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Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves — Apr 28, 2026 | AI-forudsigelse og statistik

Truist Park, Atlanta
65°F, Cloudy
6 mph, In From RF
W Martín Pérez L Casey Mize

Resultattavle

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Tigers 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 6 1
Braves 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 2 - 5 9 0

AI-FORUDSIGELSENeuralt netvaerk prognose

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Tigers 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 3
Braves 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 6
Confidence: 78% Braves favored
This matchup presents a fascinating contrast between Atlanta's offensive firepower at home and Detroit's road struggles against quality pitching. The Braves enter riding momentum from their recent success against Philadelphia, boasting a dominant 20-9 record and league-leading +65 run differential. Martín Pérez takes the hill with a deceptive 2.70 ERA, though his 4.43 K/9 rate suggests he's living dangerously against aggressive lineups. His recent pitch counts (52, 94, 86) indicate inconsistent command, which could be problematic against a Detroit offense that's shown flashes of power despite their road woes. Casey Mize represents Detroit's best hope to steal a game in hostile territory. His 2.51 ERA and impressive 10.05 K/9 rate through 28.2 innings demonstrate the former top prospect is finally fulfilling his potential. Mize's four-pitch mix, anchored by a 93.3 mph fastball and devastating splitter, should neutralize Atlanta's patient approach. However, the Tigers' 5-12 road record looms large, as does their offensive inconsistency that's produced just 4.6 runs per game away from Comerica Park. The key subplot involves Atlanta's depleted bullpen facing Detroit's recent roster churn. With closer Raisel Iglesias sidelined and Joe Jiménez on the 60-day IL, the Braves' late-game depth is questionable. Meanwhile, Detroit has recalled Brenan Hanifee and added Burch Smith, providing fresh arms for manager A.J. Hinch. Matt Olson's torrid start (.296, 8 HR, 25 RBI) against Mize's fastball-heavy approach could determine the game's flow, while Detroit's surprising contributors like Colt Keith (.317) and Kevin McGonigle (.330, 2 HR) offer upset potential if they can solve Pérez early.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both teams score early against shaky command
Middle (4-6) 3R Quality pitching settles in, limited opportunities
Late (7-9) 3R Braves bullpen depth creates late separation

Matchup Analysis

Braves

Dominant home offense (5.7 RPG at Truist)
Matt Olson's power surge (.296, 8 HR)
Excellent run differential (+65)
Depleted bullpen (Iglesias, Jiménez on IL)
Pérez's low strikeout rate vulnerability

Tigers

Mize's excellent form (2.51 ERA, 10.05 K/9)
Solid contact hitters like Keith and McGonigle
Fresh bullpen arms after recent callups
Disastrous road record (5-12)
Offensive inconsistency (4.6 RPG)
Missing key players (Verlander, McKinstry)

Risk Factors

Pérez's recent short outings
Detroit's improved recent offensive showing

Key Matchups

Matt Olson vs Casey Mize batter Olson crushes RH fastballs, Mize relies heavily on four-seamer
Colt Keith vs Martín Pérez batter Keith's .317 average vs Pérez's soft contact approach
Kevin McGonigle vs Martín Pérez batter McGonigle's .330 average suggests he can handle crafty lefties

Statistical Edges

First to Score Tigers 65%
Strikeouts 12 10-14
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

The game opens with Detroit capitalizing on Pérez's early command issues, as Colt Keith works a leadoff walk and scores on Kevin McGonigle's sharp single to right field. Atlanta responds immediately in the bottom of the second when Matt Olson crushes a Casey Mize four-seamer over the right field wall, his ninth homer of the season giving the Braves a temporary lead. The middle innings see both starters settle into a rhythm, with Mize's splitter generating swings and misses while Pérez relies on soft contact and his defense. The pivotal moment arrives in the fourth inning when Atlanta breaks through against Mize's location. Mauricio Dubón leads off with a double, and consecutive RBI singles from Jonah Heim and the bottom of the order push across two runs. Detroit briefly threatens in the fifth when Jake Rogers doubles and scores on a wild pitch, but the Braves pull away in the eighth inning. With Detroit's bullpen showing fatigue from recent usage, Atlanta's patient approach pays dividends as they score twice more on a combination of walks, stolen bases, and timely hitting. The Tigers mount a final threat in the ninth with McGonigle reaching base, but Atlanta's makeshift closer combination preserves the victory, improving their home record to 11-5 while Detroit falls to 5-13 on the road.
High confidence stems from Atlanta's dominant home performance (10-5 record, +65 run differential) against Detroit's woeful road struggles (5-12). The Braves' offensive depth and Truist Park advantage outweigh concerns about their depleted bullpen, especially against a Tigers team that has scored just 4.6 runs per game away from home.
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Detroit Tigers — Trup

SpillerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Kerry Carpenter
DH .231617.319.513
Gleyber Torres
2B .24329.383.320
Kevin McGonigle
SS .327212.417.518
Matt Vierling
CF .19319.262.333
Dillon Dingler
C .253519.337.483
Riley Greene
LF .292317.395.453
Spencer Torkelson
1B .228512.360.457
Colt Keith
3B .32106.352.405
Wenceel Pérez
RF .11623.156.256

Atlanta Braves — Trup

SpillerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Ronald Acuña Jr.
RF .24829.360.381
Drake Baldwin
C .301725.377.504
Matt Olson
1B .299826.378.615
Ozzie Albies
2B .316618.359.513
Michael Harris II
CF .320620.356.546
Austin Riley
3B .202317.289.333
Kyle Farmer
DH .33303.300.444
Mauricio Dubón
SS .282214.327.437
Mike Yastrzemski
LF .20506.278.273

Scoring plays

3
Ronald Acuña Jr. doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Mike Yastrzemski scores.
0-1
3
Matt Olson out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Javier Báez. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores.
0-2
7
Mike Yastrzemski singles on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Mauricio Dubón scores.
0-3
8
Ozzie Albies homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Matt Olson scores.
0-5
9
Wenceel Pérez homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Colt Keith scores.
2-5

Detroit Tigers — Batting

SpillerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Kerry CarpenterDH
2000000.231.832
Gleyber Torres2B
3000200.243.703
Kevin McGonigleSS
4010010.327.935
Matt VierlingCF
4000010.193.595
Dillon DinglerC
3020100.253.820
Riley GreeneLF
3000110.292.848
Spencer Torkelson1B
3000120.228.817
Colt Keith3B
2110000.321.757
Wenceel PérezRF
2112001.116.412
I alt33262581
BATTING
2B: Lee, H (2, Pérez, M); Dingler (5, Kinley).
HR: Pérez, W (2, 9th inning off Bummer, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Dingler 3; Keith; Lee, H 2; McGonigle; Pérez, W 4.
RBI: Pérez, W 2 (3).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Greene, R 2; Lee, H; McGonigle.
Team RISP: 0-for-5.
Team LOB: 9.
FIELDING
E: Hurter (1, throw).
DP: (Torres-McGonigle-Torkelson).
a-Lined out for Lee, H in the 7th.
b-Flied out for Jones, Jah in the 7th.

Atlanta Braves — Batting

SpillerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Ronald Acuña Jr.RF
4121010.248.741
Drake BaldwinC
4000000.301.881
Matt Olson1B
2111110.299.993
Ozzie Albies2B
3112111.316.872
Michael Harris IICF
4010000.320.902
Austin Riley3B
4000030.202.622
Kyle FarmerDH
3010020.333.744
Mauricio DubónSS
4110000.282.764
Mike YastrzemskiLF
3121000.205.551
I alt32595291
BATTING
2B: Acuña Jr. 2 (7, Mize, Mize); Yastrzemski (4, Mize); Dubón (8, Smith, B); Olson (13, Holton).
HR: Albies (6, 8th inning off Holton, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Acuña Jr. 4; Albies 4; Dubón 2; Farmer, K; Harris II; Olson 2; Yastrzemski 3.
RBI: Acuña Jr. (9); Albies 2 (18); Olson (26); Yastrzemski (6).
2-out RBI: Yastrzemski.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Dubón 2; Harris II.
SF: Olson.
GIDP: Harris II.
Team RISP: 3-for-10.
Team LOB: 6.
a-Struck out for Smith, Do in the 4th.

Detroit Tigers — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Casey Mize(L, 2-2)
2.132213034-252.90
Brant Hurter
2.200001030-201.98
Burch Smith
2.021114033-221.69
Tyler Holton
1.042201120-145.54

Atlanta Braves — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Martín Pérez(W, 2-1)
5.020045091-532.22
Didier Fuentes(H, 1)
2.000011022-125.00
Tyler Kinley(H, 4)
1.020002023-131.38
Aaron Bummer
1.022200112-94.66

Kampinfo

Dommere: Home Plate: Alan Porter; First Base: Will Little; Second Base: Roberto Ortiz; Third Base: Jim Wolf
Stadion: Truist Park, Atlanta
Vejr: 65°F, Cloudy
Vind: 6 mph, In From RF

Detroit Tigers — Nyheder

Atlanta Braves — Nyheder

Saesonsammenligning

Tigers
STAT
Braves
32-44 Resultat 48-27
42.1% Win % 64.0%
.421 PCT .640
309 Runs for 373
315 Runs imod 271
76 Spillede kampe 75
W2 Stime W2
5-5 Seneste 10 4-6
20-16 Hjemmeresultat 24-13
12-28 Uderesultat 24-14

Indbyrdes

1
Seneste 2 moeder
1
Apr 30
Tigers 5 - 2 Braves
Apr 29
Tigers 3 - 4 Braves

Tigers Seneste

Jun 21 vs White Sox 4-5 W
Jun 20 vs White Sox 1-4 W
Jun 19 vs White Sox 3-4 W
Jun 17 @ Astros 2-4 L
Jun 16 @ Astros 2-4 L

Braves Seneste

Jun 21 vs Brewers 9-4 L
Jun 20 vs Brewers 3-4 W
Jun 19 vs Brewers 2-3 W
Jun 17 vs Giants 7-5 L
Jun 16 vs Giants 7-2 L

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