Zpet na zapasy Sobota, Kvě 9, 2026

Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals — Kvě 9, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
82°F, Partly Cloudy
10 mph, L To R
W Michael Wacha L Burch Smith

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Tigers 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 4 1
Royals 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 - 5 6 1

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Tigers 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 3
Royals 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 72% Royals favored
This rematch at Kauffman Stadium presents a fascinating contrast in pitching approaches. Michael Wacha brings veteran stability with his 3.04 ERA and excellent 1.06 WHIP, showing consistent command across his recent starts. His six-pitch mix keeps hitters off balance, and he's coming off a solid 79-pitch outing against Cleveland. On the flip side, Burch Smith represents a complete wildcard - the reliever-turned-emergency starter has thrown just 55 pitches across three brief appearances this season with a pristine 0.00 ERA. However, asking him to navigate through a Kansas City lineup that just scored four runs yesterday is a massive ask, especially given his fastball-heavy approach that could play into the Royals' strengths. The key offensive matchups favor the home team significantly. Bobby Witt Jr. (.298) and the emerging Maikel Garcia (.270, 3 HR) should feast on Smith's limited repertoire, while Starling Marte's .314 average adds another dangerous weapon. Detroit counters with Colt Keith's scorching .327 start and Kevin McGonigle's solid .310 mark, but their road woes (6-15) suggest these bats haven't traveled well. The Royals' bullpen situation remains concerning without closer Carlos Estévez, but Stephen Kolek's activation from the IL provides fresh depth. Detroit's pen has been more reliable, but fatigue could be a factor given their recent struggles and the need to cover significant innings if Smith falters early. Home field advantage becomes crucial here - Kansas City's 12-9 home record versus Detroit's dismal 6-15 road mark tells the story of two teams heading in opposite directions away from their comfort zones.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Early offense from both sides before pitchers settle in
Middle (4-6) 4R Key scoring surge in 4th-6th innings decides game
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpen battle with minimal late scoring

Matchup Analysis

Royals

Strong home record (12-9)
Recent momentum with yesterday's win
Wacha's solid ERA and control
Negative run differential (-15)
Missing closer Carlos Estévez

Tigers

Better overall run differential (+5)
Colt Keith's hot hitting (.327)
Bullpen depth when healthy
Terrible road record (6-15)
Four-game losing streak
Burch Smith's minimal MLB experience as starter

Risk Factors

Smith's limited starting experience
Tigers' road struggles

Key Matchups

Bobby Witt Jr. vs Burch Smith batter .298 avg vs inexperienced starter
Colt Keith vs Michael Wacha batter Keith's .327 average against veteran righty

Statistical Edges

First to Score Tigers 65%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

The game opens with Detroit capitalizing early, as Colt Keith's hot bat continues with an RBI single in the first inning off Michael Wacha, who settles down after the early hiccup. Kansas City responds immediately in the bottom of the second when Bobby Witt Jr. drives home Maikel Garcia with a sharp double down the left field line, evening the score at 1-1. Burch Smith's inexperience as a starter shows in the fourth inning when the Royals break through for two runs. After Garcia reaches on an infield single, Witt Jr. works a walk, and Starling Marte delivers a clutch two-RBI single to center field, giving Kansas City a 3-1 lead. Smith's pitch count climbs rapidly, and manager A.J. Hinch is forced to turn to his bullpen earlier than hoped. The Tigers respond in the fifth when McGonigle launches a solo homer to left field, cutting the deficit to 3-2 and keeping Detroit within striking distance. Wacha continues to work efficiently, mixing his changeup and cutter effectively to keep Detroit's struggling road offense off balance. The decisive sixth inning sees Kansas City extend their lead when Michael Massey drives home Nick Loftin with a sacrifice fly, making it 4-2. Detroit manages one more run in the seventh on a Jake Rogers RBI groundout, but Kansas City adds an insurance run in the eighth when Garcia scores on a wild pitch. The Royals' makeshift bullpen holds firm in the final two innings, with the combination of Kolek and Eric Cerantola preserving a 5-3 victory that extends Detroit's road miseries and gives Kansas City momentum heading into the series finale.
The 72% confidence reflects Kansas City's significant home field advantage and Detroit's glaring road struggles (6-15), but uncertainty around Burch Smith's ability to start and both teams' bullpen depth prevents higher confidence. The Royals' recent win over these same Tigers provides additional momentum.
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Detroit Tigers — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Kevin McGonigle
SS .294216.395.441
Matt Vierling
CF .216215.276.375
Hao-Yu Lee
3B .15915.213.273
Riley Greene
LF .310420.406.479
Dillon Dingler
DH .231626.295.438
Wenceel Pérez
RF .16727.221.278
Spencer Torkelson
1B .209615.329.411
Zach McKinstry
2B .18515.267.296
Jake Rogers
C .16704.200.278

Kansas City Royals — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia
3B .270315.337.419
Bobby Witt Jr.
SS .297519.369.475
Vinnie Pasquantino
1B .191518.276.355
Salvador Perez
DH .191517.233.322
Carter Jensen
C .222617.313.402
Jac Caglianone
RF .24648.321.415
Lane Thomas
LF .21417.364.271
Michael Massey
2B .233312.256.452
Kyle Isbel
CF .274310.337.411

Skórovací akce

1
Bobby Witt Jr. hits an inside-the-park home run (5) on a line drive down the right-field line. Maikel Garcia scores.
0-2
4
Michael Massey homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Carter Jensen scores. Jac Caglianone scores.
0-5
8
Riley Greene doubles (12) on a fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Kevin McGonigle scores.
1-5

Detroit Tigers — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Kevin McGonigleSS
3110000.294.836
Matt VierlingCF
4000010.216.651
Hao-Yu Lee3B
1000000.159.486
Riley GreeneLF
3011110.310.885
Dillon DinglerDH
4000000.231.733
Wenceel PérezRF
3000010.167.499
Spencer Torkelson1B
4010020.209.740
Zach McKinstry2B
3000110.185.563
Jake RogersC
3000010.167.478
Celkem32141290
BATTING
2B: Torkelson (8, Wacha); Greene, R (12, Strahm).
TB: Carpenter; Greene, R 2; McGonigle; Torkelson 2.
RBI: Greene, R (20).
2-out RBI: Greene, R.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Dingler; Pérez, W; Vierling 3.
Team RISP: 0-for-7.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: McKinstry (1, 2nd base off Wacha/Jensen).
FIELDING
E: McGonigle (4, fielding).
Pickoffs: Madden (Witt Jr. at 1st base).
DP: (McKinstry-Torkelson-McGonigle-Rogers).
a-Flied out for Keith in the 8th.

Kansas City Royals — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Maikel Garcia3B
3110100.270.756
Bobby Witt Jr.SS
4112001.297.844
Vinnie Pasquantino1B
4010010.191.631
Salvador PerezDH
3000020.191.555
Carter JensenC
2110100.222.715
Jac CaglianoneRF
3110010.246.736
Lane ThomasLF
3000010.214.635
Michael Massey2B
3113001.233.708
Kyle IsbelCF
3000000.274.748
Celkem28565252
BATTING
2B: Garcia, M (11, Smith, B); Jensen (3, Holton).
HR: Witt Jr. (5, 1st inning off Smith, B, 1 on, 0 out); Massey (3, 4th inning off Madden, 2 on, 2 out).
TB: Caglianone; Garcia, M 2; Jensen 2; Massey 4; Pasquantino; Witt Jr. 4.
RBI: Massey 3 (12); Witt Jr. 2 (19).
2-out RBI: Massey 3.
Team RISP: 2-for-4.
Team LOB: 1.
BASERUNNING
CS: Garcia, M (3, 2nd base by Madden/Rogers).
PO: Witt Jr. (1st base by Madden).
FIELDING
E: Pasquantino (2, fielding).

Detroit Tigers — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Burch Smith(L, 0-2)
0.132200111-83.09
Tyler Holton
1.210000013-114.15
Ty Madden
6.023325187-532.45

Kansas City Royals — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Michael Wacha(W, 4-2)
7.020026089-542.63
Matt Strahm
1.021101018-123.68
Steven Cruz
1.000002015-1012.00

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Gabe Morales; First Base: Emil Jimenez; Second Base: Mike Muchlinski; Third Base: Dexter Kelley
Stadion: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Počasí: 82°F, Partly Cloudy
Vítr: 10 mph, L To R

Detroit Tigers — Zpravy

Kansas City Royals — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Tigers
STAT
Royals
24-38 Bilance 23-38
38.7% Win % 37.7%
.387 PCT .377
241 Ziskane body 233
271 Inkasovane body 286
62 Odehrane zapasy 61
W2 Série L1
4-6 Posledních 10 3-7
14-14 Bilance doma 15-17
10-24 Bilance venku 8-21

Vzajemne zapasy

4
Poslednich 5 setkani
1
Kvě 10
Tigers 6 - 3 Royals
Kvě 8
Tigers 3 - 4 Royals
Dub 16
Royals 9 - 10 Tigers
Dub 15
Royals 1 - 2 Tigers
Dub 14
Royals 1 - 2 Tigers

Tigers Nedavne

Čen 3 @ Rays 7-2 W
Čen 2 @ Rays 8-0 W
Čen 1 @ Rays 10-9 W
Kvě 31 @ White Sox 1-2 L
Kvě 30 @ White Sox 1-7 L

Royals Nedavne

Čen 2 @ Reds 3-4 L
Čen 1 @ Reds 9-2 W
Kvě 31 @ Rangers 3-6 L
Kvě 30 @ Rangers 6-7 L
Kvě 29 @ Rangers 1-9 L

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