Zpet na zapasy Ctvrtek, Čen 11, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets — Čen 11, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Citi Field, Flushing
91°F, Partly Cloudy
8 mph, Out To RF
W Brooks Raley L JoJo Romero SV Devin Williams

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Cardinals 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 0
Mets 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - 5 10 0

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Cardinals 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 5
Mets 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 4
Confidence: 75% Cardinals favored
The Cardinals enter this series finale riding a six-game winning streak and having thoroughly dominated the Mets in the first two games, outscoring them 16-2. St. Louis appears to have solved New York's pitching while their own offense, led by Jordan Walker's breakout season (.301, 16 HR, 48 RBI), continues to fire on all cylinders. The Cardinals' depth has been evident throughout this hot streak, with contributions from Alec Burleson (.293, 9 HR) and the returning Lars Nootbaar providing balance. Hunter Dobbins takes the mound with a diverse six-pitch arsenal, though his recent workload has been lighter with just 78 pitches in his last start on June 5th. His ability to mix speeds and locations effectively should serve him well against a Mets lineup missing key pieces. Christian Scott counters for New York with his promising fastball-sweeper combination that has shown flashes of dominance. However, the young right-hander faces a Cardinals offense that has seen him before and appears locked in. The 94-degree heat at Citi Field could be a significant factor, potentially limiting both starters' effectiveness and putting additional strain on bullpens. The Mets' injury list reads like a who's who of their key contributors. Francisco Lindor's absence removes their most dynamic offensive threat, while Francisco Alvarez's injury forces them to rely on lesser catching options. The loss of Jorge Polanco at first base further weakens their lineup construction. Juan Soto remains their primary offensive weapon, but one player cannot overcome the systematic advantages St. Louis has built through superior health and recent form. The Cardinals have won seven of their last ten games and appear to be finding their identity as a balanced, opportunistic team. The bullpen comparison favors neither team significantly, but St. Louis has the luxury of working from ahead more often, which changes late-game dynamics considerably.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both starters vulnerable early in hot conditions
Middle (4-6) 3R Pitchers settle but Cardinals capitalize on mistakes
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpens take over with moderate success

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Christian Scott's fastball-sweeper combo
Juan Soto's power threat
Home field advantage
Missing Francisco Lindor and Francisco Alvarez
Recent offensive struggles vs Cardinals
Depleted roster depth

Cardinals

Jordan Walker's hot hitting (.301 avg, 16 HR)
Six-game winning streak momentum
Hunter Dobbins' diverse pitch mix
Dobbins' limited recent workload
Road record slightly below average
Bullpen usage from recent games

Risk Factors

94-degree heat affecting pitcher stamina
Mets' depleted IL affecting depth

Key Matchups

Juan Soto vs Hunter Dobbins batter Soto thrives against diverse pitch mixes
Jordan Walker vs Christian Scott batter Walker hot against young right-handers
Alec Burleson vs Christian Scott batter Burleson's .293 average vs fastball-heavy approach

Statistical Edges

First to Score Mets 55%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

This afternoon finale at Citi Field shapes up as a battle between momentum and desperation, with the sweltering 94-degree heat adding another layer of complexity. Christian Scott will try to salvage something from this series for the Mets, but faces a Cardinals lineup that has been feasting on New York pitching. Juan Soto gives the Mets an early spark with a solo home run in the first inning, capitalizing on Hunter Dobbins' adjustment period in the oppressive heat. However, Dobbins settles in quickly, using his diverse pitch mix to keep the Mets off balance. The Cardinals answer in the second when Jordan Walker continues his torrid pace with an RBI single, evening the score at 1-1. Scott's fastball-sweeper combination works effectively through the middle innings, but the Cardinals' patience pays off in the third. With runners on base, Alec Burleson delivers a two-run double that gives St. Louis a 3-1 advantage. The Mets respond in the fourth inning with a rally of their own, as Brett Baty and Marcus Semien connect for back-to-back doubles to pull within 3-3, then take a 4-3 lead on a sacrifice fly. The heat begins affecting both starters by the fifth inning, and the Cardinals capitalize on Scott's fading command. A leadoff walk and stolen base sets up the tying run on Walker's second RBI of the game. The bullpens take over in the middle innings, with both teams making strategic moves to combat the weather. The deciding moment comes in the eighth when the Cardinals manufacture a run through smart situational hitting, taking a 5-4 lead they'll protect through the ninth. St. Louis completes the sweep and extends their winning streak to seven games, while the Mets' struggles continue in front of a frustrated home crowd.
The Cardinals have completely dominated this series while riding a six-game winning streak, and the Mets are severely depleted by injuries to key players like Lindor and Alvarez. St. Louis has the better form, superior health, and recent success against specifically this Mets team.
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St. Louis Cardinals — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt
2B .248927.354.388
Iván Herrera
DH .262728.393.410
Alec Burleson
1B .2901148.356.486
Jordan Walker
RF .3021752.358.561
Lars Nootbaar
LF .22725.346.591
Masyn Winn
SS .232225.313.318
Jimmy Crooks
C .18214.250.364
Bryan Torres
PH .25625.341.462
Nathan Church
CF .253518.286.399

New York Mets — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Carson Benge
RF .260726.318.396
Bo Bichette
SS .227634.277.330
Juan Soto
DH .2771431.369.537
Jared Young
1B .28849.360.530
A.J. Ewing
CF .26317.343.347
Marcus Semien
2B .220825.270.350
Brett Baty
3B .228325.294.325
Francisco Alvarez
C .246512.316.410
MJ Melendez
LF .200411.306.389

Skórovací akce

1
Alec Burleson homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.
1-0
1
Bo Bichette homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Carson Benge scores.
1-2
1
Jared Young homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.
1-3
2
Lars Nootbaar homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.
2-3
2
Jimmy Crooks homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores.
4-3
5
Jared Young singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nathan Church. Juan Soto scores. Jared Young to 2nd.
4-4
7
Juan Soto homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.
4-5

St. Louis Cardinals — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
JJ Wetherholt2B
4000000.248.742
Iván HerreraDH
2000210.262.803
Alec Burleson1B
4111001.290.842
Jordan WalkerRF
4010010.302.919
Lars NootbaarLF
4121001.227.937
Masyn WinnSS
4110010.232.631
Jimmy CrooksC
4112011.182.614
Bryan TorresPH
1000000.256.803
Nathan ChurchCF
4010030.253.685
Celkem34474293
BATTING
2B: Winn (9, Scott); Church (8, Scott); Nootbaar (2, Scott).
HR: Burleson (11, 1st inning off Scott, 0 on, 2 out); Nootbaar (2, 2nd inning off Scott, 0 on, 0 out); Crooks (1, 2nd inning off Scott, 1 on, 0 out).
TB: Burleson 4; Church 2; Crooks 4; Nootbaar 6; Walker, J; Winn 2.
RBI: Burleson (48); Crooks 2 (4); Nootbaar (5).
2-out RBI: Burleson.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Winn; Herrera; Nootbaar.
Team RISP: 1-for-5.
Team LOB: 5.
a-Flied out for Gorman in the 9th.

New York Mets — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Carson BengeRF
4110020.260.714
Bo BichetteSS
4112001.227.607
Juan SotoDH
4221001.277.906
Jared Young1B
4122001.288.890
A.J. EwingCF
4010020.263.690
Marcus Semien2B
4010020.220.620
Brett Baty3B
4000010.228.619
Francisco AlvarezC
3010010.246.726
MJ MelendezLF
3010010.200.695
Celkem345105093
BATTING
2B: Ewing (3, Dobbins); Soto, J (5, Bruihl).
HR: Bichette (6, 1st inning off Dobbins, 1 on, 0 out); Young, J (4, 1st inning off Dobbins, 0 on, 1 out); Soto, J (14, 7th inning off Romero, J, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Alvarez, F; Benge; Bichette 4; Ewing 2; Melendez, M; Semien; Soto, J 6; Young, J 5.
RBI: Bichette 2 (34); Soto, J (31); Young, J 2 (9).
2-out RBI: Soto, J.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Semien 2.
Team RISP: 1-for-4.
Team LOB: 5.

St. Louis Cardinals — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Hunter Dobbins
4.173305288-603.63
Justin Bruihl
0.121101010-74.55
George Soriano
1.10000108-72.93
JoJo Romero(L, 0-2)
1.111101123-163.48
Gordon Graceffo
0.20000109-61.64

New York Mets — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Christian Scott
4.274416388-553.10
A.J. Minter
1.100000014-90.00
Brooks Raley(W, 2-1)
1.000011020-111.42
Luke Weaver(H, 8)
1.000000011-92.40
Devin Williams(S, 9)
1.000002016-125.32

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Scott Barry; First Base: Junior Valentine; Second Base: Rob Drake; Third Base: Stu Scheurwater
Stadion: Citi Field, Flushing
Počasí: 91°F, Partly Cloudy
Vítr: 8 mph, Out To RF

St. Louis Cardinals — Zpravy

New York Mets — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Cardinals
STAT
Mets
37-28 Bilance 29-38
56.9% Win % 43.3%
.569 PCT .433
294 Ziskane body 267
282 Inkasovane body 286
65 Odehrane zapasy 67
W6 Série L2
7-3 Posledních 10 5-5
19-16 Bilance doma 15-17
18-12 Bilance venku 14-21

Vzajemne zapasy

4
Poslednich 5 setkani
1
Čen 10
Cardinals 9 - 2 Mets
Čen 9
Cardinals 7 - 0 Mets
Dub 1
Mets 1 - 2 Cardinals
Bře 31
Mets 0 - 3 Cardinals
Bře 30
Mets 4 - 2 Cardinals

Cardinals Nedavne

Čen 10 @ Mets 9-2 W
Čen 9 @ Mets 7-0 W
Čen 7 vs Reds 3-5 W
Čen 6 vs Reds 5-6 W
Čen 5 vs Reds 3-10 W

Mets Nedavne

Čen 10 vs Cardinals 9-2 L
Čen 9 vs Cardinals 7-0 L
Čen 7 @ Padres 7-3 W
Čen 6 @ Padres 2-3 L
Čen 5 @ Padres 5-0 W

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