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Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets — Abr 22, 2026 | Predicción IA y estadísticas

Citi Field, Flushing
53°F, Clear
3 mph, In From RF
W Luke Weaver L Taylor Rogers

Marcador

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Twins 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 7 1
Mets 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 - 3 8 0

PREDICCION AIPronostico de Red Neuronal

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Twins 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 5
Mets 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 4
Confidence: 78% Twins favored
This matchup presents a fascinating study in contrasts as the Minnesota Twins visit a New York Mets team in complete freefall. The Mets enter riding a historically bad 12-game losing streak, going 0-10 in their last ten games with a devastating -25 run differential. Clay Holmes has been their lone bright spot on the mound with a stellar 1.96 ERA across 23 innings, but he's getting minimal run support from an offense that's scored just 75 runs in 23 games. The absence of Juan Soto (calf strain) and Jorge Polanco (wrist contusion) has severely hampered their lineup construction, leaving Marcus Semien and Luis Robert Jr. as their primary offensive threats. The Twins arrive at 12-11 with a more balanced profile, sporting a positive run differential despite recent struggles. Their offense has been more productive with 117 runs scored, led by Josh Bell's 15 RBIs and Matt Wallner's three home runs. However, they're dealing with their own rotation concerns, with Pablo López out for Tommy John surgery and David Festa sidelined with shoulder issues. Connor Prielipp draws the start for Minnesota, and while his inexperience at this level creates uncertainty, the Mets' offensive struggles suggest he won't face overwhelming pressure. The psychological element cannot be understated here. The Mets are pressing desperately to break their losing streak at home, which could lead to pressing at the plate and defensive miscues. Meanwhile, the Twins just snapped their own four-game slide with yesterday's 5-3 victory over these same Mets, giving them momentum and confidence. Holmes will need to be nearly perfect to keep the Mets competitive, as their bullpen has been unreliable with Devin Williams posting a 7.11 ERA in high-leverage situations. Citi Field's dimensions and the cool 50-degree temperature with overcast skies should favor the pitchers, but the Twins' superior offensive depth and the Mets' historical struggles in this series create a clear advantage for the visitors. The key will be whether Prielipp can navigate through the Mets' lineup twice before turning it over to what has been a more reliable Twins bullpen.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Both starters facing pressure early, Twins capitalize first
Middle (4-6) 3R Holmes settles in, Prielipp working through lineup second time
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpens take control, minimal scoring opportunities

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Clay Holmes solid 1.96 ERA
Playing at home Citi Field
Potential Juan Soto return
Historic 12-game losing streak
Rotation depth issues
Offensive production struggles

Twins

Better overall record 12-11
+14 run differential
Josh Bell producing with 15 RBIs
Connor Prielipp inexperienced starter
Recent 4-game slide before last win
Key injuries to rotation

Risk Factors

Mets desperate to end streak could overperform
Weather conditions favor pitchers

Key Matchups

Josh Bell vs Clay Holmes batter Bell hitting .263 with power vs sinker specialist
Luis Robert Jr. vs Connor Prielipp batter Veteran hitter vs rookie pitcher advantage
Matt Wallner vs Clay Holmes pitcher Wallner struggling .181 vs established starter

Statistical Edges

First to Score Twins 72%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

Connor Prielipp takes the mound for Minnesota with the confidence of a team that just broke its own slide, while Clay Holmes faces the pressure of a franchise desperate for any positive momentum. The game opens with Prielipp showing first-start nerves, allowing Marcus Semien to reach on an error before Luis Robert Jr. drives him home with an RBI single in the first inning. Holmes responds immediately, striking out Josh Bell and inducing a double play to strand two Twins runners. The early innings become a chess match, with Holmes relying heavily on his sinker against Twins hitters who've done their homework. In the third inning, Bell breaks through with a two-run double down the left field line, capitalizing on Holmes' elevated pitch count and taking advantage of the Mets' defensive positioning. The Mets answer in the fourth when Brett Baty drives in two runs with a clutch two-out single, momentarily silencing the growing frustration at Citi Field and giving the home crowd reason to believe. As the game progresses into the middle innings, Prielipp settles into a rhythm, using his secondary pitches to keep the struggling Mets hitters off balance. Matt Wallner adds an insurance run in the fifth with a solo homer to right field, his fourth of the season. The Mets mount one final threat in the sixth inning, but Twins reliever Taylor Rogers enters and strikes out the side, preserving the lead and ultimately the victory. The loss extends New York's streak to 13 games, while Minnesota improves to 13-11 and gains crucial momentum in what's shaping up to be a competitive American League Central race.
High confidence based on the stark contrast between team trajectories - the Mets' 12-game losing streak and psychological pressure versus the Twins' superior run differential and recent momentum. While Holmes is pitching well, the Mets' offensive struggles are too severe to overcome against a motivated Twins team.
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Minnesota Twins — Plantel

JugadorPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Byron Buxton
CF .23157.290.451
Austin Martin
LF .31115.492.444
Josh Bell
DH .253315.344.422
Victor Caratini
1B .250111.350.313
Ryan Jeffers
C .263212.391.439
Luke Keaschall
2B .213112.257.277
Matt Wallner
RF .19037.281.329
Royce Lewis
3B .20528.340.386
James Outman
PR .09100.167.136

New York Mets — Plantel

JugadorPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Bo Bichette
SS .22019.255.290
Juan Soto
DH .35315.421.500
Luis Robert Jr.
CF .23127.333.333
Brett Baty
3B .20907.236.284
Francisco Alvarez
C .25446.365.476
Mark Vientos
1B .23727.281.373
Marcus Semien
2B .22618.290.310
Carson Benge
LF .13613.219.197
Tyrone Taylor
RF .21216.235.333

Jugadas anotadoras

1
Francisco Lindor singles on a ground ball to third baseman Royce Lewis. Bo Bichette scores.
0-1
4
Victor Caratini out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Trevor Larnach scores.
1-1
4
Francisco Alvarez doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Francisco Lindor scores.
1-2
6
Byron Buxton homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.
2-2
8
Mark Vientos singles on a fly ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Brett Baty scores. Francisco Alvarez to 3rd.
2-3

Minnesota Twins — Bateo

JugadorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Byron BuxtonCF
5111021.231.741
Austin MartinLF
0000100.311.936
Josh BellDH
4010000.253.766
Victor Caratini1B
2001100.250.663
Ryan JeffersC
0000100.263.830
Luke Keaschall2B
4000000.213.534
Matt WallnerRF
4010010.190.610
Royce Lewis3B
4010030.205.726
James OutmanPR
0000000.091.303
Totales33272371
BATTING
2B: Larnach (3, Holmes, C); Clemens (2, Holmes, C).
HR: Buxton (5, 6th inning off Holmes, C, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Bell; Buxton 4; Clemens 2; Larnach 2; Lee, B; Lewis, R; Wallner.
RBI: Buxton (7); Caratini (11).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Buxton; Keaschall 4.
SF: Caratini.
Team RISP: 0-for-5.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
E: Lewis, R (3, throw).
Outfield assists: Larnach (Vientos at home).
Pickoffs: Rogers, Ta (Soto, J at 1st base).
DP: 2 (Keaschall-Lee, B-Clemens; Lee, B-Keaschall-Clemens).
a-Walked for Larnach in the 8th.
b-Walked for Clemens in the 8th.
1-Ran for Lee, B in the 9th.

New York Mets — Bateo

JugadorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Bo BichetteSS
4110010.220.545
Juan SotoDH
3010100.353.921
Luis Robert Jr.CF
4000010.231.666
Brett Baty3B
0100200.209.520
Francisco AlvarezC
3011100.254.841
Mark Vientos1B
3011120.237.654
Marcus Semien2B
4010010.226.600
Carson BengeLF
0000000.136.416
Tyrone TaylorRF
3010010.212.568
Totales29383580
BATTING
2B: Bichette (4, Prielipp); Alvarez, F (2, Prielipp); Semien (4, Rojas, K).
TB: Alvarez, F 2; Bichette 2; Lindor 2; Semien 2; Soto, J; Taylor, T; Vientos.
RBI: Alvarez, F (6); Lindor (5); Vientos (7).
2-out RBI: Lindor; Vientos.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Pham 2; Semien 2.
GIDP: Alvarez, F; Bichette.
Team RISP: 2-for-8.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: Semien (2, 2nd base off Prielipp/Caratini).
CS: Soto, J (1, 2nd base by Rogers, Ta/Jeffers).
PO: Soto, J (1st base by Rogers, Ta).

Minnesota Twins — Pitcheo

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Connor Prielipp
4.042206082-524.50
Kendry Rojas
2.020030035-190.00
Eric Orze
1.000002011-73.72
Taylor Rogers(L, 0-1)
0.211110012-64.15
Justin Topa
0.110010017-103.86

New York Mets — Pitcheo

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Clay Holmes
7.052213188-562.10
Brooks Raley
0.210011016-92.08
Luke Weaver(W, 2-0)
1.110013030-215.40

Información del juego

Árbitros: Home Plate: Ryan Wills; First Base: Lance Barksdale; Second Base: Will Little; Third Base: Ryan Additon
Estadio: Citi Field, Flushing
Clima: 53°F, Clear
Viento: 3 mph, In From RF

Minnesota Twins — Noticias

New York Mets — Noticias

Comparacion de Temporada

Twins
STAT
Mets
29-34 Registro 27-35
46.0% Win % 43.5%
.460 PCT .435
290 Carreras a Favor 251
314 Carreras en Contra 264
63 Juegos Jugados 62
L1 Racha W1
3-7 Últimos 10 5-5
17-15 Registro de Local 15-15
12-19 Registro de Visitante 12-20

Enfrentamiento Directo

1
Ultimos 2 encuentros
1
Abr 23
Twins 8 - 10 Mets
Abr 21
Twins 5 - 3 Mets

Twins Recientes

Jun 3 vs White Sox 8-0 L
Jun 2 vs White Sox 4-6 W
Jun 1 vs White Sox 6-9 W
May 31 @ Pirates 3-9 L
May 30 @ Pirates 9-10 L

Mets Recientes

Jun 3 @ Mariners 7-1 W
Jun 2 @ Mariners 3-8 L
Jun 1 @ Mariners 2-3 L
May 31 vs Marlins 1-10 W
May 30 vs Marlins 1-6 W

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