Zpet na zapasy Sobota, Dub 18, 2026

Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox — Dub 18, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Fenway Park, Boston
50°F, Cloudy
9 mph, R To L
W Tarik Skubal L Brayan Bello SV Kenley Jansen

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Tigers 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 8 0
Red Sox 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 0

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Tigers 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Red Sox 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 4
Confidence: 72% Tigers favored
This matchup presents a fascinating contrast in pitching styles and team momentum. Tarik Skubal brings elite form into Fenway Park, sporting a 2.22 ERA with excellent command (0.95 WHIP, 1.48 BB/9). His four-pitch mix led by a 96.7 mph fastball and devastating changeup has been nearly unhittable through four starts. The Tigers ace has shown consistent velocity and spin rates, suggesting he's physically locked in. Meanwhile, Brayan Bello continues to struggle with his 6.14 ERA, showing concerning command issues with his sinker-cutter combination that typically defines his success. His recent starts reveal declining velocity and inconsistent spin rates, particularly troubling against a Tigers lineup that's been patient and opportunistic. The Red Sox offense presents intriguing challenges for Skubal, particularly Wilyer Abreu's scorching .333 start with three home runs and Connor Wong's impressive .368 average. However, Detroit's six-game winning streak has been built on timely hitting and strong pitching depth. Colt Keith's .317 average anchors a Tigers lineup that's been more productive than their individual stats suggest. The key will be whether Boston can generate early pressure against Skubal before he settles into his rhythm, as he's historically been vulnerable in first innings but dominant thereafter. Boston's pitching situation remains concerning with multiple arms on the IL, including Tanner Houck and Kutter Crawford. This puts additional pressure on Bello to provide length, which seems unlikely given his recent struggles. The Tigers' bullpen advantage could prove decisive in middle innings, especially if Bello exits early. Detroit's superior run differential (+13 vs -9) reflects their more consistent two-way performance, while Boston's home-road splits (3-3 at Fenway vs 4-8 away) suggest they're still finding their identity. The cold, overcast conditions at Fenway may favor Skubal's power arsenal over Bello's finesse approach.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Skubal gives up early run but settles, Bello struggles with command
Middle (4-6) 4R Both bullpens enter with inherited runners, key scoring innings
Late (7-9) 2R Detroit adds insurance run, Boston rally falls short

Matchup Analysis

Red Sox

Wilyer Abreu's hot bat (.333)
Connor Wong's contact skills (.368)
Fenway Park home environment
Brayan Bello's 6.14 ERA
Depleted pitching depth with multiple IL arms
Poor road struggles (4-8) affecting overall confidence

Tigers

Tarik Skubal's dominant 2.22 ERA
Six-game winning streak momentum
Strong run differential (+13)
Poor road record (2-8)
Inconsistent offensive production away from home
Missing Parker Meadows and Trey Sweeney

Risk Factors

Cold Fenway weather affecting grip
Bello's early exit potential straining Boston pen

Key Matchups

Wilyer Abreu vs Tarik Skubal batter Hot streak against lefty changeup
Colt Keith vs Brayan Bello batter Strong contact skills vs struggling sinkerball
Connor Wong vs Tarik Skubal pitcher Elite command against contact hitters

Statistical Edges

First to Score Tigers 65%
Strikeouts 14 12-16
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

The game opens with Tarik Skubal working carefully around Connor Wong's early single, but Wilyer Abreu grounds into an inning-ending double play. Detroit strikes first in the top of the second when Colt Keith doubles off Brayan Bello's hanging cutter and scores on Kevin McGonigle's two-out single. Boston answers immediately in the bottom half as Willson Contreras drives a mistake sinker over the Green Monster for his fourth home run. Bello's command issues intensify in the fourth inning, walking two batters before surrendering a two-run double to Jake Rogers down the left field line. The Red Sox respond with a crucial fifth inning rally, as Wong singles, advances on a wild pitch, and scores when Abreu rockets a fastball into the gap. Isiah Kiner-Falefa adds another run with a perfectly executed squeeze play. Detroit regains the lead in the sixth when McGonigle's sacrifice fly plates Colt Keith, who had tripled off Boston's overworked bullpen. The decisive moment comes in the eighth inning when Detroit's Jahmai Jones delivers a clutch RBI single against Aroldis Chapman, providing the insurance run that ultimately decides the game. Boston mounts one final threat in the ninth with runners on first and second, but Skubal's replacement closes the door with two strikeouts. The Tigers' 5-4 victory extends their winning streak to seven games while exposing Boston's pitching depth concerns in the early season cold.
High confidence in Skubal's dominance over struggling Bello, supported by Detroit's winning streak momentum and superior pitching matchup. Weather conditions and Boston's depleted rotation create additional advantages for the visitors despite their poor road record.
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Detroit Tigers — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Kevin McGonigle
3B .31219.411.481
Gleyber Torres
2B .23715.352.303
Dillon Dingler
DH .259414.348.517
Riley Greene
LF .247112.353.370
Spencer Torkelson
1B .19006.338.238
Kerry Carpenter
RF .218412.318.455
Wenceel Pérez
CF .04511.125.182
Javier Báez
SS .27815.310.426
Jake Rogers
C .11803.150.235

Boston Red Sox — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Roman Anthony
LF .23613.345.347
Andruw Monasterio
SS .26103.346.348
Willson Contreras
1B .281311.425.453
Trevor Story
DH .188217.202.306
Wilyer Abreu
RF .311310.354.514
Ceddanne Rafaela
CF .28115.369.368
Caleb Durbin
3B .13306.235.183
Connor Wong
C .33302.385.500
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2B .19000.261.190

Skórovací akce

1
Kerry Carpenter walks. Kevin McGonigle scores. Colt Keith to 3rd. Riley Greene to 2nd.
1-0
4
Kerry Carpenter homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.
2-0
4
Jake Rogers out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Wenceel Pérez scores.
3-0
4
Kevin McGonigle singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Javier Báez scores.
4-0
5
Connor Wong grounds into a double play, second baseman Gleyber Torres to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Wilyer Abreu scores. Ceddanne Rafaela to 3rd. Caleb Durbin out at 2nd. Connor Wong out at 1st.
4-1

Detroit Tigers — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Kevin McGonigle3B
5121000.312.892
Gleyber Torres2B
5010020.237.655
Dillon DinglerDH
2000000.259.865
Riley GreeneLF
2000210.247.723
Spencer Torkelson1B
4000030.190.576
Kerry CarpenterRF
3122111.218.773
Wenceel PérezCF
3100100.045.307
Javier BáezSS
4110000.278.736
Jake RogersC
3011000.118.385
Celkem34484471
BATTING
2B: Báez, J (5, Bello); Rogers (2, Morán).
HR: Carpenter (4, 4th inning off Bello, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Báez, J 2; Carpenter 5; Keith; McGonigle 2; Rogers 2; Torres.
RBI: Carpenter 2 (12); McGonigle (9); Rogers (3).
2-out RBI: Carpenter; McGonigle.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Pérez, W 2; McGonigle.
SF: Rogers.
Team RISP: 1-for-4.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
DP: (Torres-Torkelson).
a-Flied out for Keith in the 7th.

Boston Red Sox — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Roman AnthonyLF
3010110.236.692
Andruw MonasterioSS
4010010.261.694
Willson Contreras1B
4010030.281.878
Trevor StoryDH
4000030.188.508
Wilyer AbreuRF
4110010.311.868
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
4010010.281.737
Caleb Durbin3B
2000110.133.418
Connor WongC
3000010.333.885
Isiah Kiner-Falefa2B
3000000.190.451
Celkem311502120
BATTING
2B: Rafaela (2, Skubal).
TB: Abreu, W; Anthony; Contreras, Wn; Monasterio; Rafaela 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Abreu, W 2; Rafaela; Kiner-Falefa.
GIDP: Wong.
Team RISP: 0-for-6.
Team LOB: 5.
BASERUNNING
SB: Monasterio (1, 2nd base off Skubal/Rogers).

Detroit Tigers — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Tarik Skubal(W, 3-2)
6.0411210089-552.08
Tyler Holton(H, 2)
2.000002028-170.96
Kenley Jansen(S, 5)
1.010000014-81.59

Boston Red Sox — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Brayan Bello(L, 1-2)
4.054434184-476.75
Jovani Morán
3.010013041-231.35
Greg Weissert
1.010000012-85.40
Zack Kelly
1.010000019-95.68

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Felix Neon; First Base: Lance Barksdale; Second Base: Will Little; Third Base: Ryan Additon
Stadion: Fenway Park, Boston
Počasí: 50°F, Cloudy
Vítr: 9 mph, R To L

Detroit Tigers — Zpravy

Boston Red Sox — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Tigers
STAT
Red Sox
34-45 Bilance 32-45
43.0% Win % 41.6%
.430 PCT .416
322 Ziskane body 301
326 Inkasovane body 306
79 Odehrane zapasy 77
L1 Série W1
5-5 Posledních 10 4-6
22-17 Bilance doma 12-25
12-28 Bilance venku 20-20

Vzajemne zapasy

1
Poslednich 5 setkani
4
Kvě 6
Red Sox 4 - 0 Tigers
Kvě 5
Red Sox 10 - 3 Tigers
Kvě 4
Red Sox 5 - 4 Tigers
Dub 20
Tigers 6 - 8 Red Sox
Dub 19
Tigers 6 - 2 Red Sox

Tigers Nedavne

Čen 23 vs Yankees 4-3 L
Čen 22 vs Yankees 3-5 W
Čen 21 vs White Sox 4-5 W
Čen 20 vs White Sox 1-4 W
Čen 19 vs White Sox 3-4 W

Red Sox Nedavne

Čen 24 @ Rockies 6-8 L
Čen 23 @ Rockies 5-2 W
Čen 22 @ Rockies 2-3 L
Čen 21 @ Mariners 1-3 L
Čen 20 @ Mariners 5-1 W

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