Takaisin peleihin Maanantai, Tou 25, 2026

Seattle Mariners vs Athletics — Tou 25, 2026 | AI-ennuste ja tilastot

Sutter Health Park, Sacramento
68°F, Partly Cloudy
18 mph, Varies
W Bryce Miller L Aaron Civale

Tulostaulu

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Mariners 0 0 6 1 0 0 0 0 2 9 12 1
Athletics 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 7 1

AI-ENNUSTENeuroverkon ennuste

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Mariners 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 4
Athletics 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 62% Athletics favored
This matchup presents a fascinating contrast between two teams headed in opposite directions. Aaron Civale has been Oakland's most reliable starter, posting a stellar 3.31 ERA with a 5-1 record while showing excellent command with just 2.79 walks per nine innings. His cutter-heavy approach (34% usage) has been particularly effective, and his recent velocity readings suggest he's maintaining his stuff well into the season. Meanwhile, Luis Castillo is experiencing the worst season of his career with a bloated 6.41 ERA, though his velocity remains strong at 95 mph on his four-seam fastball. The concerning trend is his recent pitch count management, throwing just 54 pitches in his last outing on May 19th, suggesting either effectiveness issues or potential physical concerns. The Athletics offense has found life recently, particularly from Shea Langeliers who's emerged as a legitimate power threat with 12 home runs and a .313 average. However, they're significantly hampered by injuries to key players including shortstop Jacob Wilson and third baseman Max Muncy, forcing them to rely on depth pieces. The Mariners counter with Randy Arozarena providing consistent offensive production (.294 average) and Patrick Wisdom recently activated from the IL to provide pop. Seattle's bullpen received a boost with Matt Brash's return from injury, while Oakland's relief corps has been without Brooks Kriske due to shoulder issues. The head-to-head history slightly favors Oakland, having taken two of three games in Seattle earlier this season, including a dramatic 5-4 victory. Weather conditions at Sutter Health Park should be favorable with overcast skies and moderate temperatures, though the 15 mph southwest wind could impact fly balls to left field.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Castillo's early struggles vs hot A's offense
Middle (4-6) 5R Both starters settle but bullpens get tested
Late (7-9) 2R Close game decided by small ball tactics

Matchup Analysis

Athletics

Civale's strong form (3.31 ERA, 5-1)
Shea Langeliers heating up (.313 avg, 12 HR)
Home field advantage in familiar ballpark
Multiple key players on IL (Wilson, Muncy, Clarke)
Below .500 home record (10-12)

Mariners

Randy Arozarena providing offensive spark (.294 avg)
Better road record than home record
Recent bullpen reinforcements with Brash activation
Castillo's alarming 6.41 ERA this season
Missing Cal Raleigh behind the plate
Current 2-game losing streak

Risk Factors

Castillo bounce-back potential
A's injury-depleted lineup depth

Key Matchups

Shea Langeliers vs Luis Castillo batter Hot streak vs struggling starter
Randy Arozarena vs Aaron Civale batter Contact hitter vs command pitcher

Statistical Edges

First to Score Mariners 58%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

The game begins with Luis Castillo struggling to find the strike zone early, walking the leadoff batter before Randy Arozarena drives in the game's first run with a sharp single to center field in the top of the first. Aaron Civale settles into his rhythm quickly, using his cutter effectively to retire the Mariners in order through the second and third innings. Oakland responds in the bottom of the second when Shea Langeliers turns on a middle-middle fastball from Castillo, launching his 13th home run of the season to tie the game at 1-1. The pivotal fourth inning sees Oakland break through against the struggling Castillo, who allows back-to-back doubles before being lifted after 3.2 innings. The Athletics push across two runs to take a 3-1 lead, capitalizing on Seattle's bullpen transition. Civale continues dealing through five innings before the Mariners mount their comeback in the fifth, scoring twice on a combination of patient at-bats and opportune hitting to level the score at 3-3. The game remains deadlocked until the sixth inning when Oakland scratches across another run on aggressive baserunning and a clutch two-out single. Both bullpens settle in during the seventh and eighth innings, with the game's tension building toward a dramatic finish. In the top of the eighth, Seattle ties it again on a solo home run, setting up a thrilling ninth inning where Oakland's home field advantage proves decisive with a walk-off single to secure the 5-4 victory.
The confidence level reflects the clear pitching advantage for Oakland with Civale's strong form versus Castillo's struggles, but Seattle's offensive capabilities and recent roster additions keep this competitive. The A's injury situation creates uncertainty in their lineup depth.
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Seattle Mariners — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
J.P. Crawford
SS .199718.335.354
Victor Robles
CF .18801.188.250
Josh Naylor
1B .250524.317.350
Randy Arozarena
LF .299625.390.477
Luke Raley
RF .2701129.329.562
Cole Young
2B .241326.321.351
Dominic Canzone
DH .237521.315.447
Jhonny Pereda
C .20811.269.333
Colt Emerson
3B .25014.357.500

Athletics — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Carlos Cortes
RF .341517.425.540
Nick Kurtz
1B .286837.444.481
Shea Langeliers
C .3031328.373.557
Brent Rooker
DH .193725.277.357
Tyler Soderstrom
LF .201524.284.376
Henry Bolte
CF .28204.370.333
Jeff McNeil
2B .267215.339.358
Zack Gelof
3B .229617.283.424
Darell Hernaiz
SS .27217.356.326

Tulosvedot

3
Josh Naylor grounds into a force out, shortstop Darell Hernaiz to second baseman Jeff McNeil. Colt Emerson scores. Julio Rodríguez out at 2nd. Josh Naylor to 1st.
1-0
3
Randy Arozarena doubles (15) on a line drive to right fielder Carlos Cortes. Josh Naylor scores.
2-0
3
Luke Raley homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Randy Arozarena scores.
4-0
3
Dominic Canzone homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Cole Young scores.
6-0
4
J.P. Crawford homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.
7-0
8
Shea Langeliers homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.
7-1
9
Randy Arozarena homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Josh Naylor scores.
9-1
9
Jeff McNeil grounds into an unassisted double play, first baseman Josh Naylor. Tyler Soderstrom scores. Henry Bolte out at 2nd. Jeff McNeil out at 1st.
9-2

Seattle Mariners — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
J.P. CrawfordSS
5111031.199.689
Victor RoblesCF
1000000.188.438
Josh Naylor1B
5221000.250.667
Randy ArozarenaLF
5233011.299.867
Luke RaleyRF
5122021.270.891
Cole Young2B
4110010.241.672
Dominic CanzoneDH
4112021.237.762
Jhonny PeredaC
4010000.208.602
Colt Emerson3B
3100100.250.857
Yhteensä4091291104
BATTING
2B: Arozarena (15, Civale); Young (10, Civale).
HR: Raley, L (11, 3rd inning off Civale, 1 on, 2 out); Canzone (5, 3rd inning off Civale, 1 on, 2 out); Crawford, J (7, 4th inning off Civale, 0 on, 0 out); Arozarena (6, 9th inning off Perkins, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: Arozarena 7; Canzone 4; Crawford, J 4; Naylor, J 2; Pereda; Raley, L 5; Rodríguez, J; Young 2.
RBI: Arozarena 3 (25); Canzone 2 (21); Crawford, J (18); Naylor, J (24); Raley, L 2 (29).
2-out RBI: Raley, L 2; Canzone 2; Arozarena 3.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Raley, L; Young.
Team RISP: 2-for-5.
Team LOB: 5.
FIELDING
E: Crawford, J (5, throw).
DP: 2 (Young-Crawford, J-Naylor, J; Naylor, J).

Athletics — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Carlos CortesRF
3000110.341.965
Nick Kurtz1B
3000110.286.925
Shea LangeliersC
4111011.303.930
Brent RookerDH
4000030.193.634
Tyler SoderstromLF
4110000.201.660
Henry BolteCF
4010010.282.703
Jeff McNeil2B
4010000.267.697
Zack Gelof3B
4010030.229.707
Darell HernaizSS
3020000.272.682
Yhteensä332712101
BATTING
2B: Hernaiz (2, Castillo, L); Soderstrom (15, Miller, B).
HR: Langeliers (13, 8th inning off Miller, B, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Bolte; Gelof; Hernaiz 3; Langeliers 4; McNeil; Soderstrom 2.
RBI: Langeliers (28).
2-out RBI: Langeliers.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Rooker.
GIDP: Kurtz; McNeil.
Team RISP: 1-for-5.
Team LOB: 6.
FIELDING
E: Kurtz (2, fielding).

Seattle Mariners — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Luis Castillo
4.020026068-425.90
Bryce Miller(W, 1-0)
5.052204183-552.25

Athletics — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Aaron Civale(L, 5-2)
4.097712373-514.20
Jack Perkins
4.232207163-435.04
Joel Kuhnel
0.10000104-32.14

Ottelutiedot

Tuomarit: Home Plate: Carlos Torres; First Base: Nate Tomlinson; Second Base: Mark Wegner; Third Base: Bruce Dreckman
Stadion: Sutter Health Park, Sacramento
Sää: 68°F, Partly Cloudy
Tuuli: 18 mph, Varies

Seattle Mariners — Uutiset

Athletics — Uutiset

Kausivertailu

Mariners
STAT
Athletics
33-29 Tulos 29-31
53.2% Win % 48.3%
.532 PCT .483
266 Juoksuja puolesta 254
230 Juoksuja vastaan 287
62 Pelatut pelit 60
W8 Putki W1
8-2 Viimeiset 10 3-7
19-15 Kotitulos 11-17
14-14 Vierastulos 18-14

Keskinaiset kohtaamiset

3
Viimeiset 5 kohtaamista
2
Tou 27
Mariners 9 - 1 Athletics
Tou 26
Mariners 4 - 1 Athletics
Huh 22
Athletics 4 - 5 Mariners
Huh 21
Athletics 5 - 2 Mariners
Huh 20
Athletics 6 - 4 Mariners

Mariners Viimeaikaiset

Kes 3 vs Mets 7-1 L
Kes 2 vs Mets 3-8 W
Kes 1 vs Mets 2-3 W
Tou 31 vs Diamondbacks 2-3 W
Tou 30 vs Diamondbacks 1-5 W

Athletics Viimeaikaiset

Kes 2 @ Cubs 2-1 W
Tou 31 vs Yankees 13-8 L
Tou 30 vs Yankees 4-6 W
Tou 29 vs Yankees 8-2 L
Tou 27 vs Mariners 9-1 L

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