Zpet na zapasy Utery, Dub 21, 2026

San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies — Dub 21, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Coors Field, Denver
82°F, Cloudy
8 mph, Out To LF
W Randy Vásquez L Chase Dollander SV Adrian Morejon

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Padres 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 6 0
Rockies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Padres 0 0 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 6
Rockies 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 72% Padres favored
The San Diego Padres enter Coors Field riding momentum from a 9-1 record over their last ten games, facing a Colorado Rockies team struggling at 3-7 in that same span. Randy Vásquez brings a pristine 2.49 ERA and exceptional 10.38 K/9 rate to the mound, having allowed just 25 hits across 21.2 innings this season. His cutter-fastball combination has been particularly effective, with his 94.9 mph four-seamer complementing an 89.8 mph cutter that comprises nearly a quarter of his pitch mix. The Rockies' TBD starter situation creates significant uncertainty, likely forcing them to use a spot starter or opener, which historically has not fared well in the offensive environment of Coors Field. Colorado's offensive production has been inconsistent, averaging just 4.0 runs per game despite the altitude advantage. Hunter Goodman leads their power surge with 5 home runs, while Tyler Freeman's .294 average provides some stability in the lineup. However, the absence of Kris Bryant to long-term injury removes a crucial middle-of-the-order presence. The Padres counter with Ramón Laureano's team-leading 15 RBIs and Jackson Merrill's developing power (3 HR). Both teams face significant pitching depth issues with multiple arms on the IL, but San Diego's superior record and recent form suggest better roster management. Coors Field's 5,200-foot elevation traditionally favors offensive production, particularly in evening games when the cooler air becomes less dense. With temperatures reaching 82°F and overcast conditions, the ball should carry well despite the easterly wind. The Padres' bullpen, while depleted by injuries to key arms like Yuki Matsui and Jeremiah Estrada, has managed their recent success through committee approaches. Colorado's relief corps faces similar challenges with multiple pitchers sidelined, creating potential late-game vulnerabilities for both sides. The key will be whether Vásquez can provide the Padres with enough length to preserve their bullpen depth.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Vásquez strong early, Rockies TBD pitcher provides immediate opportunity
Middle (4-6) 4R Coors Field altitude and fatigue factor favor offense in middle frames
Late (7-9) 4R Bullpens stretched, thin depth creates late scoring chances

Matchup Analysis

Rockies

Coors Field altitude advantage
Strong home record (6-4)
Hunter Goodman power threat
TBD starting pitcher uncertainty
Struggling streak (L1, 3-7 L10)
Massive pitching depth issues

Padres

Randy Vásquez excellent form (2.49 ERA)
Hot streak (W2, 9-1 L10)
Superior road record (6-3)
Depleted pitching staff depth
Multiple key injuries
Recent offensive inconsistency

Risk Factors

Unknown Colorado starter creates volatility
Coors Field weather conditions
Both teams have significant IL depth issues

Key Matchups

Hunter Goodman vs Randy Vásquez batter Goodman's 5 HR in Coors vs Vásquez cutter-heavy approach
Ramón Laureano vs TBD batter 15 RBI production against unknown starter creates advantage
Jackson Merrill vs TBD batter Young talent in favorable hitter's park against uncertainty

Statistical Edges

First to Score Padres 65%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

Randy Vásquez will establish his dominance early, using his sharp cutter to generate weak contact from Colorado's aggressive approach in the opening innings. The Rockies' unknown starter will face immediate pressure from Ramón Laureano and Jackson Merrill, who have thrived against inexperienced pitching this season. By the third inning, San Diego breaks through with a two-run rally sparked by Luis Campusano's clutch hitting, taking advantage of Colorado's pitching uncertainty. The middle innings become a battle of attrition as both teams navigate their pitching depth issues. Hunter Goodman provides the Rockies' highlight moment with a towering home run in the fourth inning that energizes the Coors Field crowd, but San Diego responds with patient at-bats that wear down Colorado's patchwork rotation. Vásquez maintains his effectiveness through six innings before the Padres turn to their committee bullpen approach. The seventh inning proves decisive as San Diego's experienced relief corps, despite their limitations, outperforms Colorado's struggling bullpen depth, allowing the visitors to pull away with a crucial two-run frame that ultimately secures the victory.
The 72% confidence stems from San Diego's superior recent form and Randy Vásquez's excellent early-season performance against Colorado's significant uncertainty with their starting pitcher. However, Coors Field's offensive environment and both teams' bullpen depth issues create enough variables to prevent higher confidence.
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Pravdepodobni nadhazeci

San Diego Padres — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Ramón Laureano
LF .259415.315.481
Fernando Tatis Jr.
RF .265012.347.313
Jackson Merrill
CF .213313.271.382
Manny Machado
3B .178211.326.288
Xander Bogaerts
SS .265314.337.398
Ty France
1B .25911.310.407
Miguel Andujar
DH .30802.345.423
Freddy Fermin
C .19402.333.278
Jake Cronenworth
2B .15513.268.225

Colorado Rockies — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Edouard Julien
1B .25918.348.345
Mickey Moniak
CF .271612.302.627
Hunter Goodman
C .24158.315.470
TJ Rumfield
DH .244311.300.390
Troy Johnston
RF .304210.360.478
Ezequiel Tovar
SS .21816.261.345
Kyle Karros
3B .20613.346.286
Jordan Beck
LF .16717.212.271
Willi Castro
2B .23118.286.338

Skórovací akce

6
Manny Machado walks. Jake Cronenworth scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 3rd. Jackson Merrill to 2nd.
1-0

San Diego Padres — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Ramón LaureanoLF
4000030.259.796
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
4020020.265.660
Jackson MerrillCF
3000030.213.653
Manny Machado3B
3001110.178.614
Xander BogaertsSS
4010020.265.735
Ty France1B
0000000.259.717
Miguel AndujarDH
4010010.308.768
Freddy FerminC
3010000.194.611
Jake Cronenworth2B
4110010.155.493
Celkem331611150
BATTING
2B: Cronenworth (2, Dollander); Fermin (3, Bernardino).
TB: Andujar; Bogaerts; Cronenworth 2; Fermin 2; Tatis Jr. 2.
RBI: Machado, M (11).
2-out RBI: Machado, M.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Cronenworth 2; Bogaerts 2.
Team RISP: 1-for-4.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
DP: (Cronenworth-Bogaerts-Sheets).
a-Struck out for Sheets in the 9th.

Colorado Rockies — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Edouard Julien1B
4010020.259.693
Mickey MoniakCF
4010010.271.929
Hunter GoodmanC
4010010.241.785
TJ RumfieldDH
3000010.244.690
Troy JohnstonRF
3000000.304.838
Ezequiel TovarSS
2000000.218.606
Kyle Karros3B
3000000.206.632
Jordan BeckLF
3000010.167.483
Willi Castro2B
1000000.231.624
Celkem29030080
BATTING
TB: Goodman; Julien; Moniak.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Beck.
GIDP: Moniak.
Team RISP: 0-for-2.
Team LOB: 3.
BASERUNNING
SB: Tovar (2, 2nd base off Vásquez, R/Fermin).
FIELDING
E: Johnston, T (2, dropped foul).
a-Flied out for Doyle, B in the 8th.

San Diego Padres — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Randy Vásquez(W, 2-0)
7.030005084-561.88
Jason Adam(H, 4)
1.000001012-101.93
Adrian Morejon(S, 1)
1.00000208-76.17

Colorado Rockies — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Jimmy Herget
1.000003014-101.50
Chase Dollander(L, 2-2)
6.0311190102-672.88
Juan Mejia
1.010001020-126.30
Brennan Bernardino
1.020002021-130.87

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Alex MacKay; First Base: Alan Porter; Second Base: Roberto Ortiz; Third Base: Jim Wolf
Stadion: Coors Field, Denver
Počasí: 82°F, Cloudy
Vítr: 8 mph, Out To LF

San Diego Padres — Zpravy

Colorado Rockies — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Padres
STAT
Rockies
32-28 Bilance 24-39
53.3% Win % 38.1%
.533 PCT .381
231 Ziskane body 272
239 Inkasovane body 355
60 Odehrane zapasy 63
L4 Série L1
2-8 Posledních 10 4-6
16-16 Bilance doma 12-16
16-12 Bilance venku 12-23

Vzajemne zapasy

1
Poslednich 3 setkani
2
Dub 23
Padres 10 - 8 Rockies
Dub 22
Padres 3 - 8 Rockies
Bře 20
Rockies 9 - 3 Padres

Padres Nedavne

Čen 4 @ Phillies 4-6 L
Čen 3 @ Phillies 2-3 L
Čen 2 @ Phillies 2-3 L
Kvě 31 @ Nationals 2-4 L
Kvě 30 @ Nationals 4-9 L

Rockies Nedavne

Čen 3 @ Angels 4-11 L
Čen 2 @ Angels 8-2 W
Čen 1 @ Angels 9-8 W
Kvě 31 vs Giants 19-6 L
Kvě 30 vs Giants 3-8 W

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