Zpet na zapasy Ctvrtek, Kvě 14, 2026

Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets — Kvě 14, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Citi Field, Flushing
62°F, Cloudy
2 mph, In From LF
W Nolan McLean L Keider Montero

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Tigers 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 7 1
Mets 0 0 1 2 3 1 1 1 - 9 10 0

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Tigers 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 3
Mets 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 5
Confidence: 72% Mets favored
This series finale features two young right-handers looking to establish themselves amid injury-riddled rosters. The Mets enter riding a two-game winning streak against Detroit, having scored 13 runs in the previous two contests, but remain hampered by a lengthy IL that includes Francisco Lindor, Kodai Senga, and now Francisco Alvarez. Nolan McLean has shown encouraging signs with his sinker-heavy approach, averaging 95 mph on his primary pitch while mixing in an effective sweeper. His recent starts show improving command, though his 100-pitch outing on May 8th suggests he may face workload limitations today. The Tigers counter with Keider Montero, whose four-pitch mix centers around a mid-90s fastball and an effective slider. Montero's recent velocity readings (89-90 mph average) are concerning, but his ability to generate swings and misses with his breaking ball gives him upside against a Mets lineup missing key contributors. Detroit's offensive bright spots include Colt Keith (.313) and Kevin McGonigle (.310, 2 HR), but their road struggles (7-18) are glaring. The Tigers have managed just three runs in their last two games at Citi Field while dealing with injuries to key pitchers like Justin Verlander and Tarik Skubal. The bullpen situation favors neither team significantly, with both clubs managing depth through minor league signings and call-ups. Weather conditions are ideal with 69-degree temperatures and light winds, creating a neutral environment that should favor neither pitchers nor hitters significantly. The Mets' recent offensive explosion suggests they've found some rhythm, while Detroit's road woes continue to be a defining characteristic of their season.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both starters settling in after early contact
Middle (4-6) 2R Pitchers finding rhythm, limited offensive opportunities
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen usage creates late-inning scoring chances

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Recent offensive surge against Detroit
Home field advantage at Citi Field
McLean's improving velocity and command
Depleted roster with key IL players
Poor home record (8-12)

Tigers

Montero's slider effectiveness
Better overall record than Mets
Young hitting talent in Keith and McGonigle
Terrible road record (7-18)
Injury-riddled pitching staff
Recent offensive struggles

Risk Factors

Both teams dealing with significant injuries
Young pitchers prone to big innings

Key Matchups

Juan Soto vs Keider Montero batter Soto excels against young RHP with slider-heavy approach
Colt Keith vs Nolan McLean batter Keith's .313 average suggests comfort against sinker-heavy pitchers
Kevin McGonigle vs Nolan McLean batter McGonigle's power (.310/2 HR) could capitalize on McLean's command issues

Statistical Edges

First to Score Tigers 65%
Strikeouts 14 12-17
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Detroit strikes first in the top of the first as Colt Keith works a leadoff walk against McLean and eventually scores on a Kevin McGonigle RBI single, capitalizing on early command issues from the young Mets right-hander. The Mets respond immediately in the bottom of the second when Juan Soto launches a solo home run off Montero's hanging slider, followed by a Marcus Semien RBI double that gives New York a 2-1 lead. McLean settles in through the third and fourth innings, using his sinker to induce weak contact, while Montero battles through traffic but limits damage. The game's turning point comes in the fifth when Detroit ties it 2-2 on a Jake Rogers sacrifice fly, but the Mets reclaim the lead in the seventh on a clutch two-out RBI single by A.J. Ewing in his first series with the club. Both bullpens enter in the eighth inning, with Detroit's Gage Workman striking out the side but the Mets adding an insurance run in the ninth on a Luis Torrens solo shot. The Tigers mount a final rally in the ninth, loading the bases with one out, but Mets closer Joey Gerber, recently activated from the IL, induces a game-ending double play to secure the series sweep. The 5-3 victory showcases the Mets' ability to capitalize on timely hitting despite their injury concerns, while Detroit's road struggles continue as they drop to 7-19 away from Comerica Park.
The 72% confidence reflects the Mets' recent offensive success against Detroit, home field advantage, and McLean's improving form, tempered by both teams' significant injury issues and the inherent unpredictability of young pitchers in crucial spots.
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Detroit Tigers — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Kevin McGonigle
SS .293216.400.433
Colt Keith
3B .30306.346.369
Riley Greene
LF .331422.426.490
Dillon Dingler
DH .241828.307.482
Gage Workman
2B .36425.3641.091
Zach McKinstry
RF .18215.250.273
Spencer Torkelson
1B .197616.320.380
Wenceel Pérez
CF .16928.221.258
Jake Rogers
C .15804.209.263

New York Mets — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Carson Benge
RF .237313.296.344
Bo Bichette
SS .218218.270.282
Juan Soto
DH .269513.358.471
Mark Vientos
1B .242619.287.433
Tyrone Taylor
LF .182211.203.286
Brett Baty
3B .220215.290.333
Marcus Semien
2B .227314.286.325
A.J. Ewing
CF .33313.538.889
Hayden Senger
C .00001.000.000

Skórovací akce

1
Gage Workman homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Colt Keith scores. Riley Greene scores.
3-0
3
A.J. Ewing homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.
3-1
4
Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Brett Baty homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. MJ Melendez scores.
3-3
5
Juan Soto singles on a ground ball to center fielder Wenceel Pérez. Carson Benge scores.
3-4
5
Mark Vientos homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Juan Soto scores.
3-6
6
Hayden Senger hits a sacrifice bunt. Marcus Semien scores. A.J. Ewing to 2nd. Hayden Senger to 1st.
3-7
7
Juan Soto homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.
3-8
8
Dillon Dingler homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.
4-8
8
Marcus Semien homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.
4-9

Detroit Tigers — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Kevin McGonigleSS
4000020.293.833
Colt Keith3B
3100130.303.715
Riley GreeneLF
3120100.331.916
Dillon DinglerDH
4111001.241.789
Gage Workman2B
4123011.3641.455
Zach McKinstryRF
4010000.182.523
Spencer Torkelson1B
3000010.197.700
Wenceel PérezCF
4010010.169.479
Jake RogersC
2000110.158.472
Celkem31474392
BATTING
2B: Workman (2, McLean).
HR: Workman (2, 1st inning off McLean, 2 on, 2 out); Dingler (8, 8th inning off Myers, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Dingler 4; Greene, R 2; McKinstry; Pérez, W; Workman 6.
RBI: Dingler (28); Workman 3 (5).
2-out RBI: Dingler; Workman 3.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: McGonigle.
GIDP: Torkelson.
Team RISP: 2-for-5.
Team LOB: 4.
BASERUNNING
PO: Pérez, W (1st base by McLean).
FIELDING
E: Workman (2, throw).
DP: (Keith-Workman-Torkelson).

New York Mets — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Carson BengeRF
5120000.237.640
Bo BichetteSS
4000120.218.552
Juan SotoDH
5222001.269.829
Mark Vientos1B
4112001.242.720
Tyrone TaylorLF
2000000.182.489
Brett Baty3B
3112101.220.623
Marcus Semien2B
3221101.227.611
A.J. EwingCF
4121001.3331.427
Hayden SengerC
3001000.000.000
Celkem349109425
BATTING
HR: Ewing (1, 3rd inning off Montero, K, 0 on, 0 out); Baty (2, 4th inning off Montero, K, 1 on, 2 out); Vientos (6, 5th inning off Holton, 1 on, 2 out); Soto, J (5, 7th inning off Hanifee, 0 on, 0 out); Semien (3, 8th inning off Vanasco, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Baty 4; Benge 2; Ewing 5; Semien 5; Soto, J 5; Vientos 4.
RBI: Baty 2 (15); Ewing (3); Semien (14); Senger (1); Soto, J 2 (13); Vientos 2 (19).
2-out RBI: Baty 2; Soto, J; Vientos 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Soto, J; Bichette.
SAC: Senger.
GIDP: Semien.
Team RISP: 1-for-5.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Benge (8, 2nd base off Montero, K/Rogers).
FIELDING
Outfield assists: Melendez, M (Workman at 3rd base).
Pickoffs: McLean (Pérez, W at 1st base).
DP: (Baty-Semien-Vientos).
a-Popped out for Melendez, M in the 5th.

Detroit Tigers — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Keider Montero(L, 2-3)
4.244422270-463.65
Tyler Holton
0.12220017-54.74
Enmanuel De Jesus
0.211110019-107.31
Brenan Hanifee
1.011100114-101.08
Ricky Vanasco
1.121110132-2214.54

New York Mets — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Nolan McLean(W, 2-2)
7.063337193-622.92
Tobias Myers
1.011101110-83.51
Craig Kimbrel
1.000001019-126.10

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Jordan Baker; First Base: Rob Drake; Second Base: Stu Scheurwater; Third Base: Junior Valentine
Stadion: Citi Field, Flushing
Počasí: 62°F, Cloudy
Vítr: 2 mph, In From LF

Detroit Tigers — Zpravy

New York Mets — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Tigers
STAT
Mets
29-40 Bilance 30-38
42.0% Win % 44.1%
.420 PCT .441
285 Ziskane body 272
294 Inkasovane body 290
69 Odehrane zapasy 68
W1 Série W1
7-3 Posledních 10 5-5
18-16 Bilance doma 16-17
11-24 Bilance venku 14-21

Vzajemne zapasy

0
Poslednich 2 setkani
2
Kvě 13
Tigers 2 - 3 Mets
Kvě 12
Tigers 2 - 10 Mets

Tigers Nedavne

Čen 12 @ Guardians 2-3 L
Čen 11 vs Twins 0-11 W
Čen 10 vs Twins 6-4 L
Čen 9 vs Twins 4-10 W
Čen 7 vs Mariners 4-5 W

Mets Nedavne

Čen 12 vs Braves 5-7 W
Čen 11 vs Cardinals 4-5 W
Čen 10 vs Cardinals 9-2 L
Čen 9 vs Cardinals 7-0 L
Čen 7 @ Padres 7-3 W

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