Takaisin peleihin Lauantai, Huh 18, 2026

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs — Huh 18, 2026 | AI-ennuste ja tilastot

Wrigley Field, Chicago
51°F, Partly Cloudy
16 mph, L To R
W Jameson Taillon L Freddy Peralta SV Caleb Thielbar

Tulostaulu

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Mets 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 7 0
Cubs 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 - 4 5 1

AI-ENNUSTENeuroverkon ennuste

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Mets 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 4
Cubs 2 0 1 0 1 2 0 1 0 7
Confidence: 72% Cubs favored
This matchup features two teams trending in opposite directions, with the Cubs riding a hot offensive surge while the Mets have completely collapsed over their last eight games. Chicago's 12-4 demolition of New York yesterday showcased their explosive potential, with the lineup finally clicking behind Nico Hoerner's .324 average and improved plate discipline across the board. The Cubs are averaging 5.2 runs per game despite missing key pitchers like Justin Steele and Jordan Wicks, demonstrating remarkable offensive resilience. Jameson Taillon takes the mound for Chicago with a concerning 4.86 ERA and 1.26 WHIP, but he faces a Mets lineup that has been utterly toothless without Juan Soto. New York's .194 team batting average over their last 10 games tells the story of an offense that simply cannot generate consistent scoring threats. Freddy Peralta brings better peripherals with his 10.71 K/9 rate, but his 3.86 ERA and recent velocity dips suggest he's still finding his rhythm in the cold Chicago weather. The Cubs' pitching staff depth remains a serious concern with eight arms on the injured list, but their bullpen has been adequate when protecting leads. The Mets' relief corps actually offers more stability than their rotation, but they've rarely had leads to protect during this nightmarish stretch. Chicago's home field advantage at Wrigley, combined with favorable wind conditions and their recent offensive explosion, creates a perfect storm for another high-scoring Cubs victory. New York's desperation could lead to early aggression, but their track record suggests they lack the firepower to keep pace with Chicago's red-hot lineup.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Cubs strike early against struggling Peralta in cold conditions
Middle (4-6) 5R Both offenses heat up as wind carries balls in friendly confines
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpens settle in but Cubs pad lead with timely hitting

Matchup Analysis

Cubs

Red-hot offense averaging 5.2 runs per game
Strong recent form with explosive 12-4 win yesterday
Nico Hoerner hitting .324 with excellent contact skills
Decimated pitching staff with 8 pitchers on IL
Taillon's inconsistency with 4.86 ERA and shaky command

Mets

Peralta's strikeout ability with 10.71 K/9 rate
Experience in hostile road environments
Potential bounce-back spot after hitting rock bottom
Catastrophic 8-game losing streak with offensive collapse
Missing Juan Soto's elite bat due to calf strain
Anemic .208 team batting average over last 10 games

Risk Factors

Cold weather could suppress offense
Mets desperately need to break losing streak

Key Matchups

Nico Hoerner vs Freddy Peralta batter Hot hitter vs struggling road pitcher in cold conditions
Marcus Semien vs Jameson Taillon pitcher Semien's .194 average against Taillon's cutter-heavy approach

Statistical Edges

First to Score Cubs 68%
Strikeouts 15 12-18
Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

The Cubs waste little time asserting dominance, jumping on Freddy Peralta for two runs in the opening frame as Nico Hoerner continues his torrid start with an RBI single and Carson Kelly drives home another with a sacrifice fly. The cold 44-degree conditions seem to favor Chicago's patient approach, working deep counts while Peralta struggles with his command early. New York answers back in the second inning when Marcus Semien connects for a solo home run, capitalizing on one of Taillon's rare mistakes over the plate. The middle innings become a showcase for both offenses as the temperature rises and bats warm up. The Cubs extend their lead in the third and fifth innings with timely two-out hitting, while the Mets mount their most serious threat in the fourth with a two-run rally sparked by Luis Robert Jr.'s clutch double. However, Chicago's relentless offense proves too much, adding insurance runs in the sixth and eighth innings as Michael Conforto and Seiya Suzuki continue their strong seasons. The Mets manage one final run in the seventh, but their comeback attempts consistently fall short against a Cubs team that refuses to let up. Chicago's 7-4 victory extends New York's losing streak to nine games while solidifying the Cubs' recent surge.
The Cubs are clearly the better team right now, riding a two-game win streak with explosive offense while the Mets have lost eight straight and are missing key offensive pieces. However, baseball's inherent volatility and both teams' pitching concerns prevent higher confidence.
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New York Mets — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Tyrone Taylor
PH .23116.259.385
Bo Bichette
3B .22719.266.295
Francisco Lindor
SS .21411.305.321
Luis Robert Jr.
CF .25827.372.379
MJ Melendez
DH .40001.500.600
Francisco Alvarez
C .27345.385.509
Mark Vientos
1B .24026.264.400
Tommy Pham
PH .00000.000.000
Marcus Semien
2B .21618.280.297

Chicago Cubs — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Nico Hoerner
2B .325320.402.525
Michael Busch
1B .17403.275.203
Alex Bregman
3B .22929.301.313
Ian Happ
LF .222611.333.528
Seiya Suzuki
RF .26702.405.300
Carson Kelly
DH .340210.450.520
Miguel Amaya
C .27314.400.394
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CF .21815.265.282
Dansby Swanson
SS .200412.341.400

Tulosvedot

2
Mark Vientos homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.
1-0
2
Ian Happ homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.
1-1
6
Carson Kelly homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Ian Happ scores. Seiya Suzuki scores.
1-4
8
Mets challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Francisco Alvarez reaches on a throwing error by second baseman Nico Hoerner. Bo Bichette scores. Luis Robert Jr. to 2nd.
2-4

New York Mets — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Tyrone TaylorPH
1000000.231.644
Bo Bichette3B
4110000.227.561
Francisco LindorSS
4020010.214.626
Luis Robert Jr.CF
4020000.258.751
MJ MelendezDH
3000120.4001.100
Francisco AlvarezC
4000000.273.894
Mark Vientos1B
4111011.240.664
Tommy PhamPH
1000010.000.000
Marcus Semien2B
3010110.216.577
Yhteensä33271471
BATTING
2B: Robert Jr. (2, Taillon).
HR: Vientos (2, 2nd inning off Taillon, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Bichette; Lindor 2; Robert Jr. 3; Semien; Vientos 4.
RBI: Vientos (6).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Melendez, M 2; Bichette; Vientos.
GIDP: Bichette.
Team RISP: 0-for-6.
Team LOB: 8.
BASERUNNING
CS: Robert Jr. (2, 2nd base by Taillon/Amaya).
FIELDING
DP: (Semien-Lindor-Vientos).
a-Struck out for Baty in the 9th.
b-Flied out for Benge in the 9th.

Chicago Cubs — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Nico Hoerner2B
4000000.325.927
Michael Busch1B
4010010.174.478
Alex Bregman3B
4000000.229.614
Ian HappLF
2211201.222.861
Seiya SuzukiRF
2100100.267.705
Carson KellyDH
1113001.340.970
Miguel AmayaC
3010000.273.794
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
3000000.218.547
Dansby SwansonSS
3000010.200.741
Yhteensä28454332
BATTING
HR: Happ (6, 2nd inning off Peralta, F, 0 on, 0 out); Kelly, C (2, 6th inning off Raley, B, 2 on, 2 out).
TB: Amaya; Ballesteros; Busch; Happ 4; Kelly, C 4.
RBI: Happ (11); Kelly, C 3 (10).
2-out RBI: Kelly, C 3.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Swanson.
GIDP: Bregman.
Team RISP: 1-for-3.
Team LOB: 4.
FIELDING
E: Hoerner (1, throw).
DP: (Hoerner-Swanson-Busch).
a-Homered for Ballesteros in the 6th.

New York Mets — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Freddy Peralta(L, 1-2)
5.233323193-544.05
Brooks Raley
0.21110018-62.45
Luke Weaver
0.20000009-57.36
Craig Kimbrel
1.010010014-60.00

Chicago Cubs — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Jameson Taillon(W, 1-1)
6.0511341100-613.97
Ben Brown(H, 1)
2.021011038-222.70
Caleb Thielbar(S, 1)
1.000002014-112.57

Ottelutiedot

Tuomarit: Home Plate: Alex Tosi; First Base: Adam Hamari; Second Base: Austin Jones; Third Base: Todd Tichenor
Stadion: Wrigley Field, Chicago
Sää: 51°F, Partly Cloudy
Tuuli: 16 mph, L To R

New York Mets — Uutiset

Chicago Cubs — Uutiset

Kausivertailu

Mets
STAT
Cubs
34-44 Tulos 41-37
43.6% Win % 52.6%
.436 PCT .526
317 Juoksuja puolesta 375
351 Juoksuja vastaan 351
78 Pelatut pelit 78
L3 Putki W1
4-6 Viimeiset 10 7-3
18-19 Kotitulos 23-17
16-25 Vierastulos 18-20

Keskinaiset kohtaamiset

0
Viimeiset 4 kohtaamista
4
Kes 24
Cubs 10 - 3 Mets
Kes 23
Cubs 9 - 6 Mets
Huh 19
Mets 1 - 2 Cubs
Huh 17
Mets 4 - 12 Cubs

Mets Viimeaikaiset

Kes 24 vs Cubs 10-3 L
Kes 23 vs Cubs 9-6 L
Kes 21 @ Phillies 2-6 L
Kes 20 @ Phillies 3-15 L
Kes 18 @ Phillies 6-4 W

Cubs Viimeaikaiset

Kes 24 @ Mets 10-3 W
Kes 23 @ Mets 9-6 W
Kes 20 vs Blue Jays 8-6 L
Kes 19 vs Blue Jays 2-16 W
Kes 17 vs Rockies 6-8 W

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