Πίσω στους Αγώνες Κυριακή, Μάι 17, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies — Μάι 17, 2026 | Πρόβλεψη AI & Στατιστικά

Coors Field, Denver
56°F, Partly Cloudy
14 mph, In From CF
W Michael Soroka L Michael Lorenzen SV Paul Sewald

Πίνακας Σκορ

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Diamondbacks 0 0 2 3 2 1 0 0 0 8 12 1
Rockies 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 6 9 3

ΠΡΟΒΛΕΨΗ AIΠρόβλεψη Νευρωνικού Δικτύου

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Diamondbacks 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 2 0 6
Rockies 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 72% Diamondbacks favored
This NL West matchup at Coors Field presents a classic pitching contrast that should favor Arizona despite the altitude advantage. Michael Soroka enters with a respectable 3.53 ERA and impressive 9.76 K/9 rate, vastly superior to Michael Lorenzen's concerning 6.54 ERA and 1.84 WHIP. The Diamondbacks' right-hander has shown excellent command with just 2.49 BB/9, while Lorenzen has struggled with consistency all season. Soroka's recent velocity readings (86-88 mph average) suggest he's healthy and mixing his five-pitch arsenal effectively, particularly his signature slider that comprises 32.5% of his offerings. The offensive matchups heavily favor specific Arizona hitters against Lorenzen's struggles. Ildemaro Vargas is scorching hot at .347 with 7 homers and 30 RBIs, while Corbin Carroll's speed and contact skills should exploit Lorenzen's elevated walk rate. For Colorado, Hunter Goodman represents their primary threat with 11 home runs already, and the Coors Field factor could amplify any mistakes Soroka makes. However, the Rockies' recent offensive inconsistency (just 193 runs scored in 46 games) and missing key players like Kris Bryant severely limit their upside. Colorado's rotation has been decimated by injuries, with Ryan Feltner, Chase Dollander, and others sidelined. This forces them to rely heavily on struggling veterans like Lorenzen, whose recent pitch count patterns (85-87 pitches) suggest he won't provide length. Arizona's bullpen depth, while not elite, should prove superior to Colorado's overworked relief corps. The Diamondbacks' recent 4-6 record in their last ten games mirrors Colorado's struggles, but their superior pitching foundation gives them the edge in this altitude-adjusted environment.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Soroka's command issues early, Coors Field factor kicks in quickly
Middle (4-6) 5R Both starters show fatigue, bullpens enter in high-leverage spots
Late (7-9) 3R Arizona's slightly better bullpen depth provides the edge

Matchup Analysis

Rockies

Coors Field altitude advantage
Hunter Goodman's power threat
Recent win momentum against Arizona
Michael Lorenzen's 6.54 ERA struggles
Depleted rotation with injuries

Diamondbacks

Michael Soroka's superior ERA and strikeout rate
Ildemaro Vargas heating up (.347 average)
Better overall bullpen depth
Poor road record (9-14)
Recent loss yesterday creates pressure

Risk Factors

Coors Field unpredictability
Both teams' inconsistent recent form

Key Matchups

Hunter Goodman vs Michael Soroka batter Goodman's 11 HRs vs Soroka's flyball tendencies at altitude
Corbin Carroll vs Michael Lorenzen batter Carroll's speed vs Lorenzen's elevated WHIP creates opportunities
Ildemaro Vargas vs Michael Lorenzen batter Vargas' hot streak vs struggling Rockies starter

Statistical Edges

First to Score Diamondbacks 65%
Strikeouts 12 10-15
Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

Michael Soroka takes the mound for Arizona looking to bounce back from yesterday's loss, his slider working effectively in the thin Colorado air. The Diamondbacks strike first in the top of the first when Corbin Carroll works a leadoff walk against the struggling Michael Lorenzen, steals second, and scores on an Ildemaro Vargas RBI single. Colorado answers immediately in the bottom half as Hunter Goodman launches a solo home run to left field, one of those typical Coors Field shots that carries further than expected. The game's turning point comes in the fourth and fifth innings. Lorenzen's command issues resurface as he walks two batters in the fourth, setting up a two-run Arizona rally capped by another Vargas clutch hit. Colorado fights back with a two-run fourth of their own, capitalizing on a rare Soroka mistake pitch to TJ Rumfield. However, the fifth inning belongs entirely to Arizona as Soroka settles into a groove while Lorenzen finally exits after allowing his sixth run. The Diamondbacks tack on crucial insurance runs in the seventh and eighth innings against Colorado's overworked bullpen, with Gabriel Moreno delivering a key two-RBI single in the eighth that proves to be the difference in a 6-5 Arizona victory.
The 72% confidence reflects the significant pitching edge Arizona holds with Soroka's 3.53 ERA versus Lorenzen's 6.54 ERA, plus Arizona's superior bullpen depth. While Coors Field creates unpredictability, the underlying metrics strongly favor the Diamondbacks despite their recent road struggles.
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Arizona Diamondbacks — Ρόστερ

ΠαίκτηςΘέσηAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Ildemaro Vargas
2B .333731.354.549
Corbin Carroll
RF .278724.390.543
Geraldo Perdomo
SS .226212.343.356
Nolan Arenado
3B .273621.350.448
Jorge Barrosa
CF .19217.267.372
Adrian Del Castillo
DH .185316.232.326
Gabriel Moreno
C .253112.304.373
Jose Fernandez
1B .275314.310.383
Ryan Waldschmidt
LF .24105.290.310

Colorado Rockies — Ρόστερ

ΠαίκτηςΘέσηAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Edouard Julien
2B .227212.319.319
Mickey Moniak
LF .2981228.351.645
Hunter Goodman
DH .2531119.316.506
TJ Rumfield
1B .275623.351.443
Troy Johnston
RF .321221.384.460
Willi Castro
SS .236215.295.331
Jake McCarthy
CF .300218.360.489
Kyle Karros
3B .231111.338.308
Brett Sullivan
C .20308.253.290

Σκοράρισμα

3
Nolan Arenado singles on a line drive to left fielder Mickey Moniak. Corbin Carroll scores. Geraldo Perdomo to 2nd.
1-0
3
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Mickey Moniak. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Nolan Arenado to 2nd.
2-0
4
Ildemaro Vargas singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Gabriel Moreno scores.
3-0
4
Corbin Carroll homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Ildemaro Vargas scores.
5-0
4
Troy Johnston doubles (13) on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. TJ Rumfield scores.
5-1
4
Willi Castro hits a ground-rule double (6) on a fly ball to left-center field. Troy Johnston scores.
5-2
5
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.
6-2
5
Jose Fernandez singles on a ground ball to third baseman Kyle Karros. Gabriel Moreno scores.
7-2
6
Corbin Carroll homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.
8-2
8
Willi Castro out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Hunter Goodman scores.
8-3
8
Jake McCarthy singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. TJ Rumfield scores. Troy Johnston to 2nd.
8-4
8
Kyle Karros singles on a ground ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr., deflected by third baseman Nolan Arenado. Troy Johnston scores. Jake McCarthy to 3rd.
8-5
8
Brett Sullivan out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Jake McCarthy scores.
8-6

Arizona Diamondbacks — Χτύπημα

ΠαίκτηςABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Ildemaro Vargas2B
5111000.333.903
Corbin CarrollRF
4323122.278.933
Geraldo PerdomoSS
4120100.226.699
Nolan Arenado3B
4011110.273.798
Jorge BarrosaCF
0000000.192.639
Adrian Del CastilloDH
5000030.185.558
Gabriel MorenoC
4230100.253.677
Jose Fernandez1B
3011020.275.693
Ryan WaldschmidtLF
4000010.241.600
Σύνολα3881284113
BATTING
2B: Perdomo (7, Halvorsen).
HR: Carroll 2 (7, 4th inning off Lorenzen, 1 on, 2 out, 6th inning off Castaño, 0 on, 1 out); Gurriel Jr. (1, 5th inning off Lorenzen, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Arenado; Carroll 8; Fernandez, Jo; Gurriel Jr. 5; Moreno 3; Perdomo 3; Vargas, I.
RBI: Arenado (21); Carroll 3 (24); Fernandez, Jo (14); Gurriel Jr. 2 (9); Vargas, I (31).
2-out RBI: Arenado; Gurriel Jr.; Fernandez, Jo; Vargas, I; Carroll 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Arenado; Gurriel Jr.; Del Castillo; Waldschmidt.
SAC: Fernandez, Jo.
Team RISP: 4-for-11.
Team LOB: 8.
BASERUNNING
SB: Moreno (2, 2nd base off Lorenzen/Sullivan, B); Fernandez, Jo (5, 2nd base off Castaño/Sullivan, B).
CS: Arenado (1, 2nd base by Castaño/Sullivan, B).
PO: Waldschmidt (1st base by Castaño).
FIELDING
E: Waldschmidt (1, fielding).

Colorado Rockies — Χτύπημα

ΠαίκτηςABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Edouard Julien2B
5000020.227.638
Mickey MoniakLF
4000100.298.996
Hunter GoodmanDH
4110120.253.822
TJ Rumfield1B
3210100.275.794
Troy JohnstonRF
4221110.321.844
Willi CastroSS
3012010.236.626
Jake McCarthyCF
4121010.300.849
Kyle Karros3B
4021000.231.646
Brett SullivanC
3001010.203.543
Σύνολα34696480
BATTING
2B: Rumfield (8, Soroka); Johnston, T (13, Soroka); Castro, W (6, Soroka).
TB: Castro, W 2; Goodman; Johnston, T 3; Karros, K 2; McCarthy 2; Rumfield 2.
RBI: Castro, W 2 (15); Johnston, T (21); Karros, K (11); McCarthy (18); Sullivan, B (8).
2-out RBI: Castro, W; Johnston, T.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Karros, K; McCarthy; Goodman.
SF: Castro, W; Sullivan, B.
Team RISP: 4-for-7.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
E: Sullivan, B (2, throw); Julien (4, interference); Castro, W (3, throw).
Pickoffs: Castaño (Waldschmidt at 1st base).

Arizona Diamondbacks — Ρίψη

ΡίπτηςIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Michael Soroka(W, 6-2)
5.262228098-673.49
Ryan Thompson
0.10000003-13.00
Juan Morillo
1.00000004-41.83
Brandon Pfaadt
0.124410016-76.34
Taylor Clarke(H, 9)
0.21000007-42.18
Paul Sewald(S, 10)
1.000010016-114.41

Colorado Rockies — Ρίψη

ΡίπτηςIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Michael Lorenzen(L, 2-6)
4.2976352101-597.03
Blas Castaño
2.121113145-313.86
Seth Halvorsen
1.010002014-101.50
Victor Vodnik
1.000001011-76.50

Πληροφορίες αγώνα

Διαιτητές: Home Plate: Nick Mahrley; First Base: Marvin Hudson; Second Base: Ryan Blakney; Third Base: James Jean
Γήπεδο: Coors Field, Denver
Καιρός: 56°F, Partly Cloudy
Άνεμος: 14 mph, In From CF

Colorado Rockies — Νέα

Σύγκριση Σεζόν

Diamondbacks
STAT
Rockies
32-29 Ρεκόρ 24-39
52.5% Win % 38.1%
.525 PCT .381
273 Πόντοι Υπέρ 272
270 Πόντοι Κατά 355
61 Αγώνες 63
L2 Σερί L1
5-5 Τελευταίοι 10 4-6
19-12 Εντός Έδρας 12-16
13-17 Εκτός Έδρας 12-23

Κατά Μέτωπο

3
Τελευταίες 5 αναμετρήσεις
2
Μάι 24
Rockies 1 - 9 Diamondbacks
Μάι 23
Rockies 4 - 5 Diamondbacks
Μάι 22
Rockies 3 - 2 Diamondbacks
Μάι 21
Rockies 1 - 2 Diamondbacks
Μάι 16
Diamondbacks 2 - 4 Rockies

Diamondbacks Πρόσφατα

Ιούν 3 vs Dodgers 7-0 L
Ιούν 2 vs Dodgers 6-5 L
Ιούν 1 vs Dodgers 1-4 W
Μάι 31 @ Mariners 2-3 L
Μάι 30 @ Mariners 1-5 L

Rockies Πρόσφατα

Ιούν 3 @ Angels 4-11 L
Ιούν 2 @ Angels 8-2 W
Ιούν 1 @ Angels 9-8 W
Μάι 31 vs Giants 19-6 L
Μάι 30 vs Giants 3-8 W

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