Zpet na zapasy Sobota, Kvě 30, 2026

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets — Kvě 30, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Citi Field, Flushing
57°F, Cloudy
14 mph, In From CF
W Christian Scott L Tyler Phillips

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Marlins 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 6 1
Mets 0 0 0 3 0 1 2 0 - 6 10 0

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Marlins 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 4
Mets 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 67% Mets favored
This afternoon matchup at Citi Field features two struggling teams looking to build momentum, with the Mets coming off a wild 9-7 victory last night against these same Marlins. Christian Scott takes the mound for New York, a young right-hander whose recent outings show inconsistent velocity (ranging from 89.3 to 92.2 mph average) but decent pitch mix led by his four-seamer at 95.6 mph. Tyler Phillips counters for Miami with an even more limited MLB sample size, featuring a sinker-heavy approach at 96.1 mph but concerning durability given his recent pitch counts of just 59, 43, and 14 in his last three appearances. Both teams are dealing with significant roster challenges - the Mets have 12 players on various injured lists including stars Francisco Lindor and Francisco Alvarez, while Miami is without key contributors like Griffin Conine and several pitchers. The offensive edge goes to Miami's top of the order, where Otto Lopez (.342) and Xavier Edwards (.316, 6 HR) have been productive, though the Mets counter with Juan Soto's veteran presence and recent activation of closer A.J. Minter from the IL. The wind conditions (18 mph from the north) at Citi Field could suppress some offensive output, but both teams showed they can score in bunches during last night's slugfest. Miami's woeful 8-17 road record suggests they struggle away from home, while the Mets are trying to build on their modest two-game winning streak despite a disappointing 24-33 overall record.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Both offenses productive early against young starters
Middle (4-6) 4R Key innings as pitch counts rise and bullpens enter
Late (7-9) 3R Late-inning drama with both teams' inconsistent relief corps

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Won last night's high-scoring affair 9-7
Juan Soto providing veteran leadership
A.J. Minter recently activated from IL adds bullpen depth
Massive injury list decimates lineup depth
Francisco Lindor and Francisco Alvarez still sidelined

Marlins

Otto Lopez hitting .342 with 23 RBI
Xavier Edwards leading with .316 average and 6 HR
Better road offense numbers historically
Three-game losing streak including last night
Terrible 8-17 away record this season

Risk Factors

Both starters lack extensive MLB experience
Weather conditions with 18 mph wind could affect fly balls

Key Matchups

Juan Soto vs Tyler Phillips batter Soto's plate discipline vs Phillips' limited track record
Xavier Edwards vs Christian Scott batter Edwards' hot bat against Scott's inconsistent velocity
Otto Lopez vs Christian Scott batter Lopez's .342 average suggests good timing vs young pitching

Statistical Edges

First to Score Marlins 58%
Strikeouts 16 13-19
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

The game opens with Tyler Phillips working carefully around Juan Soto in the first, but Xavier Edwards connects on a hanging splitter for a leadoff double and scores on an Otto Lopez RBI single to give Miami the early 1-0 lead. Christian Scott settles in after the rough start, using his cutter effectively to retire the side in order during the second inning. The Mets respond in the bottom of the second when Brett Baty works a two-out walk and scores on a Marcus Semien RBI double down the left field line. Phillips begins to labor in the fourth inning as his pitch count climbs - the young right-hander has shown durability issues in recent starts. Soto draws a leadoff walk and Luis Torrens follows with a sharp single up the middle. A wild pitch advances both runners, and Baty delivers with a clutch two-RBI single to give the Mets a 3-1 advantage. Miami answers immediately in the fifth when Edwards launches a solo home run over the right field wall, his seventh of the season, cutting the deficit to 3-2. The game turns in the seventh inning when both bullpens enter with runners in scoring position. Miami ties it 3-3 on a Lopez RBI groundout, then takes a 4-3 lead when Edwards drives in his second run of the day with a squeeze play that catches the Mets off guard. The home crowd comes alive in the bottom of the eighth as Soto works another walk against Miami's shaky relief corps, and pinch-hitter Eric Wagaman - recently called up from Syracuse - delivers a clutch RBI double. Torrens follows with an RBI single to put the Mets ahead 5-4. A.J. Minter, making his first appearance since returning from the IL, works around a leadoff single in the ninth to secure the victory and give the Mets their third straight win.
The 67% confidence reflects Miami's superior offensive numbers but significant concerns about their road struggles (8-17 away record) and Phillips' durability issues. The Mets' home field advantage and momentum from last night's comeback victory provide the slight edge in what should be a competitive, offense-friendly contest.
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Miami Marlins — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Xavier Edwards
2B .320620.402.489
Liam Hicks
DH .2741145.347.478
Otto Lopez
SS .330424.358.463
Kyle Stowers
LF .220311.304.356
Jakob Marsee
CF .200316.321.307
Leo Jiménez
3B .23401.339.255
Owen Caissie
RF .225528.278.387
Christopher Morel
1B .16101.224.210
Joe Mack
C .20306.250.250

New York Mets — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Carson Benge
RF .253320.316.345
Bo Bichette
3B .222527.276.312
Juan Soto
LF .3001225.394.580
Jared Young
DH .34513.412.517
Mark Vientos
1B .225726.261.393
A.J. Ewing
CF .25016.338.333
Marcus Semien
2B .219420.268.314
Vidal Bruján
SS .14301.250.143
Hayden Senger
C .15412.154.385

Skórovací akce

4
Mark Vientos doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Juan Soto scores. Jared Young scores.
0-2
4
Marcus Semien singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Mark Vientos scores. Marcus Semien to 2nd.
0-3
5
Liam Hicks singles on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Christopher Morel scores.
1-3
6
Jared Young homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.
1-4
7
Hayden Senger homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.
1-5
7
Juan Soto singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Carson Benge scores. Bo Bichette to 2nd.
1-6

Miami Marlins — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Xavier Edwards2B
3010110.320.891
Liam HicksDH
4031000.274.825
Otto LopezSS
4000020.330.821
Kyle StowersLF
4000020.220.660
Jakob MarseeCF
4010020.200.628
Leo Jiménez3B
3010100.234.594
Owen CaissieRF
4000030.225.665
Christopher Morel1B
3100130.161.434
Joe MackC
3000020.203.500
Celkem321613150
BATTING
2B: Marsee (7, Scott).
TB: Edwards, X; Hicks, L 3; Jiménez, L; Marsee 2.
RBI: Hicks, L (45).
2-out RBI: Hicks, L.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Marsee; Lopez, O.
Team RISP: 1-for-6.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
CS: Marsee (8, 3rd base by Scott/Senger).
FIELDING
E: Jiménez, L (2, throw).
DP: (Phillips-Edwards, X-Morel, C).

New York Mets — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Carson BengeRF
4130010.253.661
Bo Bichette3B
3000100.222.588
Juan SotoLF
3111100.300.974
Jared YoungDH
4221011.345.929
Mark Vientos1B
4112010.225.654
A.J. EwingCF
4000000.250.671
Marcus Semien2B
4021010.219.582
Vidal BrujánSS
3000000.143.393
Hayden SengerC
3111001.154.539
Celkem326106242
BATTING
2B: Semien (8, Phillips); Vientos (9, Phillips); Benge 2 (9, Phillips, Bachar).
HR: Young, J (1, 6th inning off Bachar, 0 on, 0 out); Senger (1, 7th inning off Bachar, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Benge 5; Semien 3; Senger 4; Soto, J; Vientos 2; Young, J 5.
RBI: Semien (20); Senger (2); Soto, J (25); Vientos 2 (26); Young, J (3).
2-out RBI: Semien.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Soto, J; Bruján; Vientos.
SAC: Bruján.
GIDP: Bichette.
Team RISP: 3-for-10.
Team LOB: 5.
BASERUNNING
CS: Bruján (1, 3rd base by Phillips/Mack).

Miami Marlins — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Tyler Phillips(L, 0-1)
5.063312072-431.63
Lake Bachar
2.043312237-233.77
William Kempner
1.000000012-90.00

New York Mets — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Christian Scott(W, 1-0)
5.051128096-602.97
Cionel Pérez(H, 5)
1.000001012-75.82
Huascar Brazobán(H, 4)
1.000003016-101.86
Austin Warren
1.010012020-141.40
Devin Williams
1.00000108-65.68

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Ryan Additon; First Base: Ryan Wills; Second Base: Lance Barksdale; Third Base: Will Little
Stadion: Citi Field, Flushing
Počasí: 57°F, Cloudy
Vítr: 14 mph, In From CF

Miami Marlins — Zpravy

New York Mets — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Marlins
STAT
Mets
28-34 Bilance 26-35
45.2% Win % 42.6%
.452 PCT .426
264 Ziskane body 244
285 Inkasovane body 263
62 Odehrane zapasy 61
W2 Série L2
5-5 Posledních 10 4-6
18-15 Bilance doma 15-15
10-19 Bilance venku 11-20

Vzajemne zapasy

3
Poslednich 5 setkani
2
Kvě 31
Marlins 1 - 10 Mets
Kvě 29
Marlins 7 - 9 Mets
Kvě 24
Mets 0 - 4 Marlins
Kvě 23
Mets 1 - 4 Marlins
Kvě 22
Mets 1 - 2 Marlins

Marlins Nedavne

Čen 3 @ Nationals 4-1 W
Čen 2 @ Nationals 7-3 W
Čen 1 @ Nationals 7-3 W
Kvě 31 @ Mets 1-10 L
Kvě 29 @ Mets 7-9 L

Mets Nedavne

Čen 3 @ Mariners 7-1 W
Čen 2 @ Mariners 3-8 L
Čen 1 @ Mariners 2-3 L
Kvě 31 vs Marlins 1-10 W
Kvě 29 vs Marlins 7-9 W

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