1, boosting their playoff positioning heading into late July.
Arizona's strong home record, clear bullpen advantage, and Oakland's 2-8 skid support the lean. Kelly's struggles and Jump's upside temper confidence. Series rubber game dynamics and injury-depleted Oakland bullpen tilt toward home.
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Athletics — סגל

שחקןעמדהAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Alika Williams
SS .272210.299.435
Henry Bolte
CF .251317.329.335
Max Muncy
LF .223520.298.389
Donovan Walton
2B .304312.377.500
Tommy White
3B .36800.429.421
Jeff McNeil
1B .238431.301.321
Lawrence Butler
RF .201524.298.301
Jonah Heim
C .238932.291.438

Arizona Diamondbacks — סגל

שחקןעמדהAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Tyler Locklear
1B .25002.400.250
Geraldo Perdomo
SS .237736.352.355
Jorge Barrosa
RF .193210.278.353
Gabriel Moreno
3B .302734.391.442
Max Kepler
LF .235212.281.412
James McCann
C .257314.276.419
Tim Tawa
2B .217418.282.396
Ryan Waldschmidt
CF .260112.308.374

משחקי ניקוד

3
Tyler Soderstrom grounds out, second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Jonah Heim scores. Jacob Wilson to 2nd.
1-0
4
Corbin Carroll homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field.
1-1
4
Nolan Arenado homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.
1-2
5
Jeff McNeil homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.
2-2
5
Gabriel Moreno homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.
2-4
5
Ildemaro Vargas doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Lawrence Butler. Nolan Arenado scores.
2-5
5
James McCann homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Ildemaro Vargas scores.
2-7
5
Ryan Waldschmidt homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Tim Tawa scores.
2-9
6
Gabriel Moreno walks.
2-10
6
James McCann singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Gabriel Moreno scores. Nolan Arenado to 3rd. Ildemaro Vargas to 2nd.
2-11
6
Tim Tawa doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Lawrence Butler. Nolan Arenado scores. Ildemaro Vargas scores. James McCann to 3rd.
2-13
6
Ryan Waldschmidt out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Lawrence Butler. James McCann scores.
2-14
7
Jonah Heim singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ryan Waldschmidt. Jeff McNeil scores. Lawrence Butler to 3rd.
3-14
8
Tyler Locklear singles on a line drive to center fielder Henry Bolte. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Ryan Waldschmidt to 3rd.
3-15
9
Lawrence Butler singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jorge Barrosa. Donovan Walton scores. Tommy White to 3rd.
4-15
9
Alika Williams out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt. Tommy White scores.
5-15

Athletics — חבטה

שחקןABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Alika WilliamsSS
0001000.272.734
Henry BolteCF
2000000.251.664
Max MuncyLF
1000010.223.687
Carlos CortesP
4000010.275.787
Donovan Walton2B
3110110.304.877
Tommy White3B
3100100.368.850
Jeff McNeil1B
4221001.238.622
Lawrence ButlerRF
3011100.201.599
Jonah HeimC
3121000.238.729
סכומים335105351
BATTING
2B: Heim (10, Kelly, Me); Walton (9, Vargas, I).
HR: McNeil (4, 5th inning off Kelly, Me, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Butler, L; Heim 3; Langeliers 2; McNeil 5; Soderstrom; Walton 2; Wilson, J.
RBI: Butler, L (24); Heim (32); McNeil (31); Soderstrom (48); Williams (10).
2-out RBI: Heim.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Langeliers; Bolte; Wilson, J.
SF: Williams.
GIDP: Cortes 2.
Team RISP: 3-for-9.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Wilson, J (3, 3rd base off Kelly, Me/McCann).
CS: Walton (1, 2nd base by Kelly, Me/McCann).
FIELDING
PB: Heim (1).
DP: 2 (Walton-Wilson, J-McNeil; Jump-Walton-McNeil).
a-Struck out for Langeliers in the 8th.

Arizona Diamondbacks — חבטה

שחקןABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Tyler Locklear1B
2011010.250.650
Geraldo PerdomoSS
5000110.237.707
Jorge BarrosaRF
0000100.193.631
Gabriel Moreno3B
4211111.302.833
Max KeplerLF
1000000.235.693
Ildemaro VargasP
4331100.264.713
James McCannC
4233111.257.695
Tim Tawa2B
5122020.217.678
Ryan WaldschmidtCF
4123011.260.682
סכומים38151713885
BATTING
2B: Marte, K (20, Jump); Vargas, I (14, Jump); Tawa (7, Juenger).
3B: Carroll (11, Tur).
HR: Carroll (15, 4th inning off Jump, 0 on, 0 out); Arenado (14, 4th inning off Jump, 0 on, 1 out); Moreno (7, 5th inning off Jump, 0 on, 2 out); McCann (3, 5th inning off Tur, 1 on, 2 out); Waldschmidt (1, 5th inning off Tur, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: Arenado 4; Carroll 7; Locklear; Marte, K 3; McCann 6; Moreno 4; Tawa 3; Vargas, I 4; Waldschmidt 5.
RBI: Arenado (46); Carroll (48); Locklear (2); McCann 3 (14); Moreno (34); Tawa 2 (18); Vargas, I (49); Waldschmidt 3 (12).
2-out RBI: Locklear; Moreno; Vargas, I; Waldschmidt 2; McCann 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Locklear; Moreno; Waldschmidt; Perdomo.
SF: Waldschmidt.
GIDP: Carroll; Vargas, I.
Team RISP: 5-for-13.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
DP: 2 (2 Marte, K-Perdomo-Vargas, I).
a-Struck out for Marte, K in the 6th.
b-Popped out for Arenado in the 7th.

Athletics — זריקה

זורקIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Gage Jump(L, 3-6)
4.286645383-484.42
Yunior Tur
0.258831240-2147.25
Hayden Juenger
2.141112045-318.31
Carlos Cortes
0.10000004-210.50

Arizona Diamondbacks — זריקה

זורקIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Merrill Kelly(W, 8-8)
5.052213187-525.12
Gerardo Carrillo
2.031111042-254.50
Jonathan Loáisiga
1.00000108-62.03
Ildemaro Vargas
1.022210020-96.75

מידע על המשחק

שופטים: Home Plate: Vic Carapazza; First Base: Steven Jaschinski; Second Base: Nic Lentz; Third Base: Hunter Wendelstedt
אצטדיון: Chase Field, Phoenix
מזג אוויר: 74°F, Roof Closed
רוח: 0 mph, None

Athletics — חדשות

Arizona Diamondbacks — חדשות

השוואת עונות

Athletics
STAT
Diamondbacks
43-58 מאזן 52-49
42.6% Win % 51.5%
.426 PCT .515
453 ריצות בעד 441
565 ריצות נגד 454
101 משחקים ששוחקו 101
L1 רצף W1
2-8 10 אחרונים 7-3
20-30 מאזן בית 30-22
23-28 מאזן חוץ 22-27

עימות ישיר

1
אחרונות 2 פגישות
1
יול 21
Athletics 5 - 6 Diamondbacks
יול 20
Athletics 5 - 2 Diamondbacks

Athletics אחרונים

יול 21 @ Diamondbacks 5-6 L
יול 20 @ Diamondbacks 5-2 W
יול 19 vs Nationals 5-2 L
יול 18 vs Nationals 1-15 W
יול 17 vs Nationals 23-4 L

Diamondbacks אחרונים

יול 21 vs Athletics 5-6 W
יול 20 vs Athletics 5-2 L
יול 19 vs Cardinals 7-8 W
יול 18 vs Cardinals 3-5 W
יול 17 vs Cardinals 5-4 L

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