Takaisin peleihin Torstai, Tou 14, 2026

Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds — Tou 14, 2026 | AI-ennuste ja tilastot

Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
58°F, Sunny
9 mph, Out To RF
W Chase Burns L Foster Griffin

Tulostaulu

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Nationals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 3 0
Reds 0 2 0 4 3 0 2 4 - 15 14 3

AI-ENNUSTENeuroverkon ennuste

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Nationals 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 5
Reds 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 4
Confidence: 72% Nationals favored
This matchup features a fascinating contrast between rookie power and veteran finesse. Chase Burns brings triple-digit velocity and swing-and-miss stuff, averaging 98.1 mph on his fastball with a devastating slider that comprises 38% of his arsenal. However, he's still finding his footing at the big league level, and the Nationals have shown they can handle velocity - they just torched Cincinnati's pitching in consecutive games with 18 total runs. Foster Griffin presents the polar opposite profile, working at 85-87 mph with a six-pitch mix led by his cutter and relying on command and deception rather than raw stuff. His 2.12 ERA and 1.03 WHIP suggest he's mastered the art of pitching to contact and limiting hard contact. The Reds' recent offensive struggles are concerning - they've scored just 3.2 runs per game over their last ten contests, a span in which they've gone 2-8. Elly De La Cruz remains their brightest offensive star with 10 home runs, but the supporting cast has been inconsistent. The Nationals counter with CJ Abrams, who's enjoying a breakout campaign with 9 homers and 36 RBIs, providing the type of middle-of-the-order production Washington has lacked in recent years. The bullpen situation heavily favors Washington, as Cincinnati has three key relievers on the injured list including Emilio Pagán and Caleb Ferguson, severely limiting their late-game options. The Nationals have momentum from back-to-back wins in this series and have been significantly better on the road (15-9) than at home (6-13), suggesting they handle the pressure of playing away from D.C. well. The weather conditions at Great American Ball Park - 59 degrees with clear skies and a north wind at 12 mph - should be neutral to slightly pitcher-friendly, which could help both starters settle in early. However, Griffin's experience advantage and the Reds' bullpen concerns give Washington the edge in what should be a competitive, mid-scoring affair.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Griffin's command allows one early run but settles in
Middle (4-6) 5R Both starters tire, bullpens enter high-leverage spots
Late (7-9) 2R Nationals capitalize on depleted Reds bullpen

Matchup Analysis

Reds

Chase Burns velocity and strikeout potential
Elly De La Cruz offensive upside
Home field advantage
Bullpen decimated by injuries
2-8 in last ten games
Worst run differential in NL Central

Nationals

Foster Griffin's excellent 2.12 ERA
Strong road record (15-9)
CJ Abrams power threat
Inconsistent offense despite run production
Rotation depth concerns with multiple injuries
Below .500 record overall

Risk Factors

Burns' rookie inconsistency
Reds' injury-depleted relief corps

Key Matchups

Elly De La Cruz vs Foster Griffin batter Speed vs control pitcher favors aggressive baserunner
CJ Abrams vs Chase Burns batter Abrams has shown power this season against high-velocity arms

Statistical Edges

First to Score Nationals 65%
Strikeouts 15 12-18
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

The series finale at Great American Ball Park begins with Foster Griffin working his crafty repertoire against a Cincinnati lineup still reeling from consecutive losses. The veteran left-hander attacks the strike zone early, getting ahead of Reds hitters with his cutter and changeup combination. CJ Abrams gives Washington an early lead in the top of the first, turning on a Chase Burns fastball for a line drive double that plates Jacob Young from first base. The Reds respond in the bottom of the second when Elly De La Cruz showcases his elite speed, beating out an infield single and eventually scoring on a JJ Bleday sacrifice fly that just clears the warning track in the cool Cincinnati air. Burns settles into a rhythm through the third and fourth innings, his slider generating swings and misses, but begins to lose command in the fifth inning. Luis García Jr. works a leadoff walk, and Abrams strikes again with a two-run homer to left field that gives Washington breathing room at 3-1. The Reds mount their best threat in the sixth inning when Matt McLain doubles with one out, bringing the tying run to the plate. However, Griffin showcases his veteran guile, mixing speeds and locations to escape with just one run allowed on a De La Cruz RBI groundout. As both starters exit after six innings, the bullpen battle begins to favor Washington. The Nationals extend their lead in the seventh when Curtis Mead delivers a clutch RBI single against Cincinnati's overworked relief corps, then add insurance in the eighth on another extra-base hit from their surging offense. The Reds make one final push in the bottom of the ninth, loading the bases with two outs, but Washington's closer secures the victory and the series win, highlighting the depth advantage that proved decisive in this three-game set.
My confidence sits at 72% primarily due to the significant bullpen disparity and recent momentum favoring Washington. The Nationals have won the first two games of this series convincingly, while Cincinnati's injury-depleted relief corps and recent struggles (2-8 in last ten) create clear advantages for the visitors.
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Washington Nationals — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Luis García Jr.
1B .276322.306.441
Brady House
3B .220621.278.380
José Tena
RF .273211.333.455
Jacob Young
CF .218317.268.313
Daylen Lile
LF .263622.326.433
Nasim Nuñez
SS .202014.310.226
Jorbit Vivas
2B .25303.333.304
Drew Millas
C .17916.247.269

Cincinnati Reds — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Dane Myers
CF .22427.357.328
Will Benson
LF .19424.341.343
Sal Stewart
1B .2441030.328.470
Spencer Steer
2B .259714.333.449
JJ Bleday
DH .321618.455.755
Blake Dunn
RF .21411.353.500
Matt McLain
SS .214416.320.344
Jose Trevino
C .14302.172.179
Ke'Bryan Hayes
3B .15025.202.243

Tulosvedot

2
Matt McLain homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Spencer Steer scores.
0-2
4
Jose Trevino singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young, deflected by shortstop CJ Abrams. Spencer Steer scores. Blake Dunn scores. Matt McLain to 3rd.
0-4
4
Ke'Bryan Hayes doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Daylen Lile. Matt McLain scores. Jose Trevino scores.
0-6
5
JJ Bleday homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Elly De La Cruz scores. Spencer Steer scores.
0-9
7
JJ Bleday homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Elly De La Cruz scores.
0-11
8
José Tena strikes out swinging.
1-11
8
Dane Myers homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Matt McLain scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores.
1-14
8
JJ Bleday singles on a fly ball to right fielder José Tena. Will Benson scores. Sal Stewart to 3rd.
1-15

Washington Nationals — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Joey WiemerP
1000010.288.897
Luis García Jr.1B
2010200.276.747
Brady House3B
4000020.220.658
José TenaRF
1000010.273.788
Jacob YoungCF
4000000.218.581
Daylen LileLF
4000010.263.759
Nasim NuñezSS
4000010.202.536
Jorbit Vivas2B
2010000.253.637
Drew MillasC
3110010.179.516
Yhteensä301303100
BATTING
2B: Vivas (4, Burns, Ch); García Jr., L (8, Burns, Ch).
TB: García Jr., L 2; Millas; Vivas 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Wood; Young; Millas; Tena.
Team RISP: 0-for-7.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Nuñez, N (18, 2nd base off Burns, Ch/Trevino).
CS: García Jr., L (1, 2nd base by Burns, Ch/Trevino).
FIELDING
DP: (Griffin-Nuñez, N-García Jr., L).

Cincinnati Reds — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Dane MyersCF
4113021.224.685
Will BensonLF
1110000.194.684
Sal Stewart1B
4000130.244.798
Spencer Steer2B
4320100.259.782
JJ BledayDH
5236012.3211.210
Blake DunnRF
4100110.214.853
Matt McLainSS
3322101.214.664
Jose TrevinoC
4112010.143.351
Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
4122000.150.445
Yhteensä37151415494
BATTING
2B: Hayes (2, Griffin); De La Cruz, E (10, Griffin); McLain, M (8, Wiemer).
HR: McLain, M (4, 2nd inning off Griffin, 1 on, 2 out); Bleday 2 (6, 5th inning off Griffin, 2 on, 1 out, 7th inning off Kent, 1 on, 2 out); Myers (2, 8th inning off Wiemer, 2 on, 1 out).
TB: Benson; Bleday 9; De La Cruz, E 3; Hayes 3; McLain, M 6; Myers 4; Steer 2; Trevino.
RBI: Bleday 6 (18); Hayes 2 (5); McLain, M 2 (16); Myers 3 (7); Trevino 2 (2).
2-out RBI: McLain, M 2; Hayes 2; Trevino 2; Bleday 3.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Dunn; Myers.
GIDP: De La Cruz, E.
Team RISP: 6-for-11.
Team LOB: 3.
FIELDING
E: Burns, Ch (2, missed catch); Trevino 2 (2, throw, catcher interference).

Washington Nationals — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Foster Griffin(L, 4-2)
4.179937292-583.53
Zak Kent
2.222202142-295.79
Joey Wiemer
1.054410124-1522.50

Cincinnati Reds — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Chase Burns(W, 5-1)
6.020027095-601.87
Sam Moll
1.000001013-83.06
Luis Mey
1.011112022-143.38
Connor Phillips
1.000000012-95.16

Ottelutiedot

Tuomarit: Home Plate: Doug Eddings; First Base: Emil Jimenez; Second Base: Mike Muchlinski; Third Base: Dexter Kelley
Stadion: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Sää: 58°F, Sunny
Tuuli: 9 mph, Out To RF

Washington Nationals — Uutiset

Cincinnati Reds — Uutiset

Kausivertailu

Nationals
STAT
Reds
35-34 Tulos 32-35
50.7% Win % 47.8%
.507 PCT .478
372 Juoksuja puolesta 286
365 Juoksuja vastaan 340
69 Pelatut pelit 67
L1 Putki L1
5-5 Viimeiset 10 3-7
12-20 Kotitulos 16-16
23-14 Vierastulos 16-19

Keskinaiset kohtaamiset

2
Viimeiset 2 kohtaamista
0
Tou 13
Nationals 8 - 7 Reds
Tou 12
Nationals 10 - 4 Reds

Nationals Viimeaikaiset

Kes 12 vs Mariners 10-2 L
Kes 10 @ Giants 10-11 L
Kes 9 @ Giants 6-3 W
Kes 8 @ Giants 4-3 W
Kes 7 @ Diamondbacks 1-5 L

Reds Viimeaikaiset

Kes 12 vs Diamondbacks 5-2 L
Kes 10 @ Padres 4-5 L
Kes 9 @ Padres 5-3 W
Kes 8 @ Padres 2-6 L
Kes 7 @ Cardinals 3-5 L

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