Zpet na zapasy Sobota, Dub 25, 2026

New York Yankees vs Houston Astros — Dub 25, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Daikin Park, Houston
73°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Fernando Cruz L Kai-Wei Teng

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Yankees 0 0 1 0 1 0 3 1 2 8 12 0
Astros 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 3 7 0

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Yankees 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 0 7
Astros 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 78% Yankees favored
This matchup presents a classic case of momentum versus desperation. The Yankees enter Daikin Park riding a seven-game winning streak and boasting MLB's second-best record at 17-9, while the Astros sit at a disappointing 10-17 with their pitching staff decimated by injuries. Ryan Weathers takes the mound for New York with solid peripherals (3.18 ERA, 11.44 K/9) and the confidence of a team that just dismantled Houston 12-4 yesterday. His four-pitch mix, anchored by a 96.3 mph fastball and effective changeup, should trouble an Astros lineup that has struggled against quality left-handed pitching. Mike Burrows counters for Houston, but his concerning velocity decline (90.9 mph average in his last start) and limited pitch repertoire make him vulnerable against a Yankees offense that has found its rhythm. The weather adds another wrinkle, with thunderstorms forecast that could impact play and potentially favor the more patient Yankees approach at the plate. Houston's injury list reads like a who's who of their pitching depth chart, with eight arms on the IL including key contributors Josh Hader, Cristian Javier, and Hunter Brown. This has forced the Astros to rely heavily on unproven arms and spot starters, creating matchup advantages for a Yankees lineup that features dangerous bats like Giancarlo Stanton and Cody Bellinger. The one bright spot for Houston remains Yordan Alvarez, who enters this contest absolutely locked in with a .347 average and 11 home runs. His ability to single-handedly change games keeps Houston competitive in any matchup, especially at home where they've managed a respectable 7-7 record despite their overall struggles. However, the Yankees' superior depth and recent momentum should prove decisive in what projects as a higher-scoring affair than their pitcher-friendly matchup might suggest on paper.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Yankees capitalize early against struggling Burrows
Middle (4-6) 5R Both offenses find rhythm as starters tire
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpens settle in, Yankees hold advantage

Matchup Analysis

Astros

Yordan Alvarez elite power (.347 AVG, 11 HR)
Christian Walker consistent production
Daikin Park home field advantage
Decimated pitching staff (8 IL pitchers)
Poor recent form (4-6 last 10, L1)

Yankees

Hot streak (W7, 8-2 last 10)
Superior run differential (+45 vs -21)
Deeper available roster
Paul Goldschmidt struggling (.125 AVG)
Key injuries to Volpe and rotation

Risk Factors

Thunderstorm weather delays/cancellation
Astros desperate for home win

Key Matchups

Yordan Alvarez vs Ryan Weathers batter Alvarez crushing lefties, Weathers allows power
Cody Bellinger vs Mike Burrows batter Burrows lacks velocity, Bellinger seeing ball well
Jose Altuve vs Ryan Weathers pitcher Altuve struggling, Weathers' changeup effective

Statistical Edges

First to Score Yankees 72%
Strikeouts 16 14-18
Total Runs 12 10-14

Game Preview

The game opens with thunderstorms threatening overhead as Ryan Weathers takes the mound for the confident Yankees. New York strikes first in the top of the first when Cody Bellinger launches a two-run homer to right field off Mike Burrows, whose diminished velocity becomes immediately apparent. The Astros answer back in the bottom of the second when Jose Altuve drives home a run with a clutch two-out single, but it's clear that Burrows is fighting an uphill battle against the hot Yankees lineup. The third inning sees Giancarlo Stanton add to the Yankees' lead with an RBI double, showcasing the depth that has fueled their seven-game winning streak. Houston's desperation shows in the fourth inning when they manufacture two runs through aggressive baserunning and timely hitting from Christian Walker, but Weathers settles in with his effective changeup to limit the damage. The middle innings belong to the Yankees as they extend their lead in the fifth with a two-run rally sparked by Amed Rosario's speed and finished by Bellinger's second RBI of the night. Yordan Alvarez provides Houston's highlight moment in the sixth inning, crushing a solo home run that briefly energizes the Daikin Park crowd, but the Yankees respond immediately in the seventh with another run to maintain their cushion. As the weather holds off and both bullpens enter, the Yankees' superior depth becomes evident. Houston scratches across one more run in the eighth, but New York's late-inning execution seals the victory as they complete a dominant road series victory, improving to 18-9 while dropping the struggling Astros to 10-18.
The Yankees' seven-game winning streak, superior run differential, and significantly healthier roster create a compelling case for the road favorite. Houston's depleted pitching staff and recent struggles at home make this a favorable spot for New York to continue their hot streak.
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New York Yankees — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Trent Grisham
CF .169416.330.364
Ben Rice
1B .337921.457.759
Aaron Judge
RF .229917.373.542
Cody Bellinger
LF .261314.375.413
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
2B .20429.295.323
Amed Rosario
DH .263413.302.526
Austin Wells
C .18824.338.297
Ryan McMahon
3B .17226.294.276
José Caballero
SS .280311.316.430

Houston Astros — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Carlos Correa
SS .287214.370.426
Yordan Alvarez
LF .3531126.464.755
Isaac Paredes
3B .220211.319.341
Jose Altuve
2B .26038.358.413
Christian Walker
1B .273619.360.525
Yainer Diaz
DH .215212.238.329
Cam Smith
RF .221312.309.368
Christian Vázquez
C .341210.413.585
Brice Matthews
CF .14015.229.279

Skórovací akce

1
Isaac Paredes singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Carlos Correa scores.
0-1
3
Trent Grisham homers (4) on a line drive to left field.
1-1
5
José Caballero homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.
2-1
6
Carlos Correa homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.
2-2
7
Austin Wells homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.
3-2
7
Cody Bellinger walks. Trent Grisham scores. Ben Rice to 3rd. Aaron Judge to 2nd.
4-2
7
Jazz Chisholm Jr. walks. Ben Rice scores. Aaron Judge to 3rd. Cody Bellinger to 2nd.
5-2
8
Ben Rice out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brice Matthews. Ryan McMahon scores. José Caballero to 3rd.
6-2
9
Austin Wells singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Cody Bellinger scores. Amed Rosario to 3rd.
7-2
9
Ryan McMahon singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Amed Rosario scores. Austin Wells to 2nd.
8-2
9
Christian Walker homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.
8-3

New York Yankees — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Trent GrishamCF
3211211.169.694
Ben Rice1B
4131010.3371.216
Aaron JudgeRF
3000220.229.915
Cody BellingerLF
2101300.261.788
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
4001110.204.618
Amed RosarioDH
5110020.263.828
Austin WellsC
3122201.188.635
Ryan McMahon3B
5121010.172.570
José CaballeroSS
5131001.280.746
Celkem3481281083
BATTING
2B: Rice (8, Burrows).
HR: Grisham (4, 3rd inning off Burrows, 0 on, 1 out); Caballero (3, 5th inning off Burrows, 0 on, 1 out); Wells, A (2, 7th inning off Teng, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Caballero 6; Grisham 4; McMahon 2; Rice 4; Rosario, A; Wells, A 5.
RBI: Bellinger (14); Caballero (11); Chisholm Jr. (9); Grisham (16); McMahon (6); Rice (21); Wells, A 2 (4).
2-out RBI: Bellinger; Chisholm Jr.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Judge 2; Chisholm Jr.; Rosario, A 2.
SF: Rice.
GIDP: Caballero; McMahon.
Team RISP: 2-for-8.
Team LOB: 10.
BASERUNNING
SB: Caballero (10, 2nd base off Burrows/Vázquez, C).
CS: Caballero 2 (2, 3rd base by Burrows/Vázquez, C, 3rd base by Sousa/Vázquez, C).
FIELDING
Pickoffs: Weathers (Diaz, Y at 1st base).

Houston Astros — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Carlos CorreaSS
3221101.287.796
Yordan AlvarezLF
4010000.3531.219
Isaac Paredes3B
4011000.220.660
Jose Altuve2B
3000110.260.771
Christian Walker1B
4111021.273.885
Yainer DiazDH
4010020.215.567
Cam SmithRF
4000030.221.677
Christian VázquezC
4010000.341.998
Brice MatthewsCF
3000010.140.508
Celkem33373292
BATTING
2B: Correa (7, Weathers).
HR: Correa (2, 6th inning off Weathers, 0 on, 0 out); Walker, C (6, 9th inning off Hill, T, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Alvarez, Y; Correa 6; Diaz, Y; Paredes; Vázquez, C; Walker, C 4.
RBI: Correa (14); Paredes (11); Walker, C (19).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Diaz, Y; Altuve.
Team RISP: 1-for-6.
Team LOB: 5.
BASERUNNING
CS: Diaz, Y (1, 2nd base by Weathers/Wells, A).
PO: Diaz, Y (1st base by Weathers).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Altuve-Correa-Walker, C; Paredes-Walker, C).

New York Yankees — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Ryan Weathers
5.162204186-563.21
Fernando Cruz(W, 2-0)
0.200012012-64.00
Jake Bird(H, 2)
1.00000109-76.75
Camilo Doval
1.000011013-76.75
Tim Hill
1.011101111-91.64

Houston Astros — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Mike Burrows
5.052238292-556.25
Steven Okert
1.000000013-82.77
Kai-Wei Teng(L, 1-1)
0.12110019-52.16
Bennett Sousa
0.112240027-1054.00
AJ Blubaugh
1.111120029-156.23
Jayden Murray
1.032210019-116.00

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Dan Iassogna; First Base: Jeremie Rehak; Second Base: James Jean; Third Base: Adam Beck
Stadion: Daikin Park, Houston
Počasí: 73°F, Roof Closed
Vítr: 0 mph, None

New York Yankees — Zpravy

Houston Astros — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Yankees
STAT
Astros
36-25 Bilance 28-35
59.0% Win % 44.4%
.590 PCT .444
313 Ziskane body 288
221 Inkasovane body 323
61 Odehrane zapasy 63
L2 Série W1
6-4 Posledních 10 6-4
17-11 Bilance doma 14-17
19-14 Bilance venku 14-18

Vzajemne zapasy

1
Poslednich 2 setkani
1
Dub 26
Yankees 4 - 7 Astros
Dub 24
Yankees 12 - 4 Astros

Yankees Nedavne

Čen 4 vs Guardians 1-2 W
Čen 3 vs Guardians 5-4 L
Čen 2 vs Guardians 9-4 L
Kvě 31 @ Athletics 13-8 W
Kvě 30 @ Athletics 4-6 L

Astros Nedavne

Čen 3 vs Pirates 9-11 W
Čen 2 vs Pirates 10-6 L
Kvě 31 vs Brewers 2-0 L
Kvě 30 vs Brewers 2-9 W
Kvě 29 vs Brewers 5-4 L

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