This matchup features two struggling starting pitchers in vastly different stages of their careers. Chris Paddack's 7.63 ERA and 0-4 record since signing with Cincinnati tells the story of a veteran trying to rebuild his career, while Joey Cantillo's concerning velocity decline (averaging just 84-86 mph in recent starts) suggests the young lefty may be dealing with mechanical or physical issues. The Reds enter with momentum from yesterday's 7-6 victory and riding a two-game winning streak, led by Elly De La Cruz's outstanding .299 average and 10 home runs. Cleveland, meanwhile, comes off a disappointing loss that snapped a solid series win against the Angels. The offensive matchups heavily favor Cincinnati despite their poor run differential. De La Cruz represents the game's most dangerous hitter against Cantillo's diminished stuff, while JJ Bleday's .321 average provides another threat in the Reds lineup. Cleveland's offense revolves around Brayan Rocchio's surprising emergence (.275 average, 22 RBI) and hoping Steven Kwan can break out of his .206 slump. The key will be which starter can provide length, as both bullpens could be taxed early. Progressive Field's dimensions and the overcast conditions with 12 mph winds create neutral conditions that won't significantly favor either side. The Reds' recent offensive explosion (15 runs against Washington on May 14th) combined with Paddack's struggles suggests this game could feature plenty of scoring. Cincinnati's ability to generate runs despite their poor team metrics, coupled with Cleveland's home vulnerability (13-10 record), points toward the visitors extending their winning streak in what should be an entertaining, high-scoring affair.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both starters struggle with command early, allowing baserunners

Middle (4-6) 4R Offenses capitalize on middle innings against tiring starters

Late (7-9) 4R Bullpens settle in but occasional mistakes lead to runs

Matchup Analysis

Guardians

Brayan Rocchio hot bat (.275 avg, 22 RBI)

Home field advantage at Progressive Field

Coming off strong series vs Angels (3-1)

Joey Cantillo's inconsistent velocity (84-86 mph avg)

Steven Kwan struggling (.206 avg)

Reds

Elly De La Cruz leading offense (.299 avg, 10 HR)

JJ Bleday's hot start (.321 avg)

Won last night's series opener 7-6

Chris Paddack's terrible 7.63 ERA and 0-4 record

Poor run differential (-25) despite decent record

Risk Factors

Both starting pitchers have concerning recent metrics

Game could turn into bullpen battle early

Key Matchups

Elly De La Cruz vs Joey Cantillo batter De La Cruz's power vs Cantillo's reduced velocity

Brayan Rocchio vs Chris Paddack batter Rocchio's current hot streak vs Paddack's struggles

Statistical Edges

First to Score Reds 65%

Strikeouts 16 14-18

Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

Chris Paddack takes the mound at Progressive Field carrying the burden of an 0-4 record and 7.63 ERA, desperately seeking his first win since joining Cincinnati. The veteran right-hander immediately faces trouble in the first inning when Elly De La Cruz works a leadoff walk and eventually scores on Matt McLain's RBI single, giving the Reds an early 1-0 advantage. Joey Cantillo responds in the bottom half but settles down after allowing a leadoff single to Steven Kwan. The game's complexion changes dramatically in the third inning when Paddack's command issues resurface. De La Cruz launches a towering home run to left-center field, his 11th of the season, followed by consecutive hits from JJ Bleday and Nathaniel Lowe that chase the struggling starter before he can complete four innings. Cincinnati extends their lead to 3-1, capitalizing on Cleveland's pitching woes. The Guardians answer immediately in the bottom of the fourth when Brayan Rocchio continues his hot streak with a two-run double, cutting the deficit to one run and energizing the Progressive Field crowd. Both bullpens enter the game early, leading to a back-and-forth affair through the middle and late innings. The Reds push across three more runs between the fifth and seventh innings, including another RBI from their catalyst De La Cruz, while Cleveland manages just two additional runs against Cincinnati's relievers. Despite the home team's late rally attempt in the eighth inning, the Reds hold on for a 6-5 victory, sweeping the opening two games of this interleague series and extending their winning streak to three games.

High confidence based on clear pitching advantages favoring Cincinnati, with Paddack's struggles being less concerning than Cantillo's velocity decline. The Reds' offensive momentum and De La Cruz's elite production provide multiple paths to victory in what projects as a high-scoring game.

Pravdepodobni nadhazeci

C. Paddack Reds

0-4 6.90 ERA

25 K

J. Cantillo Guardians

--- - ERA

- K

Cincinnati Reds — Soupiska

Hráč	Poz.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Dane Myers	CF	.238	3	8	.360	.397
Elly De La Cruz	SS	.299	10	30	.363	.522
Sal Stewart	1B	.236	10	31	.328	.454
Spencer Steer	LF	.263	7	17	.333	.449
JJ Bleday	DH	.323	6	19	.440	.726
Matt McLain	2B	.217	5	19	.323	.360
Will Benson	PH	.183	2	4	.333	.324
Tyler Stephenson	C	.180	3	12	.279	.297
Nathaniel Lowe	PH	.242	6	16	.324	.495

Cleveland Guardians — Soupiska

Hráč	Poz.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Petey Halpin	CF	.100	0	1	.143	.100
José Ramírez	3B	.227	6	17	.353	.384
Chase DeLauter	DH	.278	6	26	.366	.477
Kyle Manzardo	1B	.216	2	13	.298	.312
Travis Bazzana	2B	.236	1	7	.391	.309
Steven Kwan	LF	.204	1	10	.316	.259
Angel Martínez	RF	.266	8	22	.313	.496
Austin Hedges	C	.263	1	4	.338	.386
Brayan Rocchio	SS	.277	3	25	.357	.372

Skórovací akce

▼ 2

Brayan Rocchio singles on a line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Steven Kwan scores. Angel Martínez scores. Austin Hedges to 2nd.

0-2

▲ 3

Dane Myers homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.

1-2

▲ 5

Sal Stewart walks. Blake Dunn scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 3rd. Elly De La Cruz to 2nd.

2-2

▲ 5

Spencer Steer doubles (8) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Daniel Schneemann. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Elly De La Cruz scores. Sal Stewart out at home on the throw, center fielder Daniel Schneemann to shortstop Brayan Rocchio to catcher Austin Hedges.

4-2

▼ 6

Brayan Rocchio walks.

4-3

▼ 6

Rhys Hoskins out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Spencer Steer. Angel Martínez scores.

4-4

▼ 7

Angel Martínez homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Manzardo scores.

4-6

▼ 8

Travis Bazzana reaches on a fielding error by pitcher Connor Phillips. José Ramírez scores. Chase DeLauter to 2nd.

4-7

Cincinnati Reds — Pálkování

Hráč	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
Dane MyersCF	4	1	1	1	0	2	1	.238	.757
Elly De La CruzSS	3	1	1	0	1	1	0	.299	.885
Sal Stewart1B	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	.236	.782
Spencer SteerLF	4	0	1	2	0	0	0	.263	.782
JJ BledayDH	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	.323	1.166
Matt McLain2B	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	.217	.683
Will BensonPH	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	.183	.657
Tyler StephensonC	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	.180	.576
Nathaniel LowePH	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.242	.819
Celkem	30	4	5	4	5	8	1

BATTING

2B: Steer (8, Cantillo).

HR: Myers (3, 3rd inning off Cantillo, 0 on, 2 out).

TB: De La Cruz, E; Dunn 2; Myers 4; Steer 2.

RBI: Myers (8); Steer 2 (17); Stewart, S (31).

2-out RBI: Steer 2; Myers; Stewart, S.

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Steer.

SAC: Trevino.

Team RISP: 1-for-3.

Team LOB: 5.

BASERUNNING

SB: Stewart, S (10, 2nd base off Cantillo/Hedges); Dunn (2, 3rd base off Cantillo/Hedges); Hayes (1, 2nd base off Cantillo/Hedges).

FIELDING

E: Phillips (1, fielding).

a-Lined out for Trevino in the 6th.

b-Struck out for Dunn in the 9th.

c-Lined out for Hayes in the 9th.

Cleveland Guardians — Pálkování

Hráč	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
Petey HalpinCF	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	.100	.243
José Ramírez3B	4	1	2	0	1	0	0	.227	.737
Chase DeLauterDH	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	.278	.843
Kyle Manzardo1B	5	1	2	0	0	2	0	.216	.610
Travis Bazzana2B	5	0	1	0	0	3	0	.236	.700
Steven KwanLF	3	2	1	0	2	1	0	.204	.575
Angel MartínezRF	4	3	2	2	0	0	1	.266	.809
Austin HedgesC	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	.263	.724
Brayan RocchioSS	3	0	2	2	1	0	0	.277	.729
Celkem	34	7	10	5	7	8	1

BATTING

2B: Martínez, A (8, Mey).

HR: Martínez, A (8, 7th inning off Johnson, 1 on, 2 out).

TB: Bazzana; Kwan; Manzardo 2; Martínez, A 6; Ramírez, Jo 2; Rocchio 2.

RBI: Hoskins (16); Martínez, A 2 (22); Rocchio 2 (25).

2-out RBI: Rocchio 2; Martínez, A 2.

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Schneemann; Bazzana; Martínez, A 2; DeLauter; Kwan.

SF: Hoskins.

Team RISP: 1-for-9.

Team LOB: 12.

BASERUNNING

SB: Rocchio (8, 2nd base off Moll/Stephenson, T); Ramírez, Jo 2 (20, 2nd base off Phillips/Stephenson, T, 3rd base off Phillips/Stephenson, T).

FIELDING

Outfield assists: Schneemann (Stewart, S at home).

a-Hit a sacrifice fly for Schneemann in the 6th.

Cincinnati Reds — Nadhazování

Nadhazovač	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Chris Paddack	5.0	6	2	2	1	3	0	78-56	7.07
Luis Mey(H, 1)	0.1	1	2	2	2	1	0	21-9	5.40
Sam Moll(L, 1-3)(BS, 2)	1.1	1	1	1	1	2	0	22-14	3.32
Pierce Johnson	0.1	1	1	1	1	0	1	12-6	3.93
Connor Phillips	1.0	1	1	0	2	2	0	27-15	4.94

Cleveland Guardians — Nadhazování

Nadhazovač	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Joey Cantillo	5.0	4	4	4	4	4	1	87-53	3.40
Colin Holderman	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	0	13-10	1.65
Erik Sabrowski(W, 2-1)	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	5-3	1.83
Hunter Gaddis(H, 4)	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14-7	6.10
Cade Smith(S, 14)	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	17-9	2.91

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Tyler Jones; First Base: David Rackley; Second Base: John Libka; Third Base: James Hoye

Stadion: Progressive Field, Cleveland

Počasí: 72°F, Partly Cloudy

Vítr: 11 mph, Out To RF

Cincinnati Reds — Zpravy

Reds Propustili Josha Staumonea

Odchod Staumonea je rutinním hlubokým tahem pro Cincinnati, které má bilanci 31-29 s rozdílem běhů -38 a v této sezóně již rotovalo několik reliéfních hráčů.

Cincinnati Reds

Yunior Marté Volí Volnou Agenturu Po DFA Reds

Martého odchod odstraňuje druhotnou hloubku z bullpennu Cincinnati, zatímco Reds navigují s rekordem 5-4 v posledních 10 zápasech s rotací, která již závisí na Abbottovi (4.02 ERA), zatímco Singer (6.18 ERA) a Paddack (6.90 ERA) nadále bojují.

Cincinnati Reds

Reds dávají Friedlovi opci, volají zpět Martého

Friedl odchází poté, co odpálil .181/.252/.258 s xwOBA .252 v 46 zápasech, čímž uvolňuje místo pro Martého v Cincinnati outfieldu, zatímco Reds sedí na 31-29 s rozdílem běhů -38.

TJ Friedl

Cincinnati Reds

Reds určují Leibrandta a Richardsona; vracejí McCambleye a Meye

Cincinnati (30-29, rozdíl -39 běhů) snižuje hloubku rotace, zatímco Singer (ERA 6,18) a Paddack (ERA 6,90) nadále zápasí; McCambley a Mey přicházejí bez záznamu z roku 2026, což naznačuje organizační zoufalství v rotaci s průměrnou ERA 5,70 napříč pěti startery.

Lyon Richardson

Cincinnati Reds

Reds umisťují De La Cruze na seznam zraněných s napnutím hamstringu; Arroyo debutuje na pozici SS

Cincinnati ztrácí svůj primární útočný motor (.362 xwOBA, 12 HR v 58 zápasech) uprostřed sezony, zatímco Reds sedí na 30-28 s rozdílem běhů -32. Debut Arroyo zaplní pozici, ale chybí mu údaje MLB 2026 a rotace zůstává slabá se Singerem (ERA 6.18) a Paddackem (ERA 6.90) jako rezervní hráči.

Elly De La Cruz

Edwin Arroyo

Cincinnati Reds

Cleveland Guardians — Zpravy

Guardians poráží Yankees díky silné rotační hře

Vítězství Clevelandu prodlužuje jejich sérii na 5-5 během posledních 10 zápasů díky Williamsovu ERA 3.07 a rekordu 8-3, zatímco rekord Yankees 36-24 skrývá zranitelnost rotace—Weathers (ERA 3.52) je jejich primárním starterem se skromným rekordem 2-3.

Kyle Harrison

San Francisco Giants

New York Yankees

Milwaukee Brewers

Rocchio: 1 z 2 s dvěma krádeží a 1 RBI ve vítězství Guardians

Rocchio pokračuje v omezené ofenzivní produkci (.293 AVG, .319 xwOBA), ale přispěl obranným způsobem k vítězství Clevelandu 9-4 nad New Yorkem.

Brayan Rocchio

Cleveland Guardians

Goldschmidt: 4 RBI v porážce Yankees od Guardians

Goldschmidtův výkon 3 z 5 nenahradí výhodu New Yorku v rozdílu běhů (36-23, +98) proti Clevelandu (34-27, +1) v utkání důležitém pro divizi.

Paul Goldschmidt

New York Yankees

Cleveland Guardians

Bibee bez vítězství v 12 startech, když Cleveland prohraje s Bostonem

Bibeeho bilance 0-7 s ERA 4.57 a WHIP 1.32 stojí v ostrém kontrastu se spoluhráčem rotace Williamsem (8-3, ERA 3.07), odhaluje kritickou slabost v hloubce rotace Clevelandu, protože vedoucí Guardians (34-26) se v klíčové míře spoléhají na svého esa.

Tanner Bibee

Cleveland Guardians

Strážcové Vybírají Fairchilda; Kwan na Smutečný Seznám

Kwanova absence odstraňuje přispěvatele z 54 zápasů (.207 AVG, .297 OBP, 34 BB) z první pozice v soupisce CLE v polovině sezóny. Fairchild vstupuje do místa v soupisce bez dostupných statistik na rok 2026, zatímco Arias se přesunuje na 60denní seznam zraněných, aby vytvořil místo na 40členném seznamu.

Stuart Fairchild

Cleveland Guardians