Takaisin peleihin Lauantai, Tou 30, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Tou 30, 2026 | AI-ennuste ja tilastot

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
68°F, Clear
3 mph, L To R
W Orion Kerkering L Tanner Scott SV Jhoan Duran

Tulostaulu

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Phillies 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 4 6 1
Dodgers 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 3 9 0

AI-ENNUSTENeuroverkon ennuste

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Phillies 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 3
Dodgers 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 72% Dodgers favored
This matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions. The Dodgers enter riding a six-game winning streak and boasting a +122 run differential, while the Phillies are coming off a loss that snapped their brief momentum. Roki Sasaki makes his start for Los Angeles, bringing his electric stuff but still adjusting to MLB consistency. His fastball-splitter combination has been devastating when he's commanded the zone, but rookie growing pains remain a factor. Jesús Luzardo counters for Philadelphia with a 4.38 ERA that doesn't fully capture his strikeout upside - his 10.51 K/9 rate shows the swing-and-miss stuff is there, but his 1.28 WHIP suggests command lapses that the potent Dodgers lineup can exploit. The key battle lies in whether Luzardo can navigate the heart of LA's order featuring Shohei Ohtani (9 HRs, 30 RBIs) and red-hot Teoscar Hernández (.276 average, 7 HRs). The Dodgers have been particularly dangerous at home, posting a 19-10 record at UNIQLO Field, while their recent offensive explosion against Colorado (15-6 win) shows their ceiling. Philadelphia's offense has struggled significantly, managing just 225 runs compared to LA's 302 despite playing the same number of games. Brandon Marsh (.326 average) and Trea Turner provide some punch, but the overall production hasn't matched their pitching improvements. The bullpen advantage surprisingly tilts toward Philadelphia, as the Dodgers have multiple key relievers on the IL including Evan Phillips and Brusdar Graterol. This could keep the game closer than the team records suggest, but LA's superior offensive firepower and home-field advantage should ultimately prevail in a moderate-scoring affair.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Both starters settle after first inning jitters
Middle (4-6) 3R Dodgers break through against Luzardo in middle innings
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battle with scattered runs

Matchup Analysis

Dodgers

Elite offense led by Ohtani and Hernández
Strong home record 19-10
Six-game winning streak momentum
Decimated bullpen with multiple key relievers injured
Starting pitcher depth concerns

Phillies

Luzardo's strikeout ability with 10.51 K/9
Recent quality pitching from rotation
Strong away record 15-12
Struggling offense with -19 run differential
Inconsistent offensive production
Recent loss snapped momentum

Risk Factors

Sasaki's rookie inexperience in big moments
Dodgers' injured bullpen depth

Key Matchups

Shohei Ohtani vs Jesús Luzardo batter Ohtani's power vs Luzardo's elevated ERA
Brandon Marsh vs Roki Sasaki batter Marsh's .326 average gives him edge against rookie
Teoscar Hernández vs Jesús Luzardo batter Hernández's hot streak vs Luzardo's command issues

Statistical Edges

First to Score Phillies 58%
Strikeouts 16 13-19
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

The game opens with Jesús Luzardo trying to set the tone against the dangerous Dodgers lineup. His sweeper gets some early swings and misses, but Shohei Ohtani works a leadoff walk in the first. However, Philadelphia strikes first when Brandon Marsh takes Roki Sasaki deep on a hanging splitter, giving the visitors an early 1-0 lead. The Dodgers answer quickly in the second as Teoscar Hernández drives in Alex Call with a sharp single up the middle. The game settles into a pitcher's duel through the third inning, with both starters finding their rhythm. The fourth inning becomes the turning point when Luzardo's command wavers - Will Smith draws a walk, and Kyle Tucker follows with a clutch two-out, two-run double into the gap, putting LA ahead 3-1. Sasaki continues to grow stronger as the game progresses, using his devastating splitter to retire nine of the next ten Phillies hitters. The Dodgers tack on another run in the sixth when Ohtani launches a solo shot to left field, his 10th of the season. Philadelphia shows fight in the eighth, manufacturing a run on consecutive singles by Justin Crawford and Edmundo Sosa, cutting the deficit to 4-2. The Dodgers' depleted bullpen allows another run in the eighth, but they respond immediately in the bottom half when Hernández delivers an RBI single for insurance. Despite the final rally attempt by Philadelphia in the ninth, LA closes out a 5-3 victory, extending their winning streak to seven games and maintaining their division lead.
The Dodgers' superior offense, home-field advantage, and current hot streak provide a solid foundation for victory. However, their bullpen injuries and Sasaki's rookie status create enough uncertainty to prevent higher confidence, especially against Luzardo's strikeout ability.
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Philadelphia Phillies — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Kyle Schwarber
DH .2382239.350.605
Trea Turner
SS .222719.274.350
Bryce Harper
1B .2631334.361.512
Steward Berroa
LF .33301.333.333
Alec Bohm
3B .208624.267.335
Bryson Stott
2B .217525.264.367
J.T. Realmuto
C .22029.291.299
Adolis García
RF .194415.278.301
Justin Crawford
CF .233212.298.337

Los Angeles Dodgers — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani
DH .2771031.402.495
Andy Pages
CF .2951350.342.535
Freddie Freeman
1B .271827.364.469
Mookie Betts
SS .200616.252.421
Kyle Tucker
RF .236426.335.384
Will Smith
C .256623.341.394
Max Muncy
3B .2511320.354.515
Alex Call
LF .298011.414.386
Dalton Rushing
PH .253717.340.530

Tulosvedot

2
Alec Bohm homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.
1-0
2
Alex Call singles on a ground ball to center fielder Justin Crawford. Will Smith scores. Miguel Rojas to 2nd.
1-1
4
Santiago Espinal out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Justin Crawford. Alex Call scores.
1-2
7
Phillies challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Mookie Betts singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Andy Pages scores.
1-3
8
Bryce Harper singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Justin Crawford scores.
2-3
8
Edmundo Sosa homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Bryce Harper scores.
4-3

Philadelphia Phillies — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Kyle SchwarberDH
4010020.238.955
Trea TurnerSS
4010010.222.624
Bryce Harper1B
2111200.263.873
Steward BerroaLF
0000000.333.666
Alec Bohm3B
4111001.208.602
Bryson Stott2B
4000000.217.631
J.T. RealmutoC
4000030.220.590
Adolis GarcíaRF
4000030.194.579
Justin CrawfordCF
3110010.233.635
Yhteensä334642112
BATTING
HR: Bohm (6, 2nd inning off Sasaki, 0 on, 0 out); Sosa, E (3, 8th inning off Scott, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: Bohm 4; Crawford; Harper, B; Schwarber; Sosa, E 4; Turner.
RBI: Bohm (24); Harper, B (34); Sosa, E 2 (16).
2-out RBI: Harper, B; Sosa, E 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Bohm 2.
Team RISP: 1-for-4.
Team LOB: 4.
FIELDING
E: García, Ad (2, fielding).
PB: Realmuto (2).
a-Struck out for Marsh in the 6th.

Los Angeles Dodgers — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Shohei OhtaniDH
5010030.277.897
Andy PagesCF
5110010.295.877
Freddie Freeman1B
4010020.271.833
Mookie BettsSS
4031000.200.673
Kyle TuckerRF
4000000.236.719
Will SmithC
3110110.256.735
Max Muncy3B
1000010.251.869
Alex CallLF
4121000.298.800
Dalton RushingPH
1000000.253.870
Yhteensä35393290
BATTING
2B: Betts (3, Luzardo); Call (5, Luzardo); Pages, A (13, Kerkering).
TB: Betts 4; Call 3; Freeman, F; Ohtani; Pages, A 2; Smith, W.
RBI: Betts (16); Call (11); Espinal (5).
2-out RBI: Betts.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Tucker; Pages, A; Smith, W; Espinal.
SF: Espinal.
Team RISP: 2-for-11.
Team LOB: 8.
a-Struck out for Rojas, M in the 8th.
b-Grounded out for Espinal in the 9th.

Philadelphia Phillies — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Jesús Luzardo
5.172226095-644.30
José Alvarado
0.200000013-85.59
Orion Kerkering(W, 3-0)
1.021102021-142.53
Brad Keller(H, 8)
1.000001018-123.65
Jhoan Duran(S, 12)
1.00000008-61.53

Los Angeles Dodgers — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Roki Sasaki
5.131117184-564.59
Alex Vesia(H, 8)
0.200011012-62.29
Kyle Hurt(H, 4)
1.000001011-81.00
Tanner Scott(L, 1-2)(BS, 1)
1.033300119-162.19
Blake Treinen
1.000002011-83.06

Ottelutiedot

Tuomarit: Home Plate: James Hoye; First Base: Sean Barber; Second Base: D.J. Reyburn; Third Base: Steven Jaschinski
Stadion: UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Sää: 68°F, Clear
Tuuli: 3 mph, L To R

Philadelphia Phillies — Uutiset

Los Angeles Dodgers — Uutiset

Kausivertailu

Phillies
STAT
Dodgers
31-29 Tulos 39-22
51.7% Win % 63.9%
.517 PCT .639
233 Juoksuja puolesta 321
258 Juoksuja vastaan 194
60 Pelatut pelit 61
W1 Putki W1
6-4 Viimeiset 10 8-2
15-16 Kotitulos 20-11
16-13 Vierastulos 19-11

Keskinaiset kohtaamiset

0
Viimeiset 2 kohtaamista
2
Tou 31
Phillies 1 - 9 Dodgers
Tou 29
Phillies 2 - 4 Dodgers

Phillies Viimeaikaiset

Kes 2 vs Padres 2-3 W
Tou 31 @ Dodgers 1-9 L
Tou 29 @ Dodgers 2-4 L
Tou 27 @ Padres 3-0 W
Tou 26 @ Padres 4-3 W

Dodgers Viimeaikaiset

Kes 2 @ Diamondbacks 6-5 W
Kes 1 @ Diamondbacks 1-4 L
Tou 31 vs Phillies 1-9 W
Tou 29 vs Phillies 2-4 W
Tou 27 vs Rockies 1-4 W

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