Takaisin peleihin Tiistai, Kes 2, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros — Kes 2, 2026 | AI-ennuste ja tilastot

Daikin Park, Houston
73°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Bubba Chandler L Mike Burrows SV Gregory Soto

Tulostaulu

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Pirates 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 3 1 10 13 1
Astros 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 6 8 2

AI-ENNUSTENeuroverkon ennuste

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Pirates 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 5
Astros 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 4
Confidence: 72% Pirates favored
The Pittsburgh Pirates enter Daikin Park riding a torrid offensive wave, having scored 25 runs over their last three victories against Minnesota. This surge, led by Oneil Cruz (13 HRs) and the steady Nick Gonzales (.303 AVG), faces a Houston Astros club decimated by injuries to core players. With Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, and Yainer Diaz all sidelined, the Astros' lineup lacks its usual middle-infield stability and depth. Yordan Alvarez remains the primary threat with 20 home runs, but Christian Walker's .249 average suggests inconsistent run production beyond their superstar. On the mound, Bubba Chandler brings electric stuff with fastballs reaching 101+ mph and a 2,300+ RPM spin rate that should challenge Houston's depleted lineup. His recent starts show improving command (91-99 pitches) though walk issues persist. Mike Burrows counters with a more methodical approach, mixing five pitches led by a 94.9 mph fastball and effective changeup. However, Burrows' recent velocity decline (89.2 to 89.9 mph average) and Houston's bullpen crisis create significant late-game concerns. The Astros have lost key relievers Josh Hader, Bennett Sousa, and Lance McCullers Jr., leaving manager Joe Espada with limited high-leverage options. Pittsburgh's superior roster health and offensive momentum create a clear edge in this matchup. Their recent transactions, including Ryan O'Hearn's activation and bullpen reinforcements, provide depth Houston simply cannot match. The Pirates' +31 run differential versus Houston's -33 tells the season's story - Pittsburgh has consistently outperformed while the Astros struggle without their injured stars. Weather conditions favor hitting with 82-degree temperatures and minimal wind, potentially benefiting both Alvarez and Cruz in a game that should see moderate scoring.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Chandler's fastball velocity creates early strikeouts, Burrows allows baserunners
Middle (4-6) 3R Both starters settle in, offenses struggle with secondary pitches
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen matchups favor Pirates depth over depleted Astros relievers

Matchup Analysis

Astros

Yordan Alvarez power threat
Christian Walker's veteran presence
Home field advantage in humid conditions
Massive IL list including Altuve and Correa
Bullpen devastated by injuries to Hader and others

Pirates

Hot offensive streak scoring 25 runs in last 3 games
Bubba Chandler's triple-digit velocity
Healthier roster depth
Road struggles (14-13)
Chandler's command inconsistency

Risk Factors

Chandler's walk rate with bases occupied
Astros desperation at home after tough stretch

Key Matchups

Yordan Alvarez vs Bubba Chandler batter Alvarez thrives against velocity, 20 HRs already
Oneil Cruz vs Mike Burrows batter Cruz's power matches well against Burrows' changeup-heavy approach

Statistical Edges

First to Score Pirates 65%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

The game begins with Chandler's blazing fastball overpowering Houston's makeshift lineup, but Yordan Alvarez connects for a solo shot in the second inning to give the Astros an early lead. Pittsburgh responds immediately in the third when Oneil Cruz launches a two-run homer off Burrows' elevated changeup, followed by Brandon Lowe's RBI single. The Pirates extend their lead to 4-1 in the fifth when Nick Gonzales drives home Spencer Horwitz with a clutch two-out hit. Burrows settles into a rhythm through the sixth, but Houston rallies in the seventh when Christian Walker doubles and scores on Jake Meyers' sacrifice fly, then adds another run on Taylor Trammell's pinch-hit single. The Pirates secure the victory in the eighth inning when Bryan Reynolds delivers a go-ahead RBI single against Houston's overworked bullpen. Chandler exits after six strong innings with 8 strikeouts, and Pittsburgh's deeper relief corps preserves the 5-4 victory, extending their win streak to four games while Houston's injury-plagued season continues its downward spiral.
High confidence stems from Pittsburgh's superior roster health, hot offensive streak (25 runs in 3 games), and Houston's depleted bullpen. The Astros' injury list includes too many core players to overcome against a surging Pirates team with better pitching depth.
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Pittsburgh Pirates — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Spencer Horwitz
DH .282726.385.458
Brandon Lowe
2B .2581540.343.535
Bryan Reynolds
LF .272638.403.432
Ryan O'Hearn
1B .293830.372.473
Nick Gonzales
3B .312126.367.371
Oneil Cruz
CF .2581444.331.475
Endy Rodríguez
C .30015.500.467
Jake Mangum
RF .29419.355.339
Jared Triolo
SS .22905.281.253

Houston Astros — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jeremy Peña
SS .278310.324.412
Yordan Alvarez
DH .3052142.419.645
Christian Walker
1B .2481644.321.504
Isaac Paredes
3B .233624.326.371
Taylor Trammell
LF .29106.350.382
Cam Smith
RF .216621.310.347
Jake Meyers
CF .23727.289.368
Brice Matthews
2B .205414.259.329
Christian Vázquez
C .248417.313.385

Tulosvedot

1
Yordan Alvarez homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field. Jeremy Peña scores.
0-2
2
Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: Endy Rodríguez homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Nick Gonzales scores.
2-2
3
Christian Walker singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Jeremy Peña scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.
2-3
4
Jeremy Peña lines into a force out, left fielder Bryan Reynolds to catcher Endy Rodríguez to second baseman Brandon Lowe. Brice Matthews scores. Christian Vázquez out at 2nd. Jeremy Peña to 1st.
2-4
6
Oneil Cruz homers (14) on a fly ball to center field. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Nick Gonzales scores.
5-4
6
Jake Mangum singles on a soft bunt ground ball to third baseman Isaac Paredes. Endy Rodríguez scores. Throwing error by third baseman Isaac Paredes.
6-4
8
Brandon Lowe homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Jake Mangum scores. Jared Triolo scores.
9-4
9
Endy Rodríguez doubles (2) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Taylor Trammell. Nick Gonzales scores.
10-4
9
Jeremy Peña singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Mangum. Jake Meyers scores. Christian Vázquez to 2nd.
10-5
9
Yordan Alvarez singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Nick Gonzales. Christian Vázquez scores.
10-6

Pittsburgh Pirates — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Spencer HorwitzDH
4000120.282.843
Brandon Lowe2B
5113011.258.878
Bryan ReynoldsLF
3000210.272.835
Ryan O'Hearn1B
4110120.293.845
Nick Gonzales3B
4330100.312.738
Oneil CruzCF
5123021.258.806
Endy RodríguezC
4223101.300.967
Jake MangumRF
5140010.294.694
Jared TrioloSS
2100220.229.534
Yhteensä36101398113
BATTING
2B: Rodríguez, E (2, Blubaugh).
HR: Rodríguez, E (1, 2nd inning off Burrows, 1 on, 1 out); Cruz, O (14, 6th inning off Burrows, 2 on, 0 out); Lowe, B (15, 8th inning off Abreu, B, 2 on, 2 out).
TB: Cruz, O 5; Gonzales, N 3; Lowe, B 4; Mangum 4; O'Hearn; Rodríguez, E 6.
RBI: Cruz, O 3 (44); Lowe, B 3 (40); Rodríguez, E 3 (5).
2-out RBI: Lowe, B 3; Rodríguez, E.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Lowe, B; Cruz, O; Mangum.
GIDP: Gonzales, N; Rodríguez, E.
Team RISP: 4-for-11.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: Mangum 2 (10, 2nd base off Burrows/Vázquez, C, 2nd base off Abreu, B/Vázquez, C); Rodríguez, E (2, 2nd base off De Los Santos, E/Vázquez, C); Reynolds, B (5, 2nd base off Okert/Vázquez, C).
PO: Mangum (1st base by De Los Santos, E).
FIELDING
E: Gonzales, N (5, fielding).
Outfield assists: Reynolds, B (Vázquez, C at 2nd base).
DP: (Gonzales, N-Lowe, B-O'Hearn).

Houston Astros — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jeremy PeñaSS
5222000.278.736
Yordan AlvarezDH
4123101.3051.064
Christian Walker1B
5011030.248.825
Isaac Paredes3B
4000110.233.697
Taylor TrammellLF
4000020.291.732
Cam SmithRF
2000210.216.657
Jake MeyersCF
4110010.237.657
Brice Matthews2B
4110010.205.588
Christian VázquezC
3110100.248.698
Yhteensä35686591
BATTING
2B: Meyers (4, Santana, D).
HR: Alvarez, Y (21, 1st inning off Chandler, 1 on, 0 out).
TB: Alvarez, Y 5; Matthews; Meyers 2; Peña 2; Vázquez, C; Walker, C.
RBI: Alvarez, Y 3 (42); Peña 2 (10); Walker, C (44).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Smith 2; Paredes; Vázquez, C.
GIDP: Matthews.
Team RISP: 3-for-13.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: Smith (8, 2nd base off Chandler/Rodríguez, E).
FIELDING
E: Paredes 2 (4, throw, throw).
Pickoffs: De Los Santos, E (Mangum at 1st base).
DP: 3 (Peña-Matthews-Walker, C; Peña-Walker, C; Paredes-Walker, C).

Pittsburgh Pirates — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Bubba Chandler(W, 2-6)
5.054323191-524.89
Wilber Dotel(H, 2)
3.000023041-251.08
Dennis Santana
0.132211019-115.47
Gregory Soto(S, 8)
0.20000207-61.91

Houston Astros — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Mike Burrows(L, 3-7)
5.086553290-545.66
Enyel De Los Santos
1.010002011-93.33
Steven Okert
1.000021021-113.33
Bryan Abreu
1.023312132-217.91
AJ Blubaugh
1.021103023-144.54

Ottelutiedot

Tuomarit: Home Plate: Louie Krupa; First Base: Chris Guccione; Second Base: David Rackley; Third Base: Nestor Ceja
Stadion: Daikin Park, Houston
Sää: 73°F, Roof Closed
Tuuli: 0 mph, None

Pittsburgh Pirates — Uutiset

Houston Astros — Uutiset

Kausivertailu

Pirates
STAT
Astros
33-28 Tulos 27-35
54.1% Win % 43.5%
.541 PCT .435
311 Juoksuja puolesta 277
276 Juoksuja vastaan 314
61 Pelatut pelit 62
W4 Putki L2
7-3 Viimeiset 10 6-4
18-15 Kotitulos 13-17
15-13 Vierastulos 14-18

Pirates Viimeaikaiset

Tou 31 vs Twins 3-9 W
Tou 30 vs Twins 9-10 W
Tou 29 vs Twins 5-6 W
Tou 28 vs Cubs 7-2 L
Tou 27 vs Cubs 10-4 L

Astros Viimeaikaiset

Tou 31 vs Brewers 2-0 L
Tou 30 vs Brewers 2-9 W
Tou 29 vs Brewers 5-4 L
Tou 28 @ Rangers 5-1 W
Tou 27 @ Rangers 4-3 W

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