New York Mets vs Miami Marlins — Mar 7, 2026 | AI Prediction & Stats
New York Mets
3-4
Finished
0
:
2
Miami Marlins
5-1
Scoreboard
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mets
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
|
Marlins
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 3 | 0 |
AI PREDICTIONNeural Network Forecast
AI| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mets
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
|
Marlins
|
0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Expect a tightly played contest highlighted by quality starting pitching. Miami will give the ball to Eury Pérez, whose riding four-seam/slider mix has stifled the Mets in prior meetings; however, he still tends to elevate pitch counts early, which limits him to about six innings. New York counters with Kodai Senga, and his forkball remains a nightmare for a right-heavy Marlins lineup that finished 28th in OPS against split-change variants last season.
The Mets’ modest edge offensively (a +51 run differential versus Miami’s –89) shows up in the middle frames. Look for Jeff McNeil to punch an RBI single in the second after Pete Alonso draws a walk, then a two-run surge in the fifth when Francisco Lindor ambushes a first-pitch heater for a gap double.
Miami’s best chance comes once Pérez exits and their athletic bench is in play. Jazz Chisholm Jr. manufactures a run with his legs in the third, and Bryan De La Cruz lines a run-scoring single off Senga’s final pitch in the sixth. The Marlins scrape another run off Adam Ottavino in the eighth thanks to a Luis Arraez flare and late baserunning pressure, but Drew Smith slams the door with a clean ninth.
Home-field familiarity keeps the game close, yet the Mets’ deeper bullpen and superior run-creation in high-leverage spots give them the narrow 4-3 victory projected above.
BaseballPredicts: Forecasts & Stats
AI-Powered MLB Predictions
Predictions, Stats & More in the App
AI predictions for upcoming games, inning-by-inning forecasts, expert commentary, detailed statistics, and real-time updates.
Season Comparison
Mets
STAT
Marlins
3-4
Record
5-1
0.429
Win %
0.833
25
Runs For
33
27
Runs Against
18
7
Games Played
6
LLLWL
Form
WWLWW
Head to Head
1
4
Mar 22
Mets
3 - 4
Marlins
Mar 17
Mets
5 - 5
Marlins
Mar 13
Marlins
1 - 0
Mets
Mar 9
Marlins
0 - 9
Mets
Feb 21
Marlins
2 - 1
Mets
Mets Recent
Apr 3
@ Giants
2-7
L
Apr 1
@ Cardinals
1-2
L
Mar 31
@ Cardinals
0-3
L
Mar 30
@ Cardinals
4-2
W
Mar 29
vs Pirates
4-3
L
Marlins Recent
Apr 1
vs White Sox
0-10
W
Mar 31
vs White Sox
2-9
W
Mar 30
vs White Sox
9-4
L
Mar 29
vs Rockies
3-4
W
Mar 28
vs Rockies
3-4
W
Lineups
AWAY ROSTER
Jorge Polanco
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H4
AB19
Marcus Semien
AVG-
HR0
RBI2
OBP-
H2
AB20
Brett Baty
AVG-
HR0
RBI3
OBP-
H5
AB23
Mark Vientos
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H2
AB5
Francisco Alvarez
AVG-
HR1
RBI1
OBP-
H3
AB13
Luis Torrens
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H2
AB6
Luis Robert Jr.
AVG-
HR1
RBI5
OBP-
H6
AB19
Tyrone Taylor
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H0
AB2
Jared Young
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H2
AB9
Carson Benge
AVG-
HR1
RBI1
OBP-
H3
AB19
Brooks Raley
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO4
Clay Holmes
ERA3.18
W-L1-0
SO5
David Peterson
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO3
Devin Williams
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO4
Freddy Peralta
ERA4.35
W-L1-0
SO14
Huascar Brazobán
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO2
Kodai Senga
ERA3.00
W-L0-1
SO9
Luis García
ERA9.00
W-L0-0
SO2
Luke Weaver
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO2
Nolan McLean
ERA3.60
W-L0-0
SO8
Richard Lovelady
ERA4.50
W-L1-1
SO4
Sean Manaea
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO2
Tobias Myers
ERA1.50
W-L0-1
SO5
Juan Soto
AVG-
HR1
RBI5
OBP-
H9
AB26
Bo Bichette
AVG-
HR0
RBI3
OBP-
H3
AB27
Francisco Lindor
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H3
AB21
HOME ROSTER
Javier Sanoja
AVG-
HR0
RBI3
OBP-
H7
AB12
Otto Lopez
AVG-
HR1
RBI2
OBP-
H7
AB22
Connor Norby
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H3
AB17
Graham Pauley
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H3
AB13
Agustín Ramírez
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H3
AB16
Liam Hicks
AVG-
HR3
RBI12
OBP-
H7
AB15
Jakob Marsee
AVG-
HR0
RBI2
OBP-
H3
AB22
Austin Slater
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H0
AB6
Griffin Conine
AVG-
HR1
RBI2
OBP-
H4
AB10
Heriberto Hernández
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H2
AB14
Andrew Nardi
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO4
Anthony Bender
ERA0.00
W-L1-0
SO2
Calvin Faucher
ERA0.00
W-L1-0
SO3
Chris Paddack
ERA18.00
W-L0-1
SO6
Eury Pérez
ERA3.86
W-L0-0
SO8
Janson Junk
ERA4.15
W-L0-0
SO5
John King
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO2
Lake Bachar
ERA3.00
W-L0-0
SO3
Max Meyer
ERA5.40
W-L0-0
SO5
Michael Petersen
ERA0.00
W-L1-0
SO3
Pete Fairbanks
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO5
Sandy Alcantara
ERA0.00
W-L2-0
SO12
Tyler Phillips
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO2
Owen Caissie
AVG-
HR1
RBI8
OBP-
H7
AB20
Leo Jiménez
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H0
AB2
Xavier Edwards
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H9
AB22
