Zpet na zapasy Streda, Kvě 27, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles — Kvě 27, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
80°F, Partly Cloudy
2 mph, Out To RF
W Trey Gibson L Steven Matz

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Rays 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 10 0
Orioles 5 0 1 0 2 1 2 0 - 11 16 0

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Rays 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 4
Orioles 0 1 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 5
Confidence: 62% Orioles favored
This matchup presents an intriguing contrast between momentum and talent. The Rays enter as AL East leaders (34-18, .654) but are reeling from a three-game skid, including back-to-back losses to these same Orioles. Steven Matz makes his first start since coming off the IL, bringing a solid 3.70 ERA and veteran presence to Tampa Bay's rotation. His sinker-heavy approach (48.4% usage at 93.3 mph) has been effective, but he'll face an Orioles offense that has exploded for 15 runs in their last two wins. Baltimore's unknown starter creates the game's biggest variable - their rotation has been decimated by injuries to Eflin, Kremer, and Povich, forcing them into emergency depth. The Orioles have found their offensive rhythm at home (16-13 record), with Gunnar Henderson providing pop (11 HRs) and Pete Alonso contributing veteran presence (10 HRs, 33 RBIs). Tampa Bay counters with Yandy Díaz's .314 average leading a balanced attack, while Junior Caminero's 13 home runs provide secondary power. Both bullpens have been worked recently in this series, with the Rays' depth slightly compromised by key injuries to Uceta and Rodriguez. The head-to-head history favors high-scoring affairs, but Matz's return and Baltimore's pitching uncertainty suggest a more controlled game. Camden Yards' favorable hitting conditions and 81-degree weather should benefit both offenses, though the overcast skies may help breaking balls. Baltimore's recent surge at home, combined with Tampa Bay's road struggles (15-13 away), gives the Orioles a slight edge despite their inferior record.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Matz struggles early vs hot Orioles offense
Middle (4-6) 4R Both teams manufacture runs with situational hitting
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpens settle in for tight finish

Matchup Analysis

Orioles

Hot offense riding 2-game win streak
Strong home record at Camden Yards
Recent head-to-head success vs Matz
TBD starting pitcher creates uncertainty
Depleted pitching depth on IL

Rays

AL East leaders with strong road record
Matz providing veteran stability
Yandy Díaz leading potent offense
Three-game losing streak
Matz coming off IL activation
Bullpen usage concerns

Risk Factors

Unknown Baltimore starter
Matz's first start off IL

Key Matchups

Gunnar Henderson vs Steven Matz batter Henderson's power vs Matz's sinker dependency
Yandy Díaz vs TBD batter Díaz hitting .314 vs unknown starter

Statistical Edges

First to Score Rays 55%
Strikeouts 12 9-15
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

Steven Matz takes the mound for Tampa Bay, making his return from the IL with extra motivation after watching his team drop three straight. The veteran left-hander establishes his sinker early, but Gunnar Henderson ambushes a first-pitch fastball in the top of the first for a leadoff double. Two batters later, Pete Alonso drives him home with a sharp single to give Baltimore an early 1-0 lead. The Rays respond immediately in the bottom half as Yandy Díaz works a walk against Baltimore's emergency starter, then scores on Junior Caminero's RBI double down the left field line. Matz settles into a groove through the middle innings, but Baltimore's aggressive approach pays off in the fourth when Taylor Ward launches a two-run homer to right field, extending their lead to 3-1. The Rays chip away with a Díaz RBI single in the fifth, making it 3-2, but Baltimore extends their advantage in the sixth when Henderson drives home his second run of the game with a sacrifice fly. Tampa Bay's comeback attempt gains steam in the eighth inning when they load the bases against Baltimore's overworked bullpen. Nick Fortes delivers a clutch two-run single through the shift, putting the Rays ahead 4-3 for the first time. However, Baltimore's home crowd energizes one final rally in the bottom of the eighth as Wilson Contreras singles and eventually scores on a wild pitch to tie it 4-4. In the ninth, with runners on first and second and one out, Henderson steps up again and delivers a walk-off single to center field, capping a dramatic comeback and extending Baltimore's winning streak to three games.
The 62% confidence reflects significant uncertainty around Baltimore's starting pitcher while factoring in their recent offensive surge and home field advantage. Tampa Bay's talent edge is offset by their current struggles and Matz's return from injury.
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Tampa Bay Rays — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Chandler Simpson
LF .295012.327.353
Oliver Dunn
3B .00000.125.000
Victor Mesa Jr.
RF .30012.364.600
Nick Fortes
DH .262110.299.333
Richie Palacios
2B .260115.364.320
Ryan Vilade
1B .304216.383.464
Cedric Mullins
CF .190315.257.276
Carson Williams
SS .10003.156.133
Hunter Feduccia
C .28116.356.359

Baltimore Orioles — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jackson Holliday
SS .21114.304.368
Weston Wilson
3B .23713.356.342
Adley Rutschman
C .268726.340.500
Pete Alonso
1B .2311033.315.429
Coby Mayo
DH .195518.270.346
Leody Taveras
CF .278221.377.398
Colton Cowser
RF .210314.298.320
Blaze Alexander
LF .254114.307.339
Jeremiah Jackson
2B .248626.263.400

Skórovací akce

1
Gunnar Henderson homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Taylor Ward scores.
0-2
1
Leody Taveras singles on a fly ball to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Adley Rutschman scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd. Coby Mayo to 2nd.
0-3
1
Blaze Alexander singles on a line drive to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Pete Alonso scores. Coby Mayo scores. Leody Taveras to 3rd.
0-5
3
Tyler O'Neill singles on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Coby Mayo scores.
0-6
5
Blaze Alexander doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Coby Mayo scores. Leody Taveras scores.
0-8
6
Ryan Vilade grounds into a force out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to second baseman Jeremiah Jackson. Jonathan Aranda scores. Richie Palacios out at 2nd. Ryan Vilade to 1st.
1-8
6
Gunnar Henderson homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.
1-9
7
Blaze Alexander homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Colton Cowser scores.
1-11
8
Ryan Vilade walks. Victor Mesa Jr. scores. Nick Fortes to 3rd. Richie Palacios to 2nd.
2-11

Tampa Bay Rays — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Chandler SimpsonLF
4010100.295.680
Oliver Dunn3B
2000000.000.125
Victor Mesa Jr.RF
2110000.300.964
Nick FortesDH
1010000.262.632
Richie Palacios2B
4010000.260.684
Ryan Vilade1B
3002100.304.847
Cedric MullinsCF
4010010.190.533
Carson WilliamsSS
4000010.100.289
Hunter FeducciaC
4030010.281.715
Celkem342102540
BATTING
TB: Aranda 2; Feduccia 3; Fortes; Mesa Jr.; Mullins; Palacios, R; Simpson.
RBI: Vilade 2 (16).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Dunn; Palacios, R 3; Feduccia 2.
GIDP: Caminero; Simpson; Williams, C.
Team RISP: 1-for-11.
Team LOB: 10.
FIELDING
DP: (Williams, C-Palacios, R-Vilade).
a-Singled for Díaz, Y in the 8th.

Baltimore Orioles — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jackson HollidaySS
1000000.211.672
Weston Wilson3B
1000000.237.698
Adley RutschmanC
4130100.268.840
Pete Alonso1B
5110000.231.744
Coby MayoDH
4320100.195.616
Leody TaverasCF
4121000.278.775
Colton CowserRF
2110010.210.618
Blaze AlexanderLF
4136001.254.646
Jeremiah Jackson2B
4000000.248.663
Celkem39111611253
BATTING
2B: Mayo (5, Matz); Rutschman 2 (12, Bigge, Heasley); Alexander (5, Heasley).
HR: Henderson 2 (13, 1st inning off Matz, 1 on, 0 out, 6th inning off Heasley, 0 on, 0 out); Alexander (1, 7th inning off Heasley, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Alexander 7; Alonso; Cowser; Henderson 8; Mayo 3; O'Neill; Rutschman 5; Taveras, L 2; Ward.
RBI: Alexander 6 (14); Henderson 3 (29); O'Neill (8); Taveras, L (21).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Mayo; Alonso; Ward 2.
GIDP: Alonso.
Team RISP: 4-for-14.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Taveras, L (6, 2nd base off Heasley/Feduccia).
FIELDING
DP: 3 (2 Alexander-Jackson, J-Alonso; Jackson, J-Henderson-Alonso).
a-Struck out for O'Neill in the 5th.

Tampa Bay Rays — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Steven Matz(L, 4-2)
3.076622162-364.67
Hunter Bigge
1.010001010-85.59
Jonathan Heasley
4.085502264-4711.25

Baltimore Orioles — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Trey Gibson(W, 1-0)
5.2611410100-573.65
Keegan Akin
1.110000011-811.25
Yennier Cano
0.031110015-91.86
Andrew Kittredge
1.000003017-127.59
Anthony Nunez
1.000000010-84.91

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Lance Barksdale; First Base: Will Little; Second Base: Ryan Additon; Third Base: Ryan Wills
Stadion: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Počasí: 80°F, Partly Cloudy
Vítr: 2 mph, Out To RF

Tampa Bay Rays — Zpravy

Baltimore Orioles — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Rays
STAT
Orioles
36-22 Bilance 29-32
62.1% Win % 47.5%
.621 PCT .475
271 Ziskane body 279
261 Inkasovane body 315
58 Odehrane zapasy 61
L2 Série W3
3-7 Posledních 10 7-3
21-8 Bilance doma 19-15
15-14 Bilance venku 10-17

Vzajemne zapasy

3
Poslednich 5 setkani
2
Kvě 26
Rays 1 - 6 Orioles
Kvě 25
Rays 7 - 9 Orioles
Kvě 20
Orioles 3 - 5 Rays
Kvě 19
Orioles 1 - 4 Rays
Kvě 18
Orioles 6 - 16 Rays

Rays Nedavne

Čen 3 vs Tigers 7-2 L
Čen 2 vs Tigers 8-0 L
Čen 1 vs Tigers 10-9 L
Kvě 31 vs Angels 2-5 W
Kvě 30 vs Angels 14-3 L

Orioles Nedavne

Čen 2 @ Red Sox 4-2 W
Kvě 31 vs Blue Jays 5-9 W
Kvě 30 vs Blue Jays 5-6 W
Kvě 29 vs Blue Jays 6-5 L
Kvě 28 vs Blue Jays 2-1 L

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