Zpet na zapasy Streda, Čec 22, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees — Čec 22, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Yankee Stadium, Bronx
83°F, Partly Cloudy
14 mph, Out To CF
W Mason Montgomery L Fernando Cruz SV Gregory Soto

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 R H E
Pirates 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 2 5 7 0
Yankees 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 6 0

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Pirates 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 3
Yankees 1 0 2 0 1 1 0 1 0 6
Confidence: 68% Yankees favored
Gerrit Cole takes the mound at Yankee Stadium carrying a 3.93 ERA and a nasty four-pitch mix headlined by a 96.8 mph four-seamer that generated 9.0 K/9 this season. Cole's recent outings show consistent velocity — topping 99 mph across all three starts — and his ability to miss bats against weaker offensive clubs makes him a significant advantage for New York in Game 1 of this split doubleheader. Pittsburgh's lineup without Oneil Cruz and Spencer Horwitz is notably depleted in power and athleticism, leaving Ryan O'Hearn, Brandon Lowe, and Nick Gonzales as the primary threats Cole must navigate. Mitch Keller presents a stark contrast. His 5.14 ERA and 3.05 BB/9 reflect a pitcher who has struggled to command his arsenal in 2026. Velocity readings from his last three starts show a troubling decline — averaging between 86.7 and 89.7 mph on his fastball — well off his typical range. Against a Yankees lineup that, even without Judge and Stanton, features Ben Rice's 22 home runs and Paul Goldschmidt's veteran approach, Keller's command issues could snowball early at a hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium with 85-degree day-game conditions and a modest WSW wind. The Yankees bullpen holds the edge here. New York's +88 run differential (second in the AL East) reflects both offensive depth and bullpen reliability. Pittsburgh's relief corps, thinned by Evan Sisk's IL absence and the loss of Chris Devenski, leaned on multiple arms in the series opener loss July 20. The split doubleheader context means both teams have fresher bullpens than a traditional back-to-back, but New York's superior depth remains the decisive edge in close situations.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Cole sharp early, Keller struggles with command
Middle (4-6) 3R Bullpens enter as starters fade mid-game
Late (7-9) 2R NYY pen locks it down, adds insurance run

Matchup Analysis

Yankees

Cole ace-level stuff
Strong run differential +88
Home crowd energy
Ben Rice power surge
Judge/Stanton on IL
Thin rotation depth

Pirates

Lowe/O'Hearn middle lineup
Gonzales hot at .309
Recent 6-4 last ten
Keller ERA bloated at 5.14
Cruz/Horwitz key IL absences

Risk Factors

Keller early meltdown could inflate totals
Split DH context, fresh arms both sides

Key Matchups

Brandon Lowe vs Gerrit Cole pitcher Cole's sweeping SL neutralizes Lowe's pull-heavy LHB tendencies
Ben Rice vs Mitch Keller batter Rice's 22 HR power vs Keller's elevated walk rate and 5.14 ERA
Nick Gonzales vs Gerrit Cole pitcher Cole's high-spin FF at 96.8 mph dominates contact hitters

Statistical Edges

First to Score Yankees 62%
Strikeouts 16 13-20
Total Runs 9 7-12

Game Preview

The afternoon sun beats down on Yankee Stadium as Gerrit Cole toes the rubber against a Pirates club still stinging from their 8-5 defeat two days ago. Cole wastes little time establishing dominance — his four-seamer hums at 97 mph, and he fans two Pirates in the first before Ben Rice launches a solo shot off Keller in the bottom half, staking New York to an early lead. Keller's command issues surface almost immediately, falling behind in counts and leaving fastballs elevated in the zone. By the third inning, the game begins to slip away from Pittsburgh. Cody Bellinger works a two-out walk, and Rice follows with a two-run double to right-center that chases Keller from the game. Pittsburgh scratches back in the fourth on a Ryan O'Hearn RBI single, but Cole settles into vintage form, retiring 11 of the next 13 batters he faces. Nick Gonzales keeps Pittsburgh alive with a solo home run in the seventh, but it proves too little against a Cole-led Yankees squad that adds insurance through a Paul Goldschmidt sacrifice fly in the eighth. The Yankees bullpen slams the door in the final two innings, converting the 6-3 lead into a series sweep of Game 1. With Max Fried activated for Game 2, New York controls the momentum heading into the afternoon nightcap, showcasing why their +88 run differential makes them one of baseball's most complete teams despite the absence of Judge and Stanton.
Cole's velocity, command, and K-rate advantages over a depleted Pirates lineup and a struggling Keller create a clear edge. IL absences for Pittsburgh's Cruz and Horwitz limit their ceiling. Moderate confidence given Yankee Stadium's hitter-friendly day-game conditions.
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Pittsburgh Pirates — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jake Mangum
RF .303221.353.375
Brandon Lowe
2B .2452165.314.476
Bryan Reynolds
LF .2781459.394.468
Rafael Flores Jr.
C .33312.500.667
Ryan O'Hearn
DH .2781664.342.466
Nick Gonzales
3B .311646.370.414
Jacob Gonzalez
1B .255422.321.422
Billy Cook
CF .22002.220.293
Jared Triolo
SS .246119.317.320

New York Yankees — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Trent Grisham
CF .2271141.329.410
Ali Sánchez
C .22904.263.286
Amed Rosario
DH .235927.281.451
Cody Bellinger
LF .2551152.345.414
Jasson Domínguez
RF .230511.269.388
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
2B .2241643.300.416
José Caballero
SS .2441037.295.387
Ryan McMahon
3B .217926.276.385
Paul Goldschmidt
1B .2581542.316.484

Skórovací akce

5
Jacob Gonzalez homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Nick Gonzales scores.
2-0
7
Nick Gonzales homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.
3-0
7
Ben Rice homers (30) on a fly ball to right field. Ryan McMahon scores. Austin Wells scores.
3-3
10
Jared Triolo singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Nick Gonzales scores. Billy Cook to 2nd.
4-3
10
Jake Mangum singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Billy Cook scores. Jared Triolo to 3rd.
5-3

Pittsburgh Pirates — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jake MangumRF
5021010.303.728
Brandon Lowe2B
4010110.245.790
Bryan ReynoldsLF
5000020.278.862
Rafael Flores Jr.C
0000000.3331.167
Ryan O'HearnDH
4000030.278.808
Nick Gonzales3B
4321011.311.784
Jacob Gonzalez1B
4112001.255.743
Billy CookCF
0100000.220.513
Jared TrioloSS
2011010.246.637
Celkem375753172
BATTING
HR: Gonzalez, J (4, 5th inning off Cole, 1 on, 2 out); Gonzales, N (6, 7th inning off Cole, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Gonzales, N 5; Gonzalez, J 4; Lowe, B; Mangum 2; Triolo.
RBI: Gonzales, N (46); Gonzalez, J 2 (22); Mangum (21); Triolo (19).
2-out RBI: Gonzalez, J 2; Gonzales, N.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Gonzales, N; Reynolds, B; Valdez, Es 2.
Team RISP: 2-for-9.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Mangum (19, 2nd base off Cruz, F/Sánchez, A).
a-Struck out for Callihan, T in the 8th.
b-Walked for Davis, H in the 10th.
1-Ran for Ozuna in the 10th.

New York Yankees — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Trent GrishamCF
4010100.227.739
Ali SánchezC
0000000.229.549
Amed RosarioDH
1000010.235.732
Cody BellingerLF
4010130.255.759
Jasson DomínguezRF
4010100.230.657
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
5000010.224.716
José CaballeroSS
4000020.244.682
Ryan McMahon3B
4110010.217.661
Paul Goldschmidt1B
1000000.258.800
Celkem363635121
BATTING
2B: McMahon (10, Mlodzinski).
HR: Rice (30, 7th inning off Mlodzinski, 2 on, 1 out).
TB: Bellinger; Domínguez; Grisham; McMahon 2; Rice 4; Wells, A.
RBI: Rice 3 (71).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Jones, S; Caballero; Chisholm Jr.
Team RISP: 1-for-10.
Team LOB: 10.
a-Grounded out for Wells, A in the 9th.
b-Struck out for Jones, S in the 9th.

Pittsburgh Pirates — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Mitch Keller
5.030026075-474.90
Carmen Mlodzinski(BS, 1)
2.233323150-313.34
Mason Montgomery(W, 3-3)
1.100012019-123.79
Gregory Soto(S, 13)
1.000001016-83.89

New York Yankees — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Gerrit Cole
7.0433011293-643.92
Brent Headrick
1.000003015-101.40
David Bednar
1.010011022-112.53
Fernando Cruz(L, 4-4)
0.122120024-132.51
Kervin Castro
0.20000209-73.38

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Quinn Wolcott; First Base: Brock Ballou; Second Base: Adrian Johnson; Third Base: Paul Clemons
Stadion: Yankee Stadium, Bronx
Počasí: 83°F, Partly Cloudy
Vítr: 14 mph, Out To CF

Pittsburgh Pirates — Zpravy

New York Yankees — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Pirates
STAT
Yankees
52-49 Bilance 56-44
51.5% Win % 56.0%
.515 PCT .560
538 Ziskane body 475
487 Inkasovane body 387
101 Odehrane zapasy 100
L1 Série W2
6-4 Posledních 10 6-4
27-24 Bilance doma 25-22
25-25 Bilance venku 31-22

Vzajemne zapasy

0
Poslednich 1 setkani
1
Čec 20
Pirates 5 - 8 Yankees

Pirates Nedavne

Čec 20 @ Yankees 5-8 L
Čec 19 @ Guardians 7-1 W
Čec 18 @ Guardians 3-5 L
Čec 18 @ Guardians 7-1 W
Čec 12 vs Brewers 5-14 W

Yankees Nedavne

Čec 20 vs Pirates 5-8 W
Čec 19 vs Dodgers 1-2 W
Čec 19 vs Dodgers 8-2 L
Čec 17 vs Dodgers 2-1 L
Čec 12 @ Nationals 5-3 W

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