Takaisin peleihin Tiistai, Huh 21, 2026

Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays — Huh 21, 2026 | AI-ennuste ja tilastot

Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
72°F, Dome
0 mph, None
W Chase Burns L Steven Matz

Tulostaulu

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 2 2 0 0 1 4 2 0 1 12 10 0
Rays 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4 6 8 0

AI-ENNUSTENeuroverkon ennuste

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Reds 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 5
Rays 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 4
Confidence: 72% Reds favored
This matchup features contrasting storylines as the surging Cincinnati Reds (15-8, W4) visit the struggling Tampa Bay Rays (12-10, L2) at Tropicana Field. The Reds' impressive 9-2 road record and current four-game winning streak, including yesterday's 6-1 victory over these same Rays, positions them as favorites despite facing a quality starter in Steven Matz. The southpaw has been effective with a 3.80 ERA and excellent 1.03 WHIP, relying on his four-pitch mix anchored by a 93.2 mph sinker that generates ground balls and weak contact. Cincinnati counters with rookie Chase Burns, whose electric stuff features a 98.2 mph four-seam fastball complemented by a devastating 90.9 mph slider. Burns has shown impressive velocity consistency, touching 100+ mph in recent starts, though his inexperience creates some volatility. The Reds' offensive attack centers around Elly De La Cruz, whose six home runs and dynamic speed create constant pressure, while the Rays rely heavily on Yandy Díaz's .337 average and veteran presence. The bullpen disparity strongly favors Cincinnati, as Tampa Bay's relief corps has been decimated by injuries to Edwin Uceta, Garrett Cleavinger, and several other key arms. This depth advantage becomes crucial in close games, especially given the Rays' recent struggles scoring runs. Cincinnati's superior road performance (9-2 vs Tampa Bay's mediocre 4-3 home record) and momentum from sweeping Minnesota before yesterday's win suggests they'll continue their strong play away from home. Weather conditions favor offense with 80-degree temperatures and mostly clear skies, though the ENE 14 mph wind at Tropicana Field typically plays neutral. The Reds' ability to manufacture runs through speed and power, combined with their deeper pitching staff and superior recent form, gives them multiple paths to victory in what should be a competitive but decisive game.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Burns' velocity advantage early, Matz settling in
Middle (4-6) 4R Both starters reaching fatigue point, bullpens entering
Late (7-9) 2R Cincinnati's superior bullpen depth closes out

Matchup Analysis

Rays

Yandy Díaz hitting .337 with power
Steven Matz solid 3.80 ERA with control
Home field advantage at Tropicana Field
L2 streak and recent offensive struggles
Depleted bullpen with multiple IL pitchers

Reds

W4 streak with strong road record (9-2)
Chase Burns' elite velocity (98+ mph)
Elly De La Cruz power threat (6 HR)
Limited MLB experience for Burns
Lower run production (84 vs 104)

Risk Factors

Burns rookie volatility
Rays desperate for home win

Key Matchups

Elly De La Cruz vs Steven Matz batter Power vs finesse, Cruz's speed creates pressure
Yandy Díaz vs Chase Burns batter Veteran contact vs rookie velocity

Statistical Edges

First to Score Reds 65%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

Chase Burns takes the mound with his fastball touching 99 mph early, but Yandy Díaz works a quality at-bat in the bottom of the first, eventually grounding out after a seven-pitch battle. The Reds strike first in the top of the second when Elly De La Cruz launches a solo home run off Steven Matz's hanging curveball, his seventh of the season. Tampa Bay responds immediately as Nick Fortes doubles and scores on a Junior Caminero RBI single, knotting the game at 1-1. The pivotal moment comes in the third inning when Cincinnati loads the bases with one out against Matz, who has been nibbling around the zone. Nathaniel Lowe delivers a clutch two-run single, giving the Reds a 3-1 advantage. Burns settles into a groove through the middle innings, his slider becoming unhittable as he retires eight consecutive batters. Tampa Bay scratches back with two runs in the fourth on an error and a Taylor Walls RBI double, but De La Cruz strikes again with an RBI triple in the fifth that proves to be the game-winner. Cincinnati's bullpen, featuring fresh arms unavailable to the injury-depleted Rays, closes out the final three innings cleanly, with the Reds adding an insurance run in the eighth to complete a 5-4 victory that extends their road dominance and winning streak to five games.
The 72% confidence reflects Cincinnati's clear advantages in bullpen depth, recent form (W4 vs L2), and superior road performance, though Tampa Bay's quality starter and home field prevent higher certainty. Burns' rookie status adds some volatility to the prediction.
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Cincinnati Reds — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Dane Myers
CF .25813.395.355
Matt McLain
2B .19804.330.256
Elly De La Cruz
SS .276818.343.571
Sal Stewart
1B .299824.394.632
Eugenio Suárez
DH .241311.313.379
Spencer Steer
LF .21646.289.432
Tyler Stephenson
C .15825.279.263
Will Benson
RF .18801.333.281
Ke'Bryan Hayes
3B .08511.169.136

Tampa Bay Rays — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Chandler Simpson
LF .32304.351.366
Junior Caminero
3B .261510.349.457
Jonathan Aranda
1B .229419.356.422
Jonny DeLuca
CF .298213.327.511
Ryan Vilade
RF .23102.286.308
Richie Palacios
2B .27014.426.378
Hunter Feduccia
C .22204.344.222
Taylor Walls
SS .20004.265.222

Tulosvedot

1
Elly De La Cruz homers (7) on a line drive to right center field. Dane Myers scores.
2-0
2
Ke'Bryan Hayes homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.
3-0
2
Dane Myers homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.
4-0
5
Spencer Steer homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.
5-0
6
Matt McLain doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Dane Myers to 3rd.
6-0
6
Elly De La Cruz reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Dane Myers scores.
7-0
6
Sal Stewart singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Matt McLain scores. Elly De La Cruz scores.
9-0
6
Jonathan Aranda homers (4) on a line drive to right field. Junior Caminero scores.
9-2
7
Elly De La Cruz singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Rece Hinds scores. Dane Myers to 3rd. Matt McLain to 2nd.
10-2
7
Sal Stewart out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Dane Myers scores. Matt McLain to 3rd. Elly De La Cruz to 2nd.
11-2
9
Elly De La Cruz homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.
12-2
9
Jonathan Aranda walks. Richie Palacios scores. Chandler Simpson to 3rd. Junior Caminero to 2nd.
12-3
9
Ben Williamson walks. Chandler Simpson scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.
12-4
9
Jonny DeLuca doubles (4) on a pop up to first baseman Sal Stewart. Junior Caminero scores. Jonathan Aranda scores. Ben Williamson to 3rd.
12-6

Cincinnati Reds — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Dane MyersCF
3411301.258.750
Matt McLain2B
6121010.198.586
Elly De La CruzSS
6335012.276.914
Sal Stewart1B
4023100.2991.026
Eugenio SuárezDH
5000020.241.692
Spencer SteerLF
3111211.216.721
Tyler StephensonC
4000130.158.542
Will BensonRF
0000100.188.614
Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
3211201.085.305
Yhteensä3712101210115
BATTING
2B: McLain, M (5, Bigge).
HR: De La Cruz, E 2 (8, 1st inning off Matz, 1 on, 1 out, 9th inning off Williamson, 0 on, 2 out); Hayes (1, 2nd inning off Matz, 0 on, 2 out); Myers (1, 2nd inning off Matz, 0 on, 2 out); Steer (4, 5th inning off Jax, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: De La Cruz, E 9; Hayes 4; McLain, M 3; Myers 4; Steer 4; Stewart, S 2.
RBI: De La Cruz, E 5 (18); Hayes (1); McLain, M (4); Myers (3); Steer (6); Stewart, S 3 (24).
2-out RBI: Steer; Hayes; De La Cruz, E; Myers.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Steer; Suárez, E 2; Stephenson, T; Hinds 2.
SF: Stewart, S.
Team RISP: 4-for-10.
Team LOB: 10.
BASERUNNING
SB: Stewart, S (6, 2nd base off Matz/Feduccia); McLain, M (4, 3rd base off Bigge/Feduccia); De La Cruz, E (6, 2nd base off Bigge/Feduccia).
a-Walked for Hinds in the 8th.

Tampa Bay Rays — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Chandler SimpsonLF
4100100.323.717
Junior Caminero3B
4220110.261.806
Jonathan Aranda1B
3213211.229.778
Ben WilliamsonP
0001100.241.633
Jonny DeLucaCF
4012020.298.838
Ryan ViladeRF
3010000.231.594
Richie Palacios2B
2100210.270.804
Hunter FeducciaC
4010020.222.566
Taylor WallsSS
4000030.200.487
Yhteensä356867121
BATTING
2B: Vilade (2, Moll); DeLuca (4, Nicolas).
HR: Aranda (4, 6th inning off Burns, Ch, 1 on, 0 out).
TB: Aranda 4; Caminero 2; DeLuca 2; Díaz, Y; Feduccia; Mullins; Vilade 2.
RBI: Aranda 3 (19); DeLuca 2 (13); Williamson (7).
2-out RBI: Williamson; Aranda; DeLuca 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Díaz, Y; Walls; Palacios, R; Vilade 2.
Team RISP: 1-for-6.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
SB: Mullins (4, 2nd base off Burns, Ch/Stephenson, T).
a-Doubled for Mullins in the 6th.

Cincinnati Reds — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Chase Burns(W, 2-1)
5.242228197-632.57
Sam Moll
1.120000028-171.64
Pierce Johnson
1.010002017-112.61
Kyle Nicolas
1.014452042-179.95

Tampa Bay Rays — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Steven Matz(L, 3-1)
3.044444377-444.81
Ian Seymour
1.000011015-97.71
Griffin Jax
1.112213129-188.00
Hunter Bigge
0.223321033-165.14
Yoendrys Gómez
2.022222040-247.04
Ben Williamson
1.01110017-59.00

Ottelutiedot

Tuomarit: Home Plate: Tripp Gibson; First Base: Ryan Blakney; Second Base: Nick Mahrley; Third Base: Marvin Hudson
Stadion: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Sää: 72°F, Dome
Tuuli: 0 mph, None

Cincinnati Reds — Uutiset

Tampa Bay Rays — Uutiset

Kausivertailu

Reds
STAT
Rays
31-30 Tulos 36-23
50.8% Win % 61.0%
.508 PCT .610
264 Juoksuja puolesta 273
305 Juoksuja vastaan 268
61 Pelatut pelit 59
L1 Putki L3
5-5 Viimeiset 10 2-8
16-16 Kotitulos 21-9
15-14 Vierastulos 15-14

Keskinaiset kohtaamiset

1
Viimeiset 2 kohtaamista
1
Huh 22
Reds 1 - 6 Rays
Huh 20
Reds 6 - 1 Rays

Reds Viimeaikaiset

Kes 3 vs Royals 5-2 L
Kes 2 vs Royals 3-4 W
Kes 1 vs Royals 9-2 L
Tou 31 vs Braves 4-6 W
Tou 30 vs Braves 5-2 L

Rays Viimeaikaiset

Kes 3 vs Tigers 7-2 L
Kes 2 vs Tigers 8-0 L
Kes 1 vs Tigers 10-9 L
Tou 31 vs Angels 2-5 W
Tou 30 vs Angels 14-3 L

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