Zpet na zapasy Pondeli, Kvě 4, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros — Kvě 4, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Daikin Park, Houston
73°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Yoshinobu Yamamoto L Ryan Weiss

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Dodgers 1 2 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 8 13 0
Astros 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 6 1

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Dodgers 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 5
Astros 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 3
Confidence: 78% Dodgers favored
This matchup presents a stark contrast between teams heading in opposite directions. The Dodgers arrive at Daikin Park with superior underlying metrics despite their recent 3-game skid, boasting a +63 run differential compared to Houston's concerning -23 mark. Yoshinobu Yamamoto takes the mound with a sparkling 2.87 ERA and excellent command metrics (1.01 WHIP, 2.15 BB/9), facing an Astros lineup that has shown life recently but operates without several key contributors due to extensive injury issues. Houston's decision to use Steven Okert as an opener reflects the dire state of their rotation, with Hunter Brown, Cristian Javier, Ronel Blanco, and others all sidelined. Okert's limited recent usage (averaging just 13 pitches per outing) suggests he'll hand the ball to the bullpen early, creating a potential mismatch against Yamamoto's expected 5-6 inning workload. The Astros' offense has found some rhythm behind Yordan Alvarez's monster season (.331, 12 HRs) and Christian Walker's steady production, but they'll need more than two bats to overcome the pitching disadvantage. The Dodgers' recent offensive struggles are concerning but likely variance-driven rather than systematic, especially with Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernández providing middle-of-the-order threats. Missing Mookie Betts certainly hurts, but their pitching depth advantage should prove decisive. While both bullpens have dealt with injuries, Los Angeles maintains better overall depth and situational options. The mild 74-degree conditions and south wind at Daikin Park could favor hitters slightly, but Yamamoto's stuff should play well in any environment against a Houston lineup missing several regulars.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Yamamoto settling in after early contact, Astros capitalize on opener strategy
Middle (4-6) 3R Key offensive moments as both teams adjust to bullpen usage
Late (7-9) 2R Dodgers bullpen depth proves decisive in close game

Matchup Analysis

Astros

Yordan Alvarez power threat
Christian Walker's consistent production
Recent offensive momentum with 2-game win streak
Decimated pitching staff with multiple IL starters
Using opener Steven Okert instead of traditional starter
Negative run differential (-23) indicating systemic issues

Dodgers

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's elite pitching (2.87 ERA)
Superior bullpen depth despite injuries
Strong run prevention (112 allowed vs 201 for Houston)
Missing Mookie Betts and Tommy Edman from lineup
Recent offensive struggles in 3-game losing streak
Road record (9-7) slightly below home performance

Risk Factors

Houston's opener strategy creates unpredictability
Dodgers' recent offensive struggles could continue

Key Matchups

Yordan Alvarez vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto batter Alvarez's .331 average and 12 HRs pose biggest threat to Yamamoto
Shohei Ohtani vs Steven Okert batter Ohtani historically excels against relievers in early innings
Christian Walker vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto even Walker's .309 average meets Yamamoto's command and stuff

Statistical Edges

First to Score Dodgers 72%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

The game opens with Yamamoto working around early contact, allowing a leadoff single to Jose Altuve but settling in with his devastating splitter-fastball combination. The Dodgers strike first in the top of the first when Shohei Ohtani works a walk against Okert and scores on a Kyle Tucker RBI single, capitalizing on the opener's limited pitch repertoire. Houston answers quickly in the second inning as Yordan Alvarez launches a solo home run off Yamamoto's elevated fastball, his 13th of the season, to tie the game at 1-1. The middle innings see both teams trading opportunities as Yamamoto finds his rhythm while Houston cycles through relievers. The Dodgers break through in the third inning with a two-run rally sparked by Will Smith's double and executed with timely hitting from the bottom of the order. Yamamoto continues to dominate through five innings, striking out seven while allowing just the one Alvarez homer. The Astros manage another run in the sixth on Christian Walker's RBI double, but the Dodgers respond immediately with an insurance run in the fifth on Teoscar Hernández's sacrifice fly. The late innings belong to the Dodgers' superior bullpen depth, as they successfully navigate the heart of Houston's order while adding a crucial ninth-inning insurance run. Despite a late Astros rally attempt in the eighth that produces one run via Carlos Correa's RBI single, Los Angeles closes out a 5-3 victory that showcases both teams' current trajectories - the Dodgers overcoming recent struggles with superior pitching depth, while Houston's valiant effort ultimately falls short due to rotation limitations.
The confidence level reflects the clear talent and depth advantage favoring Los Angeles, particularly in pitching where Yamamoto significantly outclasses Houston's opener strategy. However, Houston's recent offensive surge and home field advantage prevent this from being a slam-dunk prediction.
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Los Angeles Dodgers — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani
DH .240614.382.432
Freddie Freeman
1B .276318.336.418
Will Smith
C .280316.348.400
Teoscar Hernández
LF .248417.323.389
Kyle Tucker
RF .242418.325.386
Max Muncy
3B .292913.394.575
Andy Pages
CF .313527.357.492
Hyeseong Kim
SS .30818.370.400
Alex Freeland
2B .25627.316.372

Houston Astros — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Carlos Correa
SS .279316.369.418
Yordan Alvarez
DH .3331227.438.667
Braden Shewmake
3B .20011.200.500
Christian Walker
1B .308826.385.562
Jose Altuve
2B .24839.336.388
Brice Matthews
CF .211312.288.394
Cam Smith
RF .230417.314.377
Zach Cole
LF .25011.2501.000
Christian Vázquez
C .316211.371.491

Skórovací akce

1
Kyle Tucker singles on a fly ball to shortstop Carlos Correa. Will Smith scores. Teoscar Hernández to 3rd.
1-0
1
Jose Altuve singles on a fly ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Yordan Alvarez scores. Isaac Paredes to 3rd.
1-1
1
Brice Matthews flies out to center fielder Andy Pages.
1-2
2
Alex Freeland homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.
2-2
2
Will Smith doubles (2) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Zach Cole. Shohei Ohtani scores.
3-2
3
Kyle Tucker homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.
4-2
3
Shohei Ohtani grounds into a force out, third baseman Isaac Paredes to shortstop Carlos Correa. Andy Pages scores. Hyeseong Kim to 3rd. Alex Freeland out at 2nd. Shohei Ohtani to 1st.
5-2
3
Freddie Freeman singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brice Matthews, deflected by right fielder Cam Smith. Hyeseong Kim scores. Shohei Ohtani scores. Freddie Freeman to 2nd. Fielding error by right fielder Cam Smith.
7-2
5
Freddie Freeman singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brice Matthews. Alex Freeland scores. Shohei Ohtani to 3rd.
8-2
5
Zach Cole homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.
8-3

Los Angeles Dodgers — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Shohei OhtaniDH
3201200.240.814
Freddie Freeman1B
5022030.276.754
Will SmithC
5131020.280.748
Teoscar HernándezLF
5010020.248.712
Kyle TuckerRF
5122011.242.711
Max Muncy3B
3000220.292.969
Andy PagesCF
5110010.313.849
Hyeseong KimSS
5110000.308.770
Alex Freeland2B
4231101.256.688
Celkem4081375112
BATTING
2B: Smith, W 2 (3, Weiss, Abreu, B).
HR: Freeland, A (2, 2nd inning off Weiss, 0 on, 1 out); Tucker (4, 3rd inning off Weiss, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Freeland, A 6; Freeman, F 2; Hernández, T; Kim, Hy; Pages, A; Smith, W 5; Tucker 5.
RBI: Freeland, A (7); Freeman, F 2 (18); Ohtani (14); Smith, W (16); Tucker 2 (18).
2-out RBI: Tucker; Smith, W; Freeman, F.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Pages, A 2; Smith, W; Hernández, T 2; Muncy.
Team RISP: 3-for-12.
Team LOB: 10.
FIELDING
DP: (Muncy-Freeland, A-Freeman, F).

Houston Astros — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Carlos CorreaSS
4000030.279.787
Yordan AlvarezDH
3120010.3331.105
Braden Shewmake3B
0000000.200.700
Christian Walker1B
4000020.308.947
Jose Altuve2B
4011020.248.724
Brice MatthewsCF
3000110.211.682
Cam SmithRF
4010020.230.691
Zach ColeLF
4111021.2501.250
Christian VázquezC
3000010.316.862
Celkem323622151
BATTING
HR: Cole (1, 5th inning off Yamamoto, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Altuve; Alvarez, Y 2; Cole 4; Paredes; Smith.
RBI: Altuve (9); Cole (1).
2-out RBI: Altuve.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Matthews.
GIDP: Paredes.
Team RISP: 1-for-3.
Team LOB: 5.
FIELDING
E: Smith (3, fielding).

Los Angeles Dodgers — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Yoshinobu Yamamoto(W, 3-2)
6.053318195-653.09
Kyle Hurt
1.000012017-111.13
Blake Treinen
1.000003017-103.60
Jack Dreyer
1.010002015-132.93

Houston Astros — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Steven Okert
0.231111020-124.60
Ryan Weiss(L, 0-3)
4.187645295-607.62
Kai-Wei Teng
2.010002031-182.35
Bryan Abreu
1.010003018-129.49
Bennett Sousa
1.00000008-88.10

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Mark Ripperger; First Base: Shane Livensparger; Second Base: Dan Merzel; Third Base: Dan Bellino
Stadion: Daikin Park, Houston
Počasí: 73°F, Roof Closed
Vítr: 0 mph, None

Los Angeles Dodgers — Zpravy

Houston Astros — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Dodgers
STAT
Astros
40-22 Bilance 28-35
64.5% Win % 44.4%
.645 PCT .444
328 Ziskane body 288
194 Inkasovane body 323
62 Odehrane zapasy 63
W2 Série W1
8-2 Posledních 10 6-4
20-11 Bilance doma 14-17
20-11 Bilance venku 14-18

Vzajemne zapasy

1
Poslednich 2 setkani
1
Kvě 6
Dodgers 12 - 2 Astros
Kvě 5
Dodgers 1 - 2 Astros

Dodgers Nedavne

Čen 3 @ Diamondbacks 7-0 W
Čen 2 @ Diamondbacks 6-5 W
Čen 1 @ Diamondbacks 1-4 L
Kvě 31 vs Phillies 1-9 W
Kvě 30 vs Phillies 4-3 L

Astros Nedavne

Čen 3 vs Pirates 9-11 W
Čen 2 vs Pirates 10-6 L
Kvě 31 vs Brewers 2-0 L
Kvě 30 vs Brewers 2-9 W
Kvě 29 vs Brewers 5-4 L

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