Takaisin peleihin Keskiviikko, Hei 22, 2026

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers — Hei 22, 2026 | AI-ennuste ja tilastot

American Family Field, Milwaukee
72°F, Partly Cloudy
2 mph, In From RF
W Logan Henderson L Christian Scott SV Trevor Megill

Tulostaulu

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Mets 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 3 8 0
Brewers 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 - 4 9 1

AI-ENNUSTENeuroverkon ennuste

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Mets 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Brewers 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 4
Confidence: 62% Brewers favored
Logan Henderson takes the mound for Milwaukee in a critical series rubber game, showcasing one of the more intriguing young arms in the NL. His 2.74 ERA and eye-popping 11.74 K/9 suggest a pitcher well beyond his years, relying on a fastball-changeup combination that generates elite swing-and-miss. Henderson's limited MLB innings (23.0 IP) remain a sample-size caveat, and his recent starts have shown some velocity dip, but the Brewers' rotation depth makes this the trusted option in a series decider. Christian Scott counters for New York with a legitimate mid-rotation profile: a 95.4 mph four-seamer headlined by a sharp sweeper and solid cutter. His 4.20 BB/9 is the concern — free passes to a Brewers lineup featuring Brice Turang (14 HR, 61 RBI) and William Contreras can snowball quickly at American Family Field. The Mets enter riding a shutout victory Tuesday, but their -63 run differential tells the real story of a club that has underperformed consistently in 2026. Milwaukee's bullpen advantage is meaningful here. The Mets are without Clay Holmes (fibula), Dedniel Núñez (Tommy John), Reed Garrett, and Justin Hagenman — a depleted relief corps that will be tested if Scott exits early due to his walk rate. The Brewers' pen, while missing DL Hall and others, retains more functional depth. Andrew Vaughn (.312) and Garrett Mitchell (.283, 8 HR) provide quiet lineup danger for Henderson to navigate around Juan Soto. The series split context (each team won one game emphatically) sets up a classic toss-up rubber match, but Milwaukee's home environment, superior run differential, and bullpen depth tip the edge to the Brewers in what should be a tight, low-scoring contest.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 1R Both aces suppress early offense
Middle (4-6) 3R Brewers pen holds edge, MIL extends lead
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpens trade late runs, Soto keeps NYM alive

Matchup Analysis

Brewers

Elite run differential +132
Henderson's 11.7 K/9 rate
Strong home record 33-19
Vaughn .312 avg vs RHP
Multiple key arms on IL
Offense inconsistent vs good SP

Mets

Scott 3.20 ERA with swing-and-miss
Soto 21 HR proven threat
Won yesterday's matchup 4-0
Negative run diff -63 on season
Depleted bullpen, key arms on IL

Risk Factors

Mets' momentum off shutout win
Henderson's limited MLB innings sample

Key Matchups

Soto vs Henderson batter Soto's elite eye exploits Henderson's changeup-heavy mix
Contreras vs Scott batter Contreras crushes mid-90s fastballs, Scott's primary pitch
Turang vs Scott pitcher Scott's sweeper neutralizes Turang's pull-heavy approach

Statistical Edges

First to Score Brewers 55%
Strikeouts 17 14-21
Total Runs 6 4-9

Game Preview

American Family Field buzzes under clear July skies as Logan Henderson toes the rubber looking to erase Tuesday's 4-0 embarrassment and send New York home with a split. Henderson's fastball-changeup combo has been his calling card, and early on he finds the zone with authority, retiring the Mets in order through the first and then navigating Juan Soto's patient at-bat in the second with a backdoor changeup that draws a punchout. Christian Scott matches him punch for punch, working his high-90s heater past Brice Turang in the first before yielding a William Contreras double down the line in the second. Garrett Mitchell follows with a seeing-eye single, plating Contreras for a 1-0 Milwaukee lead. Scott steadies himself, leaning on the sweeper to escape further damage, but the walk total climbs — he issues his third free pass by the fifth, and the Brewers bullpen door cracks open by the sixth. Milwaukee's pen extends the lead methodically, adding single runs in the sixth and eighth on situational hitting from Turang and Andrew Vaughn. Soto homers in the seventh to keep New York within striking distance, flashing the singular power that makes him dangerous even on a struggling club. A two-out Mets rally in the seventh adds another run, but the Brewers' bullpen slams the door from the eighth inning on, preserving a 4-2 victory and claiming the series rubber game in front of an appreciative home crowd.
Brewers hold a massive talent and run-differential edge, with a strong home record and better bullpen depth. However, the Mets' momentum off Tuesday's shutout and Scott's legitimate stuff create real upset risk in a one-game sample.
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New York Mets — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
A.J. Ewing
CF .274725.345.426
Francisco Lindor
SS .233616.315.398
Bo Bichette
3B .2561051.305.372
Carson Benge
RF .2631140.324.397
Jorge Polanco
DH .16514.220.247
Tyrone Taylor
LF .228718.269.449
Marcus Semien
2B .2091030.266.340
Luis Torrens
1B .228219.290.327
Francisco Alvarez
C .2571125.325.437

Milwaukee Brewers — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Christian Yelich
DH .243635.331.388
Jackson Chourio
LF .2771339.337.475
Brice Turang
2B .2591461.357.452
William Contreras
C .2751057.341.396
Garrett Mitchell
CF .277848.363.455
Luis Lara
RF .24002.367.280
Jake Bauers
1B .2561859.362.482
Cooper Pratt
SS .25818.343.344
Joey Ortiz
3B .239528.310.352

Tulosvedot

2
Marcus Semien homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.
1-0
2
Joey Ortiz triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Brett Baty. Garrett Mitchell scores. Andrew Vaughn scores.
1-2
2
Christian Yelich singles on a line drive to left fielder Carson Benge. Joey Ortiz scores.
1-3
5
Brett Baty homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.
2-3
6
Christian Yelich triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Brett Baty. Joey Ortiz scores.
2-4
9
Francisco Alvarez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Tyrone Taylor scores.
3-4

New York Mets — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
A.J. EwingCF
5020020.274.771
Francisco LindorSS
4010010.233.713
Bo Bichette3B
4010020.256.677
Carson BengeRF
4010020.263.721
Jorge PolancoDH
4000020.165.467
Tyrone TaylorLF
1100110.228.718
Marcus Semien2B
3111101.209.606
Luis Torrens1B
1000000.228.617
Francisco AlvarezC
4011030.257.762
Yhteensä353832152
BATTING
2B: Ewing (11, Henderson).
HR: Semien (10, 2nd inning off Henderson, 0 on, 2 out); Baty (6, 5th inning off Henderson, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Alvarez, F; Baty 4; Benge; Bichette; Ewing 3; Lindor; Semien 4.
RBI: Alvarez, F (25); Baty (33); Semien (30).
2-out RBI: Semien; Alvarez, F.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Benge; Polanco; Alvarez, F; Lindor.
Team RISP: 1-for-7.
Team LOB: 7.
FIELDING
DP: (Lindor-Semien-Young, J).
a-Struck out for Young, J in the 7th.
b-Struck out for Baty in the 7th.

Milwaukee Brewers — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Christian YelichDH
5022000.243.719
Jackson ChourioLF
4010020.277.812
Brice Turang2B
2010200.259.809
William ContrerasC
4010010.275.737
Garrett MitchellCF
3100120.277.818
Luis LaraRF
0000000.240.647
Jake Bauers1B
4000010.256.844
Cooper PrattSS
4000020.258.687
Joey Ortiz3B
3232100.239.662
Yhteensä32494590
BATTING
2B: Ortiz, J (9, Brazobán).
3B: Ortiz, J (1, Scott); Yelich (2, Minter).
TB: Chourio, J; Contreras, Wm; Ortiz, J 6; Turang; Vaughn; Yelich 4.
RBI: Ortiz, J 2 (28); Yelich 2 (35).
2-out RBI: Ortiz, J 2; Yelich 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Chourio, J; Yelich 2.
GIDP: Vaughn.
Team RISP: 4-for-11.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
SB: Ortiz, J (8, 2nd base off Duarte/Alvarez, F).
FIELDING
E: Henderson (1, throw).

New York Mets — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Christian Scott(L, 3-2)
3.243336089-533.13
Cionel Pérez
0.230001025-155.50
Huascar Brazobán
1.111100016-92.76
A.J. Minter
1.010011019-111.71
Daniel Duarte
1.100011024-150.00

Milwaukee Brewers — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Logan Henderson(W, 4-1)
5.052209280-583.05
Aaron Ashby(H, 8)
2.000014032-213.32
Abner Uribe(H, 15)
1.020002020-142.38
Trevor Megill(S, 16)
1.011110014-83.00

Ottelutiedot

Tuomarit: Home Plate: Andy Fletcher; First Base: Alex Tosi; Second Base: Cory Blaser; Third Base: Jansen Visconti
Stadion: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Sää: 72°F, Partly Cloudy
Tuuli: 2 mph, In From RF

New York Mets — Uutiset

Milwaukee Brewers — Uutiset

Kausivertailu

Mets
STAT
Brewers
43-59 Tulos 63-38
42.2% Win % 62.4%
.422 PCT .624
416 Juoksuja puolesta 510
479 Juoksuja vastaan 378
102 Pelatut pelit 101
W1 Putki L1
5-5 Viimeiset 10 5-5
21-28 Kotitulos 33-19
22-31 Vierastulos 30-19

Keskinaiset kohtaamiset

1
Viimeiset 2 kohtaamista
1
Hei 21
Mets 4 - 0 Brewers
Hei 20
Mets 3 - 8 Brewers

Mets Viimeaikaiset

Hei 21 @ Brewers 4-0 W
Hei 20 @ Brewers 3-8 L
Hei 19 @ Phillies 6-1 W
Hei 18 @ Phillies 1-6 L
Hei 16 @ Phillies 4-1 W

Brewers Viimeaikaiset

Hei 21 vs Mets 4-0 L
Hei 20 vs Mets 3-8 W
Hei 19 vs Marlins 1-3 W
Hei 18 vs Marlins 6-8 W
Hei 17 vs Marlins 1-2 W

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