Zpet na zapasy Streda, Dub 29, 2026

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds — Dub 29, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
63°F, Partly Cloudy
11 mph, Out To CF
W Tomoyuki Sugano L Brandon Williamson

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Rockies 3 0 1 0 1 0 3 0 5 13 15 0
Reds 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 10 0

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Rockies 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 3
Reds 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 72% Reds favored
This National League clash features two teams trending in opposite directions, with Cincinnati riding high at 19-10 while Colorado continues to struggle away from Coors Field at 6-11 on the road. The pitching matchup heavily favors the home side despite Brandon Williamson's inconsistencies. While Williamson sports a concerning 5.40 ERA and 5.76 BB/9, his recent velocity readings show he's healthy, and facing a Rockies lineup that's managed just 120 runs in 30 games provides an opportunity for improvement. Tomoyuki Sugano brings veteran savvy and superior command, but his splitter-heavy approach may struggle against an aggressive Reds lineup led by Elly De La Cruz, who's already launched 9 home runs. The Reds enter this contest with tremendous momentum, having won 8 of their last 10 games and coming off a decisive 7-2 victory over these same Rockies yesterday. De La Cruz's emergence as a legitimate power threat (9 HRs, 20 RBIs) anchors an offense that's found its rhythm after early season struggles. Matt McLain's return to health provides additional depth, though the absence of Eugenio Suárez due to an oblique strain creates some uncertainty in the lineup construction. For Colorado, the offensive burden falls heavily on Hunter Goodman (7 HRs) and TJ Rumfield (3 HRs, 16 RBIs), but their supporting cast has been inconsistent, particularly in road environments where the lack of Coors Field's offensive boost becomes apparent. Bullpen management could prove decisive in this contest, with both teams dealing with injury concerns but Cincinnati holding a clear advantage. The Rockies have multiple relievers on the IL, including key setup men, while the Reds' bullpen has been more consistent despite Caleb Ferguson's absence. The weather conditions at Great American Ball Park should favor pitchers slightly, with 65-degree temperatures and light wind, though the mostly clear skies could aid visibility for hitters. Cincinnati's 9-7 home record doesn't fully reflect their current form, and facing a Colorado team that's allowed 136 runs through 30 games suggests the Reds' recent offensive surge should continue. The total projects toward the lower end due to Sugano's control and the potential for Williamson to settle in after early struggles.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 1R Sugano's control allows early contact, Reds capitalize once
Middle (4-6) 3R Key stretch where Williamson struggles but Reds offense finds rhythm
Late (7-9) 4R Both bullpens see action as teams trade late runs

Matchup Analysis

Reds

Strong home record improvement
Recent offensive surge led by Elly De La Cruz
Coming off dominant 7-2 win over same opponent
Williamson's control issues with 5.76 BB/9
Rotation depth concerns with Greene and Lodolo injured

Rockies

Sugano's veteran experience and command
Hunter Goodman's power threat with 7 HRs
Three-game winning streak before yesterday's loss
Terrible 6-11 road record
Poor run differential at -16
Bullpen depth issues with multiple pitchers injured

Risk Factors

Williamson's command issues could lead to big inning
Sugano's pitch efficiency might extend his outing

Key Matchups

Elly De La Cruz vs Tomoyuki Sugano batter Speed vs control, De La Cruz can exploit Sugano's splitter timing
Hunter Goodman vs Brandon Williamson batter Goodman's power against Williamson's elevated walk rate
TJ Rumfield vs Brandon Williamson pitcher Williamson's cutter effectiveness against righties

Statistical Edges

First to Score Reds 68%
Strikeouts 12 9-15
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Tomoyuki Sugano takes the mound looking to silence a Great American Ball Park crowd still buzzing from yesterday's dominant performance. The veteran right-hander works efficiently through the first inning, using his splitter to induce weak contact from Elly De La Cruz and Nathaniel Lowe. Brandon Williamson struggles with command early, falling behind in counts, but escapes the first unscathed after a 4-6-3 double play erases Hunter Goodman's leadoff walk. The breakthrough comes in the second inning when Matt McLain works a patient at-bat against Sugano, drawing a walk before scoring on a De La Cruz RBI single to left field. Williamson settles into a rhythm, using his cutter effectively to retire six straight Rockies hitters. The game's decisive stretch arrives in the fourth inning as Cincinnati capitalizes on Williamson's improving command. With runners on first and second following consecutive singles, De La Cruz launches a Sugano splitter over the left field wall for his 10th home run of the season, giving the Reds a 3-0 advantage. Colorado responds immediately in the fifth when TJ Rumfield connects on a hanging changeup from Williamson, cutting the deficit to 3-1. The middle innings become a chess match between managers as both bullpens begin warming. Cincinnati adds insurance runs in the sixth and eighth innings on timely hitting with two outs, while Colorado manages one final rally in the ninth inning on Ezequiel Tovar's RBI single before the Reds closer shuts the door, securing a 5-3 victory that extends their strong early season momentum.
The 72% confidence reflects Cincinnati's clear advantages in current form, home field, and recent head-to-head dominance, but acknowledges Sugano's veteran presence and the inherent unpredictability of Williamson's command issues. Colorado's road struggles provide additional confidence in the home side.
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Colorado Rockies — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jordan Beck
LF .15318.203.237
Brenton Doyle
CF .22013.289.293
TJ Rumfield
1B .264316.333.418
Hunter Goodman
DH .269914.345.587
Willi Castro
2B .260110.333.370
Brett Sullivan
C .28907.319.422
Kyle Karros
3B .19314.324.261
Ezequiel Tovar
SS .19518.235.292
Mickey Moniak
RF .310816.358.655

Cincinnati Reds — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
TJ Friedl
CF .18415.270.252
Matt McLain
2B .21829.338.327
Elly De La Cruz
SS .2831024.358.575
Sal Stewart
1B .288929.377.586
Tyler Stephenson
C .17426.293.290
Will Benson
PH .18413.326.342
JJ Bleday
LF .40011.5001.000
Rece Hinds
PH .12905.176.226
Ke'Bryan Hayes
3B .13011.193.208

Skórovací akce

1
Brett Sullivan doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Spencer Steer. Brenton Doyle scores. Hunter Goodman scores. Willi Castro scores. Brett Sullivan to 3rd.
3-0
3
Willi Castro doubles (5) on a fly ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Brenton Doyle scores. TJ Rumfield to 3rd.
4-0
5
Hunter Goodman homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.
5-0
7
Hunter Goodman homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. TJ Rumfield scores.
7-0
7
Kyle Karros out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder TJ Friedl. Willi Castro scores. Brett Sullivan to 3rd.
8-0
9
Ezequiel Tovar singles on a line drive to right fielder Spencer Steer. Hunter Goodman scores. Brett Sullivan scores. Kyle Karros to 2nd.
10-0
9
Mickey Moniak hits a ground-rule double (6) on a line drive to right field. Kyle Karros scores. Ezequiel Tovar to 3rd.
11-0
9
Jordan Beck grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Sal Stewart. Ezequiel Tovar scores. Mickey Moniak to 3rd.
12-0
9
Brenton Doyle singles on a ground ball to left fielder JJ Bleday. Mickey Moniak scores.
13-0
9
Will Benson homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Tyler Stephenson scores.
13-2

Colorado Rockies — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jordan BeckLF
6001020.153.440
Brenton DoyleCF
5221120.220.582
TJ Rumfield1B
6120000.264.751
Hunter GoodmanDH
4433102.269.932
Willi Castro2B
4221110.260.703
Brett SullivanC
4133100.289.741
Kyle Karros3B
4111030.193.585
Ezequiel TovarSS
4112110.195.527
Mickey MoniakRF
3111120.3101.013
Celkem401315136112
BATTING
2B: Doyle, B (3, Williamson); Sullivan, B 2 (6, Williamson, Franco, J); Castro, W (5, Williamson); Rumfield (6, Franco, J); Moniak (6, Trevino).
HR: Goodman 2 (9, 5th inning off Mey, 0 on, 1 out, 7th inning off Franco, J, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Castro, W 3; Doyle, B 3; Goodman 9; Karros, K; Moniak 2; Rumfield 3; Sullivan, B 5; Tovar.
RBI: Beck (8); Castro, W (10); Doyle, B (3); Goodman 3 (14); Karros, K (4); Moniak (16); Sullivan, B 3 (7); Tovar 2 (8).
2-out RBI: Sullivan, B 3; Doyle, B.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Karros, K 3; Tovar.
SF: Karros, K.
GIDP: Beck.
Team RISP: 7-for-14.
Team LOB: 8.

Cincinnati Reds — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
TJ FriedlCF
5010020.184.522
Matt McLain2B
5020020.218.665
Elly De La CruzSS
3000110.283.933
Sal Stewart1B
4010010.288.963
Tyler StephensonC
1110000.174.583
Will BensonPH
1112001.184.668
JJ BledayLF
4010010.4001.500
Rece HindsPH
1000010.129.402
Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
4010000.130.401
Celkem352102391
BATTING
2B: Stephenson, T (2, Herget, J).
HR: Benson (1, 9th inning off Herget, J, 1 on, 0 out).
TB: Benson 4; Bleday; Friedl; Hayes; McLain, M 2; Steer; Stephenson, T 2; Stewart, S; Trevino.
RBI: Benson 2 (3).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Lowe, N; McLain, M; Hayes.
Team RISP: 2-for-9.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
SB: McLain, M (5, 2nd base off Sugano/Sullivan, B).
CS: De La Cruz, E (3, 2nd base by Bernardino/Sullivan, B).
FIELDING
DP: (Hayes-McLain, M-Stewart, S).
a-Homered for Steer in the 9th.
b-Struck out for Trevino in the 9th.

Colorado Rockies — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Tomoyuki Sugano(W, 3-1)
5.140032091-602.84
Brennan Bernardino
1.210001021-120.71
Juan Mejia
1.010003015-115.02
Jimmy Herget
1.042203126-172.77

Cincinnati Reds — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Brandon Williamson(L, 2-3)
3.044444058-336.11
Luis Mey
2.011114132-184.50
Jose Franco
3.043313140-275.91
Jose Trevino
1.065500020-1545.00

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Nate Tomlinson; First Base: Bruce Dreckman; Second Base: Mark Wegner; Third Base: Carlos Torres
Stadion: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Počasí: 63°F, Partly Cloudy
Vítr: 11 mph, Out To CF

Colorado Rockies — Zpravy

Cincinnati Reds — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Rockies
STAT
Reds
24-39 Bilance 31-30
38.1% Win % 50.8%
.381 PCT .508
272 Ziskane body 264
355 Inkasovane body 305
63 Odehrane zapasy 61
L1 Série L1
4-6 Posledních 10 5-5
12-16 Bilance doma 16-16
12-23 Bilance venku 15-14

Vzajemne zapasy

0
Poslednich 2 setkani
2
Dub 30
Rockies 4 - 6 Reds
Dub 28
Rockies 2 - 7 Reds

Rockies Nedavne

Čen 3 @ Angels 4-11 L
Čen 2 @ Angels 8-2 W
Čen 1 @ Angels 9-8 W
Kvě 31 vs Giants 19-6 L
Kvě 30 vs Giants 3-8 W

Reds Nedavne

Čen 3 vs Royals 5-2 L
Čen 2 vs Royals 3-4 W
Čen 1 vs Royals 9-2 L
Kvě 31 vs Braves 4-6 W
Kvě 30 vs Braves 5-2 L

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