Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets — Mar 28, 2026 | AI Prediction & Stats
Pittsburgh Pirates
3-3
Finished
2
:
4
New York Mets
3-4
Probable Pitchers
Pirates
Mitch Keller
Throws: R
4.19ERA
6-15W-L
150SO
1.26WHIP
176.1IP
VS
Mets
David Peterson
Throws: L
4.22ERA
9-6W-L
150SO
1.37WHIP
168.2IP
Scoreboard
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Pirates
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
|
Mets
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
AI PREDICTIONNeural Network Forecast
AI| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Pirates
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
|
Mets
|
1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
The Mets’ revamped lineup already proved it can ambush good pitching, and Mitch Keller will find himself navigating traffic from the outset. Juan Soto opens the scoring with a first-inning RBI single, and a third-inning two-run blast by Francisco Alvarez puts New York in control. Keller settles enough to complete five innings, but hands off a 4-2 deficit to a bullpen that was overworked on Opening Day and is thin on fresh high-leverage arms.
David Peterson mixes his sinker/slider effectively against a predominantly right-handed Pirate order. Pittsburgh scratches out single tallies in the 2nd (Ryan O’Hearn homer) and 4th (Brandon Lowe sac fly), but Peterson strands six runners through six frames, exiting with a 4-2 lead.
New York tacks on insurance against the middle of the Pirate pen: a Jorge Polanco RBI knock in the 7th and a Carson Benge pinch-hit sac fly in the 8th push the margin to 6-4. Brandon Lowe’s eighth-inning solo shot off lefty Brooks Raley keeps it interesting, yet Devin Williams slams the door with a clean ninth, showcasing the airbender for his first save of 2026.
Bottom line: the Mets’ deeper, more balanced offense and a better-rested relief corps give them the edge, while Pittsburgh’s pitching staff still reels from Opening Day’s meltdown.
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Season Comparison
Pirates
STAT
Mets
3-3
Record
3-4
0.500
Win %
0.429
29
Runs For
25
26
Runs Against
27
6
Games Played
7
WWLWL
Form
LLLWL
Head to Head
4
1
Mar 29
Pirates
4 - 3
Mets
Mar 26
Pirates
7 - 11
Mets
Jun 29
Mets
1 - 12
Pirates
Jun 28
Mets
2 - 9
Pirates
Jun 27
Mets
1 - 9
Pirates
Pirates Recent
Apr 1
@ Reds
8-3
W
Mar 31
@ Reds
8-3
W
Mar 30
@ Reds
0-2
L
Mar 29
@ Mets
4-3
W
Mar 26
@ Mets
7-11
L
Mets Recent
Apr 3
@ Giants
2-7
L
Apr 1
@ Cardinals
1-2
L
Mar 31
@ Cardinals
0-3
L
Mar 30
@ Cardinals
4-2
W
Mar 29
vs Pirates
4-3
L
Lineups
AWAY ROSTER
Ryan O'Hearn
AVG-
HR2
RBI6
OBP-
H8
AB19
Spencer Horwitz
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H2
AB15
Brandon Lowe
AVG-
HR3
RBI4
OBP-
H6
AB18
Nick Gonzales
AVG-
HR0
RBI5
OBP-
H9
AB27
Nick Yorke
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H2
AB10
Henry Davis
AVG-
HR0
RBI2
OBP-
H2
AB14
Joey Bart
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H1
AB5
Oneil Cruz
AVG-
HR3
RBI6
OBP-
H7
AB23
Marcell Ozuna
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H1
AB20
Jake Mangum
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H3
AB18
Braxton Ashcraft
ERA3.00
W-L0-1
SO3
Bubba Chandler
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO6
Carmen Mlodzinski
ERA4.15
W-L0-0
SO8
Dennis Santana
ERA0.00
W-L1-0
SO2
Gregory Soto
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO8
Hunter Barco
ERA12.00
W-L0-1
SO3
Isaac Mattson
ERA4.50
W-L0-0
SO4
José Urquidy
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO0
Justin Lawrence
ERA4.91
W-L0-0
SO6
Mason Montgomery
ERA12.00
W-L0-0
SO6
Mitch Keller
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO3
Paul Skenes
ERA9.53
W-L1-1
SO6
Yohan Ramírez
ERA0.00
W-L1-0
SO7
Bryan Reynolds
AVG-
HR2
RBI4
OBP-
H6
AB27
Jared Triolo
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H3
AB20
HOME ROSTER
Jorge Polanco
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H4
AB19
Marcus Semien
AVG-
HR0
RBI2
OBP-
H2
AB20
Brett Baty
AVG-
HR0
RBI3
OBP-
H5
AB23
Mark Vientos
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H2
AB5
Francisco Alvarez
AVG-
HR1
RBI1
OBP-
H3
AB13
Luis Torrens
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H2
AB6
Luis Robert Jr.
AVG-
HR1
RBI5
OBP-
H6
AB19
Tyrone Taylor
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H0
AB2
Jared Young
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H2
AB9
Carson Benge
AVG-
HR1
RBI1
OBP-
H3
AB19
Brooks Raley
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO4
Clay Holmes
ERA3.18
W-L1-0
SO5
David Peterson
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO3
Devin Williams
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO4
Freddy Peralta
ERA4.35
W-L1-0
SO14
Huascar Brazobán
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO2
Kodai Senga
ERA3.00
W-L0-1
SO9
Luis García
ERA9.00
W-L0-0
SO2
Luke Weaver
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO2
Nolan McLean
ERA3.60
W-L0-0
SO8
Richard Lovelady
ERA4.50
W-L1-1
SO4
Sean Manaea
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO2
Tobias Myers
ERA1.50
W-L0-1
SO5
Juan Soto
AVG-
HR1
RBI5
OBP-
H9
AB26
Bo Bichette
AVG-
HR0
RBI3
OBP-
H3
AB27
Francisco Lindor
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H3
AB21
