Zpet na zapasy Nedele, Kvě 24, 2026

Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles — Kvě 24, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
58°F, Overcast
3 mph, In From CF
W Dietrich Enns L Kenley Jansen

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Tigers 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 3 7 0
Orioles 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 3 5 5 1

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Tigers 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 3
Orioles 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 68% Orioles favored
This split doubleheader opener presents a fascinating contrast between two struggling AL clubs with vastly different recent trajectories. Baltimore enters with renewed optimism after snapping Detroit's brief winning moment with a 7-4 victory two days ago, while the Tigers have spiraled into a devastating seven-game losing streak that has them searching for answers. The pitching matchup favors Detroit on paper, with Framber Valdez (4.58 ERA) bringing his signature sinker-curveball repertoire against Brandon Young, whose recent velocity decline from 96.9 mph to 95.2 mph suggests potential fatigue issues. However, Valdez's 1.40 WHIP and elevated walk rate (3.44 BB/9) indicate control problems that Baltimore's patient hitters like Gunnar Henderson and Taylor Ward can exploit. The injury situation heavily favors Baltimore, despite their own lengthy IL. While the Orioles welcomed back Jackson Holliday and have key contributors like Henderson (10 HR, 24 RBI) healthy, Detroit's roster decimation is staggering. Missing Tarik Skubal, Justin Verlander, Kerry Carpenter, and Javier Báez leaves them with a skeleton crew led by the emerging Kevin McGonigle (.310, 2 HR) and veteran presence Colt Keith. The Tigers' abysmal 7-20 road record tells the story of a team that simply cannot perform away from Comerica Park, while Baltimore's modest 13-12 home mark still represents their best chance for success. The game narrative should unfold with early tension as both starters work through command issues in cool, overcast conditions. Young's recent decrease in average velocity suggests he may need to rely more heavily on his splitter and slider to get swings and misses, while Valdez will attack with his devastating sinker that generates ground balls. The middle innings become crucial as both bullpens have been taxed recently, giving Baltimore's home-field advantage increased importance. Expect the Orioles to capitalize on Valdez's occasional wildness while Young settles into a rhythm after early struggles, ultimately providing enough quality innings for Baltimore to secure a needed victory in this makeup game atmosphere.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Brandon Young settles in after early struggles
Middle (4-6) 3R Orioles break through against Valdez's curveball
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battle favors Baltimore at home

Matchup Analysis

Orioles

Coming off momentum win vs Detroit
Home field advantage at Camden Yards
Healthier lineup with Jackson Holliday returning
Struggling rotation depth
Poor run differential (-56)

Tigers

Framber Valdez's sinker-curveball combination
Kevin McGonigle's hot hitting (.310 avg)
Catastrophic seven-game losing streak
Terrible road record (7-20)
Decimated by injuries to key players

Risk Factors

Young's recent velocity dip
Tigers desperate to end losing streak

Key Matchups

Gunnar Henderson vs Framber Valdez batter Henderson's power vs Valdez's elevated ERA
Colt Keith vs Brandon Young batter Keith's solid contact vs Young's inconsistency

Statistical Edges

First to Score Tigers 55%
Strikeouts 11 9-13
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

The overcast skies and 59-degree temperature at Camden Yards set a somber tone as Brandon Young takes the mound for Baltimore, his fastball velocity concerns evident from the first inning. Framber Valdez counters with his signature sinker, but early control issues put runners on base as both pitchers work through their timing. The Tigers strike first in the third when Colt Keith works a leadoff walk and eventually scores on a Kevin McGonigle sacrifice fly, capitalizing on Young's command struggles. Baltimore responds in the bottom of the fourth with their most productive inning. Gunnar Henderson launches a solo home run to left field off a hanging curveball from Valdez, immediately followed by Taylor Ward's RBI double down the right field line. The Orioles add another run when Leody Taveras drives in Ward with a clutch two-out single, suddenly leading 3-1 and energizing the home crowd. Young settles down considerably after the early hiccup, using his splitter effectively to retire nine consecutive Tigers batters. The late innings see both bullpens enter with the game still in reach. Detroit cuts the deficit to 3-2 in the seventh when McGonigle delivers again with an RBI single, but Baltimore's bullpen holds firm at home. The Orioles add crucial insurance in the eighth on a Weston Wilson RBI single, then close out the victory despite a late Tigers rally that produces one more run in the ninth. Young earns the win after five solid innings, while Valdez takes the loss as Detroit's losing streak extends to eight games.
The confidence level of 68% reflects Baltimore's clear advantages in health, recent momentum, and home-field benefit, but acknowledges that both teams are underperforming and Young's recent velocity decline creates some uncertainty about his effectiveness over multiple innings.
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Detroit Tigers — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Hao-Yu Lee
2B .22218.269.349
Kevin McGonigle
3B .283317.388.414
Dillon Dingler
DH .229929.307.447
Riley Greene
LF .317424.411.460
Matt Vierling
CF .217421.288.380
Spencer Torkelson
1B .200720.308.382
Wenceel Pérez
RF .15928.215.239
Jake Rogers
C .14904.222.234
Zack Short
SS .10500.292.158

Baltimore Orioles — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Taylor Ward
DH .255215.408.370
Gunnar Henderson
SS .2301125.282.438
Adley Rutschman
C .267726.326.504
Pete Alonso
1B .2241032.306.439
Samuel Basallo
PH .266718.323.476
Jackson Holliday
3B .25012.400.625
Leody Taveras
CF .265219.372.393
Jeremiah Jackson
2B .253625.269.416
Colton Cowser
LF .200212.284.289

Skórovací akce

4
Matt Vierling singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Kevin McGonigle scores. Dillon Dingler to 3rd.
1-0
4
Colt Keith out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Dillon Dingler scores.
2-0
6
Gunnar Henderson homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.
2-1
8
Spencer Torkelson singles on a soft ground ball to first baseman Pete Alonso. Dillon Dingler scores. Matt Vierling to 2nd.
3-1
8
Taylor Ward singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Jeremiah Jackson scores.
3-2
9
Colton Cowser homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Jackson Holliday scores. Leody Taveras scores.
3-5

Detroit Tigers — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Hao-Yu Lee2B
0000000.222.618
Kevin McGonigle3B
5110010.283.802
Dillon DinglerDH
4200110.229.754
Riley GreeneLF
4000010.317.871
Matt VierlingCF
4031000.217.668
Spencer Torkelson1B
1011000.200.690
Wenceel PérezRF
3000110.159.454
Jake RogersC
3000110.149.456
Zack ShortSS
4010010.105.450
Celkem34373460
BATTING
2B: Short (1, Young).
TB: Keith; McGonigle; Short 2; Torkelson; Vierling 3.
RBI: Keith (7); Torkelson (20); Vierling (21).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Pérez, W; Rogers; McKinstry; Short 2.
SF: Keith.
Team RISP: 2-for-8.
Team LOB: 9.
a-Singled for Keith in the 8th.
b-Flied out for McKinstry in the 9th.

Baltimore Orioles — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Taylor WardDH
4011010.255.778
Gunnar HendersonSS
3111121.230.720
Adley RutschmanC
2000200.267.830
Pete Alonso1B
4000000.224.745
Samuel BasalloPH
1000000.266.799
Jackson Holliday3B
1100100.2501.025
Leody TaverasCF
3110110.265.765
Jeremiah Jackson2B
4110010.253.685
Colton CowserLF
2113001.200.573
Celkem31555562
BATTING
2B: Jackson, J (7, Finnegan).
HR: Henderson (11, 6th inning off Valdez, F, 0 on, 1 out); Cowser (2, 9th inning off Jansen, K, 2 on, 2 out).
TB: Cowser 4; Henderson 4; Jackson, J 2; Taveras, L; Ward.
RBI: Cowser 3 (12); Henderson (25); Ward (15).
2-out RBI: Cowser 3.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Alonso.
Team RISP: 2-for-6.
Team LOB: 5.
BASERUNNING
SB: Holliday 2 (2, 2nd base off Jansen, K/Rogers, 3rd base off Jansen, K/Rogers); Taveras, L (4, 2nd base off Jansen, K/Rogers).
FIELDING
E: Alonso (2, throw).
a-Grounded out for Wilson, W in the 7th.
b-Grounded out for Alexander in the 8th.
c-Flied out for O'Neill in the 9th.

Detroit Tigers — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Framber Valdez
6.021125192-554.28
Will Vest(H, 5)
1.000001014-95.52
Kyle Finnegan(H, 6)
0.221110021-141.82
Kenley Jansen(L, 1-3)(BS, 4)
1.013320124-135.02

Baltimore Orioles — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Brandon Young
6.2520240105-713.47
Keegan Akin
1.021121022-1312.66
Dietrich Enns(W, 2-0)
1.100001011-93.60

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Jonathan Parra; First Base: Austin Jones; Second Base: Alfonso Márquez; Third Base: Mike Estabrook
Stadion: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Počasí: 58°F, Overcast
Vítr: 3 mph, In From CF

Detroit Tigers — Zpravy

Baltimore Orioles — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Tigers
STAT
Orioles
24-38 Bilance 29-32
38.7% Win % 47.5%
.387 PCT .475
241 Ziskane body 279
271 Inkasovane body 315
62 Odehrane zapasy 61
W2 Série W3
4-6 Posledních 10 7-3
14-14 Bilance doma 19-15
10-24 Bilance venku 10-17

Vzajemne zapasy

1
Poslednich 2 setkani
1
Kvě 24
Tigers 4 - 1 Orioles
Kvě 22
Tigers 4 - 7 Orioles

Tigers Nedavne

Čen 3 @ Rays 7-2 W
Čen 2 @ Rays 8-0 W
Čen 1 @ Rays 10-9 W
Kvě 31 @ White Sox 1-2 L
Kvě 30 @ White Sox 1-7 L

Orioles Nedavne

Čen 2 @ Red Sox 4-2 W
Kvě 31 vs Blue Jays 5-9 W
Kvě 30 vs Blue Jays 5-6 W
Kvě 29 vs Blue Jays 6-5 L
Kvě 28 vs Blue Jays 2-1 L

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