The biggest factor hanging over this game is the complete mystery of Philadelphia's starter. With the away pitcher listed as TBD, the Phillies could be sending anyone from a bulk-inning arm to a back-end spot starter or even an opener strategy after the bullpen was lit up 15-1 in their last outing. That Kansas City blowout almost certainly taxed Philadelphia's relief corps heavily, meaning whoever takes the mound tonight may be working with a thin safety net behind them. Andrew Abbott takes the hill for Cincinnati coming off consistent workloads — three straight starts between 94-97 pitches. His 3.88 ERA is respectable but the 4.26 BB/9 is genuinely alarming. The Phillies' lineup, anchored by Brandon Marsh (.309, 15 HR) and Trea Turner, has enough discipline to capitalize on free passes. Abbott's four-seamer at 92.6 mph and sweeper mix keep hitters off-balance, but a team that's been to the All-Star caliber three times this season can adjust. Cincinnati's lineup presents genuine threats despite the middling record. Elly De La Cruz (.272, 13 HR, 41 RBI) is the catalyst — his combination of speed and pop makes him dangerous in any count. Sal Stewart (17 HR, 61 RBI) is quietly one of the better power bats in the NL, and Great American Ball Park's cozy dimensions play into his pull-side power. The Reds' 4-6 last ten doesn't inspire confidence, but they snapped a losing streak yesterday and play at home. Philadelphia's L2 streak, including the humiliating 15-1 loss, creates a genuine bounce-back scenario, but the pitching uncertainty tilts this toward Cincinnati. The Reds' bullpen, with Emilio Pagán and Hunter Greene recently reactivated from the IL, has some intriguing fresh arms to deploy late.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Phillies strike first, Abbott settles in

Middle (4-6) 4R Reds offense finds gaps vs unknown arm

Late (7-9) 2R Bullpen holds, Reds pen closes it out

Matchup Analysis

Reds

Elly De La Cruz speed/power

Sal Stewart hot bat

Great American park factor

Abbott's elevated walk rate

Depleted outfield depth

Phillies

Brandon Marsh .309 avg, 15 HR

Trea Turner veteran presence

Strong rotation depth overall

TBD starter — major unknown

Back-to-back blowout losses

Risk Factors

TBD pitcher could be an ace-level surprise

Abbott walk rate could blow up early

Key Matchups

De La Cruz vs TBD batter Unknown arm vs elite athleticism is Elly's playground

Marsh vs Abbott batter Marsh's .309 avg poses threat to Abbott's command issues

Stewart vs TBD batter 17 HR power bat thrives vs unfamiliar pitching

Statistical Edges

First to Score Phillies 54%

Strikeouts 14 11-18

Total Runs 8 6-11

Game Preview

Great American Ball Park buzzes under clear July skies as Cincinnati looks to build on Sunday's momentum against a Phillies squad still stinging from one of their worst outings of the season. The identity of Philadelphia's starter looms as the game's central subplot — if it's an opener or a soft-tossing spot starter, the Reds' lineup could strike early and often. The Phillies may get on the board first. Trea Turner leads off and works Abbott for a walk — the lefty's command issues showing up immediately — and Brandon Marsh drives him in with a gap double to right-center. But Abbott settles, leaning on his sweeper to strand Marsh at second. Cincinnati answers in the second when Elly De La Cruz rips a double off the wall and Sal Stewart follows with an RBI single, knotting the game at one. The fourth inning becomes the turning point. The Reds send six men to the plate against a tiring Philadelphia arm, with Stewart cracking a two-run homer to left that makes the crowd roar. De La Cruz adds another run-scoring play in the sixth with a stolen base and a wild-pitch score. Though the Phillies get contributions from Edmundo Sosa and Marsh again in the seventh, Cincinnati's rebuilt bullpen — featuring a sharp inning from the recently activated Pagán — slams the door. The Reds take it 5-3, handing Philadelphia their third straight loss as the trade deadline approaches.

Philadelphia's TBD starter is a major unknown that artificially widens error bars. Cincinnati at home with a clear pitching matchup advantage, but the Phillies' roster quality keeps this from being a confident lean. Moderate 52% confidence.

Todennakoiset syottajat

Philadelphia Phillies — Kokoonpano

Pelaaja	Pos.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Trea Turner	SS	.241	10	32	.286	.365
Kyle Schwarber	DH	.255	31	57	.370	.570
Bryce Harper	1B	.266	20	57	.370	.514
Alec Bohm	3B	.222	11	47	.281	.369
Brandon Marsh	LF	.305	15	46	.339	.505
J.T. Realmuto	C	.200	6	27	.281	.326
Bryson Stott	2B	.248	7	40	.306	.393
Derek Hill	RF	.250	6	13	.308	.425
Justin Crawford	CF	.258	2	19	.306	.342

Cincinnati Reds — Kokoonpano

Pelaaja	Pos.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Elly De La Cruz	SS	.270	13	41	.342	.472
Sal Stewart	1B	.254	17	61	.338	.464
JJ Bleday	LF	.234	13	37	.344	.468
Eugenio Suárez	3B	.207	9	32	.280	.374
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	.242	9	25	.332	.448
Spencer Steer	RF	.238	14	36	.316	.419
Tyler Stephenson	C	.234	6	24	.320	.364
TJ Friedl	CF	.174	3	11	.253	.270
Ivan Johnson	2B	.000	0	0	.200	.000

Tulosvedot

▲ 3

Trea Turner grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Sal Stewart. Derek Hill scores. Justin Crawford to 2nd.

1-0

▲ 3

Kyle Schwarber homers (31) on a line drive to right center field. Justin Crawford scores.

3-0

▼ 7

Eugenio Suárez homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.

3-1

▲ 8

Edmundo Sosa out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder TJ Friedl. Trea Turner scores.

4-1

Philadelphia Phillies — Lyönti

Pelaaja	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
Trea TurnerSS	5	1	1	1	0	1	0	.241	.651
Kyle SchwarberDH	4	1	2	2	0	1	1	.255	.940
Bryce Harper1B	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	.266	.884
Alec Bohm3B	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	.222	.650
Brandon MarshLF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.305	.844
J.T. RealmutoC	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	.200	.607
Bryson Stott2B	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	.248	.699
Derek HillRF	3	1	2	0	1	1	0	.250	.733
Justin CrawfordCF	4	1	2	0	0	1	0	.258	.648
Yhteensä	34	4	8	4	2	9	1

BATTING

2B: Hill, D (3, Abbott, A).

HR: Schwarber (31, 3rd inning off Abbott, A, 1 on, 2 out).

TB: Crawford 2; Hill, D 3; Schwarber 5; Sosa, E; Turner.

RBI: Schwarber 2 (57); Sosa, E (25); Turner (32).

2-out RBI: Schwarber 2.

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Stott; Schwarber; Realmuto.

SF: Sosa, E.

Team RISP: 2-for-8.

Team LOB: 6.

BASERUNNING

SB: Sosa, E (3, 2nd base off Abbott, A/Stephenson, T); Crawford (11, 2nd base off Abbott, A/Stephenson, T).

Cincinnati Reds — Lyönti

Pelaaja	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
Elly De La CruzSS	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	.270	.814
Sal Stewart1B	4	0	1	0	0	2	0	.254	.802
JJ BledayLF	3	0	1	0	1	1	0	.234	.812
Eugenio Suárez3B	4	1	1	1	0	3	1	.207	.654
Nathaniel LoweDH	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	.242	.780
Spencer SteerRF	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	.238	.735
Tyler StephensonC	4	0	1	0	0	3	0	.234	.684
TJ FriedlCF	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	.174	.523
Ivan Johnson2B	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	.000	.200
Yhteensä	32	1	5	1	3	18	1

BATTING

HR: Suárez, E (9, 7th inning off Wheeler, 0 on, 0 out).

TB: Bleday; Steer; Stephenson, T; Stewart, S; Suárez, E 4.

RBI: Suárez, E (32).

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Suárez, E 2; Friedl.

Team RISP: 0-for-3.

Team LOB: 7.

a-Walked for McLain, M in the 8th.

Philadelphia Phillies — Syöttö

Syöttäjä	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Zack Wheeler(W, 9-1)	7.0	4	1	1	0	14	1	104-69	2.28
Orion Kerkering(H, 8)	0.2	0	0	0	3	0	0	33-16	2.50
Jonathan Bowlan(H, 3)	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	6-3	3.25
Jhoan Duran(S, 22)	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	0	20-14	1.47

Cincinnati Reds — Syöttö

Syöttäjä	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Andrew Abbott(L, 5-5)	6.0	5	3	3	0	8	1	95-68	3.92
Pierce Johnson	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	19-12	4.15
Caleb Ferguson	0.1	2	1	1	0	0	0	15-10	2.12
Julian Garcia	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	0	17-9	1.93
Sam Moll	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	20-14	3.82

Ottelutiedot

Tuomarit: Home Plate: Malachi Moore; First Base: Alfonso Márquez; Second Base: Mike Estabrook; Third Base: Lance Barrett

Stadion: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Sää: 85°F, Partly Cloudy

Tuuli: 5 mph, Out To RF

Philadelphia Phillies — Uutiset

Kaupankäyntirajapäivän näkymät: Philadelphia Phillies

PHI on noussut MLB:n pahimmasta 50-40:een (.556) ja NL Eastin toiseksi 10 viikossa, +7 juoksueron takaa Sánchezin (2.00 ERA, 136 SO, 10-3) ja Wheelerin (2.36 ERA, 84 SO, 8-1) tukemana. Nolan 5.87 ERA ja 0.319 xwOBA jäävät rajapäivän vastuuksi, jos PHI etsii parannuksia myymisen sijaan.

Philadelphia Phillies

Sánchez sallii huonon esityksen Royalseja vastaan

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Cristopher Sánchez

Philadelphia Phillies

Kansas City Royals

Phillies Nimeää Jean Cabreran, Allekirjoittaa Bryan De La Cruzin MLB-sopimukseen

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Jean Cabrera

Bryan De La Cruz

Philadelphia Phillies

MLB Ilmoittaa All-Star-joukkueet 2026

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Philadelphia Phillies

Phillies valitsee Lou Trivinon

Trivino saapuu Baltimoresta ERA 18.00 ja WHIP 3.00 3 IP:n yli, kun taas Shugart (ERA 4.97, WHIP 1.34 26 G:ssä) siirtyy Triple-A:han. Philadelphian bullpen sisältää nyt Duranin (ERA 1.57), Kerkeringin (ERA 2.75) ja Alvaradon (ERA 5.70) syvyysvaihtoehdoina.

Philadelphia Phillies

Cincinnati Reds — Uutiset

Reds Aktivoi Hunter Greenin 60 Päivän Loukkaantumislistalta

Greene tekee debyytin vuonna 2026 Brandon Youngia (3,11 ERA, 6-2) vastaan BAL:sta, joka on ollut O'sin luotettavin aloittaja tällä kaudella. CIN:n kiertäminen on ollut epävakaa Chase Burnssin (2,40 ERA, 10-1) ulkopuolella, Abbott (3,88 ERA), Singer (5,03 ERA) ja Lodolo (5,05 ERA) kaikilla on vaikeuksia, mikä tekee Greenen paluusta kriittisen syvyyden 40-47-joukkueelle.

Will Benson

Chase Burns

Brandon Young

Hunter Greene

Cincinnati Reds

Trade Deadline Outlook: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati's -55 run differential masks a rotation anchored by Chase Burns (2.40 ERA, 10-1), whose elite performance cannot offset a collapsed offense (364 runs scored, 5th-worst in NL). The Reds' 3-7 L10 despite Burns' dominance signals sellers will struggle to move mid-tier pieces without deadline acquisitions on the offensive side.

Chase Burns

Cincinnati Reds

Viimeinen yö baseballissa: Dodgers, Rays, Guardians, Rangers, Reds voittavat

LAD parani 57-31:een comeback-voitolla SD:n (43-43, L6) yli, kun taas TB jatkoi sarjaansa 8-0:lla AL East:in huipulla 51-33:lla ja 8-2-ennätyksellä L10:ssä. CLE (46-42) voitti jatkoerässä parantaakseen 2-0-sarjaan huolimatta -7:n juoksujen erotuksesta.

Tampa Bay Rays

Texas Rangers

Cincinnati Reds

Reds ottaa käyttöön Matt McLainin keskikentälle

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Matt McLain

Cincinnati Reds

Reds valitsee Ivan Johnsonin; Myers IL:ään olkapäävaivan takia

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Chase Burns

Ivan Johnson

Cincinnati Reds