Zpet na zapasy Nedele, Kvě 31, 2026

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets — Kvě 31, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Citi Field, Flushing
75°F, Partly Cloudy
9 mph, L To R
W Nolan McLean L John King SV David Peterson

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Marlins 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1
Mets 1 2 0 2 0 5 0 0 - 10 9 1

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Marlins 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 3
Mets 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 68% Mets favored
This afternoon matchup at Citi Field features two struggling teams heading in opposite directions. The Mets enter riding a three-game winning streak, having outscored Miami 19-9 in their last two meetings, while the Marlins are mired in a four-game slide that has seen their offense sputter. Nolan McLean gets the ball for New York despite limited MLB experience, but his recent velocity (90+ mph average) and diverse six-pitch mix give him weapons against a Miami lineup that has struggled on the road (8-18). Janson Junk counters for the Marlins with a 4.80 ERA and concerning velocity decline in recent starts, dropping from 89.5 to 88.0 mph average across his last three outings. The Mets' lineup will be tested by significant injuries to Francisco Lindor and Francisco Alvarez, forcing them to rely on depth pieces, but Juan Soto's .299 average provides a reliable offensive anchor. Miami's bright spots include Xavier Edwards (.319) and Otto Lopez (.336), who have been their most consistent offensive threats, but the team's road struggles suggest they may not be able to capitalize consistently. The pitching matchup favors New York given Junk's elevated walk rate and declining stuff, while McLean's sinker-heavy approach should work well in the favorable Citi Field environment. Bullpen usage becomes critical with both teams having worked their relievers heavily in recent games. The Mets activated A.J. Minter from the IL, providing a boost to their late-innings depth, while Miami's pen has been stretched during their current losing streak. Weather conditions are ideal with 73 degrees and mostly clear skies, setting up a clean offensive environment that should benefit both lineups.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Both starters vulnerable early innings
Middle (4-6) 3R McLean settles, Junk begins to fade
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen arms determine final margin

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Three-game winning streak momentum
Home field advantage at Citi Field
Recent offensive surge against Miami
Key injuries to Lindor and Alvarez
Below .500 record and negative run differential

Marlins

Edwards and Lopez hitting well (.319/.336)
Recent series history at Citi Field
Four-game losing streak
Terrible road record (8-18)
Junk's elevated ERA (4.80)

Risk Factors

McLean's inexperience in crucial spots
Mets' injury-depleted lineup depth

Key Matchups

Juan Soto vs Janson Junk batter Soto's .299 avg vs Junk's 4.80 ERA
Xavier Edwards vs Nolan McLean batter Edwards' .319 avg and contact ability
Otto Lopez vs Nolan McLean batter Lopez hitting .336 with consistent contact

Statistical Edges

First to Score Marlins 55%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

The game opens with Xavier Edwards working a leadoff walk against Nolan McLean, immediately putting pressure on the young Mets starter. Edwards steals second on the first pitch to Otto Lopez, who lines a single to right field to stake Miami to an early 1-0 lead. McLean settles down from there, striking out Kyle Stowers and inducing a double play to escape further damage. The Mets respond in the bottom of the second when Juan Soto doubles off the left field wall and scores on a Brett Baty RBI single, evening the score at 1-1. Miami threatens again in the fifth when Edwards reaches base for the second time, but McLean works around the trouble with improved command of his sweeper and changeup. The Mets break through in the fourth inning when Janson Junk's velocity dip becomes apparent - Marcus Semien doubles down the left field line, and consecutive RBI singles from Soto and Baty give New York a 3-1 advantage. Junk labors through 5.1 innings before Miami turns to their bullpen, but the Mets tack on insurance runs in the sixth and eighth innings against Miami's overworked relief corps to secure a 5-3 victory and complete a series sweep.
The confidence level reflects the Mets' recent momentum and home field advantage, but tempered by their significant injuries and McLean's limited experience. Miami's poor road record (8-18) and Junk's declining stuff provide clear edges for New York.
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Miami Marlins — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Xavier Edwards
2B .314620.398.480
Liam Hicks
C .2681145.344.468
Otto Lopez
SS .326424.356.457
Leo Jiménez
3B .23401.339.255
Jakob Marsee
CF .197316.320.303
Connor Norby
1B .207414.315.331
Heriberto Hernández
LF .200218.287.284
Esteury Ruiz
RF .18225.229.432

New York Mets — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Carson Benge
RF .253421.318.359
MJ Melendez
LF .21139.322.395
Vidal Bruján
SS .12501.222.125
Jared Young
DH .30313.385.455
Mark Vientos
1B .225726.260.390
A.J. Ewing
CF .23816.333.317
Brett Baty
3B .231323.304.341
Marcus Semien
2B .226522.280.335
Luis Torrens
C .215013.277.290

Skórovací akce

1
Carson Benge homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.
0-1
2
Marcus Semien homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Mark Vientos scores.
0-3
4
Owen Caissie doubles (9) on a fly ball to left fielder Juan Soto. Javier Sanoja scores. Jakob Marsee to 3rd.
1-3
4
Luis Torrens singles on a ground ball to right fielder Owen Caissie. A.J. Ewing scores. Brett Baty scores. Marcus Semien to 3rd.
1-5
6
Bo Bichette walks. Marcus Semien scores. Luis Torrens to 3rd. Carson Benge to 2nd.
1-6
6
Juan Soto hits a grand slam (13) to right center field. Luis Torrens scores. Carson Benge scores. Bo Bichette scores.
1-10

Miami Marlins — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Xavier Edwards2B
4000100.314.878
Liam HicksC
4000110.268.812
Otto LopezSS
3000010.326.813
Leo Jiménez3B
0000000.234.594
Javier SanojaP
3100100.260.682
Jakob MarseeCF
3000110.197.623
Connor Norby1B
4000000.207.646
Heriberto HernándezLF
2000000.200.571
Esteury RuizRF
2000200.182.661
Celkem31131650
BATTING
2B: Caissie (9, McLean); Stowers (10, Peterson, D).
TB: Caissie 3; Stowers 2.
RBI: Caissie (29).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Sanoja 2; Hicks, L 2; Edwards, X 2.
Team RISP: 1-for-9.
Team LOB: 10.
FIELDING
E: Hernández, H (1, fielding).
a-Flied out for Caissie in the 6th.

New York Mets — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Carson BengeRF
4211121.253.677
MJ MelendezLF
1000000.211.717
Vidal BrujánSS
1000000.125.347
Jared YoungDH
4000110.303.840
Mark Vientos1B
4110010.225.650
A.J. EwingCF
3100130.238.650
Brett Baty3B
4110020.231.645
Marcus Semien2B
2222201.226.615
Luis TorrensC
3122000.215.567
Celkem33109106103
BATTING
HR: Benge (4, 1st inning off King, Jo, 0 on, 0 out); Semien (5, 2nd inning off Bender, 1 on, 2 out); Soto, J (13, 6th inning off White, J, 3 on, 2 out).
TB: Baty; Benge 4; Semien 5; Soto, J 5; Torrens 2; Vientos.
RBI: Benge (21); Bichette (28); Semien 2 (22); Soto, J 4 (29); Torrens 2 (13).
2-out RBI: Torrens 2; Soto, J 4; Semien 2; Bichette.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Benge 2; Vientos.
Team RISP: 2-for-5.
Team LOB: 6.
FIELDING
E: Bichette (7, fielding).

Miami Marlins — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
John King(L, 1-1)
1.222202130-182.52
Anthony Bender
1.111101117-133.42
Calvin Faucher
0.222222027-144.50
Cade Gibson
1.110001016-117.27
Josh White
0.215541143-2067.50
William Kempner
1.120003028-180.00
Javier Sanoja
1.00000009-60.00

New York Mets — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Nolan McLean(W, 3-4)
5.021152094-564.21
David Peterson(S, 1)
4.010013051-345.18

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Ryan Wills; First Base: Lance Barksdale; Second Base: Will Little; Third Base: Ryan Additon
Stadion: Citi Field, Flushing
Počasí: 75°F, Partly Cloudy
Vítr: 9 mph, L To R

Miami Marlins — Zpravy

New York Mets — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Marlins
STAT
Mets
28-34 Bilance 26-35
45.2% Win % 42.6%
.452 PCT .426
264 Ziskane body 244
285 Inkasovane body 263
62 Odehrane zapasy 61
W2 Série L2
5-5 Posledních 10 4-6
18-15 Bilance doma 15-15
10-19 Bilance venku 11-20

Vzajemne zapasy

3
Poslednich 5 setkani
2
Kvě 30
Marlins 1 - 6 Mets
Kvě 29
Marlins 7 - 9 Mets
Kvě 24
Mets 0 - 4 Marlins
Kvě 23
Mets 1 - 4 Marlins
Kvě 22
Mets 1 - 2 Marlins

Marlins Nedavne

Čen 3 @ Nationals 4-1 W
Čen 2 @ Nationals 7-3 W
Čen 1 @ Nationals 7-3 W
Kvě 30 @ Mets 1-6 L
Kvě 29 @ Mets 7-9 L

Mets Nedavne

Čen 3 @ Mariners 7-1 W
Čen 2 @ Mariners 3-8 L
Čen 1 @ Mariners 2-3 L
Kvě 30 vs Marlins 1-6 W
Kvě 29 vs Marlins 7-9 W

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