Zpet na zapasy Ctvrtek, Kvě 21, 2026

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees — Kvě 21, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Yankee Stadium, Bronx
64°F, Cloudy
2 mph, Calm
W Adam Macko L Carlos Rodón SV Jeff Hoffman

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Blue Jays 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 7 0
Yankees 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Blue Jays 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 3
Yankees 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 72% Yankees favored
This series finale presents a fascinating pitching matchup between Carlos Rodón's veteran guile and Braydon Fisher's rookie inexperience. Rodón enters with a concerning 5.63 ERA, having shown velocity decline in recent outings with his four-seam fastball averaging just 95.2 mph. His slider-heavy approach (28.9% usage) will be tested by a Blue Jays lineup featuring Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.285 avg) and the emerging Ernie Clement (.283 avg). The Yankees' offensive foundation remains Aaron Judge (16 HR, 30 RBI) and Paul Goldschmidt, though the absence of Giancarlo Stanton creates a notable power void in their middle order. Fisher represents the Blue Jays' desperate attempt to patch together innings amid a rotation decimated by injuries to José Berríos, Shane Bieber, and Max Scherzer. His recent outings show extremely limited pitch counts (27, 20, 10 pitches), suggesting he's operating as an opener or emergency starter. His slider-centric repertoire (48.6% usage) could be effective early, but his lack of MLB experience becomes magnified at Yankee Stadium under night lights. The Blue Jays' 9-16 road record reflects their struggles away from Toronto, particularly concerning given their -12 run differential. The Yankees' bullpen advantage becomes crucial in this matchup. While Toronto has recalled several arms recently, including Chase Lee, their pen lacks the depth and reliability of New York's late-game options. The home team's 16-7 record at Yankee Stadium provides additional confidence, though their recent 4-6 stretch over ten games indicates some vulnerability. The weather conditions—62 degrees and overcast with light southerly winds—should favor pitchers early before offensive adjustments take hold.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Blue Jays strike first against struggling Rodón, Yankees respond quickly
Middle (4-6) 4R Key innings as both teams capitalize on starter fatigue
Late (7-9) 2R Yankees bullpen advantage shows in final frames

Matchup Analysis

Yankees

Aaron Judge power threat
Superior bullpen depth
Strong home record 16-7
Carlos Rodón's 5.63 ERA vulnerability
Recent offensive struggles

Blue Jays

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. consistent production
Fresh off yesterday's win
Better offensive balance
Braydon Fisher inexperience
Poor 9-16 road record
Decimated pitching staff

Risk Factors

Rodón's early struggles could lead to big inning
Fisher's inexperience in pressure moments

Key Matchups

Aaron Judge vs Braydon Fisher batter Judge vs. rookie pitcher with limited MLB experience
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Carlos Rodón batter Guerrero hitting .285 against struggling left-hander

Statistical Edges

First to Score Blue Jays 58%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

The game opens with Fisher surprising the Yankee Stadium crowd, working around Aaron Judge with his slider to escape the first inning unscathed. However, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. puts the Blue Jays on the board in the top of the first with an RBI single off Carlos Rodón, capitalizing on the left-hander's early command issues. The Yankees respond immediately in the bottom of the second when Paul Goldschmidt drives home the equalizer with a line drive to right field. The pivotal moment arrives in the fourth inning as Rodón's limitations become exposed. After walking the leadoff batter, he serves up a hanging slider that Kazuma Okamoto deposits into the right field bleachers for a two-run homer, giving the Yankees a 3-1 advantage. Fisher's night ends after just three innings and 45 pitches, forcing Toronto's already-stretched bullpen into early action. The Blue Jays mount a rally in the fifth inning, scoring twice on a combination of Yankees defensive miscues and timely hitting from Myles Straw and Ernie Clement to tie the game at 3-3. The Yankees' superior depth proves decisive in the final third of the game. Cody Bellinger provides the go-ahead run with a sacrifice fly in the sixth inning, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. adds insurance with a solo homer in the ninth inning off Toronto's weary relief corps. The Yankees' bullpen, led by their setup men, closes out the series victory with three scoreless innings, highlighting the organizational depth that separates these two clubs at this stage of the season.
The confidence level reflects the clear pitching mismatch favoring the Yankees' bullpen advantage, but is tempered by Rodón's recent struggles and the unpredictability of Fisher's limited MLB sample size. The home field advantage at Yankee Stadium provides additional edge in what should be a competitive but ultimately decisive victory.
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Toronto Blue Jays — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
George Springer
DH .200410.278.342
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B .283322.374.372
Daulton Varsho
CF .276516.342.441
Kazuma Okamoto
3B .2181027.302.413
Ernie Clement
2B .296316.320.429
Andrés Giménez
SS .239527.276.390
Myles Straw
LF .25026.322.363
Brandon Valenzuela
C .238410.307.400
Yohendrick Piñango
RF .29818.344.386

New York Yankees — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Ben Rice
DH .2881633.385.644
Aaron Judge
RF .2501630.381.554
Cody Bellinger
LF .268632.380.469
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
2B .239518.317.372
Paul Goldschmidt
1B .269514.374.551
Spencer Jones
CF .16702.259.167
Ryan McMahon
3B .192416.261.315
Anthony Volpe
SS .21703.400.304
J.C. Escarra
C .15707.214.255

Skórovací akce

1
Daulton Varsho doubles (11) on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.
1-0
7
George Springer homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.
2-0

Toronto Blue Jays — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
George SpringerDH
4111121.200.620
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
2110200.283.746
Daulton VarshoCF
4011010.276.783
Kazuma Okamoto3B
4000020.218.715
Ernie Clement2B
4030000.296.749
Andrés GiménezSS
1000000.239.666
Myles StrawLF
4000010.250.685
Brandon ValenzuelaC
4010000.238.707
Yohendrick PiñangoRF
1000010.298.730
Celkem332723101
BATTING
2B: Varsho (11, Rodón); Clement 3 (16, Rodón, Cruz, Y, Blackburn, P).
HR: Springer (4, 7th inning off Doval, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Clement 6; Guerrero Jr.; Springer 4; Valenzuela; Varsho 2.
RBI: Springer (10); Varsho (16).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Valenzuela; Varsho; Straw 2; Clement.
GIDP: Springer.
Team RISP: 1-for-10.
Team LOB: 8.
BASERUNNING
SB: Guerrero Jr. (4, 2nd base off Rodón/Escarra).
FIELDING
DP: (Giménez-Clement-Guerrero Jr.).
a-Hit by pitch for Sosa, L in the 6th.
b-Struck out for Schneider in the 9th.

New York Yankees — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Ben RiceDH
4010020.2881.029
Aaron JudgeRF
4000010.250.935
Cody BellingerLF
2000200.268.849
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
4000040.239.689
Paul Goldschmidt1B
4000020.269.925
Spencer JonesCF
3010010.167.426
Ryan McMahon3B
3010010.192.576
Anthony VolpeSS
3000020.217.704
J.C. EscarraC
2000110.157.469
Celkem290303140
BATTING
2B: McMahon (4, Macko).
TB: Jones, S; McMahon 2; Rice.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Goldschmidt; Volpe; Escarra.
GIDP: Judge.
Team RISP: 0-for-4.
Team LOB: 5.
BASERUNNING
SB: Jones, S (1, 2nd base off Miles/Valenzuela).
FIELDING
DP: (Chisholm Jr.-Volpe-Goldschmidt).

Toronto Blue Jays — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Braydon Fisher
1.100014023-152.93
Adam Macko(W, 1-0)
1.110002020-130.00
Spencer Miles(H, 1)
4.120016063-472.17
Tyler Rogers(H, 9)
1.00001008-31.54
Jeff Hoffman(S, 4)
1.000002012-85.32

New York Yankees — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Carlos Rodón(L, 0-2)
5.031137095-604.15
Yovanny Cruz
0.110000011-60.00
Brent Headrick
1.000001012-62.10
Camilo Doval
0.211100111-75.68
Paul Blackburn
2.020002022-183.22

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Brennan Miller; First Base: Ben May; Second Base: John Tumpane; Third Base: Brock Ballou
Stadion: Yankee Stadium, Bronx
Počasí: 64°F, Cloudy
Vítr: 2 mph, Calm

Toronto Blue Jays — Zpravy

New York Yankees — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Blue Jays
STAT
Yankees
29-32 Bilance 36-24
47.5% Win % 60.0%
.475 PCT .600
247 Ziskane body 309
255 Inkasovane body 216
61 Odehrane zapasy 60
L3 Série L1
5-5 Posledních 10 6-4
17-13 Bilance doma 17-10
12-19 Bilance venku 19-14

Vzajemne zapasy

1
Poslednich 3 setkani
2
Kvě 20
Blue Jays 2 - 1 Yankees
Kvě 19
Blue Jays 4 - 5 Yankees
Kvě 18
Blue Jays 6 - 7 Yankees

Blue Jays Nedavne

Čen 2 @ Braves 3-4 L
Kvě 31 @ Orioles 5-9 L
Kvě 30 @ Orioles 5-6 L
Kvě 29 @ Orioles 6-5 W
Kvě 28 @ Orioles 2-1 W

Yankees Nedavne

Čen 2 vs Guardians 9-4 L
Kvě 31 @ Athletics 13-8 W
Kvě 30 @ Athletics 4-6 L
Kvě 29 @ Athletics 8-2 W
Kvě 27 @ Royals 7-0 W

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